Some nicer weather is on the way for the weekend, but the forecast isn’t quite that simple.
Freeze Warnings are in effect for parts of the region tonight. Image provided by Pivotal Weather.
High pressure remains in control into Saturday with sunshine and cool conditions. Freeze Warnings are in effect again tonight south of the Mass Pike and along the coast. If you’re wondering why there are no Freeze Warnings north and west of Boston, it’s not because it won’t be as cold, it’s because we haven’t received the average date of the last 32-degree reading for the year yet in those areas. Temperatures will gradually moderate on Friday and Saturday as the high slides off to the east. By later Saturday we’ll see some high clouds start to move in ahead of a warm front. They’ll thicken up in the evening with a few showers likely Saturday night. By Sunday, we’ll turn a bit milder, but we’ll still have plenty of clouds around and a pop-up shower is possible. Monday is the day with the trickiest forecast. We’ll be mostly dry, with partly sunny skies, and just a slight chance for a stray shower, but the temperatures forecast is not that easy. While it may get quite mild inland, a backdoor cold front could result in a much cooler day near the coast, especially north of Boston. How quickly that front moves in will impact the temperature forecast, but in the afternoon, many places near the coast will likely drop into the 50s or even upper 40s while inland areas will be well into the 60s or even 70s.
Temperatures could be 20 or more degrees cooler near the coast compared to inland areas Monday afternoon. Image provided by WeatherBell.
Thursday night: Clear and chilly. Low 27-34.
Friday: Sun, sun, and more sun. High 53-60, little cooler at the coast.
Friday night: Clear skies. Low 31-38.
Saturday: Sunny in the morning, increasing and thickening clouds in the afternoon. High 59-66, little cooler right at the coast.
Saturday night: Mostly cloudy with a few showers likely, mainly after midnight. Low 38-45.
Sunday: Intervals of clouds and sun, slight chance for an afternoon shower. High 61-68, cooler along the coast.
Sunday night: Partly cloudy. Low 47-54.
Monday: Partly sunny, slight chance for a shower. High 66-73 inland, 58-65 along the coast, possibly even cooler during the afternoon.
Much, but not all, of the upcoming week will feature dry weather and cooler than normal temperatures.
Temperatures will be below to well below normal across the Northeast during the next 7 days. Image provided by WeatherBell.
We start the week off on a chilly note with high pressure in control, but it will bring us plenty of sunshine today and Tuesday. Some clouds start to move in by Tuesday evening as a cold front moves in from the west. We’ll turn milder ahead of the front for Tuesday and Wednesday, but will also have some rain showers to contend with on Wednesday. This does not look like a heavy rain event, but it will be a wet day, especially during the morning. We may start to clear out by late in the day, with gusty winds ushering cooler air back in for Wednesday night and Thursday. High pressure builds in for Friday with sunshine, lighter winds, and cool temperatures. We’ll start to warm up a bit on Saturday as the high slides off to the east, then another cold front approaches on Sunday with another round of showers possible. However, if that cold front moves in slower, as some models suggest, not only could the day end up dry, it could end up quite mild as well.
There’s a wide range in the temperature forecasts for Sunday among the models. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.
Monday: Plenty of sunshine. High 51-58.
Monday night: Clear skies. Low 30-37.
Tuesday: More sunshine, clouds start to move in late in the day. High 56-63, cooler along the coast.
Tuesday night: Becoming partly to mostly cloudy, showers possible toward daybreak. Low 37-44.
Wednesday: Showers likely through early afternoon, skies start to clear out late in the day, becoming breezy. High 56-63.
Thursday: Lots of sunshine, breezy. High 49-56.
Friday: Sunshine continues. High 54-61.
Saturday: Partly sunny, breezy. High 58-65.
Sunday: More clouds than sun, chance for showers, breezy. High 60-67.
Some drier weather is on the way, but we’ve still got some rain in our future.
Average high temperatures for mid-April are close to 60 degrees. Image provided by Weathermodels.com
Rain will come to an end this evening, then high pressure builds back in for Friday with drier conditions. There may be a few sunny breaks, but for the most part, it’ll be a cloudy and milder day. A cold front moving in from the west will bring in some showers for Friday night and Saturday morning before the front moves through. We’ll gradually clear out with gusty winds behind the front during the day, then high pressure builds in for Sunday and Monday with dry and seasonably mild conditions.
This is the wettest year-to-date for many locations across the region thus far. Image provided by the Southeast Regional Climate Center.
Thursday night: Cloudy, showers ending before midnight. Low 37-44.
