Weekend Outlook: December 2-5, 2022

We’ll ride the temperature rollercoaster for a few more days, but changes are on the horizon.

High pressure builds in for tonight and Friday with generally dry and seasonably cool conditions. Winds will gradually diminish this evening, but if you’ll be outdoors, wind chills will be in the 20s, so dress accordingly. Clouds start to move back in Friday night as another low pressure system heads for southeastern Canada. As a result, it’ll turn windy and milder again on Saturday, with some showers likely. Neither the winds nor the rain will be as intense as what we had yesterday, but it’ll still be quite breezy. A cold front moves through late in the day, ending both the rain and the milder air. Gusty northwest winds usher cooler air in for Sunday. As high pressure builds in, the winds will slacken, and it will remain dry and cool for Sunday into Monday.

Wind gusts of 40-50 mph or higher are possible across the region on Saturday. Image provided by Weathermodels.com

Just a heads up, as it’s beyond the range of this outlook, and we’ll go into more detail in our Weekly Outlook Monday morning, but a large-scale pattern change is looming on the horizon. After another system brings in some rain on Tuesday, much cooler air will start to settle in on Wednesday, and beyond that, a chilly, but for the most part dry, pattern is expected for the middle part of December.

Much cooler weather is expected to settle in by the end of next week. Image provided by WeatherBell.

Thursday night: Mostly clear with diminishing winds. Low 23-30.

Friday: Mostly sunny. High 40-47.

Friday night: Increasing clouds. Low 31-38 during the evening, temperatures rise a little after midnight.

Saturday: Mostly cloudy, windy, and mild, with showers likely. High 54-61.

Saturday night: Clearing, breezy. Low 28-35.

Sunday: Sunshine and some afternoon clouds. High 37-44.

Sunday night: Partly cloudy. Low 25-32.

Monday: Partly to mostly sunny. High 41-48.

Weekly Outlook: November 28 – December 4, 2022

Meteorological Winter begins on Thursday, but Mother Nature doesn’t want to bring us any winter weather anytime soon.

A cold front will cross the region today, and although it will have little moisture with it, it will bring breezy and cooler weather in for later today and into Tuesday. We’ll warm back up on Wednesday ahead of another storm system. That system passes to our north and west, with some rain likely late Wednesday and Wednesday night. As colder air settle sin behind the storm, some wet snow may mix in before the precipitation ends across the hills of central Massachusetts and southwestern New Hampshire. High pressure builds in behind that system with chilly weather for Thursday and Friday. We may warm up again on Saturday ahead of yet another cold front that could bring in some showers, with cooler weather returning on Sunday.

Wind chills will be in the 20s for the Patriots showdown with the Bills in Foxborough Thursday evening. Image provided by WeatherBell.

Monday: Some clouds around in the morning, becoming mostly sunny and breezy in the afternoon. High 48-55.

Monday night: Clear skies. Low 24-31.

Tuesday: A mix of sun and clouds. High 39-46.

Tuesday night: Partly to mostly cloudy. Low 28-35.

Wednesday: Mostly cloudy and windy with rain developing in the afternoon, ending at night, possibly mixed with some wet snow across the Worcester Hills and the Monadnocks. High 54-61.

Thursday: Sunshine and a few clouds, windy, much cooler. High 38-45.

Friday: Partly to mostly sunny. High 39-46.

Saturday: Partly to mostly cloudy, breezy, chance for some showers. High 50-57.

Sunday: A mix of sun and clouds. High 42-49.

Thanksgiving Weekend Outlook: November 24-28, 2022

Much of the Thanksgiving Weekend will feature nice weather with little impact on travel.

High pressure builds back in for tonight and Thanksgiving with dry and seasonably chilly conditions. Clouds will start to stream back in Thursday night as a cold front approaches the region. That front will produce some rain showers Friday afternoon, but they shouldn’t be a problem. High pressure builds back in for Saturday with sunshine. Sunday is the day where weather will have the biggest impact. Another storm system will be heading towards the region from the southwest. This will bring in a period of rain and showers on Sunday, likely during the afternoon and evening hours. While the rain won’t be exceptionally heavy, it will be enough to slow down holiday travel on one of the busiest travel days of the year. High pressure builds back in on Monday with drier and cooler weather.

