Much of this week will feature typical summer-time weather in New England, with warm to hot temperatures, humidity levels ranging from somewhat comfortable to not very comfortable, and some pop-up showers and thunderstorms.

The week starts off with the most active weather day as a cold front starts to approach the region. A few showers are likely this morning as an upper-level disturbance swings through, but we should see some sunshine develop by midday. How much sunshine we get will help determine how much the atmosphere will destabilize again in the afternoon. As the front moves in from the west, showers and thunderstorms will develop. Many of these storms will produce heavy downpours, and some could redevelop over the same locations, resulting in some flash flooding. Depending on how much sun we see in the late morning and early afternoon, we could be looking at some severe storms, with strong winds and hail as well. There is even a slight chance for a tornado to form. How quickly the front moves will also help determine how long we’ll be dealing with the storms, and what areas have the best chance to have them. Right now, it looks like most of the storms will be during the 1pm-8pm time frame.

The front moves offshore tonight, and cooler and drier air starts to settle in. However, an upper-level low pressure area will be moving in at the same time. As this upper-level low moves right across New England on Tuesday, it will help produce another round of showers and thunderstorms during the afternoon. Most of these shouldn’t be strong, but with a pool of cold air aloft, we could see some small hail in a few of them.

The upper-level low moves offshore for Wednesday, and we’ll be under the influence high pressure for Wednesday and Thursday, with sunshine, seasonably warm temperatures (tempered by a seabreeze along the coast), and moderate humidity levels. Warmer and more humid air moves in for Friday and the weekend. A series of weak upper-level disturbances will also move across the region, creating a daily chance for showers and thunderstorms.

Monday: A few showers early, then becoming partly sunny. Showers and thunderstorms are likely during the afternoon and evening. Some of them may produce heavy downpours. High 82-89.

Monday night: Showers and thunderstorms end during the evening, then skies clear out. Low 62-69.

Tuesday: A sunny start, then clouds develop with a few showers and thunderstorms likely during the afternoon. High 76-83.

Tuesday night: Clear to partly cloudy. Low 59-66.

Wednesday: Sunshine and a few clouds. High 72-79, coolest along the coast.

Thursday: Some patchy morning fog, then becoming partly to mostly sunny. High 74-81, coolest along the coast.

Friday: Intervals of clouds and sunshine with some showers and thunderstorms possible, especially during the morning, a little more humid. High 77-84.

Saturday: Partly sunny, chance for a shower or thunderstorm. High 83-90, cooler along the coast.

Sunday: A mix of sun and clouds, a shower or thunderstorm is possible. High 86-93.

We’ve got some typical summertime weather coming up for most of the week, with heat, humidity, and thunderstorms all expected.

The week starts off with high pressure building in from the north, which will bring in sunshine, lower humidity, and slightly cooler temperatures, especially along the coast. By Tuesday, however, that high will move off to the south, allowing more humid air into the region, along the the chance for a few showers and thunderstorms.

You’ll start to hear the “Triple-H” talk for Wednesday through Friday, but it may not quite qualify. It’ll be quite warm to hot, with temperatures will into the 80s and lower 90s in many locations. It’ll also be quite humid, as dewpoints will get well into the 60s, and possibly even lower 70s. Will it be hazy? Probably not. Even without the haze, it’ll still be quite comfortable for a lot of people.

The end of the week and into the weekend is a bit of a question mark right now. Low pressure currently over the Southeast will move off the Carolina coastline by midweek, and then head northeastward up the coastline. The National Hurricane Center has already given it a 40% chance of development before the end of the week. Given their recent track record, we’re assuming that assuming it moves off the coast, as long as it’s spinning and has a thunderstorm nearby, it’ll be called Tropical Depression Six, or maybe they’ll go right to Tropical Storm Fay. Either way, it may very well have some impact here by Friday or Saturday. The most likely impact is for some heavy rainfall. We’ll already have a very soupy airmass in place, and adding tropical air to that will help wring out even more moisture. While this will help put a dent in the developing drought for some areas, it may also lead to flooding in others. We could also see some impacts from wind, depending on the development of the system, and rough surf along the coast. Unsettled weather may hang around through the weekend, as the system may be slow to depart.

Monday: Partly to mostly sunny. High 77-84, cooler along the coast.

Monday night: Partly cloudy. Low 57-64.

Tuesday: A mix of sun and clouds, just a slight chance for an afternoon shower or thunderstorm. High 76-83.

Tuesday night: Partly cloudy. Low 61-68.

