Autumn officially begins Tuesday evening, but it’s going to feel like it all week, and the end of the week could get stormy.

A large area of high pressure slowly builds in and slides eastward across Canada over next few days, controlling our weather. The front that brought us some rain yesterday stalls out to the south, and waves of low pressure will ride along it at times between today and Thursday. This will bring in plenty of clouds at times, with a few showers possible near the South Coast at times, while inland areas see some sunny breaks. With persistent northeast to east winds and plenty of cloudcover, temperatures will remain on the cool side.

The end of the week is where things get complicated. Low pressure will develop off the Southeast coast, as an upper-level disturbance moves in. It will get caught under the developing upper-level low and drift northward while intensifying. Beyond that, there are significant differences in the models about how strong the system gets and where it tracks, which obviously have big implications for the forecast. Some models have the storm impact our region as early as Friday morning, others wait until Saturday. Some have it start to move out by Saturday, some have it linger into next week. Some have it stay offshore, some bring it into Long Island or even farther inland. It’s WAY too early to even try to figure out what impacts this system might have and when. We are fairly sure that the persistent easterly fetch, combined with astronomical high tides this weekend, will almost certainly lead to some coastal flooding and very rough conditions offshore. The gradient between the strengthening high to the north and developing low to the south will likely result in windy conditions, especially offshore and right along the coast. We’ll likely write a separate blog post about this system, if it continues to look like a threat, towards midweek.

Monday: Areas of morning fog, otherwise intervals of clouds and sun, breezy. High 61-68.
Monday night: Partly to mostly cloudy. Low 48-55.
Tuesday: Partly sunny, breezy. High 57-64.
Tuesday night: Partly to mostly cloudy. Low 44-51.
Wednesday: Partly sunny, windy. High 58-65.
Wednesday night: Partly cloudy. Low 43-50, a little milder across southeastern Massachusetts.
Thursday: Becoming mostly cloudy, windy, chance for late-day showers, favoring Cape Cod and southeastern Massachusetts. High 57-64.
Thursday night: Plenty of clouds, windy, showers possible, mainly south of the Mass Pike. Low 47-54.
Friday: Mostly cloudy, very windy, especially near the coast., chance of rain. High 56-63.
Saturday: Lots of clouds, very windy, especially near the coast, more rain possible. High 56-63.
Sunday: Partly to mostly cloudy, breezy, more showers possible. High 57-64.

