Temperatures could approach 60 in some spots on Sunday. Image provided by WeatherBell.

Wednesday night: Clear to partly cloudy. Low 23-30.

Thanksgiving: Sunshine and some afternoon clouds. High 41-48.

Thursday night: Increasing clouds. Low 29-36.

Friday: Cloudy, breezy, and mild with some showers likely during the afternoon. High 49-56.

Friday night: Clearing, breezy. Low 30-37.

Saturday: Plenty of sunshine. High 44-51.

Saturday night: Clouds return. Low 33-40.

Sunday: Cloudy, breezy, and mild with rain likely. High 52-59.

Sunday night: Rain ends in the evening, then becoming partly cloudy. Low 39-46.

Monday: A mix of sun and clouds, breezy. High 46-53.

Weekly Outlook: November 21-27, 2022

Half of this week will be decent, and the other half may or may not be unsettled.

We’ve got high pressure in control for the next few days with generally dry weather and moderating temperatures. A weak frontal system moves through late Wednesday with little fanfare, but it will bring some cooler air back in for Thanksgiving Day. We’ll also see clouds stream in on Thanksgiving as low pressure begins to make its way up the East Coast. This is where things become very uncertain.

Temperatures could reach 50 in parts of the area on Wednesday. Image provided by WeatherBell.

The models have been consistently inconsistent with this storm. They never seem to agree with each other, and they change their tune on nearly every run. Sometimes it’ll look likely a coastal storm with strong winds and heavy rain, and possibly a wintry mix across the interior, some runs the storm goes up to the west of us, so we get rain and milder temperatures, some runs it’s a coastal storm well offshore and a weaker system moving across northern New England with just a few showers. Some runs have the storm Friday, some Saturday, and now, some even have it on Sunday. At this point, it’s just too early to nail down any details. What you’ll see below is our best guess at this point, but really, we could just write in “Partly to mostly ____ with a chance of _____”, and that would probably cover it too. We should have more clarity when we post our Weekend Outlook, which will be done on Wednesday this week instead of Thursday due to Thanksgiving.

The models have differing ideas on a potential late-week storm. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.

Monday: Sunshine and a few clouds, breezy. High 36-43.

Monday night: Clear skies. Low 26-33.

Tuesday: Sunshine and some afternoon clouds. High 40-47.

Tuesday night: Clear skies. Low 26-33.

Wednesday: Plenty of sunshine. High 44-51.

Thursday: Morning sun, then increasing and thickening clouds. High 41-48.

Friday: Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain. High 47-54.

Saturday: Partly to mostly cloudy and breezy with a chance of rain. High 47-54.

Sunday: Partly sunny, breezy. High 45-52.

Weekend Outlook: November 18-21, 2022

Dry and cold weather continues across the region right through the weekend.

For the most part, we’ll have weather more typical of early December for the weekend with high pressure building in and remaining in control. A weak cold front moves through late Saturday or early Sunday with little fanfare, but it will bring slightly colder weather in for Sunday and Monday. A wave of low pressure riding along that front may produce a few rain or snow showers across Cape Cod, but otherwise, we’ll remain dry for the next several days.

Sunday’s temperatures will be roughly 10 degrees below normal. Image provided by Weathermodels.com

Thursday night: Clear to partly cloudy. Low 25-32.

Friday: Mostly sunny, a few clouds across Cape Cod. High 38-45.

Friday night: Clear skies. Low 22-29.

Saturday: Mostly sunny, partly sunny across the Cape. High 37-44.

Saturday night: Partly cloudy, chance for a rain or snow shower across Cape Cod. Low 22-29.

Sunday: Partly to mostly sunny, breezy. High 33-40.

Sunday night: Clear skies. Low 19-26.