Wednesday: Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely in the afternoon. High 81-88.

Thursday: Sunshine and a few afternoon clouds, a shower or thunderstorm may pop up. High 86-93.

Friday: Early sun, then clouds move in, some showers and thunderstorms develop, possibly become a steady rain late in the day and at night. High 84-91.

Saturday: Rain ends early, then becoming partly sunny, a few showers and thunderstorms are possible in the afternoon and evening. High 80-87.

Sunday: Intervals of clouds and sun, more showers and thunderstorms are possible. High 82-89.

This is going one of those weeks where the weather app on your phone just won’t cut it. Most of those apps will give you a little icon for the day, and for this week, we wouldn’t be surprised if there was a little thunderstorm icon in there for every day. Yes, there will be a chance of thunderstorms for almost every day this week. However, the vast majority of the time will be dry, and none of the days should be a washout.

After widespread strong to severe thunderstorms on Sunday, things should be a bit more quiet today. We’ve got an upper-level low pressure settling into the northeast, so we’ll see clouds popping up, and some showers and thunderstorms will likely develop this afternoon. This will be nothing like yesterday however. Sure, a few of the storms may produce a quick downpour or even some small hail due to some cold air aloft, but they’ll be hit and miss storms, with more areas getting nothing than areas that get storms. Most of the activity should diminish with the setting sun.

That upper-level low will remain nearby for Tuesday and Wednesday, so we’ll have similar conditions both days with showers and thunderstorms popping up each afternoon, produce a few downpours and maybe a little hail, but nothing widespread is expected. Temperatures will be on the cooler side, possibly even a little below normal for the end of June/beginning of July, with highs only in the 70s for most of us, with some coastal locations possible staying in the 60s thanks to a wind off the water.

The upper-level low finally starts to move out on Thursday, but it still may produce a few showers and thunderstorms. After it moves out, a ridge of high pressure starts to build in…..to the Midwest. That means another upper-level trough of low pressure starts to build in for Friday and the weekend. So, we’ll be a bit warmer, but, you guessed it, we’ll have a daily chance for some pop-up showers and thunderstorms. Wash. Rinse. Repeat. Things may start to dry out a bit more on Sunday.

Monday: Some patchy fog to start the day, otherwise more clouds than sunshine, chance for some showers and thunderstorms. High 73-80, a little cooler along the coast.

Monday night: Showers taper off in the evening, then partly to mostly cloudy with some fog redeveloping. Low 59-66.

Tuesday: Intervals of clouds and sunshine, chance for a few showers and thunderstorms. High 69-76, a little cooler along the coast.

Tuesday night: Partly to mostly cloudy, again some patchy fog is possible. Low 60-67.

Wednesday: A mix of sun and clouds with some afternoon showers and thunderstorms possible. High 72-79.

Thursday: A sunny start, then clouds pop up, just a slight chance for a shower or thunderstorm. High 80-87, a little cooler along the coast.

Friday: Morning sunshine then afternoon clouds, a shower or thunderstorm may pop up. High 77-84.

Independence Day: Partly sunny with an afternoon shower or thunderstorm possible. High 75-82.

Sunday: Sunshine and a few clouds. High 78-85.

No matter how you define summer, it is now officially here in the Northern Hemisphere, and we’ll feel it all week long.

The past few days have all featured the same general pattern. A muggy start to the day with low clouds and fog across southern Rhode Island and southeastern Massachusetts, then sunshine, some fair-weather cumulus clouds, warm to hot temperatures, moderate to somewhat high humidity, a few pop-up showers and thunderstorms during the afternoon, diminishing by evening, then low clouds and fog return to the South Coast. Wash. Rinse. Repeat. Well, that general pattern will continue today and Tuesday with one added wrinkle – a seabreeze along the coast. That actually started on Sunday, which helped to produce the heavy thunderstorms across eastern Massachusetts. It will likely be the case today, and probably Tuesday as well.

By Wednesday, we start to get some changes. A cold front will be approaching from the west as low pressure passes north of the region. We’ll still have morning low clouds and fog, and it’ll still be warm to hot and fairly humid, but the cold front will help produce a little more in the way of thunderstorm activity Wednesday afternoon and evening. The timing of the front will have a hand in determining how strong the thunderstorms get, but right now, it does not look like a widespread severe event.

The front moves through at some point Wednesday night early Thursday, then high pressure builds in with some drier weather for Thursday into Friday. Temperatures will still be quite warm, but with lower humidity, it will feel a bit more comfortable. The weekend is a bit of a question mark at this point. Another system will likely pass north of the region, with some showers and thunderstorms possible, but there is plenty of disagreement among the models in regards to the timing of the system. Either way, it doesn’t look like much to worry about, with neither day being a washout.

