Weekly Outlook: May 10-16, 2021

We’ve got a fairly quiet week coming up for the first time in a while.

Low pressure pulls away from the region this morning, with rain coming to an end. We’ll see some clearing this afternoon, but an upper-level low pressure area will move through on Tuesday with more clouds and possibly a shower or two. High pressure builds in for Wednesday and Thursday with generally dry conditions and a warming trend.

Much of the region remains dry, and we’re not expecting much rainfall this week. Image provided by the National Drought Mitigation Center.

The end of the week is a little uncertain at the moment, but it doesn’t look that bad. Another upper-level low will move into the Northeast, so we’ll have more cloudcover at times, with a few showers possible each afternoon. Most of these won’t be that heavy, and they shouldn’t be that widespread, so overall, the weekend shouldn’t be that bad. Temperatures should be on the mild side, likely near to above normal for mid-May.

Some mild weather could be on the way for next weekend. Image provided by WeatherBell.

Monday: Showers end early, some afternoon sunny breaks. High 56-63.

Monday night: Partly to mostly cloudy. Low 40-47.

Tuesday: Intervals of clouds and sun, chance for a shower or two, breezy. High 57-64.

Tuesday night: Partly cloudy. Low 37-44.

Wednesday: A mix of sun and clouds. High 56-63.

Thursday: Sunshine and some afternoon clouds. High 62-69.

Friday: A mix of sun and clouds, chance for an afternoon shower. High 63-70.

Saturday: Partly sunny, showers possible during the afternoon. High 64-71.

Sunday: Intervals of clouds and sun, chance for a few showers. High 64-71.

Weekend Outlook: May 7-10, 2021

We’ve needed the rain that we received this week, and there’s more on the way, but for the most part, we’ll have some nice weather for the weekend.

High pressure remains in control into Friday, with generally dry and mild conditions, though temperatures are still a little below normal for early May. Clouds start to stream in late Friday and Friday night as a coastal low passes south and east of the region and an upper-level disturbance approaches from the west. For the most part, the coastal low will miss us, though a few showers are possible across the Cape and Islands. The upper-level disturbance will bring in some showers on Saturday, but they won’t be that heavy or that widespread.

Average high temperatures for early May are generally in the middle 60s. Image provided by Weathermodels.com

High pressure builds back in on Sunday with dry and cool conditions, but another system will quickly follow. This will bring in some rain for Sunday night and Monday. Once it again, it shouldn’t be that heavy, but since rainfall is still well below normal for the year, every little bit helps. Some clearing may take place Monday afternoon, and if we can get enough sun, temperatures could end up even warmer than we are currently expecting.

Despite this week’s rain, precipitation is running 3-6 inches below normal for the year-to-date across the region. Image provided by the Northeast Regional Climate Center.

Thursday night: Becoming partly to mostly cloudy. Low 37-44.

Friday: Partly sunny. High 56-63.

Friday night: Mostly cloudy. Low 36-43.

Saturday: Cloudy with a chance for a few showers. High 52-59.

Saturday night: Cloudy in the evening, then clearing after midnight. Low 39-46.

Sunday: Sunny in the morning, clouds return in the afternoon. High 59-66.

Sunday night: Cloudy with showers likely. Low 40-47.

Monday: Cloudy with showers during the morning, some sunny breaks may develop in the afternoon, breezy. High 56-63.

Weekly Outlook: May 3-9, 2021

This is definitely not shaping up to be a great week to be on vacation, but it is shaping up to be a decent week to put another dent in our developing drought.

Rainfall has been well below normal across the region for several months. Image provided by the Northeast Regional Climate Center.

A cold front moved through late yesterday, and it will stall out south of the region today. With the front nearby, we’ll have plenty of clouds around today, with temperatures that are much cooler than we had on Sunday. We could see a few breaks of sun, but in general, clouds will dominate. By late in the day, we’ll see some more showers moving in as a wave of low pressure rides along that frontal boundary. Those showers should come to an end Tuesday morning, but again, we’ll still have lots of clouds around, with temperatures possibly becoming quite cool behind that wave. Another wave will approach during Tuesday night and Wednesday. This wave may lift the front northward, allowing milder air to move back in to at least part of the region. That wave moves offshore on Wednesday, bringing an end to the rain and dragging the front much farther offshore. High pressure then builds in for Thursday with some sunshine and seasonably mild temperatures. Thursday will definitely be the pick of the week.

Temperatures will be near to below normal across most of the region this week. Image provided by WeatherBell.

As we head into the end of the week and the weekend, things get unsettled again. A coastal storm will likely impact the region, but the models don’t completely agree yet on what that impact will be, or exactly when it will be. Friday and/or Saturday will likely feature a period of rain, possibly heavy, some gusty winds, and cool temperatures. How much rain, how much wind, and how cool it will be are details that we don’t have a good handle on yet. In fact, at least one model shows the potential for some wet snow to mix in, especially over the hills of central New England. While this wouldn’t be unheard of this late in the season, we’re not expecting it to occur, though we’re not completely ruling it out either. As for next Sunday, the coastal storm should be out of the picture, but another system may be approaching from the west, as our active pattern is expected to continue for quite some time.

There is plenty of disagreement among the models in regard to a potential storm system late this week. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.

Monday: Plenty of clouds with showers possible late in the day. High 54-61 along the coast, 61-68 inland.

Monday night: Cloudy with showers likely. Low 44-51.

Tuesday: Showers end in the morning, remaining mostly cloudy in the afternoon. High 55-62, potentially turning much cooler during the afternoon.

Tuesday night: Cloudy with showers redeveloping. Low 43-50.

Wednesday: Showers ending by midday, some sunny breaks are possible late in the day. High 58-65, cooler along the coast

Thursday: A mix of sun and clouds. High 58-65.

Friday: Cloudy with showers possible. High 53-60.

Saturday: Partly to mostly cloudy, chance for showers. High 55-62.

Sunday: Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. High 57-64.