Weekend Outlook: October 23-27, 2020

Temperatures will be riding a rollercoaster around here through the weekend, but as has been the case more often than not recently, little rainfall is expected.

Last week’s rain helped, but much of the region is still experiencing severe to extreme drought. Image provided by the National Drought Mitigation Center.

We’re starting off with a sunny and warm afternoon, but high pressure building in tonight will result in some cooler weather for Friday, as winds shift into the east. There may be a little patchy fog again tonight, but otherwise, we’ll have generally clear to partly cloudy skies into Friday.

That high will slide off to our east on Saturday, allowing us to warm back up, but clouds will also be streaming in ahead of a cold front. That cold front will move through during the afternoon, but it will be starved for moisture, so other than a spot shower or two, it should remain dry. However, you will notice the front in the temperature department. Temperatures could approach 70 during the afternoon, but will start to drop pretty quickly behind the front. By Sunday morning, many of us will see temperatures in the 30s to lower 40s. With high pressure building back in on Sunday we’ll have some sunshine, but north to northeast winds will keep temperatures in the upper 40s and 50s all afternoon.

After several mild nights, Sunday morning will be much cooler. Image provided by Weathermodels.com

We start heading back up the rollercoaster on Monday as low pressure passes north and west of the region, bringing a warm front through. This will allow us to warm up again, but it may also bring in some showers. They shouldn’t be too heavy or widespread, but at this point, any rain helps with our current drought. As the low moves by, it will drag a cold front through towards evening, with a few more showers possible, and sending temperatures downward again as we head into next week.

Little rainfall is expected between now and Monday evening. Image provided by WeatherBell.

Thursday night: Clear to partly cloudy with some patchy fog developing. Low 48-55.

Friday: A mix of sun and clouds. High 62-69.

Friday night: Partly to mostly cloudy, more fog is possible. Low 46-53.

Saturday: More clouds than sun, breezy late in the day, slight chance for a shower. High 65-72.

Saturday night: Clearing. Low 34-41.

Sunday: Sunshine and a few clouds, much cooler. High 47-54.

Sunday night: Becoming mostly cloudy. Low 36-43.

Monday: Cloudy with a chance for some showers. High 56-63.

Weekend Outlook: October 16-19, 2020

After a good soaking a few days ago, we have more rain in our future.

Enjoy today’s weather, because things will be quite different tomorrow afternoon. Loop provided by the College of DuPage.

We’ve got a breezy and mild day in progress today, but changes are coming. Clouds will start to stream into the region tonight as a cold front approaches from the west. Showers will develop ahead of this front on Friday, making for a rather damp day. By late in the day, as the front moves into eastern New England, a wave of low pressure will ride along it from the south, bringing in some steadier and heavier rainfall at night. The models still disagree on how much rain we’ll actually get, but they all have come down significantly from the projected totals earlier this week of 2-3 inches, as expected. In fact, it wouldn’t be a surprise if parts of eastern Massachusetts receive less than 1 inch of rain from this system.

A decent slug of rainfall is on the way for the region. Image provided by WeatherBell.

The front pushes offshore Saturday morning, bringing an end to the rain. We’ll start to clear out behind the front during the afternoon, but it will be breezy and cool. High pressure then builds in for Sunday into Monday with dry and seasonably cool conditions.

It might be on the chilly side if you’re up early Sunday morning. Image provided by Weathermodels.com

Thursday night: Increasing clouds. Low 53-60.

Friday: Cloudy and breezy with showers developing by midday. High 64-71, but temperatures may drop quickly in the afternoon.

Friday night: Cloudy with periods of rain and showers, some of the rain may be heavy. Low 40-47.

Saturday: Rain ending in the morning, then becoming partly to mostly sunny and breezy. High 51-58.

Saturday night: Clear to partly cloudy. Low 33-40, a little warmer in urban areas and right along the coast.

Sunday: A mix of sun and clouds. High 55-62.

Sunday night: Partly cloudy. Low 41-48.

Monday: Partly sunny. High 60-67.

Weekend Outlook: October 9-12, 2020

We’ve reached Columbus Day Weekend, or for our friends north of the border, it’s Thanksgiving Weekend. For one day at least, it’s not going to feel like it.

