Weekly Outlook: August 10-16, 2020

The heat and humidity are back, and they’ll hang around for at least a few days.

We start the week with high pressure in control, pumping warm to hot and humid weather in for Monday and Tuesday. Many places away from the shoreline will top 90, and when the humidity is factored in, it will feel like its in the middle to upper 90s, especially on Tuesday. Heat advisories have been posted for this afternoon and Tuesday for much of interior Southern New England. A couple of pop-up showers and thunderstorms may develop this afternoon, but they’ll be few and far between, and even less likely on Tuesday.

Wednesday will be another hot and humid day, but a cold front will be slowly approaching from the west. It will produce some more numerous showers and thunderstorms during the afternoon. Some of these storms may produce heavy downpours and gusty winds, but for now at least, it doesn’t look like we’ll have widespread severe weather. More showers and thunderstorms are likely on Thursday before the front finally gets through the region. The front looks like it will stall out just to the south, which will keep clouds and possibly more showers around for Friday, especially south of the Mass Pike. High pressure finally builds in for next weekend with drier and cooler conditions.

Showers and storms will bring in some much-needed rain late this week, but a lot more is needed to help alleviate the drought. Image provided by Weathermodels.com

Monday: Some patchy fog this morning, otherwise a mix of sun and clouds, just a few widely scattered showers and thunderstorms this afternoon, humid. High 85-92, coolest along the coast.

Monday night: Clear to partly cloudy, some patchy fog may redevelop. Low 66-73.

Tuesday: Mostly sunny, hot, and humid, a very slight chance for a shower or thunderstorm. High 89-96.

Tuesday night: Clear to partly cloudy and muggy. Low 67-74.

Wednesday: Partly sunny, humid, showers and thunderstorms likely during the afternoon and evening. High 88-95.

Thursday: More clouds than sun with scattered showers and thunderstorms. High 82-89.

Friday: More showers south of the Mass Pike, mainly during the morning, otherwise, skies gradually clear out from north to south. High 80-87, cooler along the coast.

Saturday: Partly to mostly sunny. High 76-83, coolest along the coast.

Sunday: A mix of sun and clouds. High 74-81.

Tropical Storm Isaias Nears the Carolinas

Tropical Storm Isaias is near the Carolina coastline this afternoon, but struggling to maintain its intensity.

The center of Isaias now shows up on radar off the South Carolina coast. Loop provided by Weathertap

As of 2pm Monday, Tropical Storm Isaias was centered about 115 miles south of Charleston, South Carolina, moving toward the north at 13 mph, though radar and data from Air Force reconnaissance aircraft appear to show a motion more toward the north-northeast. The National Hurricane Center says maximum sustained winds are near 70 mph, but again, data from reconnaissance aircraft show the system to be weaker than that.

Forecast track for Tropical Storm Isaias. Image provided by the National Hurricane Center.

A Hurricane Warning is in effect from South Santee River, South Carolina to Surf City, North Carolina. A Storm Surge Warning is in effect from Edisto Beach, South Carolina to Cape Fear, North Carolina, and also from Oregon Inlet, North Carolina to the Virginia/North Carolina border, including Pamlico and Albemarle Sounds. Between Cape Fear and Oregon Inlet, a Storm Surge Watch is in effect. A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect south of South Santee River to Altamaha Sound, Georgia, and north of Surf City, all the way to the Mouth of the Merrimack River in Massachusetts, , including Chespeake Bay, the Tidal Potomac, River, Delaware Bay, and Long Island Sound. North of the Merrimack River, a Tropical Storm Watch is in effect to Eastport, Maine.

Isaias should continue heading north-northeastward, making landfall near the South Carolina/North Carolina border this evening. Although the official forecast calls for the storm to strengthen back into a hurricane before landfall, this appears unlikely at this point. There really isn’t much difference between a strong tropical storm and a weak hurricane anyway, so it’s a moot point. Once inland, it should continue on a north-northeast track, moving up the coastline, steered by an upper-level trough moving in from the west. Normally, tropical storms weaken rapidly as they move over land and away from warm water, which is their main source of energy. However, Isaias will be making the transition into an extratropical storm, so it may not weaken that rapidly.

