Weekend Outlook: August 12-15, 2022

We got rid of the heat a couple of days ago, the humidity will follow soon.

A cold front will approach the region tonight, with just a couple of showers accompanying the front when it moves through early Friday. After that, high pressure builds in for the weekend with temperatures at or below normal, and significantly lower humidity levels. An upper-level disturbance will move through on Saturday which may trigger a stray shower or two, but most of us will remain dry. Sunday looks like the best day of the week bunch with warm and dry conditions and a good amount of sunshine.

High temperatures will be mainly in the 70s on Saturday, which is roughly below normal for mid-August. Image provided by WeatherBell.

Monday is the transition day. Many of the models are showing the potential for some significant rainfall during the early to middle part of next week with an offshore low pressure system. Given recent trends and the ongoing drought, we are obviously skeptical that this will happen, but the models are in decent agreement for now. Assuming this trend continues, we’ll see clouds move in on Monday, with some showers possible by late in the day. We’ll obviously have more details and more confidence in what will happen when we publish our Weekly Outlook early Monday morning.

Some of the models show the potential for significant rainfall early next week. We’re highly skeptical that it will happen. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.

Thursday night: Partly to mostly cloudy, chance for a few showers, some patchy fog is possible, especially near the coast. Low 60-67.

Friday: A few lingering showers early, otherwise clouds and some sunshine, not as humid. High 75-82.

Friday night: Partly cloudy. Low 57-64.

Saturday: A mix of sun and clouds, slight chance for a shower. High 73-80.

Saturday night: Clear to partly cloudy. Low 56-63.

Sunday: Sunshine and some afternoon clouds. High 76-83.

Sunday night: Partly cloudy. Low 58-65.

Monday: Becoming mostly cloudy, showers may develop by late in the day. High 76-83.

Weekend Outlook: August 5-8, 2022

Heat and humidity are here, and there’s not going away for a while.

A Bermuda high pressure area will remain anchored off the East Coast for the next several days. It will continue to pump hot and humid air into the region. There will be some relief at times, but overall, we’ll stay hot and humid through at least Monday. A cold front will try to approach on Friday, and it will likely produce some showers and thunderstorms during the afternoon and evening. This will not only provide relief, but also help with our worsening drought. Unfortunately, we need a lot more rain, and this won’t do the trick. That front will essentially dissipate before moving through, so the heat will continue. A few showers and thunderstorms may pop up each afternoon this weekend, but they’ll be widely scattered, so most of us may not see one. Another front approaches on Monday, and this one may have a little more “oomph” to it. It may produce more showers and thunderstorms late in the day, but it likely doesn’t move through until Tuesday.

Friday’s thunderstorms could drop heavy downpours in spots, but coverage could be spotty. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.

Thursday night: Clear to partly cloudy. Low 69-76.

Friday: Early sun, then increasing clouds, showers and thunderstorms develop in the afternoon. High 89-96, cooler right at the coast. Offshore: Southwest winds 10-15 knots, seas 2-3 feet, visibility 1-3 miles in showers and thunderstorms.

Friday night: Partly to mostly cloudy, showers taper off in the evening. Low 67-74.

Saturday: Partly sunny, chance for an afternoon shower or thunderstorm. High 85-92. Offshore: Southwest winds 10-15 knots, gusts to 20 knots, seas 2-4 feet, visibility 1-3 miles in showers and thunderstorms.

Saturday night: Clear to partly cloudy. Low 69-76.

Sunday: Sunshine and some afternoon clouds, slight chance for a shower or thunderstorm. High 89-96, cooler right at the coast. Offshore: Southwest winds 10-20 knots, seas 2-4 feet.

Sunday night: Partly to mostly cloudy. Low 69-76.

Monday: Intervals of clouds and sun, showers and thunderstorms develop in the afternoon. High 86-93. Offshore: Southwest winds 10-15 knots, seas 2-4 feet, visibility 1-3 miles in showers and thunderstorms.

Weekend Outlook: July 29 – August 1, 2022

We really need some rain, and some of us will get a little, but not nearly enough, and for the most part, it shouldn’t impact your weekend plans.

Drought conditions are worsening across the region, and little improvement is expected for a while. Image provided by the National Drought Mitigation Center.