Friday morning will be rather chilly across the region. Image provided by Weathermodels.com

Once again, we’ve got a fairly simple forecast for the most part. High pressure remains in control through Saturday. This provides us with cool weather into Saturday. Frost advisories are in effect away from the coastline tonight, as temperatures will drop into the 30s in many areas. If you still have anything in your garden, it’s time to bring it inside. The high slides offshore Friday night, allowing milder air to move back in. In fact, Saturday will be quite warm, with temperatures reaching the 70s for most of us.

Saturday is definitely the better of the weekend days. Image provided by WeatherBell.

Sunday is when things start to change. A cold front moves through during the early morning, but there will be little precipitation accompanying it. There may be a few sprinkles or a spot shower, but the vast majority of the region should remain dry. However, much cooler weather will settle back in, with temperatures similar to today and Friday as high pressure builds back in behind the front.

This brings us to Monday, which is a bit of a question mark at this point. What’s left of Hurricane Delta will start moving this way in the form of some shower activity. The high pressure area will still be in control, keeping most of the shower activity from moving in. However, the high will be pushing off to the east, so right now, it looks like we may see some showers start to move in during the afternoon and evening. The day shouldn’t be a washout, and in fact, it may remain dry during the daylight hours. It will stay cool though with plenty of cloud cover.

Will some rain move in on Monday or not? The models don’t all agree on the outcome. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.

Thursday night: Clear and chilly. Low 33-40.

Friday: Sunny and cool. High 57-64.

Friday night: Partly cloudy. Low 44-51 during the evening, temperatures will start to rise a bit after midnight.

Saturday: A mix of sun and clouds, breezy, and warmer. High 71-78.

Saturday night: Partly to mostly cloudy, slight chance for a shower late at night. Low 50-57.

Sunday: More clouds than sun. High 59-66.

Sunday night: Plenty of clouds. Low 42-49.

Monday: A few sunny breaks early, otherwise mostly cloudy, showers may develop towards evening. High 56-63.

Weekend Outlook: October 2-5, 2020

We’re into a new month, and some things will change, but some will remain the same this weekend.

High temperatures are normally in the middle to upper 60s at the start of October around here. Image provided by Weathermodels.com

While we’re enjoying sunshine and warm temperatures this afternoon, the first changes are on their way. Clouds will stream in tonight ahead of a cold front. This front will bring some showers in on Friday, but like many of our recent systems, they’ll be fairly light, and won’t provide much, if any, help with our drought. Most of the activity will be north and west of Boston, with the possibility that it remains completely dry south and east of Interstate 95. It’ll be mild during the morning across eastern Massachusetts before the front moves through, but temperatures will likely drop during the afternoon.

Friday’s rainfall certainly won’t be a drought-buster. Image provided by WeatherBell.

High pressure builds in for the weekend with temperatures that are closer to normal, perhaps even a little below normal in spots. Sunday looks to be the better of the weekend days with plenty of sunshine. Saturday should still be a pretty good day, but a weak upper-level disturbance will help to trigger some clouds, especially during the afternoon. There may even be a few sprinkles or showers late in the day, mainly north of the Mass Pike. It’s nothing to worry about, but if you’ve got any outdoor plans during the afternoon and evening, don’t be surprised if there are a few raindrops.

Monday brings more changes to the region. A storm system will likely bring some rain into the area as it passes to our south and east. How far north and west the rain shield extends, and how heavy the rain will be are still a bit uncertain. It looks like the heaviest rain should stay offshore, but it wouldn’t be a complete surprise if we get some steadier rain into the Cape and Islands and possibly southeastern Massachusetts. It also could be a bit breezy in these locations as well, again depending on how close the storm actually gets to the region. We’ll obviously have much more clarity on this in our Weekly Outlook early Monday morning.

There is disagreement among the models as how to much rain we get on Monday. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.

Thursday night: Increasing clouds. Low 49-56.

Friday: Cloudy with some showers likely. High 59-66, a little warmer across eastern Massachusetts during the morning.

Friday night: Becoming clear to partly cloudy. Low 40-47, a little warmer in the urban areas.

Saturday: Partly sunny with a slight chance for a few late-day sprinkles or showers. High 61-68.

Saturday night: Clear skies. Low 40-47.

Sunday: Sunshine to start, some clouds start to move in late in the day. High 60-67.

Sunday night: Becoming mostly cloudy with showers possible by daybreak. Low 44-51.

Monday: Cloudy with a chance of showers, possibly some steadier rain across the Cape and Islands. High 57-64.

Weekend Outlook: September 25-28, 2020

Fall is officially here, but it certainly won’t feel like it through most of the weekend.