Monday: A mix of sun and clouds, breezy. High 38-45.

Weekly Outlook: November 14-2,0 2022

Uh oh. It’s that time. You might want to sit down. Yup. We’ve got some bad news for you. That word is in the forecast. You know which one we’re talking about. The one that you really don’t like. At all. It’s 4 letters, begins with “s” and ends with “w” and it rhymes with “no”. Yeah, that word. You knew it was coming eventually, but you still didn’t want to hear (or read) it. Well, it’s too late. You’ve been warned.

We start the week off with high pressure in control for Monday. The result is plenty of sunshine, but rather chilly temperatures, a stark contrast to what we had over the weekend. But, it is November, and the nice weather can’t last forever, because this is New England, not Miami or San Diego or St. Croix. Tuesday looks dry and chilly too, but we’ll have clouds streaming in ahead of a low pressure system moving toward the region.

Normal high temperatures for mid-November are within a degree or two of 50. Iage provided by Weathermodels.com

Tuesday night, some moisture will start streaming in ahead of that storm, and with temperatures likely near or below freezing, we may see some (WARNING: BAD WORD INCOMING) “snow” developing across the area. For areas from Boston southward, it may be just a few flurries or sprinkles Tuesday evening. The more substantial moisture moves in overnight, with most rain in the I-95 corridor and points south and east. North and west of there, especially outside of I-495, some wet snow may develop, but even here, it should change to rain by daybreak. The pavement remains far too warm for any accumulations (except for bridges and overpasses), but grassy surfaces, and car windshields could see some slushy accumulation, perhaps up to an inch as you head into southern New Hampshire. Across the Worcester Hills and up into the Monadnocks, there could even be a little more than that. Everything changes over to rain during the morning, and rain continues into the afternoon before winding down. There could be some gusty winds along the coast as well, but all in all, this is not a big deal. Across parts of Cape Cod and potentially southeastern Massachusetts, temperatures could briefly spike into the 50s or even 60s if the low tracks across the area, but for the rest of, Wednesday will feature temperatures in the 40s or even 30s.

If you’re out and about before daybreak Wednesday, precipitation may not be all rain. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.

An upper-level trough of low pressure crosses the Northeast of Thursday with some clouds and possibly a few sprinkles or flurries. High pressure then builds in for the end of the week and the weekend with generally dry and chilly conditions.

Temperatures on Saturday could be 10-15 degrees below normal. Image provided by WeatherBell.

Monday: Plenty of sunshine, breezy at times. High 40-47.

Monday night: Mostly clear skies. Low 21-28.

Tuesday: Some morning sun, then clouds stream in. High 39-46.

Tuesday night: Cloudy with light rain developing at night, starting as light snow or a wintry mix north and west of Boston, gradually changing to all rain by daybreak. Up to an inch of slushy accumulation is possible on grassy surfaces north and west of I-495. Low 27-34, temperatures slowly rise after midnight.

Wednesday: Any lingering wintry mix changing to all rain, ending during the afternoon. High 40-47 north and west of Boston, 48-55 south, potentially warmer across Cape Cod.

Thursday: Partly sunny, breezy, chance for a rain or snow shower. High 40-47.

Friday: Partly to mostly sunny, breezy. High 39-46.

Saturday: Sunshine and a few clouds. High 37-44.

Sunday: Partly to mostly sunny. High 38-45.

Weekend Outlook: November 11-14, 2022

Tropical Storm Nicole is crossing Florida and the Dakotas are in the midst of a blizzard. Both of these systems will have an impact on our weather over the next few days.