A few showers and thunderstorms are likely through this evening as a weak disturbance moves through, then skies may start to clear out a bit. Friday likely starts off with some sunshine, but a stronger front will be approaching. Another round of showers and thunderstorms is likely late Friday and into Friday night. Some models are showing the potential for the front to linger near the South Coast and keep the showers going through the night, but given the ongoing drought and recent trends, we’re not expecting a lot of rain, and it will likely be done before daybreak.

Some beneficial rain may fall in southern New Hampshire, but the rest of the region needs a lot more. Image provided by Weathermodels.com

High pressure builds in for the weekend and into Monday. This results in plenty of sunshine, warm temperatures, and fairly low dewpoints. In other words, nearly perfect weather for the end of July and start of August. There are some indications that heat and humidity will return next week, but we’ll worry about that in our Weekly Outlook early Monday.

Dewpoints will be in the 50s across much of the region Saturday afternoon. Image provided by WeatherBell.

Thursday night: Some showers or thunderstorms around in the evening, then becoming clear to partly cloudy. Low 64-71.

Friday: Morning sun, then clouds return with some showers and thunderstorms possible late in the day. High 84-91. Offshore: Southwest winds 10-15 knots, seas 2-3 feet, visibility 1-3 miles in late-day showers.

Friday night: Showers and thunderstorms during the evening, skies start to clear out late at night. Low 61-68.

Saturday: Plenty of sunshine. High 81-88. Offshore: West winds 5-10 knots, seas 2-4 feet.

Saturday night: Clear skies. Low 59-66.

Sunday: Sunshine and some afternoon clouds. High 82-89. Offshore: Southwest winds 10-15 knots, gusts to 20 knots, seas 2-3 feet.

Sunday night: Partly cloudy. Low 62-69.

Monday: Partly to mostly sunny. High 86-93. Offshore: Southwest winds 5-15 knots, seas 2-3 feet.

Weekend Outlook: July 22-25, 2022

Hot Hot Hot. Buster Poindexter’s song is also for the forecast for the next few days.

Showers and thunderstorms will end this evening as a frontal system pushes offshore, then skies clear out overnight. Drier air settles in for Friday and Saturday, with dewpoints in the 50s Friday and 60s Saturday, but it will remain hot, with temperatures well into the 90s in many locations. Sunday is shaping up to be a rather hot and humid day as another frontal system approaches the region. Temperatures should be well into the 90s again with high to oppressive humidity. Some models are showing the potential for triple-digit temperatures north and west of Boston, especially from the Merrimack Valley into southern New Hampshire. We’re not sure it gets quite that hot, but upper 90s are a distinct possibility. Some showers and thunderstorms are likely late Sunday night, and again on Monday as another frontal system crosses the region. Humidity levels will start dropping again later on Monday, but it will remain warm, with highs well into the 80s, and some places could top 90 once again.

Sunday is looking like a very hot day across much of the region. Image provided by WeatherBell.

If you’re curious about the record highs for Sunday and whether some could be broken, here are the current records for some selected cities across the region:

  • Blue Hill – 96 (1987)
  • Boston – 98 (1933)
  • Brockton – 97 (1987)
  • Concord, NH – 100 (1870)
  • Hyannis – 93 (1952)
  • Keene, NH – 95 (1910)
  • Lowell – 98 (1963 and 1987)
  • Manchester, NH – 95 (2001)
  • Nashua, NH – 100 (1952)
  • Newburyport – 96 (2002)
  • Portsmouth, NH – 95 (1987)
  • Providence, RI – 94 (1987)
  • Reading – 99 (2016)
  • Woonsocket, RI – 95 (2016)
  • Worcester – 94 (1910)

Thursday night: Showers and thunderstorms ending then skies clear out. Low 67-74.

Friday: Plenty of sunshine, not as humid. High 89-96, cooler right at the coast. Offshore: Small Craft Advisory for the South Coast. West winds 5-10 knots, becoming southwest 10-15 knots in the afternoon, seas 3-5 feet, a little higher off the South Coast, visibility under 1 mile in morning fog, improving in the afternoon.

Friday night: Clear skies. Low 66-73.

Saturday: Sunshine and a few clouds. High 89-96, cooler right at the coast. Offshore: Southwest 5-10 knots in the afternoon, seas 2-4 feet, visibility under 1 mile in morning fog, improving in the afternoon.

Saturday night: Clear to partly cloudy. Low 68-75.

