For the first time in a while, we’ve fairly typical summertime weather coming for a large chunk of the upcoming week.

We’ve got a frontal system south of the region today and a wave of low pressure will ride along it, bringing in some showers and cooler than normal temperatures. However, that front will lift northward as a warm front on Tuesday, allowing warm and humid air to move back in for Tuesday. That’s just the appetizer before the main course.

For Wednesday through Friday, we’ll have a Bermuda high sitting offshore, pumping hot and humid weather into the area. Temperatures will get into the 90s across a large portion of the region, with heat indices possibly approaching 100 in many locations. It’ll be a great time to head to the beach, out to the pool, or to sit in the air conditioning. We will have some showers and thunderstorms popping up each afternoon, which will take the edge off the heat in some areas. Any storms that do form could produce some heavy downpours, but widespread severe weather isn’t likely at this time.

A cold front will move through on Saturday, bringing an end to the heat. Some showers and thunderstorms may accompany the front, but the timing is still in question. This will have implications for not only temperatures during the day, but whether there is a threat for severe weather or not. High pressure builds in behind the front on Sunday with cooler and drier conditions.

Finally, we’re going to take a look at the tropics, as the Atlantic is showing signs of waking up. There are two areas in the Atlantic that are being monitored right now. The first is a few hundred miles east of the Leeward Islands. This system could get better organized over the next few days and become a tropical depression. It will cross the Leeward Islands later today before heading towards Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands. Whether it develops or not, a period of heavy rain and gusty winds is likely from the Lesser Antilles into Puerto Rico Monday into Tuesday. Another tropical wave is located a few hundred miles east of the first disturbance. This one is less organized at the moment, but could develop as it continues westward as well. We’ll keep an eye on both of these, and if anything develops, we’ll likely have a special blog post about it.

We’re getting into the time of year that we need to start paying attention to the tropics around here. While the storms well out in the Atlantic give us plenty of advance notice that they’re heading this way, it’s the ones like Bob that we really have to worry about in August and September. Bob formed as a tropical depression near the Bahamas on Friday August 16, 1991 and made landfall on the south coast of Rhode Island as a Category 2 Hurricane on Monday afternoon August 19. That’s not a lot of time to prepare for a hurricane.

Monday: Patchy fog early, otherwise more clouds than sunshine, chance for a few showers, favoring the South Coast. High 74-81.

Monday night: Partly to mostly cloudy, some drizzle or fog is likely. Low 62-69.

Tuesday: Partly sunny, slight chance for a late-day shower or thunderstorm, mainly well north and west of Boston. High 78-85.

Tuesday night: Partly cloudy. Low 65-72.

Wednesday: A mix of sun and clouds, chance for a late-day shower or thunderstorm, humid. High 86-93.

Thursday: Partly sunny, breezy, and humid with a few showers and thunderstorms during the afternoon and evening. High 87-94.

Friday: Partly to mostly sunny, chance for a few showers and thunderstorms late in the day, humid. High 86-93.

Saturday: Intervals of clouds and sun with scattered showers and thunderstorms likely. High 80-87.

Sunday: Partly to mostly sunny. High 76-83.

As we get into the first week of August, we’ll leave the wet pattern of July behind, though parts of the region could still see a decent amount of rain during the next 7 days.

Low pressure pulls away from the region this morning, with any lingering showers coming to an end. However, an upper-level disturbance will move through this afternoon, possibly triggering another shower or two. High pressure then builds in for Tuesday with dry and seasonable conditions.

Wednesday is a little bit of a question mark for part of the area. High pressure will remain in control resulting in a dry day for most of us. However, the front that moved through this morning will stall out offshore, and a wave of low pressure will ride up along it on Wednesday. This may bring in some showers to parts of Cape Cod and possibly southeastern Massachusetts and southern Rhode Island. Some of the models show the potential for some heavy rain in these areas, but this will be dependent on how close the wave actually gets to us.

Another system follows for late Thursday into early Friday, but again, any rain may be limited to southeastern Massachusetts and Cape Cod, depending on how close the system passes offshore. Another system may move through next weekend with more showers possible, but temperatures will start to warm up once again as a ridge of high pressure over the Atlantic starts to strengthen.

Monday: Showers end early, then becoming partly sunny with a slight chance for another shower during the afternoon. High 74-81.

Monday night: Clear skies. Low 55-62.

Tuesday: A mix of sun and clouds. High 74-81.

Tuesday night: Partly to mostly cloudy. Low 57-64.

Wednesday: Partly to mostly cloudy, showers possible across southeastern Massachusetts and Cape Cod. High 74-81, a cooler along the coast.