Monday: Low clouds and fog to start the day across the South Coast, and also from the North Shore to the New Hampshire Seacoast, then skies become partly to mostly sunny, a few showers and thunderstorms are possible during the afternoon, mainly well inland. High 85-92 inland, 77-84 along the coast.

Monday night: Clear to partly cloudy, low clouds and fog return to the South Coast. Low 61-68.

Tuesday: A mix of sun and clouds, chance for a few showers and thunderstorms during the afternoon. High 85-92, cooler right along the coast.

Tuesday night: Clear to partly cloudy, low clouds and fog return to the South Coast once again. Low 63-70.

Wednesday: Intervals of clouds and sunshine with scattered showers and thunderstorms likely during the afternoon and evening, tapering off before midnight. High 83-90, cooler along the South Coast.

Thursday: Partly to mostly sunny and less humid. High 82-89.

Friday: Sunshine and a few clouds. High 81-88.

Saturday: Intervals of clouds and sun with a chance for showers and thunderstorms. High 78-85.

Sunday: Partly sunny, chance for some showers and thunderstorms. High 80-87.

High ‘N’ Dry – that pretty much sums up this week’s forecast. High pressure provides dry weather for most of the week.

High pressure will settle into the Northeast for the next few days. This means we’ll have dry and cool conditions for the first part of the week, with temperatures and humidity levels starting to creep up as we get to the latter half of the week. As is usually the case, temperatures will be coolest along the coast thanks to onshore flow, and well see some fair-weather cumulus clouds pop up each afternoon across the interior.

By late in the week, we’ll be warm to potentially hot, and humid, with the chance for some showers and thunderstorms to pop up on Friday afternoon. The weekend is a bit of a question mark at this point. The models have 2 separate but equally plausible solutions right now. One model has the heat come to an abrupt end Saturday afternoon with a backdoor cold front, leading to much cooler conditions for Saturday night and Sunday, along with plenty of clouds and possibly some showers. Some other models keep us warm and humid with some showers and thunderstorms possible, and a slow-moving cold front still well to our west. For now, we’re going to lean towards the latter solution, but obviously things could change. With next Sunday being Fathers Day, many people will be making plans, especially outdoor plans. We should have a clearer picture when we publish our Weekend Outlook Thursday afternoon. If the latter solution is indeed correct, some locations across the interior could be near or above 90 starting on Thursday and continuing at least into Sunday.

Monday: Some low clouds and fog this morning, then becoming partly to mostly sunny. High 67-74, a little cooler along the coast.

Monday night: Mostly clear. Low 48-55.

Tuesday: Sunshine and lots of it. High 73-80, a little cooler along the coast.

Tuesday night: Clear to partly cloudy. Low 48-55.

Wednesday: Sunshine and a few afternoon clouds. High 79-86, again cooler along the coast.

Thursday: Mostly sunny, a few clouds during the afternoon. High 84-91, cooler along the South Coast.

Friday: Partly to mostly sunny, just a slight chance for an afternoon shower or thunderstorm. High 86-93, cooler along the South Coast.

Saturday: A mix of sun and clouds, an afternoon shower or thunderstorm is possible. High 85-92, cooler along the South Coast.

Sunday: Partly sunny, chance for some afternoon showers and thunderstorms. High 84-91, cooler along the South Coast.

Heat and humidity will gradually be increasing over the next few days, which means it actually will feel like June.

The first half of the week is a fairly straightforward forecast. High pressure will slide offshore, with generally dry weather through Wednesday. Temperatures and humidity levels will gradually increase thanks to southwesterly flow around the high pressure area.

By late Wednesday, things start to get a little more complicated. A strong low pressure sure, fueled by whatever is left of “Cristobal”, will be moving across the Great Lakes and into Ontario. It will send a warm front across the region, leading to an increase in humidity levels. The low will move up towards Hudson Bay on Thursday, dragging a cold front into the Northeast. Ahead of that front, it’ll likely be fairly breezy, but also warm and humid, with the front triggering some showers and thunderstorms. There is some disagreement among the models as to when the cold front moves through the region, but right now, we’re leaning towards Thursday night.