There are a few differences between tropical and extratropical storms.Image provided by the University of Rhode Island Graduate School of Oceanography

Storm surge will be a threat along the Carolina coast, near and east of where the center makes landfall. A surge of up to 5 feet above normal tide levels could result in some coastal flooding. Strong winds will also be a threat, mainly east of the storm’s center. Wind gusts of 40-50 mph have been reported just off the South Carolina coastline this afternoon. As it moves northward, some strong winds will be likely across eastern North Carolina as the storm moves inland, and possibly across eastern New England late Tuesday as the system moves across the Northeast.

The strongest winds will be east of the storm’s track and mainly offshore. Image provided by WeatherBell.

By far, the biggest threat with Isaias is heavy rainfall and the resulting flooding. The heaviest rain is likely along and west of the storm’s track. Rainfall totals of 3-6 inches and locally heavier are likely from the Carolinas into eastern Canada, which will produce flooding in many areas. The storm’s relatively quick motion will preclude even heavier totals. East of the storm’s track, rainfall will be much lighter, with many places likely seeing less than 1 inch, which won’t help with the drought developing across eastern New England.

Isaias will produce heavy rainfall along and west of its track from the Carolinas into eastern Canada. Image provided by Weathermodels.com

Elsewhere, we’re keeping an eye on a tropical wave located a few hundred miles south of Bermuda. Conditions could become favorable for it to develop into a tropical depression in a few days. Model forecasts show it heading northwestward for the next few days, staying over open water. By mid-week, most forecasts show it stalling out about midway between Bermuda and the Bahamas. It does not look like a threat to any land areas at this time.

Weekly Outlook: August 3-9, 2020

The forecast for the upcoming week is both complex and simple at the same time.

Barring a surprise, Isaias will almost certainly track to our west. Image provide by Tropical Tidbits.

We start the week off with a hot and humid day today, thanks to high pressure located over the Atlantic (more on that in a bit). Temperatures will get into the upper 80s and 90s across the region this afternoon. When you combine that with dewpoints generally in the 60s, it’ll feel like it’s in the mid 90s during the afternoon. Clouds will quickly start to stream in at night, making for a rather warm and muggy evening.

The heaviest rain from Isaias will stay well to our west. Image provided by Weathermodels.com

As we head into Tuesday, we turn our eyes to the southwest and Tropical Storm Isaias. The combination of a trough of low pressure approaching from the west and that high pressure over the Atlantic will steer Isaias into the Carolinas late tonight or early Tuesday. After that, it will start to quickly move north-northeastward, likely passing west of the region late Tuesday night or early Wednesday. Most of the heavy rain will be located west of the track, but we’ll still have some showers and tropical downpours around here late Tuesday and Tuesday night. The storm should also be weakening and passing far enough to our west to spare us from any significant wind issues. It’ll be breezy, with some gusts to 40 mph or so possible, especially along the South Coast, but overall, it really shouldn’t be too big of a deal. Once again, the hype will be likely worse than the reality.

The potential exists for wind gusts to 50 mph, but they’ll likely be lower. Image provided by WeatherBell.

By Wednesday morning, Isaias is out of here and skies will clear out, with drier air settling in as high pressure builds into the region. That high should remain in place for the rest of the week and into the weekend, with seasonably warm temperatures and comfortable humidity levels.

Dry weather for the latter half of the week will not help with the developing drought. Image provided by the National Drought Mitigation Center.

Monday: Partly to mostly sunny, breezy, and hot. High 86-93.

Monday night: Becoming mostly cloudy with a few showers possible. Low 67-74.

Tuesday: Cloudy and becoming windy with showers likely, some of them may be briefly heavy. High 79-86.

Tuesday night: Mostly cloudy and windy with showers ending, skies may start to clear late at night. Low 67-74.

Wednesday: Becoming partly to mostly sunny. High 81-88.

Thursday: A mix of sun and clouds. High 79-86.

Friday: Partly sunny. High 78-85.

Saturday: Sunshine and a few clouds. High 79-86.

