Weekly Outlook: May 23-30, 2022

Memorial Day Weekend is the traditional start of summer, but after our summer preview this past weekend, hot weather will go away for a little while.

High pressure builds in for the first half of the week, with generally dry and seasonably mild conditions expected through Wednesday. By Thursday, the high slides offshore, and low pressure heads toward the Great Lakes, sending a warm front our way. That will mean a return to warmer and more humid conditions by late in the day, along with the chance for a few showers. As that system heads into southeastern Canada, it will drag a cold front across the region, with more showers and possibly some thunderstorms on Friday. There’s at least one model that tries to slow down the front, with showers lingering into Saturday, and it’s possible, but we’re not leaning that way at this time. High pressure then builds in for Sunday and Memorial Day with dry and seasonably warm conditions returning.

Average high temperatures in late May should be close to 70 degrees. Image provided by Weathermodels.com

Monday: A mix of sun and clouds. High 69-76.

Monday night: Partly to mostly cloudy. Low 48-55.

Tuesday: Partly sunny. High 63-70.

Tuesday night: Partly cloudy. Low 44-51.

Wednesday: A mix of sun and clouds. High 69-76.

Thursday: Partly sunny, showers possible late in the day and at night. High 66-73.

Friday: Intervals of clouds and sun with scattered showers, possibly a thunderstorm. High 72-79.

Saturday: Partly to mostly sunny. High 70-77.

Sunday: A mix of sun and clouds. High 74-81.

Memorial Day: Partly to mostly sunny. High 77-84.

Weekly Outlook: May 16-22, 2022

We’re starting the week with a bang, as a strong cold front may produce some severe weather today.

Once the fog near the South Coast burns off this morning, we’ll have partly sunny skies today and it will be warm and somewhat humid. However, a strong cold front will move across the region later today, bringing an end to the humidity and mild temperatures. Ahead of that front, showers and thunderstorms are expected this afternoon into part of the evening. The bulk of the severe weather should stay to our west, but some of the storms that make it this far east could still produce gusty winds, small hail, and heavy downpours.

The farther west you go, the more likely severe weather becomes today. image provided by NOAA.

Behind the front, an upper-level low pressure system will cross the Northeast on Tuesday, generating some clouds and possibly a stray shower or two. High pressure then builds in for Wednesday and Thursday with dry and seasonably mild conditions. By Friday, a warm front will move across the region, allowing warmer and more humid air to move back into the region, Saturday looks like it will be the warmest day, with temperatures possibly topping 90 in much of the region. The latter half of the weekend is a bit trickier. A cold front will move through, with some showers and thunderstorms likely, but the timing of the front is still in question, which has significant implications for the temperature forecast on Sunday. If the front moves through Sunday afternoon, as some models are showing, then another hot day is likely, but if it moves through Saturday night, as other models are indicating, then we’ll clear out after some morning showers, but temperatures will be significantly cooler. We’re going to play the middle ground for now, and hope for some clarity by the time we get to our Weekend Outlook on Thursday.

Sunday could be another hot day, but how hot? Images provided b Pivotal Weather.

Monday: Morning fog along the South Coast, otherwise a mix of sun and clouds with showers and thunderstorms developing during the afternoon, some of which may contain gusty winds, hail, and heavy downpours. High 77-84, cooler along the coast.

Monday night: Showers and storms end in the evening, skies start to clear out after midnight. Low 51-58.

Tuesday: Sunshine and some afternoon clouds, slight chance for a stray shower, breezy. High 68-75.

Tuesday night: Mostly clear. Low 45-52.

Wednesday: Plenty of sunshine, breezy again. High 65-72.

Thursday: A mix of sun and clouds. High 66-723.

Friday: Partly sunny. High 75-82, cooler along the coast.

Saturday: Partly to mostly sunny. High 86-93, cooler along the coast.

Sunday: A mix of sun and clouds with a chance for showers and thunderstorms. High 77-84.

Weekly Outlook: May 9-15, 2022

We’ve got a rather simple forecast for most of the upcoming week, and you’re probably going to like it.

Low pressure continues to drift southward off the Mid-Atlantic coastline today while high pressure builds into southeastern Canada. The result will be sunshine, but we’ll still have some gusty east to northeast winds keeping us on the cool side, especially near the coast. By Tuesday, the low drifts farther to the south, though some moisture rotating around it may produce a shower or two across parts of eastern Massachusetts. Otherwise, the high will continue to build in with sunshine, but it will still remain breezy and one the cool side. Temperatures moderate a bit more on Wednesday as winds diminish, but it will still be on the cool side at the coast. The latter half of the week and start of the week is when the big changes occur.

