Weekly Outlook: November 28 – December 4, 2022

Meteorological Winter begins on Thursday, but Mother Nature doesn’t want to bring us any winter weather anytime soon.

A cold front will cross the region today, and although it will have little moisture with it, it will bring breezy and cooler weather in for later today and into Tuesday. We’ll warm back up on Wednesday ahead of another storm system. That system passes to our north and west, with some rain likely late Wednesday and Wednesday night. As colder air settle sin behind the storm, some wet snow may mix in before the precipitation ends across the hills of central Massachusetts and southwestern New Hampshire. High pressure builds in behind that system with chilly weather for Thursday and Friday. We may warm up again on Saturday ahead of yet another cold front that could bring in some showers, with cooler weather returning on Sunday.

Wind chills will be in the 20s for the Patriots showdown with the Bills in Foxborough Thursday evening. Image provided by WeatherBell.

Monday: Some clouds around in the morning, becoming mostly sunny and breezy in the afternoon. High 48-55.

Monday night: Clear skies. Low 24-31.

Tuesday: A mix of sun and clouds. High 39-46.

Tuesday night: Partly to mostly cloudy. Low 28-35.

Wednesday: Mostly cloudy and windy with rain developing in the afternoon, ending at night, possibly mixed with some wet snow across the Worcester Hills and the Monadnocks. High 54-61.

Thursday: Sunshine and a few clouds, windy, much cooler. High 38-45.

Friday: Partly to mostly sunny. High 39-46.

Saturday: Partly to mostly cloudy, breezy, chance for some showers. High 50-57.

Sunday: A mix of sun and clouds. High 42-49.

Weekly Outlook: November 21-27, 2022

Half of this week will be decent, and the other half may or may not be unsettled.

We’ve got high pressure in control for the next few days with generally dry weather and moderating temperatures. A weak frontal system moves through late Wednesday with little fanfare, but it will bring some cooler air back in for Thanksgiving Day. We’ll also see clouds stream in on Thanksgiving as low pressure begins to make its way up the East Coast. This is where things become very uncertain.

Temperatures could reach 50 in parts of the area on Wednesday. Image provided by WeatherBell.

The models have been consistently inconsistent with this storm. They never seem to agree with each other, and they change their tune on nearly every run. Sometimes it’ll look likely a coastal storm with strong winds and heavy rain, and possibly a wintry mix across the interior, some runs the storm goes up to the west of us, so we get rain and milder temperatures, some runs it’s a coastal storm well offshore and a weaker system moving across northern New England with just a few showers. Some runs have the storm Friday, some Saturday, and now, some even have it on Sunday. At this point, it’s just too early to nail down any details. What you’ll see below is our best guess at this point, but really, we could just write in “Partly to mostly ____ with a chance of _____”, and that would probably cover it too. We should have more clarity when we post our Weekend Outlook, which will be done on Wednesday this week instead of Thursday due to Thanksgiving.

The models have differing ideas on a potential late-week storm. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.

Monday: Sunshine and a few clouds, breezy. High 36-43.

Monday night: Clear skies. Low 26-33.

Tuesday: Sunshine and some afternoon clouds. High 40-47.

Tuesday night: Clear skies. Low 26-33.

Wednesday: Plenty of sunshine. High 44-51.

Thursday: Morning sun, then increasing and thickening clouds. High 41-48.

Friday: Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain. High 47-54.

Saturday: Partly to mostly cloudy and breezy with a chance of rain. High 47-54.

Sunday: Partly sunny, breezy. High 45-52.

Weekly Outlook: November 14-2,0 2022

Uh oh. It’s that time. You might want to sit down. Yup. We’ve got some bad news for you. That word is in the forecast. You know which one we’re talking about. The one that you really don’t like. At all. It’s 4 letters, begins with “s” and ends with “w” and it rhymes with “no”. Yeah, that word. You knew it was coming eventually, but you still didn’t want to hear (or read) it. Well, it’s too late. You’ve been warned.