Sunday: Partly to mostly sunny. High 82-89.

Weekly Outlook: July 27-August 2, 2020

Heat and humidity continue across the region for a couple more days before relief arrives on Wednesday.

Heat Advisories are in effect for much of the region for today and Tuesday. Image provided by Pivotal Weather.

A ridge of high pressure remains in control, so stifling heat and humidity will remain in place until Tuesday. Today looks to be the hottest day, with temperatures well into the 90s. A few places could reach 100, but triple-digit heat shouldn’t be widespread. It will be very humid as well, sending the heat index well above 100 across the region, but dewpoints may actually drop a bit during the afternoon. Tonight will be downright uncomfortable without air conditioning, as low temperatures will only drop into the middle to upper 70s in many areas, and some urban areas, especially Boston, may not drop below 80.

Temperatures may struggle to drop below 80 in some spots Monday night. Image provided by WeatherBell.

Tuesday will start off very warm and humid, so it won’t take much to send temperatures above 90 once again, but clouds will also start to increase in the afternoon as a cold front approaches the region. This front may produce a few showers and thunderstorms late in the day and at night. Some of these storms may produce some heavy downpours and gusty winds, but we’re not expecting widespread severe weather.

There is a marginal risk for severe weather on Tuesday across the region. Image provided by the Storm Prediction Center.

The front slides offshore early Wednesday, then high pressure builds in for the rest of the week and into the weekend. It be a bit cooler, but still near to a little above normal for the end of July, but the more noticeable effect will be that it is drier, with dewpoints only in the 50s to lower 60s.

Monday: Sunshine and some high clouds around, hot and humid. High 92-99.

Monday night: Clear to partly cloudy. Low 72-79.

Tuesday: Sunny early, then clouds move in with some showers and thunderstorms possible late in the day. High 90-97.

Tuesday night: Showers ending during the evening, though possibly lingering for much of the night near the South Coast. Low 67-74.

Wednesday: Lingering clouds along the South Coast early, otherwise becoming partly to mostly sunny and not as humid. High 85-92.

Thursday: Sunshine and some afternoon clouds. High 83-90.

Friday: A mix of sun and clouds. High 81-88.

Saturday: Partly to mostly sunny. High 81-88.

Sunday: Partly sunny. High 82-89.

Model forecasts for the track of a tropical disturbance in the Central Atlantic. Image provided by WeatherBell,

Finally, we’ll mention the tropical disturbance in the Central Atlantic, since the hype train is already getting set to leave the station. Yes, there are a few models that show a potential threat to the East Coast in about 7-10 days. These should be treated the same as model forecasts in January that show a raging blizzard 7-10 days out. The probability of it happening is still fairly low. The system itself hasn’t even become a tropical depression yet. That may occur later Monday or Tuesday. If (when?) it does, we’ll write a blog post about the storm and it’s future. For now, it has our attention, but that’s it.

Weekly Outlook: July 20-26, 2020

This week will feature a little bit of everything, at least in terms of summer weather.

Heat Advisories are in effect for much of the I-95 corridor from Portland, ME to Richmond, VA again today. Image provided by Pivotal Weather.

We start the week off with more heat and humidity today. Offshore high pressure continues to pump hot and humid weather in, and as a result, Heat Advisories remain in effect for a large portion of the region. Highs will get into the 90s again for much of the area today, with dewpoints in the upper 60s to middle 70s. That combination of heat and humidity will make it feel like its 100 or higher during the afternoon. Relief is on the way though, as a cold front will move across the region later today. This front may produce some showers and thunderstorms, but we’re not that confident that we’ll see widespread activity. Any storms that do form may produce heavy downpours and strong winds, but a severe weather outbreak doesn’t look likely at this point.

The combination of heat and hmidity will make it feel like its over 100 this afternoon. Image provided by WeatherBell.

The front moves offshore tonight, and “cooler” and “drier” air settles in for Tuesday. While it won’t exactly be a lot cooler or a lot drier, it will still be more comfortable compared to today. Our respite doesn’t last long though as a warm front approaches on Wednesday. While the front may produce a few showers or thunderstorms, the more noticeable impact will be to bring the humidity back in. It’ll be quite warm as well, but cloud cover will prevent us from getting too hot once again.