High pressure keeps us dry through Sunday. Unlike the last several days, we will be much warmer, thanks to west to southwest winds. In fact, by Sunday, it may even feel humid once again. It’s not going to be the Dog Days of summer, but highs in the upper 70s to lower 80s and dewpoints in the middle 60s aren’t too typical of the final weekend of September.

While it’s looking dry, it probably won’t be completely sunny through the weekend. What’s left of Tropical Storm Beta will be passing to our south Saturday. It may spread some clouds into the region, but for now, it looks like most of the rain will stay south of us, though a few of the models do try to sneak some showers in on Saturday. Since it’s been very dry lately, and we’re still in a drought, we’re going to follow the old forecaster’s adage “When in drought, leave it out.”

Virtually no rain fell over the past week, worsening drought conditions across New England. Image provided by the National Integrated Drought Information System

By Sunday night, things start to change. A large upper-level trough of low pressure will settle into the Great Lakes. At the surface, a cold front will move toward the region. Some showers are likely ahead of this front Sunday night into Monday. This isn’t a drought-busting rain by any means, but every little bit helps. A cooler, more unsettled pattern may settle in for next week, but the details aren’t that clear yet. We’ll focus more on that in our Weekly Outlook early Monday morning.

Thursday night: Partly cloudy. Low 52-59.

Friday: Sunshine and a few clouds. High 74-81.

Friday night: Clear skies. Low 53-60.

Saturday: Partly to mostly sunny. High 75-82.

Saturday night: Partly cloudy. Low 57-64.

Sunday: Partly sunny, breezy, and warm. High 76-83.

Sunday night: Mostly cloudy with showers developing. Low 60-67.

Monday: Plenty of clouds with scattered showers likely, breezy. High 72-79.

Weekend Outlook: September 18-21, 2020

Astronomical fall officially begins Tuesday morning at 9:31am. As far as the weather is concerned, fall is going to start tomorrow.

Temperatures are going to turn much cooler, but we’re still not expecting much, if any, rain for the next several days, so our drought situation will continue to get worse. A cold front will move across the region tonight, but it will be starved for moisture, so aside from a few very widely scattered showers, we’re not expecting any rain for most of us. There may be a few appreciable showers along the South Coast and across the Cape, but for the rest of us, you’ll probably be able to count the number of raindrops that fall on one hand.

Little to no rainfall is expected through Monday. Image provided by Weathermodels.com

After that, high pressure starts to build in behind the front on Friday and remains with us right through the weekend. This will give us plenty of sunshine for Saturday, Sunday, and Monday, but it will remain on the cool side. Some places may not even reach 60 during the afternoons. What about at night? If you’ve got some plants outside, or still growing in the garden, it’s time to bring them inside. There’s a good shot at the first frost for portions of the region. Welcome to Autumn.

Saturday morning looks quite cool, but Sunday morning could be a few degrees cooler. Image provided by WeatherBell.

Finally, we’ll briefly talk about the tropics, though we’re expecting to write a much more detailed post about them tomorrow. What’s left of Sally will bring heavy rain to the Carolinas today, then move offshore, sending some clouds our way tonight and early Friday, but the rain should stay to the south. A disturbance in the western Gulf of Mexico may become a Tropical Depression later today or tomorrow. What impact it has on Mexico and/or Texas remains to be seen. Tropical Depression Vicky should dissipate in the Central Atlantic today or tomorrow. Then there’s Hurricane Teddy. Teddy is going to become a pretty powerful storm in the next day or two. The current track brings it very close to Bermuda early Monday. Bermuda just got hit hard by Paulette, and here were are talking about another hurricane just a week later. Beyond that, Teddy likely heads northward, and could impact parts of Nova Scotia towards mid-week unless it hooks more quickly and heads out to sea. Now, you may have heard some of the media talking yesterday about the potential for Teddy to head our way. This is because one model (which has performed very poorly for several months now) showed a track that brought the storm closer, or even made landfall in Maine. In fact, one unnamed Boston TV meteorologist went so far as to show a map based on this model with a wind forecast for the region for next Tuesday (we can think of several words to describe this, but we’ll settle for STUPID). This is the equivalent of showing a model forecast snowfall map on Wednesday for a storm that one model shows might hit us next Tuesday. (Wait, they already do that too) The odds of Teddy impacting our area are extremely low (maybe not zero, but close enough). We long for the days when our local TV meteorologists just came on and provided a weather forecast for the next 3-5 days, and didn’t try and hype up everything.