Sunday: A mix of sun and clouds, humid. High 93-100. Offshore: Southwest winds 10-15 knots, gusting to 25 knots, seas 2-4 feet, visibility 10 miles or better.

Sunday night: Partly to mostly cloudy with some showers and thunderstorms possible. Low 70-77.

Monday: Intervals of clouds and sun with additional showers and thunderstorms, especially during the afternoon. High 84-91. Offshore: Small Craft Advisory likely. Southwest winds 10-20 knots, gusting to 25 knots, season 3-6 feet, visibility 1-3 miles in showers and thunderstorms.

Weekend Outlook: July 15-18, 2022

Despite a little rain early this morning, and some thunderstorms this afternoon, the drought continues to worsen around here, and we won’t get much relief over the next few days.

Parts of Northeastern Massachusetts and adjacent New Hampshire are now in a severe drought. Image provided by the National Drought Mitigation Center

We’ll have some showers and thunderstorms around this evening before a cold front pushes offshore. This allows drier air to settle in with high pressure for Friday and Saturday. Temperatures will remain on the warm side, but it won’t be humid. The humidity returns on Sunday as the high moves offshore and another frontal system approaches from the west. That front may trigger a few showers and thunderstorms late Sunday, but they likely hold off until Sunday night. Monday looks unsettled at this point as the front takes it’s time moving through, with more showers and thunderstorms likely. Some of the models are showing the potential for heavy rain at times on Monday, but given the way the models have performed in terms of rainfall, and the fact that we’re in a drought, we’re a bit skeptical on the idea of heavy rain for Monday. We’ll revisit that in our Weekly Outlook late Sunday night/early Monday morning.

Some models show the potential for heavy rain on Monday. We’re a bit skeptical. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.

Thursday night: Any lingering showers or thunderstorms end this evening, then skies clear out. Low 58-65.

Friday: Sunshine and a few clouds. High 79-86, coolest along the coast thanks to an afternoon seabreeze. Offshore: Northwest winds 5-10 knots becoming onshore in the afternoon, seas 2-4 feet, visibility under 1 mile in morning fog.

Friday night: Clear to partly cloudy. Low 59-66.

Saturday: A mix of sun and clouds. High 80-87. coolest along the coast. Offshore: South winds 5-10 knots, seas 2-3 feet, visibility 1-3 miles in some morning fog.

Saturday night: Partly cloudy. Low 63-70.

Sunday: Partly sunny, humid, chance for a late-day shower or thunderstorm. High 81-88. Offshore: Southwest winds 10-15 knots, gusts to 20 knots, seas 2-3 feet.

Sunday night: Partly to mostly cloudy with a few showers and thunderstorms around. Low 64-71.

Monday: Intervals of clouds and sunshine, with scattered showers and thunderstorms. High 81-88. Offshore: Southwest winds 10-15 knots, gusts to 25 knots, seas 2-4 feet, visibility 1-3 miles in showers.

Weekend Outlook: July 8-11, 2022

The weather for the upcoming weekend will be nearly perfect.

Sunshine will be dimmed by a few clouds today as high pressure slides offshore. Clouds will increase tonight as a warm front tries to approach the region. Humidity levels will increase tomorrow ahead of a cold front, but aside from a few hit-or-miss showers, the front will move through late in the day with little fanfare. After that, high pressure builds in for the weekend with sunshine, temperatures that are near or a little below normal for early July, and low humidity levels. Monday looks to be similar, but as the high moves offshore, temperatures and humidity levels will start to rise a little.

Dewpoints in the upper 40s and lower 50s in July? Enjoy the refreshing air this weekend! Image provided by WeatherBell.

Thursday night: Partly to mostly cloudy. Low 58-65.

Friday: Intervals of clouds and sunshine with a chance for a few showers. High 80-87. Offshore: South to southeast winds 5-10 knots, seas 2-3 feet.

Friday night: Becoming partly cloudy. Low 60-67.

Saturday: Sunshine and a few clouds. High 76-83, a little cooler along the coast. Offshore: Northeast to east winds 5-10 knots, seas 2-3 feet.

Saturday night: Clear skies. Low 53-60.

Sunday: Plenty of sunshine. High 75-82, a little cooler along the coast. Offshore: Southwest winds 10-15 knots, gusts to 25 knots, seas 2-4 feet.

Sunday night: Clear skies. Low 54-61.