We need any rain we can get. Precipitation is well below normal over the past couple of months across the region. Image provided by the Northeast Regional Climate Center.

Another cold front approaches on Thursday, with more showers and thunderstorms expected. Again, some of them could be quite strong, but a widespread severe weather event doesn’t appear likely at this time. Much cooler and drier weather does finally move in behind this front for Friday and Saturday. As for next Sunday, that’s a bit of a question mark at this point. Most of the models show a storm system passing to the north, but that’s where the similarities end and the story of Goldilocks and the Three Bears starts. One model has little to no precipitation, with hot and humid conditions. Another has it warm but dry with precipitation moving in at night. A third model has it cloudy and mild with showers during the afternoon. We’re going to play the middle ground right now, knowing full well that we’ve got plenty of time for the models to find some common ground and decide on a solution before we issue our Weekend Outlook Thursday afternoon.

Dewpoints in the 40s and 50s by Saturday would be a welcome change. Image provided by Weathermodels.com

Monday: Some dense fog along the South Coast early, otherwise a mix of sun and clouds with some showers and thunderstorms developing during the afternoon. A few of the storms may produce gusty winds and heavy downpours. High 89-96, cooler right along the South Coast. Heat indices could reach as high as 104 in some spots.

Monday night: Clearing and less humid. Low 65-72.

Tuesday: Sunshine and a few clouds. High 85-92.

Tuesday night: Clear to partly cloudy. Low 63-70.

Wednesday: Partly sunny and humid with some afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms possible. High 82-89, cooler along the coast.

Thursday: Intervals of clouds and sun with some showers and thunderstorms during the afternoon and evening, breezy. High 82-89.

Friday: Partly to mostly sunny and drier. High 77-84.

Saturday: Sunshine and some high clouds. High 80-87.

Sunday: More clouds than sun with showers and thunderstorms possible late in the day and at night. High 83-90.

Weekly Outlook: July 13-19, 2020

Much of this week will feature typical summer-time weather in New England, with warm to hot temperatures, humidity levels ranging from somewhat comfortable to not very comfortable, and some pop-up showers and thunderstorms.

There is a marginal risk for a few severe thunderstorms this afternoon and evening. Image provided by the Storm Prediction Center.

The week starts off with the most active weather day as a cold front starts to approach the region. A few showers are likely this morning as an upper-level disturbance swings through, but we should see some sunshine develop by midday. How much sunshine we get will help determine how much the atmosphere will destabilize again in the afternoon. As the front moves in from the west, showers and thunderstorms will develop. Many of these storms will produce heavy downpours, and some could redevelop over the same locations, resulting in some flash flooding. Depending on how much sun we see in the late morning and early afternoon, we could be looking at some severe storms, with strong winds and hail as well. There is even a slight chance for a tornado to form. How quickly the front moves will also help determine how long we’ll be dealing with the storms, and what areas have the best chance to have them. Right now, it looks like most of the storms will be during the 1pm-8pm time frame.

The HRRR model depicts a possible scenario for thunderstorm development today. Loop provided by Weathermodels.com

The front moves offshore tonight, and cooler and drier air starts to settle in. However, an upper-level low pressure area will be moving in at the same time. As this upper-level low moves right across New England on Tuesday, it will help produce another round of showers and thunderstorms during the afternoon. Most of these shouldn’t be strong, but with a pool of cold air aloft, we could see some small hail in a few of them.

Dewpoints could drop into the upper 50s to lower 60s by Wednesday afternoon. Image provided by WeatherBell.

The upper-level low moves offshore for Wednesday, and we’ll be under the influence high pressure for Wednesday and Thursday, with sunshine, seasonably warm temperatures (tempered by a seabreeze along the coast), and moderate humidity levels. Warmer and more humid air moves in for Friday and the weekend. A series of weak upper-level disturbances will also move across the region, creating a daily chance for showers and thunderstorms.

Heat and humidity return to the region next weekend. Image provided by Pivotal Weather.