Temperatures will be 5-10 degrees below normal across the region again today. Image provided by Weathermodels.com

High pressure slides offshore for Thursday, and remains there into Saturday. The result will be sunshine and much warmer temperatures. How warm? How does highs in the 70s and 80s sound? A seabreeze will keep coastal areas cooler, but away from the shoreline? Break out the shorts and open the sunroof. Some models even show the potential for temperatures to get close to 90 on Saturday. By Sunday, a cold front will be approaching with some showers likely along with cooler temperatures. How cool is still a bit up in the air, but we’ll worry about that more in our weekend outlook on Thursday.

Saturday looks like a fantastic day. Image provided by WeatherBell.

Monday: Morning clouds give way to afternoon sunshine, windy. High 57-64, cooler along the coast.

Monday night: Mostly clear. Low 37-44.

Tuesday: Sunshine and a few clouds, breezy. High 60-67 inland, 53-60 along the coast.

Tuesday night: Partly cloudy, slight chance for a shower. Low 38-45.

Wednesday: Partly sunny, an isolated shower can’t be ruled out. High 65-72 inland, 58-65 along the coast.

Thursday: A mix of sun and clouds, warmer. High 76-83, cooler along the coast.

Friday: Partly to mostly sunny. High 79-86, cooler along the coast.

Saturday: Partly sunny. High 79-86, cooler along the coast.

Sunday: Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. High 69-76, cooler along the coast.

Weekly Outlook: May 2-8, 2022

Looks like some wet weather is on the way this week, but that’s a good thing, because we need it.

March and April have been very dry across a good portion of the region. Image provided by the Northeast Regional Climate Center.

We start the week off with a warm front trying to move into the region today. It won’t get here, so we’ll stay cool but the rain ahead of the front will get here, with some showers likely this afternoon and tonight. High pressure tries to build in on Tuesday with some drier weather, but the clouds and cool temperatures will hang around. The next system quickly follows on Wednesday, with another round of rain likely. High pressure builds in for Thursday and this time we will clear out with some milder temperatures.

Thursday looks like the pick of the week. Image provided by WeatherBell.

The end of the week and the weekend remain very uncertain at this point. We’ll have high pressure trying to build in from the north while low pressure moves across the Ohio Valley and then off the Mid-Atlantic coast, passing south of us. The question is, how far south? The models don’t agree on this at all, and that’s the difference between a rainy and chilly Friday and Saturday, or rain confined to areas south of the Mass Pike, or the rain staying completely offshore with some sunshine possible. We hope to have a better idea on this by the time we get to our Weekend Outlook on Thursday. Sunday looks to be a decent day right now with high pressure building in, but that will be influenced by what happens on Friday and Saturday, so it can change.

The models do not agree on what will happen with a storm system next weekend. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.

Monday: Cloudy with showers likely, mainly during the afternoon and evening. High 55-62, cooler along the coast.

Monday night: Showers ending, remaining cloudy. Low 39-46.

Tuesday: Clouds and some afternoon sunny breaks. High 52-59.

Tuesday night: Mostly cloudy, showers possible late at night. Low 39-46.

Wednesday: Cloudy with rain developing. High 48-55.

Thursday: A mix of sun and clouds. High 62-69, cooler along the coast.

Friday: Cloudy with a chance of showers. High 57-64.

Saturday: Cloudy with a chance of showers. High 49-56.

Sunday: Partly to mostly sunny. High 55-62.

Weekly Outlook: April 25 – May 1, 2022

As we enter the final days of April, we’re not looking at a lot of warm weather this week.

Today looks to be the pick of the week with high pressure building in. We’ll have some sunshine, but temperatures will be on the cool side again, especially along the coast thanks to an onshore flow. Clouds start to move in late in the day as a cold front starts to approach the region. That front will bring in some showers later Tuesday into early Wednesday as it moves through and a wave of low pressure rides along it. Once it pushes offshore, an upper-level low pressure area will slowly move across the Northeast, keeping us rather cool with a decent amount of clouds for Thursday and Friday, possibly even lingering into Saturday. By Sunday, high pressure will build back in with milder temperatures returning.

A rather chilly week is expected across the Northeast. Image provided by WeatherBell.

Monday: Partly sunny. High 56-63, a little cooler right at the coast.

Monday night: Becoming mostly cloudy. Low 38-45.