Thursday: Plenty of clouds with some sunny breaks, showers are possible late in the day and at night across southeastern Massachusetts and Cape Cod. High 73-80.

Friday: Partly to mostly sunny. High 77-84, cooler along the coast.

Saturday: Intervals of clouds and sun with a chance for showers. High 80-87.

Sunday: A mix of sun and clouds, a shower is possible. High 81-88.

July has featured record or near-record rainfall across the region, but as it comes to a close, so does the very wet pattern we’ve been stuck in.

We start the week off with high pressure building in today, bringing us sunshine and warm temperatures, with a few places possibly getting to 90 this afternoon. Humidity levels will be fairly comfortable as drier air settles into the region. Our dry weather won’t last long as a cold front approaches on Tuesday, with some showers and thunderstorms accompanying it during the afternoon and evening. It’ll be quite warm ahead of the front again, with temperatures well into the 80s. Drier air settles back in on Wednesday along with cooler temperatures, but again, the dry air will be short-lived. Another frontal system approaches on Thursday with more showers and thunderstorms likely.

By Friday, we’ll have an upper-level trough settling into the Northeast, which means that we could see a few showers popping up during the afternoon. High pressure builds in on Saturday with cool and dry conditions. Yet another frontal system approaches on Sunday, with another round of showers and thunderstorms possible.

Monday: Sunshine and some afternoon clouds. High 82-89.

Monday night: Clear skies. Low 61-68.

Tuesday: Increasing clouds, showers and thunderstorms likely late in the day. High 82-89.

Tuesday night: Showers and storms end in the evening, then becoming partly cloudy. Low 58-65.

Wednesday: A mix of sun and clouds, cooler. High 72-79.

Thursday: More clouds than sun with showers and thunderstorms possible late in the day and at night, breezy. High 71-78.

Friday: Partly sunny and breezy, slight chance for a shower. High 74-81.

Saturday: Partly to mostly sunny. High 71-78.

Sunday: A mix of sun and clouds, breezy, showers and thunderstorms possible late in the day. High 76-83.

Finally, we’ll leave you with this uplifting thought from the good folks at the National Weather Service office in Caribou, ME:

149 days till the winter solstice, but only 95 days till the average date of the first measurable snowfall, and 82 days to the first date of snow flurries (non measurable snow) in Caribou, Maine. #MEwx

— NWS Caribou (@NWSCaribou) July 25, 2021

We’ve got good news and bad news this week. The good news is that we will have a few dry days this week. The bad news is that there’s more rain on the way.

An upper-level disturbance will cross the region today, which means more clouds and more showers, though the day shouldn’t be a washout. Rainfall totals should be on the light side, which will be a welcome change from the weekend. The cloud cover will keep temperatures on the cool side during the daytime. High pressure then builds in for Tuesday with warmer and more humid conditions. It’s tempting to say that we’ll have a dry day, but it wouldn’t surprise us if a few showers and thunderstorms developed in the afternoon or evening, especially well north and west of Boston. By Wednesday, we’ll have a better chance for showers and storms as a cold front approaches the region. In fact, some of the storms that do develop could become strong, with gusty winds and heavy downpours possible (just what we need – more heavy rain!)

High pressure builds in behind the front on Thursday with cooler and drier conditions, but again, we can’t completely rule out an isolated shower or two during the afternoon. By Friday, another upper-level low pressure area moves in with more clouds and some showers possible, though the extent of the shower activity is still a question mark. Saturday looks to be drier with high pressure trying to build in, but it won’t last long. Sunday could be a bit more unsettled as another system could bring in more widespread showers and thunderstorms, but the timing of this system is in question, as the activity could hold off until Sunday night or Monday.

Monday: Drizzle and fog early, otherwise plenty of clouds with a few showers possible. High 71-78.

Monday night: Clearing. Low 61-68.

Tuesday: Sunshine and some afternoon clouds, maybe a late-day shower or thunderstorm. High 81-88.

Tuesday night: Partly cloudy, chance for a shower or two. Low 63-70.

Wednesday: Intervals of clouds and sunshine with showers and thunderstorms likely during the afternoon and evening, some of which could be quite strong. High 76-83.

Thursday: Partly sunny, an isolated shower is possible. High 74-81.

Friday: A mix of sun and clouds with showers possible. High 72-79.

Saturday: Partly to mostly sunny. High 73-80.

Sunday: Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms possible. High 72-79.

We’ve got showers and thunderstorms in the forecast for nearly every day this week, but aside from today, it may not actually be that wet in most spots.