We start the week off with high pressure in control for Monday. The result is plenty of sunshine, but rather chilly temperatures, a stark contrast to what we had over the weekend. But, it is November, and the nice weather can’t last forever, because this is New England, not Miami or San Diego or St. Croix. Tuesday looks dry and chilly too, but we’ll have clouds streaming in ahead of a low pressure system moving toward the region.

Normal high temperatures for mid-November are within a degree or two of 50. Iage provided by Weathermodels.com

Tuesday night, some moisture will start streaming in ahead of that storm, and with temperatures likely near or below freezing, we may see some (WARNING: BAD WORD INCOMING) “snow” developing across the area. For areas from Boston southward, it may be just a few flurries or sprinkles Tuesday evening. The more substantial moisture moves in overnight, with most rain in the I-95 corridor and points south and east. North and west of there, especially outside of I-495, some wet snow may develop, but even here, it should change to rain by daybreak. The pavement remains far too warm for any accumulations (except for bridges and overpasses), but grassy surfaces, and car windshields could see some slushy accumulation, perhaps up to an inch as you head into southern New Hampshire. Across the Worcester Hills and up into the Monadnocks, there could even be a little more than that. Everything changes over to rain during the morning, and rain continues into the afternoon before winding down. There could be some gusty winds along the coast as well, but all in all, this is not a big deal. Across parts of Cape Cod and potentially southeastern Massachusetts, temperatures could briefly spike into the 50s or even 60s if the low tracks across the area, but for the rest of, Wednesday will feature temperatures in the 40s or even 30s.

If you’re out and about before daybreak Wednesday, precipitation may not be all rain. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.

An upper-level trough of low pressure crosses the Northeast of Thursday with some clouds and possibly a few sprinkles or flurries. High pressure then builds in for the end of the week and the weekend with generally dry and chilly conditions.

Temperatures on Saturday could be 10-15 degrees below normal. Image provided by WeatherBell.

Monday: Plenty of sunshine, breezy at times. High 40-47.

Monday night: Mostly clear skies. Low 21-28.

Tuesday: Some morning sun, then clouds stream in. High 39-46.

Tuesday night: Cloudy with light rain developing at night, starting as light snow or a wintry mix north and west of Boston, gradually changing to all rain by daybreak. Up to an inch of slushy accumulation is possible on grassy surfaces north and west of I-495. Low 27-34, temperatures slowly rise after midnight.

Wednesday: Any lingering wintry mix changing to all rain, ending during the afternoon. High 40-47 north and west of Boston, 48-55 south, potentially warmer across Cape Cod.

Thursday: Partly sunny, breezy, chance for a rain or snow shower. High 40-47.

Friday: Partly to mostly sunny, breezy. High 39-46.

Saturday: Sunshine and a few clouds. High 37-44.

Sunday: Partly to mostly sunny. High 38-45.

Weekly Outlook: November 7-13, 2022

Fall is a time for change, and we’ll have some changes coming this week.

Our unseasonably warm air remains in place for one more day today. A few showers are possible this morning as a cold front crosses the region, then we’ll have a sunny a warm afternoon. The colder air lags a bit behind the front, but it will start to move in late in the day. High pressure then builds inf for Tuesday and Wednesday with sunshine and much cooler temperatures, though they’ll actually be fairly close to normal for early November. As the high slides off to the east, well warm back up for Thursday and Friday. While it won’t be as warm as it was over the weekend, it’ll still be rather mild for the first half of November. After that, the changes really start.

More record highs are possible across the Northeast today. Image provided by Weathermodels.com.