There are still three named storms out there, though two of them are now tropical depression. Image provided by the Canadian Hurricane Centre.

Thursday night: Plenty of clouds, a few torrential sprinkles are possible, especially near the South Coast. Low 50-57.

Friday: Morning clouds, maybe even another raindrop or two across the Cape and the Islands, then skies start to clear out in the afternoon, but it will turn much cooler. High 58-65.

Friday night: Mostly clear and chilly. Low 37-44, a little warmer in the urban areas. A little patchy frost is possible in a few f the colder spots.

Saturday: Sunshine and possibly a few high clouds near the South Coast. High 57-64.

Saturday night: Clear and chilly again. Low 35-42, a little warmer in the urban areas. Some frost is possible, especially in the normally cooler locations.

Sunday: Wall-to-wall sunshine. High 56-63.

Sunday night: Clear skies, still chilly. Low 38-45, a little warmer in the urban areas.

Monday: Sunshine. Nothing but sunshine. High 58-65.

Weekend Outlook: September 11-14, 2020

At the risk of sounding like a broken record – we need rain, quite a bit of it in fact. We’ll get a little this weekend, but not much.

We’re getting some rain today and tonight as a cold front moves in from the northwest and a stream of tropical moisture moves up from the south. While some of this rain may be heavy, the bulk of the heavy rain won’t impact much of the region. The rain should end tonight from northwest to southeast as the cold front pushes through and then offshore.

The longer we go without significant rain, the worse the drought gets. Image provided by the National Drought Mitigation Center.

Behind the front high pressure builds in on Friday with much cooler and less humid conditions. This is the same airmass the produced record lows across the nation’s mid-section over the past few days, but obviously, it will be modified significantly by the time it arrives here. Still, highs will only be in the upper 60s and 70s on Friday and Saturday, with nighttime lows dropping into the 40s in some spots.

Normal low temperatures for the middle of September are in the lower to middle 50s. Image provided by Weathermodels.com

By Sunday, we’ll start to warm up again as another cold front approaches from the west. This front will produce some showers and maybe a rumble of thunder, but the day won’t be a washout, as most of the shower activity should hold off until late in the day or at night. Some of the models are hinting at the possibility of some heavy rain with this front, but we’re not buying that at the moment. Of course, many of us will be on our couches Sunday afternoon watching the start of the NFL season. For the Patriots game, kickoff conditions should feature mostly cloudy skies, temperatures in the lower to middle 70s, and southerly winds at 5-10 mph with gusts to 20 mph. Any rain should hold off until after the game.

The Cam Newton Era will begin under mostly cloudy skies on Sunday.

Any showers will comes to an end Monday morning as the front moves through, then skies will clear out once again. Gusty northwest winds will usher cooler air back in, but most of the day should remain fairly mild.

At least one model thinks parts of the region may receive no rain at all Sunday night or Monday. Image provided by WeatherBell.

Thursday night: Periods of rain and showers gradually ending. Low 58-65.

Friday: Skies gradually become partly to mostly sunny. High 67-74.

Friday night: Clear to partly cloudy. Low 47-54, a little warmer in some of the urban areas.

Saturday: Mostly sunny, though some clouds may start to move in late in the day. High 65-72.

Saturday night: Becoming partly to mostly cloudy. Low 48-55, a little warmer in some of the urban areas.

Sunday: Mostly cloudy, showers develop late in the day. High 70-77.

Sunday night: Cloudy with a chance of showers, possibly a rumble of thunder. Low 60-67.

Monday: Showers end early, then skies gradually clear out, breezy. High 72-79.

Labor Day Weekend Outlook: September 4-7, 2020

Labor Day Weekend is the “traditional” end to summer, and this one will be a lot like most of the summer has been – dry.

Yes, we’ll say it again – we really need some rain. Image provided by the National Drought Mitigation Center.

This forecast will be fairly brief, because there’s not a lot to talk about. A cold front moves through tonight, bringing an end to the showers we’ll have this afternoon and evening. High pressure then builds in for Friday and the weekend. Friday will remain quite warm, but noticeably less humid. We’ll cool off a bit for Saturday, but then we’ll start to warm up again for Sunday and Monday, with humidity levels starting to creep up once again.

High temperatures should be well into the 80s across the region on Friday. Image provided by WeatherBell.

Thursday night: Any lingering showers come to an end, the skies start to clear out late at night. Low 63-70.

Friday: Becoming mostly sunny. High 80-87.