A warm front is going to take its time crossing the region today and Tuesday. A wave of low pressure riding along the front will bring in rain today, some of which may be heavy. Given the amount of rain we’ve had over the past 2 weeks, the ground is already saturated in many areas, so additional rain will lead to flooding problems. As a result, flash flood watches have been issued for much of the region. Tuesday looks to be drier, but still on the cool side, as the front will take its time lifting northward. A few showers can’t be ruled out.

The front finally lifts through on Wednesday, allowing warm to hot and humid weather to return, and it will remain in place into Saturday. With the hot and humid weather will come a daily chance for showers and thunderstorms. Those showers and storms will become more numerous on Sunday as a cold front moves in.

Monday: Plenty of clouds with periods of rain and showers, mainly during the morning. High 67-74.

Monday night: Mostly cloudy with a few showers possible. Low 58-65.

Tuesday: Clouds and a few sunny breaks, chance for a shower or two. High 68-75.

Tuesday night: Partly to mostly cloudy. Low 59-66.

Wednesday: More clouds than sun with scattered showers and thunderstorms possible. High 76-83.

Thursday: A mix of sun and clouds, chance for a late-day shower or thunderstorm. High 79-86.

Friday: Partly sunny, a shower or thunderstorm may pop up. High 82-89.

Saturday: A mix of sun and clouds, breezy, showers and thunderstorms possible late in the day and at night. High 82-89.

Sunday: Partly to mostly cloudy with scattered showers and thunderstorms. High 78-85.

After a chilly and wet weekend, heat and humidity are set to return to the region.

Our pesky upper-level low pressure area finally pulls away and high pressure builds in today, bringing some sunshine and warmer temperatures back into the region. A warm front will move through tonight, and it may produce a few showers and thunderstorms, but the more noticeable impact will be an increase in humidity once again. This sets up a hot and humid day on Tuesday. Many locations may top 90, and heat indices will be well into the 90s across the region. A weak boundary will move in during the afternoon though, and this may trigger showers and thunderstorms, some of which could become strong to severe. Any storms that do form could produce gusty winds, frequent lightning, and heavy downpours. If you’ve got outdoor plans for Tuesday afternoon and evening, keep an eye to the sky and on the radar, and be prepared to head indoors.

Wednesday looks to be very warm and humid once again, but temperatures will depend on how much cloud cover there is. A cold front will be approaching from the north and west, and this will produce another round of showers and thunderstorms during the afternoon and evening. This is where forecast confidence drops significantly. That front will eventually stall out near or just south of the region. Where it stalls out will have a big impact on Thursday temperatures, with warm and humid air still in place to the south, but cooler air to the north. Complicating things is the fact that a wave of low pressure may ride along the front, bringing in some rain once again.

If Thursday wasn’t complicated enough, on Friday we may have to deal with Elsa or its remains. We’re not expecting Elsa to make a direct hit on New England. It should be heading out to sea well to the south. However, it may be close enough to interact with that frontal boundary, and send more rain into the region. It also may produce some gusty winds across the Cape and Islands, and some rough seas, especially along the South Coast.

We should dry out on Saturday with a warm day expected, but humidity will return on Sunday, along with the chance for more showers and thunderstorms as another frontal boundary approaches the region.

Monday: Becoming partly to mostly sunny. High 71-78.

Monday night: Partly cloudy, chance for a few showers or thunderstorms. Low 60-67.

Tuesday: Partly sunny, breezy at times, more humid, showers and thunderstorms are possible during the afternoon, some may be strong to severe. High 84-91, cooler along the South Coast.

Tuesday night: Any showers or storms end in the evening, otherwise partly cloudy. Low 65-72.

Wednesday: A mix of sun and clouds, humid, showers and thunderstorms possible during the afternoon and evening. High 84-91, cooler along the South Coast.

Thursday: Partly to mostly cloudy with a chance for rain or showers. High 76-83, possibly cooler across southern New Hampshire and northern Massachusetts.

Friday: Plenty of clouds, more rain or showers possible. High 77-84.

Saturday: Becoming partly sunny. High 77-84.

Sunday: Intervals of clouds and sunshine, showers and thunderstorms possible during the afternoon and evening. High 80-87.

If you like heat and humidity, then the first half of the week is perfect for you. If you don’t, well, the end of the week and the weekend might be better, but certainly not perfect.

We start the week off with high pressure anchored off the Eastern Seaboard, pumping hot and humid air into the region. Most locations away from the South Coast should get well into the 90s today, tomorrow, and Wednesday. With the humidity factored in, it’s going to feel like it’s near or over 100 degrees. That’s why Heat Advisories have been issued for much of the area. At night, it’ll remain warm and muggy, with lows generally in the 70s. A few showers and thunderstorms may pop up Tuesday and again on Wednesday afternoon, providing a little late-day relief.