Tuesday: Mostly cloudy with showers developing late in the day. High 57-64.

Tuesday night: Cloudy with showers likely. Low 41-48.

Wednesday: Showers end early, some afternoon sunny breaks may develop. High 53-60.

Thursday: A mix of sun and clouds, breezy. High 49-56.

Friday: Sunshine with afternoon clouds, breezy. High 49-56.

Saturday: Partly sunny. High 50-57.

Sunday: A mix of sun and clouds. High 55-62.

Weekly Outlook: April 18-24, 2022

“April is the cruelest month, breeding lilacs out of the dead land, mixing memory and desire, stirring dull roots with spring rain.” – T.S. Eliot

We had temperatures above 70 on Friday and Saturday, and now there might be snow in the forecast? Ah yes, April can indeed be the cruelest month.

We start the week off on a chilly note with high pressure in control, but with sunshine this morning, temperatures will rise into the 50s this afternoon, which is a few degrees below normal. Clouds will start to stream in this afternoon as low pressure begins to head up the East Coast. We’ll have a period of rain and gusty winds Monday night into Tuesday, but across the interior, especially in the hills from Worcester County into southern New Hampshire, there will likely be some snow, with some accumulations likely. Even at the lower elevations, especially from southern New Hampshire into the Merrimack Valley, we could have some wet snow mix in, but if there’s any accumulation in these areas, it will be very minor and confined to grassy surfaces.

Any snow is likely confined to the hills and areas well north and west. Image provided by WeatherBell.

Skies start to clear out Tuesday afternoon as high pressure builds back in, with dry and seasonably cool conditions into Wednesday. We’ll start to warm up again on Thursday ahead of another frontal system, that could bring in a few showers for Thursday night and early Friday. High pressure builds back in for the weekend with mild temperatures for at least Saturday, but Sunday could turn cooler as a backdoor cold front may slide down the coastline.

Average high temperatures in mid-April are right around 60 degrees. Image provided by Weathermodels.com

Monday: Sunny and chilly early, clouds start to filter in and thicken up during the afternoon. High 50-57.

Monday night: Rain developing, mixed with snow across the hills and well inland, breezy. Low 36-43.

Tuesday: Breezy with rain (or snow) ending in the morning, some clearing in the afternoon. High 50-57.

Tuesday night: Becoming mostly clear. Low 34-41.

Wednesday: Mostly sunny and breezy, clouds may start to move back in late in the day. High 51-58.

Thursday: Intervals of clouds and sun, chance for a few showers at night. High 55-62.

Friday: Chance for a shower early, then becoming partly to mostly sunny and milder. High 61-68.

Saturday: Sunshine and a few clouds. High 56-63.

Sunday: A mix of sun and clouds. High 53-60.

Weekly Outlook: April 11-17, 2022

With both Opening Day at Fenway and Easter coming up this week, the forecast will be under a bit more scrutiny. As you might expect in mid-April, we’ve got a rather typical springtime pattern coming up this week, which means it’ll be warm, cool, dry, and wet. Let’s try to make some sense of that.

You know the summer is not far away when Opening Day at Fenway arrives.

We start off with high pressure building in today, giving us some sunshine and seasonably mild temperatures. Clouds start to stream in tonight ahead of low pressure heading toward southeastern Canada. That system will send a warm front toward the region early Tuesday, with some showers likely Monday night into Tuesday morning. We’ll clear out in the afternoon and turn milder before a cold front moves through during the afternoon with little fanfare. High pressure builds back in for Tuesday night into Wednesday before the next system starts to head toward the region.

The next system will be making headlines across the nation for a few days before it arrives. It’ll produce heavy rain and mountain snow in the Northwest and Northern California, a blizzard in the Northern Plains, and widespread severe weather from the Central and Southern Plains into the Mississippi Valley. None of that is expected here, but we will have some rain, which could be heavy at times on Thursday. Temperatures will be highly dependent on how far north the warm front ahead of the systems gets. South of the front, temperatures could soar into the 70s, while north of the front, it could stay in the 40s and 50s. As the system drags a cold front through late Thursday, the rain will end, and so will any of the warm weather that moves in. High pressure builds in for Friday with drier and a return to seasonable temperatures. For the Red Sox home opener on Friday at Fenway, for now it looks to be partly sunny with temperatures somewhere around 60.

Thursday could potentially be a very warm day for at least part of the area. Image provided by WeatherBell.