Friday night: Clear to partly cloudy. Low 52-59.

Saturday: Sunshine and a few clouds. High 70-77.

Saturday night: Clear to partly cloudy. Low 52-59.

Sunday: A mix of sun and clouds. High 74-81.

Sunday night: Clear to partly cloudy. Low 55-62.

Labor Day: Partly to mostly sunny. High 76-83.

Weekend Outlook: August 28-31, 2020

We’ve reached the final days of not only August, but meteorological summer, and some of them may not feel like summer.

A warm front will get hung up to our south today, keeping most of the severe weather well south and west of us. In fact, it’ll stay far enough south that high pressure will build in for Friday. This will bring us some sunshine and milder temperatures. However, this dry weather will be short-lived.

Another system will approach on Saturday, bringing some showers and possibly some thunderstorms into the region. We may be dealing with a situation similar to today where a warm front struggles to move into the region, which could keep some areas on the cool side. This front looks to have at least a little more push than today’s as the parent low will likely move across Northern New England, but we’ll have to see keep an eye on it.

Complicating things even more will be the remnants of Laura moving off the Mid-Atlantic coastline and passing south and east of New England. Laura won’t be tropical any more, but as the system moves back out over water, it may start to strengthen a little bit as an extratropical system. If it is far enough north, some of the moisture from it could stream northward as a cold front moves across the region. This could enhance the rainfall, making for a very wet time late Saturday and Saturday evening, especially along the South Coast.

Saturday’s system could bring some much-needed rainfall to the region. Image provided by Weathermodels.com

Once the cold front moves offshore Saturday night, high pressure will build back in for Sunday and Monday. This will bring a return to sunshine and seasonably mild conditions for the final days of August.

High pressure brings in dry and seasonably mild air for Sunday and Monday. Image provided by Pivotal Weather.

Thursday night: A few showers or thunderstorms along the south coast during the evening, otherwise becoming clear to partly cloudy. Low 55-62, possibly a little cooler across southern NH and the NH Seacoast.

Friday: Partly sunny. High 77-84.

Friday night: Clouds return with showers developing after midnight. Low 60-67.

Saturday: Cloudy with periods of showers and thunderstorms. High 75-82.

Saturday night: Showers and thunderstorms end in the evening, then skies clear out towards daybreak. Low 59-66.

Sunday: Partly to mostly sunny. High 72-79.

Sunday night: Clear skies. Low 50-57.

Monday: Sunshine and a few clouds. High 70-77, coolest along the coast.

Weekend Outlook: August 21-24, 2020

We need some rain, and there’s some in the forecast, but we need a lot more.

We’ve had a little rain, but we need a lot more, as the drought is getting worse. Image provided by the National Drought Mitigation Center.

With high pressure sliding offshore, a warming trend is expected for Friday into Saturday, along with an increase in humidity levels. We’ll remain sunny on Friday, but may see a few more clouds on Saturday. A shower or thunderstorm may pop up here or there on Saturday, but they’ll be few and far between.

By Sunday, things start to change. An upper-level disturbance will head toward the region, bringing us more clouds, along with some showers and thunderstorms. A few of them may produce gusty winds and downpours, but this does not look like a widespread severe outbreak. It also doesn’t look like the widespread rain that we need, but every little bit helps. A cold front then moves through on Monday, with more showers and thunderstorms possible.

We’re not expecting a lot of rain between now and Monday evening. Image provided by WeatherBell.

Thursday night: Clear skies. Low 55-62.

Friday: Sunshine and a few afternoon clouds. High 83-90.

Friday night: Clear to partly cloudy. Low 61-68.

Saturday: A mix of sun and clouds, slight chance for an afternoon shower or thunderstorm. High 81-88.

Saturday night: Partly cloudy. Low 61-68.

Sunday: Partly sunny, showers and thunderstorms possible in the afternoon. High 83-90.

Sunday night: Partly cloudy. Low 65-72.

Monday: A mix of sun and clouds, afternoon showers and thunderstorms possible. High 83-90.

There are two tropical depressions in the Atlantic at the moment. Image provided by the National Hurricane Center.

In the tropics, Tropical Depression 14 is moving into the western Caribbean and Tropical Depression 13 is approaching the Leeward Islands. The former will be a threat to parts of Central America and the Yucatan Peninsula this weekend, and the latter to the Leeward Islands as well as Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands. We’ll have a much more detailed blog post about the tropics Friday afternoon or evening.