An area of low pressure is slowly organizing east of the Bahamas. It will likely become a tropical depression soon (possibly even before you read this). It will likely become a tropical storm or the next day or so, and could even become a hurricane. While it may seem unusual for a hurricane this late in the year, Hurricane Season doesn’t end until November 30 for a reason. This system will likely head westward, passing close to or over the northern Bahamas before heading for the east coast of central Florida. Eventually, the storm will turn northward as a deepening trough of low pressure moves toward the East Coast. When this turn occurs is still a bit of a question, and while it will have a significant impact for Florida and the Southeast, for us up here, it doesn’t make too much of a difference (more on that in a bit). A turn before reaching Florida would obviously spare the state from the worst of the impact, delaying the turn until it crosses the state and moves into the Gulf increases the threat to western Florida and possibly the Panhandle. The most likely scenario though is a northward turn shortly after landfall, bringing it up Florida and into the Southeast. This brings heavy rain and strong winds to much of the state, while storm surge also an issue for the east coast of Florida.

Ensemble forecasts for the track of a disturbance north of Puerto Rico. Image provided by Tomer Burg.

Once it makes that turn, it will turn more toward the northeast, likely moving back offshore off the coast of Georgia, and passing close to or just off the Carolina coastline. After that it will head up the coast, passing south and east of New England on Saturday. It won’t be tropical any more at this point, but it will still be a potent nor’easter. As a result, we’ll have some rain, likely heavy, from Friday night into late Saturday. Gusty winds are also likely near the coast. Some of the models are trying to bring a tremendous amount of rain into eastern New England, and given the system’s tropical roots, this is certainly a possibility. However, we’ve seen time and time again the models forecast some very heavy rain several days in advance, and slowly back off those totals as the system gets closer.

Most of the models show some heavy rain for the end of the week, but differ on how heavy. Images provided by Pivoral Weather.

As the system moves away, a strong cold front will move through. Behind it, we’ll clear out on Sunday, but much cooler air will settle into the region with high pressure building in. In fact, a much cooler pattern is shaping up for next week, with temperatures likely below normal for a good chunk of the week.

Most of next week looks to feature below normal temperatures across the Northeast. Image provided by WeatherBell.

Monday: Cloudy, breezy, and mild with a shower possibly early, then skies clear out in the afternoon. High 71-78.

Monday night: Clear skies (Perfect for viewing the total lunar eclipse late at night). Low 37-44.

Tuesday: Plenty of sunshine, breezy, much cooler. High 48-55.

Tuesday night: Clear skies. Low 28-35.

Wednesday: More sunshine. High 47-54.

Thursday: Sunshine and a few afternoon clouds, milder. High 59-66.

Friday: Increasing and thickening clouds, showers possible late in the day, steady rain develops at night. High 63-70.

Saturday: Cloudy and breezy with periods of rain, possibly heavy at times, ending at night. High 61-68.

Sunday: A mix of sun and clouds, breezy, and much cooler. High 46-53.

Weekly Outlook: October 31 – November 6, 2022

As we flip the calendar to November, it certainly won’t feel like the final month of fall for a good portion of the week.

Normal high temperatures are in the middle 50s as we begin November. Image provided by Weathermodels.com

We start the week off with low pressure moving from the Tennessee Valley into the eastern Great Lakes. It will spread clouds into the region today, with a few showers likely tonight into early Tuesday. Once that system moves by, high pressure builds in with drier conditions for Wednesday right through to Saturday. Temperatures will be mild for the most part, and next weekend could see temperatures get into the 70s away from the coastline. By Sunday, a cold front will drop down from the north with some showers, but temperatures will be dependent on the timing of the front. The later it moves through, the more likely it is that we have another warm day.

Next Sunday could be very warm across the region. Image provided by WeatherBell.

Monday: Plenty of clouds with some sunny breaks at times. High 60-67.

Monday night: Mostly cloudy, chance for a few showers. Low 50-57.

Tuesday: Chance for a few showers early, some clearing may take place late in the day. High 62-69.

Tuesday night: Becoming clear. Low 48-55.

Wednesday: Plenty of sunshine. High 61-68.

Thursday: Sun, sun, sun! High 56-63.

Friday: Partly sunny. High 62-69.

Saturday: Intervals of clouds and sun. High 65-72.

Sunday: Partly to mostly cloudy with showers possible. High 65-72.