Next weekend presents some question marks. The models all handle the following system differently, not only from model to model, but from run to run. So, we’re looking at another period of rain and cooler temperatures at some point between Saturday and Monday, but we’re not quite sure when. Some models have even hinted at the potential for a little snow in the hills or even southern New Hampshire. So, what you see below represents our best thinking for now, but realize that it will almost certainly change by the time we get to our Weekend Outlook on Thursday. With Sunday being Easter, and next Monday being Patriots Day, a.k.a. Marathon Monday, the forecast is fairly important, so we hope to have a fairly good idea of what to expect by Thursday.

The GFS can’t decide from one run to the next if Easter will be wet or dry. Images provided by Tropical Tidbits.

Monday: Mostly sunny, clouds start to move in late in the day. High 55-62.

Monday night: Becoming cloudy with showers developing. Low 39-46.

Tuesday: Showers end early, becoming partly to mostly sunny in the afternoon. High 62-69.

Tuesday night: Clear to partly cloudy. Low 39-46.

Wednesday: Morning sun, increasing afternoon clouds, showers develop at night. High 60-67.

Thursday: Mostly cloudy with occasional rain and showers. High 62-69, potentially even warmer south of the Mass Pike, but potentially much cooler from the North Shore to the New Hampshire Seacoast.

Friday: Partly sunny. High 60-67.

Saturday: A mix of sun and clouds, breezy, chance for showers. High 60-67.

Sunday: Intervals of clouds and sun, breezy, showers possible. High 52-59.

Weekly Outlook: April 4-10, 2022

Better enjoy today, because much of the upcoming week isn’t looking that nice.

High pressure builds in today with some sunshine and seasonably mild temperatures, but that will be enough to make this the best day of the week. Tuesday might not be that bad either, with some sunshine in the morning, but clouds will start to move in during the afternoon ahead of a low pressure system heading toward the Mid-Atlantic states. That system will pass south of the region Tuesday night into Wednesday with rain likely. Wednesday just looks like a cool, damp day, not that unusual for early April. Temperatures may be marginally cold enough for some wet snow across central and possibly southern New Hampshire, but any accumulation would likely be confined to grassy surfaces, and mainly before daybreak Wednesday. Again, this is not that unusual for early April.

Daytime temperatures on Wednesday will be 5-10 degrees below normal across the region. Image provided by Weathermodels.com

That system will pull away later on Wednesday, but another one quickly follows for Thursday into Friday. This one will bring another round of rain in, and it could be heavy once again. In fact, Thursday looks like a washout at this point. The Red Sox are scheduled to open the season at Yankee Stadium at 1pm Thursday, and the odds of that game happening look pretty slim at this point. Expect it to be bumped to Friday afternoon.

It’s a little late, and possibly a day later than we’re hoping, but Opening Day has finally arrived. Image provided by MLB.

That system will pull away late Friday, but an upper-level low moves into the Northeast for the weekend, keeping plenty of clouds around, with a few showers possible each afternoon. We also have to keep an eye on a storm system offshore, but right now, it looks to be too far offshore to have any impact, expected possibly bringing some showers to the Outer Cape.

Parts of the region could pick up a decent amount of rain between now and next weekend. Image provided by WeatherBell.

Monday: A mix of sun and clouds. High 49-56.

Monday night: Partly cloudy. Low 30-37.

Tuesday: Morning sunshine, increasing afternoon clouds. Showers may develop near the South Coast late in the day. High 54-61.

Tuesday night: Cloudy with showers likely, possibly mixed with wet snow across central New Hampshire. Low 36-43.

Wednesday: Periods of rain and showers, tapering off by evening. High 44-51.

Thursday: Rain likely. High 47-54.

Friday: Plenty of clouds with more showers, possibly some afternoon sunny breaks. High 59-66.

Saturday: A mix of sun and clouds, chance for a shower. High 56-63.

Sunday: More clouds than sun, a shower or two possible. High 51-58.

Finally, we’ll mention that the models are showing the potential for a significant warmup next week. While we wouldn’t be surprised if there’s at least one very warm day in there, we’re skeptical that an extended warmup is on the way. For one, the water is still very cold, leaving us susceptible to seabreezes or even back-door cold fronts that will bring in much cooler air off the Atlantic. Also, if the upper-level ridge sets up a bit too far to the west, we stay on the cooler side of things. As we said, some of the models show a significant warmup, but beyond a day or two in the middle of next week, they haven’t been consistent is showing it lasting into the end of the week or beyond. We’ll obviously delve more into this next weekend.