High pressure builds in behind the front on Friday with drier conditions. Next weekend is highly uncertain at this point. An upper-level low pressure system may drift across the Northeast, which would result in some additional clouds and cooler conditions, as well as the chance for a few showers. Some models are more pessimistic than others, but given the fact that it’s been dry lately, we’re going to lean away from the models that are showing more widespread rainfall. There’s an old adage we learned a while ago that holds true with forecasting rainfall – “When in drought, leave it out.” We’re going to go with that.

Monday: Sunshine and a few high clouds. High 72-79.

Monday night: Partly cloudy. Low 53-60.

Tuesday: Mostly sunny in the morning, some clouds pop up during the afternoon. High 77-84.

Tuesday night: Clear to partly cloudy. Low 55-62.

Wednesday: Partly to mostly sunny and breezy, slight chance for an afternoon shower. High 70-80 along the coast, 81-88 inland.

Thursday: Partly sunny, windy, and humid with showers and thunderstorms possible late in the day and at night. High 79-86, cooler along the south coast.

Friday: Clouds and a few lingering showers across southeastern Massachusetts, otherwise becoming partly sunny and less humid. High 79-86.

Saturday: A mix of sun and clouds. High 74-81, cooler along the coast.

Sunday: Intervals of clouds and sun, chance for a few showers. High 71-78, cooler along the coast.

June has arrived, which means that we are now officially in meteorological summer. It also means that Hurricane Season has officially begun in the Atlantic.

We start the week off on a cool note with high pressure at the surface and upper-level trough of low pressure moving across the region. This trough may help produce a few pop-up showers this afternoon, but will also help keep temperatures well below normal today. Another cool night is expected tonight, but not as cool as it was this morning. By Tuesday a warm front will be moving towards the area, with clouds streaming in ahead of it, and possibly a shower or two.

Warmer air moves in on Wednesday as low pressure heads toward the St. Lawrence Valley. With the warm air will be some shower activity and possibly a thunderstorm or two. We’ll remain warm and humid through Thursday and into Friday before another low pressure system passes north of the region. This will bring in more showers and thunderstorms late Friday and Friday night.

A cold front moves through early Saturday, but we’ll remain on the warm side with developing sunshine during the afternoon. Drier air will filter in behind the front, then high pressure builds in for Sunday with cooler conditions.

Over the weekend, we published our annual look at the upcoming hurricane season, which also contained some stats about how overdue we are for a storm up here, or, as a colleague said “me thinks our clock be tick’n!” We’ve already had 2 named storms this season (we’re still not convinced that “Bertha” was actually a tropical storm), but another system could be brewing in the Bay of Campeche. Conditions will be favorable for a system to develop later this week, and a majority of the forecast models do show a system developing, but they don’t agree on how strong it could get or where it could go. Obviously, we’ll keep an eye on it, and if it develops, we’ll keep you updated, but it will likely have little to no impact up here, except for possibly some rain as whatever is left of the system moves through, but that would be a good 10 or more days away, if at all.

Monday: Early sun, then clouds develop, with a chance for a few afternoon showers. High 59-66.

Monday night: Clear to partly cloudy. Low 43-50.

Tuesday: Thickening clouds, a few showers are possible late in the day. High 66-73.

Tuesday night: Partly to mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Low 51-58.

Wednesday: Intervals of clouds and sunshine, chance for a few showers, especially along the south coast. High 73-80.

Thursday: A mix of sun and clouds. High 77-84.

Friday: Becoming partly to mostly cloudy, chance for a few showers. High 79-86.

Saturday: Morning showers, then becoming partly to mostly sunny. High 77-84.

Sunday: A mix of sun and clouds. High 67-74.

Memorial Day is the “traditional start of summer”, and we’ll certainly have some summer-like weather this week, just not on Memorial Day.

The forecast for this week is actually fairly simple. We start the week out with plenty of low clouds and some fog for your Memorial Day morning. With high pressure east of Nova Scotia and low pressure south of New England, a light southeast flow is bringing in plenty of moisture in the form of cloud cover. Some patchy drizzle is possible along the coast as well. As we head into the afternoon, the clouds will start to break up away from the coast, allowing for some sunshine, but the low clouds and fog/drizzle may hang tough along the coast. The cloudcover, combined with winds blowing off the still-chilly Atlantic, will keep temperatures well below normal along the coast, but inland, temperatures will be much warmer, especially where sunshine develops. The low clouds and fog return Monday night, but things start to change in a big way on Tuesday.

By Tuesday, high pressure will settle southward, with more of a south to southwest flow developing across the Northeast, this will allow warmer air to start to move in. Temperatures should jump into the 70s and lower 80s, but coastal locations, especially ones facing south, will stall cooler. Wednesday should feature even warmer weather. By Thursday, you’ll start to notice an increase in humidity, with a few pop-up showers possible in the afternoon.