Monday: A few showers early, then becoming partly sunny. Showers and thunderstorms are likely during the afternoon and evening. Some of them may produce heavy downpours. High 82-89.

Monday night: Showers and thunderstorms end during the evening, then skies clear out. Low 62-69.

Tuesday: A sunny start, then clouds develop with a few showers and thunderstorms likely during the afternoon. High 76-83.

Tuesday night: Clear to partly cloudy. Low 59-66.

Wednesday: Sunshine and a few clouds. High 72-79, coolest along the coast.

Thursday: Some patchy morning fog, then becoming partly to mostly sunny. High 74-81, coolest along the coast.

Friday: Intervals of clouds and sunshine with some showers and thunderstorms possible, especially during the morning, a little more humid. High 77-84.

Saturday: Partly sunny, chance for a shower or thunderstorm. High 83-90, cooler along the coast.

Sunday: A mix of sun and clouds, a shower or thunderstorm is possible. High 86-93.

Weekly Outlook: July 6-12, 2020

We’ve got some typical summertime weather coming up for most of the week, with heat, humidity, and thunderstorms all expected.

The week starts off with high pressure building in from the north, which will bring in sunshine, lower humidity, and slightly cooler temperatures, especially along the coast. By Tuesday, however, that high will move off to the south, allowing more humid air into the region, along the the chance for a few showers and thunderstorms.

You’ll start to hear the “Triple-H” talk for Wednesday through Friday, but it may not quite qualify. It’ll be quite warm to hot, with temperatures will into the 80s and lower 90s in many locations. It’ll also be quite humid, as dewpoints will get well into the 60s, and possibly even lower 70s. Will it be hazy? Probably not. Even without the haze, it’ll still be quite comfortable for a lot of people.

Dewpoints could be in the 70s across the region by Friday afternoon. Image provided by Weathermodels.com

The end of the week and into the weekend is a bit of a question mark right now. Low pressure currently over the Southeast will move off the Carolina coastline by midweek, and then head northeastward up the coastline. The National Hurricane Center has already given it a 40% chance of development before the end of the week. Given their recent track record, we’re assuming that assuming it moves off the coast, as long as it’s spinning and has a thunderstorm nearby, it’ll be called Tropical Depression Six, or maybe they’ll go right to Tropical Storm Fay. Either way, it may very well have some impact here by Friday or Saturday. The most likely impact is for some heavy rainfall. We’ll already have a very soupy airmass in place, and adding tropical air to that will help wring out even more moisture. While this will help put a dent in the developing drought for some areas, it may also lead to flooding in others. We could also see some impacts from wind, depending on the development of the system, and rough surf along the coast. Unsettled weather may hang around through the weekend, as the system may be slow to depart.

Low pressure over the Southeast could become a tropical system and track up the coast later this week. Image provided by the National Center for Atmospheric Research,

Monday: Partly to mostly sunny. High 77-84, cooler along the coast.

Monday night: Partly cloudy. Low 57-64.

Tuesday: A mix of sun and clouds, just a slight chance for an afternoon shower or thunderstorm. High 76-83.

Tuesday night: Partly cloudy. Low 61-68.

Wednesday: Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely in the afternoon. High 81-88.

Thursday: Sunshine and a few afternoon clouds, a shower or thunderstorm may pop up. High 86-93.

Friday: Early sun, then clouds move in, some showers and thunderstorms develop, possibly become a steady rain late in the day and at night. High 84-91.

Saturday: Rain ends early, then becoming partly sunny, a few showers and thunderstorms are possible in the afternoon and evening. High 80-87.

Sunday: Intervals of clouds and sun, more showers and thunderstorms are possible. High 82-89.

Weekly Outlook: June 29 – July 5, 2020

This is going one of those weeks where the weather app on your phone just won’t cut it. Most of those apps will give you a little icon for the day, and for this week, we wouldn’t be surprised if there was a little thunderstorm icon in there for every day. Yes, there will be a chance of thunderstorms for almost every day this week. However, the vast majority of the time will be dry, and none of the days should be a washout.

Satellite loop showing the explosive development of Sunday’s storms from midday through sunset. Loop provided by the College of DuPage.