High pressure continues to push offshore tonight resulting in mild weather continuing into Saturday. The system producing the blizzard in the Dakotas will head into southern Canada, but a strong cold front trails that storm and it will march eastward over the next couple of days. At the same time, what’s left of Nicole will head up the Appalachians, eventually becoming absorbed by the front. We’ll see clouds start to stream in ahead of these systems tonight, but any rainfall likely holds off until late Friday afternoon, resulting in a cloudy but mild Veteran’s Day, with temperatures approaching 70 in many locations. A period of steady and potentially heavy rain is likely Friday night into Saturday morning, but the heaviest of the rain should stay to our north and west. Given that this air is of tropical origins, some rumbles of thunder are possible. The rain will also be accompanied by some gusty winds. The front moves through around midday and the rain ends, with skies starting to clear out in the afternoon. It will be another warm day, with temperatures near or above 70 once again. Clouds hang around for Saturday night and a good portion of Sunday as an upper-level trough crosses the region. Could there be a stray shower or two early Sunday? It’s possible, but they’ll be few and far between. We’ll clear out later Sunday and into Monday as high pressure builds in with much cooler air. In fact, temperatures look to be below normal for a good chunk of next week. There’s even, dare we say it, the potential for a few flakes around here with a system toward mid-week. We’ll touch on that more in our Weekly Outlook early Monday.

Temperatures Sunday morning will be 20-25 degrees cooler than they were at the same time Saturday morning. Image provided by WeatherBell.

Thursday night: Increasing clouds. Low 47-54.

Friday: Becoming cloudy, showers developing late in the day. High 64-71.

Friday night: Windy with periods of rain, possibly heavy at times, some thunder is also possible. Low 57-64 during the evening, temperatures may rise a few degrees overnight.

Saturday: Rain tapers off and ends during the morning, some sunshine develops in the afternoon, breezy. High 66-73.

Saturday night: Partly to mostly cloudy, slight chance for a late-night shower. Low 41-48.

Sunday: Plenty of clouds with a shower possible in the morning, skies start to clear out during the afternoon, much cooler. High 49-56.

Sunday night: Clear and chilly. Low 29-36.

Monday: Plenty of sunshine, but quite cool. High 41-48.

Weekly Outlook: November 7-13, 2022

Fall is a time for change, and we’ll have some changes coming this week.

Our unseasonably warm air remains in place for one more day today. A few showers are possible this morning as a cold front crosses the region, then we’ll have a sunny a warm afternoon. The colder air lags a bit behind the front, but it will start to move in late in the day. High pressure then builds inf for Tuesday and Wednesday with sunshine and much cooler temperatures, though they’ll actually be fairly close to normal for early November. As the high slides off to the east, well warm back up for Thursday and Friday. While it won’t be as warm as it was over the weekend, it’ll still be rather mild for the first half of November. After that, the changes really start.

More record highs are possible across the Northeast today. Image provided by Weathermodels.com.

An area of low pressure is slowly organizing east of the Bahamas. It will likely become a tropical depression soon (possibly even before you read this). It will likely become a tropical storm or the next day or so, and could even become a hurricane. While it may seem unusual for a hurricane this late in the year, Hurricane Season doesn’t end until November 30 for a reason. This system will likely head westward, passing close to or over the northern Bahamas before heading for the east coast of central Florida. Eventually, the storm will turn northward as a deepening trough of low pressure moves toward the East Coast. When this turn occurs is still a bit of a question, and while it will have a significant impact for Florida and the Southeast, for us up here, it doesn’t make too much of a difference (more on that in a bit). A turn before reaching Florida would obviously spare the state from the worst of the impact, delaying the turn until it crosses the state and moves into the Gulf increases the threat to western Florida and possibly the Panhandle. The most likely scenario though is a northward turn shortly after landfall, bringing it up Florida and into the Southeast. This brings heavy rain and strong winds to much of the state, while storm surge also an issue for the east coast of Florida.

Ensemble forecasts for the track of a disturbance north of Puerto Rico. Image provided by Tomer Burg.

Once it makes that turn, it will turn more toward the northeast, likely moving back offshore off the coast of Georgia, and passing close to or just off the Carolina coastline. After that it will head up the coast, passing south and east of New England on Saturday. It won’t be tropical any more at this point, but it will still be a potent nor’easter. As a result, we’ll have some rain, likely heavy, from Friday night into late Saturday. Gusty winds are also likely near the coast. Some of the models are trying to bring a tremendous amount of rain into eastern New England, and given the system’s tropical roots, this is certainly a possibility. However, we’ve seen time and time again the models forecast some very heavy rain several days in advance, and slowly back off those totals as the system gets closer.