Friday: Clouds with some afternoon sunshine, especially south of Boston. High 53-60, coolest along the coast.
Friday night: Becoming cloudy, a few showers during the evening, becoming more widespread after midnight. Low 40-47.
Saturday: Rain ending by early afternoon, some late-day clearing, becoming breezy. High 58-65.
Saturday night: Becoming clear. Low 36-43.
Sunday: Partly to mostly sunny, breezy. High 54-61.
Sunday night: Clear to partly cloudy. Low 36-43.
Monday: Sunshine and a few clouds, breezy. High 55-62.
We’ll start the week with some great weather, but it may not end that way.
We’ve got perfect weather for baseball on tap this morning.
We start the week with nearly ideal conditions for Patriots Day – mostly sunny skies, lighter winds, and temperatures that are 5-10 degrees above normal. It might be a tad warm for the Marathon runners, but for everyone else it’ll be fantastic for outdoor activities. Tuesday is shaping up to be a similar day with more sunshine and mild temperatures with high pressure still in control. Wednesday is when things start to change. A low pressure system that will produce severe weather across the nation’s mid-section over the next couple of days will head towards the Great Lakes, sending clouds our way. With high pressure off to our north, we’ll remain dry for much of the day, but winds will become onshore, so it will turn much cooler along the coast, though it will remain fairly mild once you head farther inland. A secondary low pressure system will begin to develop across the Mid-Atlantic states late Wednesday, passing south of the region Thursday, with some showers expected. Friday may end up being a dry day with that system meandering around well to the south. A cold front brings in some more showers for Saturday, then it looks like high pressure will build in with dry weather for Sunday.
The latter half of the week looks unsettled, but not that wet. Loop provided by Tropical Tidbits.
Monday: Sunshine and some afternoon clouds, breezy in the afternoon. High 64-71.
Monday night: Clear skies. Low 40-47.
Tuesday: Mostly sunny. High 58-65.
Tuesday night: Clear skies. Low 37-44.
Wednesday: Morning sun, then increasing afternoon clouds. High 57-64, a little cooler along the coast.
Thursday: More clouds than sun, breezy, showers possible in the afternoon. High 49-56.
Friday: Mostly cloudy, slight chance for a shower, mainly near the South Coast. High 52-59.
Saturday: Mostly cloudy, breezy, showers possible, mainly in the morning. High 55-62.
Sunday: Intervals of clouds and sun, breezy. High 52-59.
Our last sign that winter is over arrives this weekend – Marathon Monday, and we’ll have some rather nice weather for it as well.
As far as we’re concerned, Patriots Day is the best day of the year. Image provided by the New York Times.
The weather won’t be so nice for the few days leading up to it this weekend, but that’s typical of Spring in New England. A strong low pressure system is heading for the Ohio Valley this afternoon, sending a warm front our way. Some showers will accompany that front this evening, with temperatures rising overnight behind it. We’ll also have some gusty southerly winds ushering that warmer air in. Showers will become a steadier and heavier rain overnight, which will renew flooding concerns once again for much of the region. The low pressure system will send a cold front through Friday morning. Ahead of it, there could be a line of thunderstorms developing, with some more heavy rain and gusty winds. Everything should wind down during the afternoon, with some clearing possible late in the day. However, an upper-level low will move across the Northeast on Saturday, keeping plenty of clouds and gusty winds around with a few more showers possible, especially during the morning. We’ll see some clearing for Saturday night, but clouds quickly return on Sunday as yet another weak system heads our way. This one will bring in another round of rain showers late Sunday and Sunday night, mainly south of the Mass Pike. That system pulls away late at night, and high pressure builds in for Patriots Day on Monday with sunshine, breezy conditions, and mild temperatures. Normal high temperatures for mid-April are in the middle to upper 50s, but we should be about 5-10 degrees warmer than that.
Monday is looking like a glorious day across the region. Image provided by WeatherBell.
Thursday night: Showers redevelop, becoming a steady rain after midnight, becoming windy. Low 48-55 this evening, temperatures may rise a bit after midnight.
Friday: Rain, possibly a thunderstorm, during the morning, taper off to showers and ending early afternoon with some late-day sunny breaks possible, windy. High 57-64.
The sun is finally back, though it’ll briefly disappear this afternoon, but we’ve got more rain coming this week.
Should be perfect weather for viewing the eclipse across northern New England this afternoon. Image provided by Pivotal Weather.