A cold front will move in late Wednesday or early Thursday, taking the edge off the heat, but with some more widespread showers and thunderstorms accompanying it. Beyond that, things get a little tricky. That front is expected to wash out near or just south of the region on Thursday. Waves of low pressure will ride along it, with showers and thunderstorms possible at times from Friday into the weekend, but this will also depend on how much southward progress the front makes before it washes out. If it’s far enough to the south, then the shower activity may stay a little farther south. No matter where it stalls, we’re looking at one or possibly two very cool days for the end of the week and start of the weekend. Temperatures should start to moderate again for the Fourth of July.

Monday: Partly sunny, hot, and humid. High 90-97, cooler along the South Coast.

Monday night: Clear to partly cloudy, just a slight chance for a shower or two. Low 70-77.

Tuesday: Sunshine and some afternoon clouds, hot, and humid., a few showers and thunderstorms are possible late in the day. High 91-98, cooler along the South Coast.

Tuesday night: Clear to partly cloudy, any showers or storms end during the evening. Low 69-76.

Wednesday: Partly to mostly sunny, breezy, hot, and humid, showers and thunderstorms are possible during the afternoon and evening. High 89-96 cooler along the South Coast.

Thursday: More clouds than sun with scattered showers and thunderstorms. High 81-88.

Friday: Plenty of clouds and much cooler with more showers possible, especially south of the Mass Pike. High 71-78.

Saturday: Partly to mostly cloudy, chance for showers and thunderstorms. High 68-75.

Fourth of July: More clouds than sun with more showers and thunderstorms possible. High 74-81.

Now that we’re officially into summer, we’ve got weather that is appropriate for the season.

The week starts off with high pressure moving offshore and a cold front approaching from the west. This will provided the region with hot and humid conditions, but the bulk of the thunderstorm activity should remain to our north and west, though a few showers and storms could make their way into our area. They’ll become a bit more numerous tonight and possibly again on Tuesday as the front gets closer, eventually moving offshore late in the day on Tuesday.

While the front is approaching, “Tropical Storm Claudette” will pass south and east of the region. We’ve criticized the National Thunderstorm Naming Hurricane Center in the past for some of the storms that have gotten names, and this one is no exception. When it was moving through the Gulf at the end of last week, it was a disorganized storm that lacked a well-defined center, but was producing plenty of thunderstorms. Miraculously, it managed to have a center suddenly become well-defined (their definition of “well-defined” is different than many others), right as it was making landfall, so that way, it could be named. Funny how that worked out. Once over land, it quickly weakened (imagine that?) and dropped a ton of rain across the Gulf Coast and the Southeast. Early this morning, while the center was still over the Carolinas, it managed to strengthen again, without a well-defined center (don’t see too many large bodies of warm water in the middle of North Carolina). It should move offshore today, and the forecast calls for it to strengthen over the Gulf Stream again, then become extratropical on Tuesday south of Nova Scotia. OK, enough ranting from us about a storm that will have no impact here other than a little rough surf over the next few days.

High pressure builds in for Wednesday and Thursday with cooler and drier conditions once again. As the high moves offshore on Friday, humidity levels and temperatures will start to creep up once again, with a few showers possible as a warm front moves through. By Saturday, low pressure will be heading into the Great Lakes, sending another frontal system toward the region. Some showers and thunderstorms are possible, but it looks like we’ll have a better chance at them next Sunday as the front gets closer.

Monday: Partly sunny and breezy, just a slight chance for a late-day shower or thunderstorm. High 85-92, cooler along the South Coast.

Monday night: Mostly cloudy, some patchy fog may develop near the South Coast, a few showers and thunderstorms are possible. Low 64-71.

Tuesday: Plenty of clouds with scattered showers and thunderstorms expected. High 78-85.

Tuesday night: Showers ending from northwest to southeast, followed by gradual clearing. Low 50-57.

Wednesday: Plenty of sunshine, perhaps some lingering clouds across Cape Cod. High 71-78.

Thursday: Sunshine and a few clouds. High 75-82.

Friday: Intervals of clouds and sunshine, chance for a few showers. High 75-82.

Saturday: A mix of sun and clouds, breezy, some showers and thunderstorms are possible. High 79-86.

Sunday: Partly sunny and breezy with a chance for more showers and thunderstorms. High 80-87.

We’ve got a typical summertime pattern shaping up for the final week of astronomical spring. Astronomical Summer begins with the Summer Solstice on Sunday June 20, at 11:31pm.