Weekly Outlook: October 24-30, 2022

Over the past few months, we’ve had numerous weeks during which we have enjoyed extended stretches of dry weather. The first half of this week won’t be one of them.

A weak low pressure system moving up from the south will bring in more showers today, tapering off to drizzle this evening. Occasional showers may linger into Tuesday and Wednesday as an upper-level system moves in from the west, before a cold front finally moves across the region. Drier air moves in for Thursday, but temperatures will remain warm. High pressure then builds in for the end of the week with drier and more seasonable conditions.

Parts of the region could receive a decent amount of rainfall today. Image provided by WeatherBell.

Monday: Cloudy with occasional showers and fog. High 59-66.

Monday night: A few more showers along with some drizzle and fog. Low 51-58.

Tuesday: Plenty of clouds with a shower or two possible. High 64-71.

Tuesday night: Cloudy with a few showers, more fog may develop. Low 55-62.

Wednesday: Scattered showers. High 61-68.

Thursday: A mix of sun and clouds. High 64-71.

Friday: Partly sunny and cooler. High 52-59.

Saturday: Intervals of clouds and sun. High 53-60.

Sunday: Partly sunny. High 56-63.

Weekend Outlook: October 21-24, 2022

We’ve got a couple of nice days coming up, and a couple of not-so-nice days coming up.

After dealing with a drought for most of the summer, rainfall is above to well above normal over the past 60 days for most of the region. Image provided by WeatherBell.

High pressure remains in control through Saturday with sunshine both Friday and Saturday afternoon along with moderating temperatures. So, if you’ve got outdoor plans, you’re in good shape. Clouds will start to move in from the south late Saturday and Saturday night as low pressure starts moving up the coastline. This will be a fairly weak storm, but it will have plenty of moisture. Rain will develop during the day on Sunday, likely reaching the South Coast during the morning, the Mass Pike corridor by early afternoon, and the Merrimack Valley and Southern New Hampshire by late afternoon. Sunday night will be fairly wet, as the rain may be heavy at times. On Monday, the rain will taper off to showers during the morning, with the steadiest rain ending by early afternoon. However, occasional showers and drizzle may linger well into the evening, which could make for a damp night in Foxborough for the Patriots Monday Night Football game with the Bears.

Some heavy rain is possible across parts of the region Sunday into Monday. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.

Thursday night: Clear and chilly again. Low 36-43.

Friday: Plenty of sunshine. High 57-64.

Friday night: Clear skies. Low 37-44.

Saturday: Sunshine through early afternoon, then high clouds start to stream in. High 61-68.

Saturday night: Increasing and thickening clouds. Low 41-48.

Sunday: Rain developing from south to north. High 57-64.

Sunday night: Periods of rain, possibly heavy. Low 47-54.

Monday: Rain tapers off to showers early, showers drizzle through the afternoon. High 59-66.

Weekly Outlook: October 17-23, 2022

The week starts off unsettled, but a warmup is in the way.

Normal high temperatures for mid-October are in the lower 60s across the region. Image provided by Weathermodels.com

A strong cold front will approach the region today, with some showers developing ahead of it. Those showers will continue off -and-on into Tuesday morning before the front finally pushes offshore. It does not look like we’ll have the heavy rain that the models were advertising a few days ago, but any rain will help to continue to put a dent into the drought. Skies start to clear out late in the day as high pressure starts to build in. While temperatures will turn cooler for Tuesday and Wednesday, the core of the cold air will stay off to our west. In fact, some lake-effect snow is possible downwind of the Great Lakes over the next few days. We’ll have temperatures that are below normal, but highs should still be in the 50s. By the end of the week and the weekend, the high slides off to the east, allowing temperatures to moderate to above normal levels for Friday into Sunday.

Temperatures could reach 70 degrees next weekend. Image provided by WeatherBell.

Monday: Mostly cloudy, showers develop in the afternoon. High 57-64.