Low pressure has finally moved out and high pressure has built in with sunshine and milder temperatures today. Some high clouds will start to move in this afternoon, but shouldn’t have any impact on viewing the eclipse late this afternoon. As the high slides off to the east on Tuesday, winds will become onshore, so despite the fact that we’ll have sunshine through high clouds once again, it’ll be much cooler the closer you get to the coast. For the Red Sox home opener at Fenway, it will be mostly sunny, but temperatures will probably only be in the upper 40s to lower 50s.
Opening Day will be sunny once again, and not as chilly as last year.
Clouds will thicken up Tuesday night and Wednesday as a warm front approaches, with some showers accompanying it late in the day. It may take its time crossing the region, so Wednesday may be another cool day, especially across southern New Hampshire and the Merrimack Valley. We’ll break into the warmer air on Thursday as well as Friday ahead of a slow-moving cold front. Ahead of that front we’re looking at another round of rain, with many places picking up another inch or more between Thursday and Friday, so flooding concerns could return once again. The front moves offshore late Friday, then high pressure builds back in for the weekend though an upper-level low will also be moving in, which could generate a few pop-up showers each afternoon.
Much of the region will receive another inch or so of rain for the latter half of the week. Image provided by WeatherBell.
Monday: Plenty of sunshine, some high clouds move in during the afternoon. High 59-66.
Monday night: Partly cloudy. Low 39-46.
Tuesday: Mostly sunny, clouds move back in during the afternoon. High 51-58 along the coast, 59-66 inland.
Tuesday night: Becoming mostly cloudy. Low 36-43.
Wednesday: Cloudy with some showers developing in the afternoon. High 50-57, coolest along the coast.
Thursday: Scattered showers, breezy. High 52-59.
Friday: Rain likely, mostly in the morning, some late-day clearing possible, windy. High 57-64.
Saturday: Partly sunny, windy, chance for a few showers. High 51-58.
Sunday: A mix of sun and clouds, breezy, another shower possible. High 56-63.
The weekend won’t be half bad around here. Of course, that means it’ll only be half good.
Our storm system won’t be in a hurry to leave the region this weekend. Loop provided by Pivotal Weather.
The storm that brought us more heavy rain, gusty winds, and a variety of wintry conditions will pull away from the region tonight, but it won’t get that far. An upper-level low will move in, capturing the surface low pressure area. As a result, it’ll just drift around over the Gulf of Maine and eastern New England for a few more days. That’ll keep plenty of clouds around with cool temperatures and some occasional rain or snow showers into Saturday. By Sunday, the system will finally begin to move away, with gradual clearing expected, though temperatures will remain cool. For Monday, high pressure builds in with sunshine and mild temperatures – perfect for eclipse viewing in the afternoon. Taking a quick peek at Tuesday for the Red Sox home opener, it should be sunny and seasonably cool, but a seabreeze (or backdoor cold front) may keep temperatures considerably cooler than places farther inland.
Conditions should be nearly ideal for eclipse viewing Monday afternoon. Image provided by WeatherBell.
Thursday night: Plenty of clouds, a few more snow showers from the North Shore into southern New Hampshire, some clearing possible across Cape Cod, winds diminish. Low 28-35.
Friday: Mostly cloudy, chance for a few rain or snow showers, a few sunny breaks across Cape Cod and the South Coast, breezy. High 41-48.
Friday night: Partly to mostly cloudy with few snow or rain showers possible. Low 31-38.
Saturday: Mostly cloudy, breezy, chance for more snow or rain showers. High 40-47.
A long-duration late-season storm is headed our way, but despite the hype, it will not be a big “winter” storm for most of the region.
Widespread severe weather is occurring across the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys this afternoon. Image provided by the Storm Prediction Center.
Low pressure is heading towards the Great Lakes this afternoon, producing severe weather across the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys. Rain was overspreading southwestern New England this afternoon and will continue do to so this evening, but aside from some brief bursts of steady rain, we’re just looking at some scattered showers through the evening, mainly south of the MA/NH border, with little precipitation expected overnight. Some snow may mix in across the hills of Worcester County, but little, if any, accumulation is expected. As we get into Wednesday, a secondary area of low pressure will develop over the Mid-Atlantic states and head northeastward. This will be the big weather-maker around here. Rain will redevelop, and temperatures will drop into the lower 40s and 30s, while east to northeast winds start to increase, resulting in a rather miserable early April day. Across the interior, especially in the hills of Worcester County and into the Monadnocks, the rain may be mixed with sleet. By evening, steadier and heavier precipitation will move in, with sleet changing to snow in the hills, and sleet and/or snow mixing in across areas north and west if I-495. By Thursday morning, the heaviest precipitation will move offshore, but showers will continue off and on, mixing with snow at times across the interior. As the system stalls out and an upper-level low moves in, the storm will meander around in the Gulf of Maine, keeping the shower activity going off and on into Friday and likely Saturday as well, before conditions improve on Sunday.