As we head into Friday, a cold front will be approaching the region. This will bring in more cloudcover, with showers and thunderstorms expected, especially during the afternoon and evening. How much sunshine we get and when the front actually moves through will determine how warm we’ll get and how strong the storms will be. We’ll have more clarity on that situation on Thursday in our Weekend Outlook. Behind the front, high pressure builds in for the weekend with drier conditions.

Memorial Day: Low clouds and fog along with some patchy drizzle during the morning, then skies become partly sunny away from the coast in the afternoon. Some sunny breaks may develop along the coast late in the day. High 64-71, except 56-63 right along the coast.

Monday night: Low clouds and fog return. Low 50-57.

Tuesday: Becoming partly to mostly sunny. High 79-86, cooler along the coast.

Tuesday night: Clear to partly cloudy during the evening, low clouds and fog may move back in, especially along the coast. Low 56-63.

Wednesday: Partly to mostly sunny. High 83-90, cooler along the coast.

Thursday: Sunshine filtered through some high clouds, breezy, more humid, chance for a pop-up shower or thunderstorm in the afternoon. High 82-89, much cooler along the coast.

Friday: Partly to mostly cloudy, breezy, and humid with showers and thunderstorms likely during the late afternoon and evening. High 76-83.

Saturday: Becoming partly to mostly sunny. High 72-79.

Sunday: A mix of sun and clouds. High 68-75.

We are finally ready to type the phrase you’ve all been waiting months to read – “Winter is over.”. We are done with snow until at least October, probably even later than that. Temperatures should finally start feeling like Spring as well. That doesn’t mean this week will be all sunshine and warm days.

We start the week off with low pressure heading out of the Great Lakes and towards New England today. It will send a warm front across the region this morning, with some showers likely. Once they move out, we’ll see some sunshine develop allowing temperatures to get fairly mild. However, a cold front will be approaching from the west and it will produce some showers and thunderstorms by late afternoon. A few of these storms may get quite strong, especially across the interior, with gusty winds and heavy downpours possible. With very cold air still in place aloft, we could also see some hail with any stronger storms that develop.

Everything moves offshore during the evening and then high pressure builds in with clearing Monday night. This will bring some chilly air back in for Tuesday and Wednesday. An upper-level low moves through on Tuesday, producing some afternoon clouds and possible a few sprinkles. Skies will clear out Tuesday night as the high really settles in, and we could be looking at record low temperatures Wednesday morning with frost likely for much of the region. We’ll remain on the chilly side (relative to May) on Wednesday.

The high slides offshore on Thursday, with temperatures starting to warm up once again. We may start to see some clouds stream in late in the day ahead of the next system moving into the Great Lakes. The system will send a warm front across the region Thursday night, with another round of showers expected. As the system passes to the north, we’ll see much warmer air move in on Friday, with gusty winds winds and some sunshine allowing temperatures to rise into the 70s. However, another cold front moves through late in the day, with more showers or thunderstorms possible.

This brings us to next weekend, where there is plenty of uncertainty in the forecast. High pressure builds in on Saturday with dry weather, and temperatures may remain warm. However, as that high slides off into Atlantic Canada, it will send a backdoor cold front down the coast Saturday night and into Sunday. Sunday could still end up a decent day well inland (say from the Connecticut Valley westward), but the closer you are to the coast, the more likely you’ll experience east to northeast winds, possibly some drizzle and/or fog, and temperatures in the 50s (or even 40s) during the afternoon. Beyond that, there are some signals that temperatures could be on the warm side for at least a few days next week.

Monday: Morning clouds and showers, then becoming partly sunny and breezy. High 57-64.

Monday night: Clearing. Low 35-42.

Tuesday: Morning sunshine, afternoon clouds, possibly a sprinkle, breezy. High 49-56.

Tuesday night: Clear and chilly. Low 31-38.

Wednesday: Sunshine and a few afternoon clouds, still breezy. High 52-59.

Thursday: Plenty of sunshine, but some high clouds may start to stream in during the afternoon. High 59-66.

Friday: Morning showers, then becoming partly sunny, breezy, and warm. High 70-77, cooler right along the South Coast, and possibly along the NH Seacoast.

Saturday: Partly to mostly sunny. High 64-71, cooler along the coast.

Sunday: Partly sunny, low clouds, drizzle, and fog possible along the coast. High 50-57 along the coast, 58-65 inland.