Most of the models show some heavy rain for the end of the week, but differ on how heavy. Images provided by Pivoral Weather.

As the system moves away, a strong cold front will move through. Behind it, we’ll clear out on Sunday, but much cooler air will settle into the region with high pressure building in. In fact, a much cooler pattern is shaping up for next week, with temperatures likely below normal for a good chunk of the week.

Most of next week looks to feature below normal temperatures across the Northeast. Image provided by WeatherBell.

Monday: Cloudy, breezy, and mild with a shower possibly early, then skies clear out in the afternoon. High 71-78.

Monday night: Clear skies (Perfect for viewing the total lunar eclipse late at night). Low 37-44.

Tuesday: Plenty of sunshine, breezy, much cooler. High 48-55.

Tuesday night: Clear skies. Low 28-35.

Wednesday: More sunshine. High 47-54.

Thursday: Sunshine and a few afternoon clouds, milder. High 59-66.

Friday: Increasing and thickening clouds, showers possible late in the day, steady rain develops at night. High 63-70.

Saturday: Cloudy and breezy with periods of rain, possibly heavy at times, ending at night. High 61-68.

Sunday: A mix of sun and clouds, breezy, and much cooler. High 46-53.

Weekend Outlook: November 4-7, 2022

The calendar says November, but it sure won’t feel like it this weekend.

High pressure controls our weather right into Monday. Temperatures will be well above normal, with highs topping 70 in many locations for each of the next few afternoon. Friday will feature sunshine, but some clouds will start to move in on Saturday, and be more prevalent on Sunday as a weak front tries to approach from the west. That front likely never gets here, so we’ll clear out again on Monday. However, a backdoor cold front will drop southward later Monday. There won’t be much in the way of cloudcover with the front, but it will mark the end of our warm spell, with cooler weather slowly returning next week.

A few record highs are possible across the region on Sunday. Image provided by WeatherBell.

Thursday night: Clear to partly cloudy, a little patchy fog may develop in a few spots. Low 41-48.

Friday: Sunshine and a few clouds. High 65-72.

Friday night: Partly cloudy. Low 51-58.

Saturday: A mix of sun and clouds. High 68-75.

Saturday night: Partly to mostly cloudy. Low 59-66.

Sunday: Intervals of clouds and sunshine. High 69-76.

Sunday night: Partly cloudy. Low 57-64.

Monday: Becoming mostly sunny. High 70-77.

Weekly Outlook: October 31 – November 6, 2022

As we flip the calendar to November, it certainly won’t feel like the final month of fall for a good portion of the week.

Normal high temperatures are in the middle 50s as we begin November. Image provided by Weathermodels.com

We start the week off with low pressure moving from the Tennessee Valley into the eastern Great Lakes. It will spread clouds into the region today, with a few showers likely tonight into early Tuesday. Once that system moves by, high pressure builds in with drier conditions for Wednesday right through to Saturday. Temperatures will be mild for the most part, and next weekend could see temperatures get into the 70s away from the coastline. By Sunday, a cold front will drop down from the north with some showers, but temperatures will be dependent on the timing of the front. The later it moves through, the more likely it is that we have another warm day.

Next Sunday could be very warm across the region. Image provided by WeatherBell.

Monday: Plenty of clouds with some sunny breaks at times. High 60-67.

Monday night: Mostly cloudy, chance for a few showers. Low 50-57.

Tuesday: Chance for a few showers early, some clearing may take place late in the day. High 62-69.

Tuesday night: Becoming clear. Low 48-55.

Wednesday: Plenty of sunshine. High 61-68.

Thursday: Sun, sun, sun! High 56-63.

Friday: Partly sunny. High 62-69.

Saturday: Intervals of clouds and sun. High 65-72.

Sunday: Partly to mostly cloudy with showers possible. High 65-72.