The European model shows the progression of the storm and precipitation types over the next few days. Loop proovided by Pivotal Weather.
OK, that’s the general overview, here’s the details of what the impacts will be. First and foremost – heavy rain. Much of the region can expect 1-3 inches of liquid precipitation, which will be nearly all rain across the I-95 corridor and points south and east. Many rivers and streams are already running high, and this will only worsen the situation. The ground remains saturated, so there will be lots of people whose backyards become ponds, which could also result in flooded basements.
The models all show quite a bit of precipitation with this next storm system. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.
In addition to the rain, strong winds are likely. Sustained winds of 15-30 mph, with gusts of 40-50 mph or higher, especially along the coast, could result in some wind damage in spots. It will also produce some coastal flooding along east and northeast facing shorelines around the time of high tide on Wednesday and especially Wednesday night.
The strongest winds are expected late Wednesday night and Thursday morning. Image provided by Weathermodels.com
Now, to the “winter” part of this storm. By now, you’ve probably seen everyone sharing model snow maps showing unbelievable amounts of snow from this storm, especially across the interior. Don’t believe them, at all. They do not tell the story of what will happen. Allow us to explain. Under normal circumstances, 1 inch of liquid will result in 10 inches of snow, all other things being equal. That’s what these maps show, and you can usually see a reference to “10:1” on these maps. Things are not equal with this storm. For one, for most of the region, temperatures may not even get down to freezing, let alone below freezing. This changes the ratio closer to 5:1, instead of 10:1, so right off the bat, you need to cut the snow totals from those maps in half. Secondly, the sun angle is much higher now than in the middle of winter, roughly the equivalent of the sun angle around Labor Day. So, during the daytime, despite the cloudcover, the sun angle is high enough to prevent snow from accumulating unless it is coming down fairly hard. In this case, the heaviest precipitation is likely after dark. So, most of the snow that those maps show falling during the day, likely won’t accumulate. Third, many of the models show of layer of warmer air about 8000 feet above ground, especially during the late afternoon and evening. As snow falls into the warmer layer it will melt, then start to refreeze in a colder layer below it – that results in sleet. So, that cuts even more into those snow amounts. The farther north you go, as well as the higher up you go (in the hills), the better chance for some snow accumulation, but for the vast majority of people reading this post, you do not need to be concerned about snow. So, after all that, how much are we actually expecting?
Areas south and east of Interstate 495: Less than 1″ Northern MA/Southern NH (including the Seacoast): 1-3″ Areas north of Concord, NH and the hills of Worcester County/Monadnocks: 4-8″, with heavier amounts likely, especially the farther north you go.
The European model snow depth change map is closest to our idea for how much snow to each. Image provided by WeatherBell.
The good news is that it is still looking like good weather for the eclipse on Monday. We’ll update you on that again in our Weekend Outlook on Thursday.
We’re into April, but it won’t feel like it. In fact, there may be some flaky white stuff coming for parts of the region, and that’s not an April Fool’s joke.
Temperatures will be well below normal this week. Image provided by WeatherBell,
A weak low pressure system will pass south of the region today, bringing in some clouds, but only a few rain showers, mainly near the South Coast. However, that’s just the warmup act for what is to come. Another low pressure system will follow on Tuesday, again passing south of the region. This one will spread in a few more showers, again favoring areas closer to the South Coast, but a stronger system will move into the Great Lakes, producing some severe weather across the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys. This is the system that will impact us Wednesday into Thursday.
Unsettled weather is expected for much of the upcoming week. Loop provided by Tropical Tidbits.