Monday night: Cloudy with occasional showers. Low 46-53.

Tuesday: Showers ending by early afternoon, gradual clearing late in the day. High 56-63.

Tuesday night: Becoming clear. Low 34-41.

Wednesday: Sunshine and a few clouds. High 51-58.

Thursday: Plenty of sunshine, breezy. High 50-57.

Friday: Mostly sunny. High 56-63.

Saturday: Sunshine and some afternoon clouds. High 62-69.

Sunday: A mix of sun and clouds. High 63-70.

Weekly Outlook: October 10-16, 2022

High pressure will be in control for much of the upcoming week, but there is some unsettled weather on the way.

Normal high temperatures for mid-October are still in the middle 60s. Image provided by Weathermodels.com

Another cool day to start off the week with a weak frontal system moving through, but only producing some clouds. High pressure will be in in control with moderating temperatures for Tuesday through Thursday with dry weather. Clouds will start to move in later Wednesday and Thursday as a strong cold front starts to approach the region. That front will bring in a period of rain and showers for Thursday night and early Friday, along with some gusty winds at times. Behind the front, high pressure builds back in with cooler weather for next weekend.

Some models are showing the potential for heavy rain Thursday into Friday. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.

Monday: Partly sunny, just a slight chance for an afternoon sprinkle, mainly north of Boston. High 59-66.

Monday night: Clear skies. Low 38-45.

Tuesday: Plenty of sunshine. High 60-67.

Tuesday night: Clear skies. Low 40-47.

Wednesday: A mix of sun and clouds. High 65-72.

Thursday: Becoming mostly cloudy and breezy with showers developing in the afternoon, possibly becoming a period of rain at night. High 65-72.

Friday: Showers end in the morning, then becoming partly sunny. High 64-71.

Saturday: Plenty of sunshine. High 59-66.

Sunday: Sunshine and some afternoon clouds. High 59-66.

Weekly Outlook: October 3-9, 2022

The first full week of October will bring us a variety of weather between now and next weekend.

We’re starting the week off on a cool note. High pressure will be located to the north, while the remains of Ian will generate a new low pressure area to our south, off the Mid-Atlantic coastline. The gradient in between the two will produce some gusty northeast to east winds for the next few days. This will result in below normal temperatures. The high to the north will help keep the region dry for the most part, but the low to the south, which will take its time moving out to sea, will be closer enough to bring some clouds in, with a few showers possible, mainly near the South Coast, and mainly Tuesday into early Wednesday.

Once again, the models don’t agree on how far north the rain gets and how much will fall. We’re leaning towards lighter amounts, mainly near the South Coast. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.

By Thursday, the low finally pulls away, and the high slides eastward as well, resulting in sunshine and warmer temperatures. Friday looks to be similar, but a strong cold front will be advancing toward the region. While it will be starved for moisture, it will usher the coolest airmass so far this fall into the region. Saturday looks to be breezy and quite cool, with a widespread frost and/or freeze possible Saturday night as the winds die down. Sunday should remain dry, but temperatures will remain on the cool side.

Saturday night is looking rather chilly right now. Image provided by WeatherBell.

Monday: Intervals of clouds and sun, breezy. High 53-60.

Monday night: Partly to mostly cloudy. Low 35-42 north and west of I-95, 43-50 south and east of I-95.

Tuesday: Plenty of clouds, breezy, chance for a few showers late in the day near the South Coast. High 56-63.

Tuesday night: Cloudy with some showers possible, mainly across southeastern Massachusetts and southern Rhode Island. Low 45-52, a little cooler across southern New Hampshire.

Wednesday: Mostly cloudy, breezy again, chance for a few more showers across eastern Massachusetts and Rhode Island. High 58-65.

Thursday: Partly to mostly sunny and milder. High 66-73.

Friday: Sunshine and some afternoon clouds. High 68-75.

Saturday: Mostly sunny, breezy, and much cooler. High 54-61.

Sunday: Mostly sunny. High 55-62.