After widespread strong to severe thunderstorms on Sunday, things should be a bit more quiet today. We’ve got an upper-level low pressure settling into the northeast, so we’ll see clouds popping up, and some showers and thunderstorms will likely develop this afternoon. This will be nothing like yesterday however. Sure, a few of the storms may produce a quick downpour or even some small hail due to some cold air aloft, but they’ll be hit and miss storms, with more areas getting nothing than areas that get storms. Most of the activity should diminish with the setting sun.

Much of the region received beneficial rain on Sunday. From northern Rhode Island into Metro Boston, rainfall totals of 1-4″ and heavier were common. Image provided by NOAA.

That upper-level low will remain nearby for Tuesday and Wednesday, so we’ll have similar conditions both days with showers and thunderstorms popping up each afternoon, produce a few downpours and maybe a little hail, but nothing widespread is expected. Temperatures will be on the cooler side, possibly even a little below normal for the end of June/beginning of July, with highs only in the 70s for most of us, with some coastal locations possible staying in the 60s thanks to a wind off the water.

Despite the chances for rain every day, we’re not actually expecting a lot of rain this week. Image provided by Weathermodels.com

The upper-level low finally starts to move out on Thursday, but it still may produce a few showers and thunderstorms. After it moves out, a ridge of high pressure starts to build in…..to the Midwest. That means another upper-level trough of low pressure starts to build in for Friday and the weekend. So, we’ll be a bit warmer, but, you guessed it, we’ll have a daily chance for some pop-up showers and thunderstorms. Wash. Rinse. Repeat. Things may start to dry out a bit more on Sunday.

Average high temperatures for the start of July are in the upper 70s to lower 80s. Image provided by Weathermodels.com

Monday: Some patchy fog to start the day, otherwise more clouds than sunshine, chance for some showers and thunderstorms. High 73-80, a little cooler along the coast.

Monday night: Showers taper off in the evening, then partly to mostly cloudy with some fog redeveloping. Low 59-66.

Tuesday: Intervals of clouds and sunshine, chance for a few showers and thunderstorms. High 69-76, a little cooler along the coast.

Tuesday night: Partly to mostly cloudy, again some patchy fog is possible. Low 60-67.

Wednesday: A mix of sun and clouds with some afternoon showers and thunderstorms possible. High 72-79.

Thursday: A sunny start, then clouds pop up, just a slight chance for a shower or thunderstorm. High 80-87, a little cooler along the coast.

Friday: Morning sunshine then afternoon clouds, a shower or thunderstorm may pop up. High 77-84.

Independence Day: Partly sunny with an afternoon shower or thunderstorm possible. High 75-82.

Sunday: Sunshine and a few clouds. High 78-85.

Weekly Outlook: June 22-28, 2020

No matter how you define summer, it is now officially here in the Northern Hemisphere, and we’ll feel it all week long.

The past few days have all featured the same general pattern. A muggy start to the day with low clouds and fog across southern Rhode Island and southeastern Massachusetts, then sunshine, some fair-weather cumulus clouds, warm to hot temperatures, moderate to somewhat high humidity, a few pop-up showers and thunderstorms during the afternoon, diminishing by evening, then low clouds and fog return to the South Coast. Wash. Rinse. Repeat. Well, that general pattern will continue today and Tuesday with one added wrinkle – a seabreeze along the coast. That actually started on Sunday, which helped to produce the heavy thunderstorms across eastern Massachusetts. It will likely be the case today, and probably Tuesday as well.

Locally heavy showers and thunderstorms developed on Sunday. Loop provided by the College of DuPage.

By Wednesday, we start to get some changes. A cold front will be approaching from the west as low pressure passes north of the region. We’ll still have morning low clouds and fog, and it’ll still be warm to hot and fairly humid, but the cold front will help produce a little more in the way of thunderstorm activity Wednesday afternoon and evening. The timing of the front will have a hand in determining how strong the thunderstorms get, but right now, it does not look like a widespread severe event.

Some of Wednesday’s storms could be locally heavy, but a widespread heavy rain event is not likely. Image provided by WeatherBell.