Monday: Sunshine and some afternoon clouds. High 81-88. Offshore: South to southwest winds 10-15 knots, gusts to 20 knots, seas 2-4 feet.

Weekend Outlook: June 24-27, 2022

We’re entering the first weekend of astronomical summer and the weather is actually going to feel like….summer.

High pressure builds in tonight and remains in control through the weekend, with generally dry weather into Sunday. We could see a couple of stray showers Friday afternoon as a weak trough of low pressure at the upper levels of the atmosphere moves through, but they’ll be few and far between. Otherwise, we’re good through Sunday. Temperatures will gradually warm up, some locations likely reaching or exceeding 90 both Saturday and Sunday. While it will be quite warm, it shouldn’t be that humid, with dewpoints generally in the lower 60s. Clouds will start to move in later on Sunday as a cold front starts to approach from the northwest. That front will move though on Monday with some showers and thunderstorms. We really need the rain to help alleviate the developing drought, but we’re not sure how widespread Monday’s activity will be. A few days ago, the models were all showing the possibility for a decent slug of rainfall, but as is usually the case when we’re in a drought, as we get closer the models continue to back off. We’ll have more details on that in our Weekly Outlook early Monday morning.

Drought conditions continue to expand across southern New England. Image provided by the National Drought Mitigation Center.

Thursday night: Partly to mostly cloudy with areas of fog, some of it dense in spots. Low 53-60.

Friday: Becoming partly to mostly sunny. High 75-82, coolest along the coast. Offshore: Northeast to east winds 5-10 knots, seas 3-5 feet, visibility under 1 mile in morning fog, improving by afternoon.

Friday night: Clear skies. Low 56-63.

Saturday: Sunshine and a few clouds. High 84-91, a little cooler along the coast. Offshore: Variable winds becoming southwest 5-10 knots during the afternoon, seas 3-6 feet, visibility 10 miles or better.

Saturday night: Partly cloudy. Low 61-68.

Sunday: A mix of sun and clouds. High 86-93, a little cooler along the coast. Offshore: South to southwest winds 10-15 knots gusting to 20 knots, seas 2-4 feet, visibility 10 miles or better.

Sunday night: Partly cloudy during the evening, increasing clouds after midnight. Low 63-70.

Monday: Mostly cloudy with some showers and thunderstorms likely. High 73-80. Offshore: South to southwest winds 10-15 knots gusting to 20 knots, seas 3-5 feet, visibility 1-3 miles in showers and thunderstorms.

Weekend Outlook: June 10-13, 2022

Some additional much-needed rain is on the way, but it shouldn’t disrupt your weekend plans too much.

Rainfall has been below normal across the Northeast for most of the year, but the deficit has worsened recently. Image provided by ACIS.

High pressure builds into the region for tonight and Friday, with drier and seasonably mild temperatures expected. Things get a little more complicated over the weekend. An upper-level low pressure system will move across the the Northeast this weekend. It may help produce a few showers or even a thunderstorm during the afternoon on Saturday, but they’ll be hit and miss, so if you’ll be outside, just keep an eye to the sky. A disturbance rotating around that upper-level low will move in later Sunday. This will provide some additional pop-up showers or thunderstorms, but again, they don’t look to be that widespread. Another low pressure system will move in on Monday, with plenty of clouds and a better chance for widespread showers and thunderstorms.

Some models show the potential for a wet Sunday afternoon. We’re leaning toward a drier forecast with only a few showers and thunderstorms. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.

Thursday night: Clear skies. Low 51-58.

Friday: Sunshine and a few clouds. High 74-81.

Friday night: Increasing clouds. Low 53-60.

Saturday: More clouds than sun, chance for a shower or thunderstorm. High 73-80.

Saturday night: Partly to mostly cloudy. Low 53-60.

Sunday: More clouds than sun, a few showers or thunderstorms are possible, especially late in the day. High 72-79.

Sunday night: Mostly cloudy, showers possible, especially late at night. Low 55-62.

Monday: Partly sunny, chance for a few showers and thunderstorms, especially in the morning. High 72-79.

A couple of programming notes: 1. There will not be a Weekend Outlook published next Thursday. 2. When the Weekend Outlook resumes the following Thursday, we will be including the marine forecast for the remainder of the summer.

Weekend Outlook: June 3-6, 2022

The first weekend of meteorological summer has arrived, and although it won’t feel like summer on Friday, the rest of the weekend should. Meanwhile, the first tropical system of the season is expected to impact Florida.