That system will slowly drift eastward spreading rain in during the day on Wednesday, some of which could be heavy. This will renew flooding concerns across the region. Meanwhile, a secondary area of low pressure will develop near the Mid-Atlantic states, heading northeastward while strengthening. This will bring more heavy rain in along with some gusty northeast winds. This could result in some coastal flooding along east-facing shorelines at high tide. This is also where the uncertainty starts to creep in. Whether the storm stays south of New England, passes close to the South Coast, or crosses Cape Cod, remains to be seen, but it will have an impact on the forecast. Why? As the system strengthens, it will drag cold air southward from Canada. We could see some snow mix in with the rain during the daytime on Wednesday, but with the sun angle getting higher and higher, and temperatures likely above freezing, it’ll have a very tough time accumulating unless it comes down fairly hard. Once the sunsets, accumulation will be a bit more likely, especially across the hills from Worcester County into the Monadnocks, but also across the lower elevations of the interior, where temperatures may drop close to freezing. This will depend on how far north the low actually travels. The farther north the low goes, the farther north you’ll need to be to see accumulating snow. While it’s still a little early for us to start talking about amounts, others have posted some of the model snow forecasts on the internet already. The problem is, these maps significantly overestimate the amount of snow that this storm will likely produce, due to the factors we listed above. We’ll likely post a more detailed look at this storm on Tuesday, when things should be a bit clearer.
The models all have different ideas on where the storm will be and how strong it will be Wednesday night, which impacts how much and what type of precipitation we can expect. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.
Rain and snow showers should wind down on Thursday, but winds will remain gusty as the storm only slowly pulls away. An upper-level low pressure system will move in for Friday and Saturday, keeping the surface low pressure area nearby, resulting in breezy and chilly conditions, with a few more rain or snow showers possible. High pressure builds in for Sunday with drier and more seasonable conditions.
Historically, the odds are against us having good weather to see the eclipse on Monday. Image provided by NOAA.
For the eclipse on Monday, right now, it looks like high pressure may provide the region with at least partially clear skies, but this can obviously change, so stay tuned for future updates. Tuesday is also an important day, as it is the home opener at Fenway for the Red Sox. Right now it looks sunny, but a seabreeze is likely, so even though temperatures could get well into the 50s and 60s inland, closer to the coast, temperatures may only be in the upper 40s or lower 50s. Obviously this can change as well.
Opening Day this year should be quite a bit milder than last year.
Monday: Partly to mostly cloudy, chance for a few showers, mainly near the South Coast. High 51-58, a little cooler along the coast.
Monday night: Mostly cloudy. Low 34-41.
Tuesday: Cloudy with rain developing late in the day, mainly south of the Mass Pike. High 43-50, coolest along the coast.
Tuesday night: Periods of rain and showers spreading across the region, possibly mixed with or changing to sleet and/or snow from the Worcester Hills into the Monadnocks of southern New Hampshire, becoming breezy. Low 33-40.
Wednesday: Windy with rain, heavy at times, possibly mixed with a little sleet or snow at times inland and in the hills, especially at night. High 36-43.
Thursday: Windy with rain or snow showers gradually winding down. High 37-44, possibly warmer across southeastern Massachusetts
Friday: Cloudy and breezy with a few showers, possibly some snow showers. High 39-46.
Saturday: Mostly cloudy with some additional showers, breezy. High 40-47.
Sunday: A mix of sun and clouds, still breezy. High 47-54.
As we close out March, more heavy rain is expected.
Happy Opening Day! Image provided by sportslogos.net
Happy Opening Day to all who celebrate! As the Red Sox begin their campaign in Seattle, expect the roof to be closed this evening as some rain is likely with temperatures in the upper 40s. We’re also expecting rain around here this evening and tonight as low pressure rides up the East Coast along a frontal boundary. Some of the rain will be heavy, with flood watches in effect for most of the region. Many rivers and streams are running high due to recent rain, and this will only worsen the situation. Rain will gradually end on Friday as the system pulls away, but with colder air filtering in behind the storm, the rain may mix with or even change over to wet snow before ending. It will also be quite windy as the storm system continues to strengthen. High pressure builds in for Saturday with sunshine along with windy and seasonably cool conditions. A weak system will pass south of the region Saturday night, but with drier air in place, we’ll just see some clouds as it passes by. High pressure returns for Sunday and Monday with dry and seasonable weather, but clouds will start to move back in later Monday ahead of the next storm system headed our way.
The models are fairly unanimous that most of eastern Massachusetts and Rhode Island can expect at least 1-2 inches of rain by Friday evening. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.
Thursday night: Periods of rain, some of it heavy, becoming breezy. Low 34-41.
Friday: Rain ending by early afternoon, possibly mixed with a little wet snow, becoming windy. High 48-55.
Friday night: Skies clear out, still windy. Low 31-38.
Saturday: Sunshine and some late-day clouds, winds gradually diminish. High 47-54.
Saturday night: Partly to mostly cloudy, just a slight chance for a shower. Low 31-38.
Sunday: Becoming partly to mostly sunny, breezy. High 48-55.
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