The front moves through at some point Wednesday night early Thursday, then high pressure builds in with some drier weather for Thursday into Friday. Temperatures will still be quite warm, but with lower humidity, it will feel a bit more comfortable. The weekend is a bit of a question mark at this point. Another system will likely pass north of the region, with some showers and thunderstorms possible, but there is plenty of disagreement among the models in regards to the timing of the system. Either way, it doesn’t look like much to worry about, with neither day being a washout.

Dewpoints will drop into the 50s across much of the region Thursday afternoon. Image provided by Weathermodels.com

Monday: Low clouds and fog to start the day across the South Coast, and also from the North Shore to the New Hampshire Seacoast, then skies become partly to mostly sunny, a few showers and thunderstorms are possible during the afternoon, mainly well inland. High 85-92 inland, 77-84 along the coast.

Monday night: Clear to partly cloudy, low clouds and fog return to the South Coast. Low 61-68.

Tuesday: A mix of sun and clouds, chance for a few showers and thunderstorms during the afternoon. High 85-92, cooler right along the coast.

Tuesday night: Clear to partly cloudy, low clouds and fog return to the South Coast once again. Low 63-70.

Wednesday: Intervals of clouds and sunshine with scattered showers and thunderstorms likely during the afternoon and evening, tapering off before midnight. High 83-90, cooler along the South Coast.

Thursday: Partly to mostly sunny and less humid. High 82-89.

Friday: Sunshine and a few clouds. High 81-88.

Saturday: Intervals of clouds and sun with a chance for showers and thunderstorms. High 78-85.

Sunday: Partly sunny, chance for some showers and thunderstorms. High 80-87.

Weekly Outlook: June 15-21, 2020

High ‘N’ Dry – that pretty much sums up this week’s forecast. High pressure provides dry weather for most of the week.

High pressure will settle into the Northeast for the next few days. This means we’ll have dry and cool conditions for the first part of the week, with temperatures and humidity levels starting to creep up as we get to the latter half of the week. As is usually the case, temperatures will be coolest along the coast thanks to onshore flow, and well see some fair-weather cumulus clouds pop up each afternoon across the interior.

Water temperatures are in the upper 50s to lower 60s off the east coast, and lower to middle 60s off the south coast. Image provided by NOAA.

By late in the week, we’ll be warm to potentially hot, and humid, with the chance for some showers and thunderstorms to pop up on Friday afternoon. The weekend is a bit of a question mark at this point. The models have 2 separate but equally plausible solutions right now. One model has the heat come to an abrupt end Saturday afternoon with a backdoor cold front, leading to much cooler conditions for Saturday night and Sunday, along with plenty of clouds and possibly some showers. Some other models keep us warm and humid with some showers and thunderstorms possible, and a slow-moving cold front still well to our west. For now, we’re going to lean towards the latter solution, but obviously things could change. With next Sunday being Fathers Day, many people will be making plans, especially outdoor plans. We should have a clearer picture when we publish our Weekend Outlook Thursday afternoon. If the latter solution is indeed correct, some locations across the interior could be near or above 90 starting on Thursday and continuing at least into Sunday.

Little to no rainfall is expected across the region between now and Sunday morning. Image provided by WeatherBell.

Monday: Some low clouds and fog this morning, then becoming partly to mostly sunny. High 67-74, a little cooler along the coast.

Monday night: Mostly clear. Low 48-55.

Tuesday: Sunshine and lots of it. High 73-80, a little cooler along the coast.

Tuesday night: Clear to partly cloudy. Low 48-55.

Wednesday: Sunshine and a few afternoon clouds. High 79-86, again cooler along the coast.

Thursday: Mostly sunny, a few clouds during the afternoon. High 84-91, cooler along the South Coast.

Friday: Partly to mostly sunny, just a slight chance for an afternoon shower or thunderstorm. High 86-93, cooler along the South Coast.

Saturday: A mix of sun and clouds, an afternoon shower or thunderstorm is possible. High 85-92, cooler along the South Coast.

Sunday: Partly sunny, chance for some afternoon showers and thunderstorms. High 84-91, cooler along the South Coast.