Moderate drought conditions are developing across parts of southeastern New England. Image provided by the National Drought Mitigation Center.

An area of showers will move across the region tonight, ending towards midday Friday. This is good news, because we really need the rain, as drought conditions are developing across the region. Clouds will hang tough for most of the afternoon, keeping temperatures on the cool side for one more day, but some breaks if sunshine may develop in the afternoon. Skies clear out Friday night, but a cold front will move across the region on Saturday. It will generate some additional clouds, but only a sprinkle or two is expected. After that, high pressure builds in for Sunday and Monday with dry and seasonably warm conditions.

Potential Tropical Cyclone One will impact parts of Cuba, Florida, and the Bahamas on Friday and Saturday. Image provided by the National Hurricane Center.

Meanwhile, it appears as though the first tropical system of the season is developing in the southeastern Gulf of Mexico. Potential Tropical Cyclone One was centered about 80 miles north-northwest of Cozumel, Mexico this evening, moving toward the north at 5 mph. The system still had a broad circulation, and conditions aren’t that favorable for development, but many of the models do insist that it will develop into a tropical depression and eventually Tropical Storm Alex over the next 12-24 hours. As a result, tropical storm watches have been issued for parts of western Cuba, central and southern Florida, and the northwestern Bahamas. The system should head northeastward, crossing Florida on Saturday. Gusty winds and a minor storm surge will be threats with this system, but the main threat, whether it develops or not, is heavy rainfall. Rainfall totals of 5-10 inches and heavier are likely across western Cuba, southern Florida and the northwestern Bahamas over the next few days, leading to flooding in many areas. Across central Florida, rainfall totals of 2-6 inches will likely produce flooding as well. We’ll likely post an updated blog on just this system on Friday if it does develop.

Heavy rain will produce flooding across southern Florida and the Bahamas this weekend. Image provided by Weathermodels.com

Thursday night: Cloudy with showers likely. Low 50-57.

Friday: Showers end in the morning, some sunny breaks develop during the afternoon. High 64-71, a little cooler near the coast.

Friday night: Gradual clearing. Low 51-58.

Saturday: Sunshine and a few clouds, very slight chance for a sprinkle. High 72-79.

Saturday night: Clear skies. Low 48-55.

Sunday: Mostly sunny. High 70-77.

Sunday night: Mostly clear. Low 49-56.

Monday: Sunshine and some afternoon clouds. High 71-78.

Weekend Outlook: May 27-30, 2022

We’ve reached the unofficial start of summer – Memorial Day Weekend, and there is some summer-like weather on the way.

Low pressure will head towards the Great Lakes, sending a warm front towards our area. Some clouds will stream in ahead of the warm front tonight and Friday, but aside from a stray shower or some drizzle near the South Coast late tonight, most of the shower or thunderstorm activity should hold off until Friday night when the warm front finally moves through. Showers should come to an end Saturday morning, with some sunshine developing in the afternoon. However, as that low pressure system passes by to the north, it will drag a cold front across the region late in the day on Saturday, possibly producing another shower or thunderstorm. Depending on the timing of the front and how much sunshine we see in the afternoon, a few strong storms are possible. High pressure builds in behind the front Saturday night, allowing skies to clear out, setting up a fantastic Sunday with sunshine and seasonably warm temperatures. As for Memorial Day itself, current indications are for sunshine mixed with some clouds, and the potential for even warmer weather. It wouldn’t be a surprise if some inland locations made a run at 90 in the afternoon.

Memorial Day is looking quite warm at this point. Image provided by WeatherBell.

Thursday night: Partly to mostly cloudy, patchy fog and possibly some drizzle near the South Coast. Low 54-61.

Friday: Clouds and some sunny breaks, breezy. High 76-83, cooler near the South Coast.

Friday night: Cloudy with showers and possibly thunderstorms likely. Low 59-66.

Saturday: Showers end early, then becoming partly sunny and breezy with a chance for another shower or thunderstorm late in the day. High 73-80, a little cooler along the South Coast.

Saturday night: Becoming mostly clear. Low 52-59.

Sunday: Sunshine and a few clouds. High 73-80.

Sunday night: Clear to partly cloudy. Low 53-60.

Monday: A mix of sun and clouds. High 81-88, cooler along the South Coast.