Weekly Outlook: March 28-April 3, 2022

No, Mother Nature is not playing an early April Fool’s joke on us, today really will be quite chilly.

The week starts out on a very chilly note as an upper-level low pressure system slowly moves across the Northeast. We’ll have some sunny breaks today but there will be plenty of clouds and possibly a few snow showers or flurries during the afternoon and evening. Temperatures will be well below normal for late March, with highs only in the 30s, possibly upper 20s in some spots. This will likely break records for the lowest high temperature for the date across much of the Northeast. Add in gusty winds, and wind chills will only be in the teens (or colder), so bundle up if you’re heading outside today. Skies will clear out tonight as high pressure builds in, resulting in a rather cold night, possibly setting low temperature records in spots, as lows drop into the teens in many locations.

Record low high temperatures are likely across much of the Northeast today. Image provided by WeatherBell.

High pressure starts to slide off to the east on Tuesday, allowing temperatures to begin to moderate, but it will remain on the chilly side. Wednesday should be milder, but clouds will start to stream into the region as a complex low pressure system heads into the Great Lakes. That system will send a warm front toward the region on Thursday. Ahead of the warm front, we could see a little snow or sleet Wednesday night, especially across the interior. Milder air should eventually move in for Thursday as the warm front finally pushes through, but rain showers are likely Thursday night into early Friday before the storm sends a cold front across the region. How quickly that warm front moves through on Thursday will determine our temperatures. Some of the guidance is showing the potential for temperatures well into the 60s, but some of the models don’t bring the warmer air into the Merrimack Valley or southern New Hampshire until late afternoon or evening, resulting in a much cooler day. Steady rain ends early Friday, but some showers could linger during the day. Next weekend looks dry and cooler as high pressure builds back in.

Depending on how quickly the warm front moves through, Thursday could be quite mild. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.

Monday: Intervals of clouds and sunshine, blustery, chance for a few snow showers or flurries. High 27-34.

Monday night: Becoming clear to partly cloudy, breezy, and cold. Low 14-21.

Tuesday: Morning sun, afternoon clouds, still breezy. High 34-41.

Tuesday night: Mostly clear. Low 19-26.

Wednesday: Early sun, then clouds increase and thicken. A few showers possible at night, maybe mixed with sleet or snow across the interior. High 42-49.

Thursday: Cloudy and breezy with showers likely. High 55-62, possibly a little cooler across southern New Hampshire.

Friday: More clouds than sunshine, breezy, chance for a few more showers. High 56-63.

Saturday: Partly sunny, breezy, and cooler. High 46-53.

Sunday: A mix of sun and clouds. High 50-57.

Weekly Outlook: March 21-27, 2022

Now that Spring has officially arrived, cooler weather will return.

The week starts off with high pressure building into eastern Canada, providing us with sunshine and seasonably cool conditions for today and Tuesday. By Wednesday, that high will start to slide eastward as low pressure heads toward the Great Lakes, sending some clouds our way. Precipitation looks to spread in Wednesday night, and there may be enough cold air in place that allows it to start as some snow or a wintry mix, at least across the interior. Everything should go over to plain rain on Thursday, and some of it could be heavy as a secondary area of low pressure develops nearby and moves right across the region. Rain ends early Friday as that low pulls away, but with another upper-level low pressure area slowly moving in, we’ll start have a decent amount of cloud cover along with the threat of some pop-up showers Friday afternoon. For the weekend, that upper-level low will cross the Northeast, and a new area of low pressure will develop at the surface near the Mid-Atlantic coast. While the surface low may be too far offshore to have much impact, it may interact with the upper-level low to produce some additional rain or snow showers next weekend.

Around an inch of much-needed rainfall us expected later this week. I age provided by WeatherBell.

Monday: Sunshine and a few afternoon clouds, breezy. High 47-54.

Monday night: Clear to partly cloudy. Low 29-36.

Tuesday: Partly to mostly sunny and breezy. High 43-50.

Tuesday night: Clear to partly cloudy. Low 25-32.

Wednesday: Some sun in the morning, then clouds move in during the afternoon with rain or snow showers developing in the evening. High 41-48.

Thursday: Cloudy with rain likely, possibly some wintry mix across the interior during the early morning. High 42-49.

Friday: Rain ends early, otherwise plenty of clouds and a few sunny breaks, slight chance for an afternoon shower. High 52-59.

Saturday: More clouds than sunshine with a rain or snow shower possible. High 47-54.

Sunday: Partly to mostly cloudy with a chance for a few rain or snow shower. High 45-52.