The week will actually start off on a damp note as a cold front approaches the region. This will produce scattered showers and thunderstorms, some of which could produce locally heavy rainfall. The entire day shouldn’t be a washout, as these will be more of the hit-and-miss variety, especially late in the day and tonight. Another round of showers and thunderstorms is expected on Tuesday as the front finally moves through the region. Again, some of these could be heavy in spots.

High pressure builds in for Wednesday and Thursday with drier and seasonably warm conditions. An upper-level low pressure area will be in place across the Northeast, helping generate some clouds each day, with a slight chance for a pop-up shower each afternoon, but these will be few and far between. By Friday, that high will slide offshore, allowing warmer and more humid air to start to move back into the area. That warm and humid airmass will be in place on Saturday when another cold front approaches, triggering another round of showers and thunderstorms. High pressure returns next Sunday with drier air.

Monday: Plenty of clouds with a few showers and thunderstorms, especially early and again late in the day. High 66-73.

Monday night: Mostly cloudy with more showers around. Low 56-63.

Tuesday: Intervals of clouds and sunshine with occasional showers and thunderstorms. High 72-79.

Tuesday night: Becoming clear to partly cloudy. Low 54-61.

Wednesday: Sunshine and some afternoon clouds. High 71-78.

Thursday: Partly to mostly sunny. High 71-78.

Friday: Sunshine fades behind increasing afternoon clouds. High 75-82.

Saturday: Intervals of clouds and sun with scattered showers and thunderstorms. High 78-85.

Sunday: A mix of sun and clouds. High 76-83.

Finally, we’re going to mention the tropics. There are two areas that the National Hurricane Center is keeping an eye on in the Atlantic right now. The first one is in the Bay of Campeche. This system will bring heavy rain to parts of Mexico and Central America for the next few days. After that, it should start to drift northward and could get organized. Several forecast models have been showing this potential for a while now. While it’s still too early to tell if anything will actually develop, most of the models are showing a weak system tracking toward either Texas or Louisiana. The more concerning part is that most of the models show the potential for very heavy rain later this week and this weekend, especially in Louisiana. It’s been a VERY wet spring across this area, and additional heavy rain will result in significant flooding. Parts of Louisiana have received 30 to 40 or more inches of rain over the past 90 days, and some models are showing the potential for another 5-10 inches or more next weekend.

The other area being watched is a cluster of thunderstorms off the Carolina coastline. It’s disorganized and non-tropical right now, but will be moving over the warm waters of the Gulf Stream today and tomorrow. Given NHC’s recent history, we fully expect it to be named a short-lived Tropical Depression or Storm (even though it won’t actually be one) before it moves over colder water east of New England and south of Nova Scotia on Wednesday.

The heat is definitely on, and will remain on for a few more days.

High pressure remains anchored offshore, with southwesterly winds pumping hot and humid air into the region for the next few days. Today should be the hottest of the days, but humidity levels will be on the rise for Tuesday and Wednesday. A few widely scattered showers are possible this afternoon and evening, but the most of the activity should stay west of us. We’ll have a better chance at showers and thunderstorms developing on Tuesday, but Wednesday looks like the best chance overall as a cold front approaches the region. When that cold front moves through will have a large impact on the temperatures across the area. Right now, it looks like the front holds off until Wednesday night, so another very warm to hot and humid day is expected, but an earlier arrival would result in a much cooler afternoon, especially along the coast.

High pressure builds in for Thursday with much drier and cooler conditions. Beyond that, things get a little uncertain. That front likely stalls out just south of the region, but how far south is yet to be determined. Waves of low pressure may ride along the front, with some showers accompanying these waves, but again, if the front stalls out too far to the south, these waves will have little to no impact here. Some models show the potential for Friday to be quite chilly and wet. We’re not so sure that’ll be the case, but we’re not completely ruling it out yet either. By late Saturday or Sunday, another system may approach with another round of showers possible.

Monday: Sunshine and a few afternoon clouds, slight chance for a late-day shower or thunderstorm. High 90-97, cooler along the South Coast.

Monday night: Partly cloudy, slight chance for a shower during the evening. Low 66-73, cooler along the South Coast.

Tuesday: Intervals of clouds and sun, a few widely scattered showers or thunderstorms are possible during the afternoon. High 86-93, cooler along the South Coast.

Tuesday night: Partly to mostly cloudy, chance for a few showers during the evening, some patchy fog may develop along the South Coast. Low 64-71.

Wednesday: Partly sunny, a few showers and thunderstorms possible during the afternoon and evening. High 83-90, cooler along the South Coast.

Thursday: A mix of sun and clouds. High 75-82, cooler along the coast.

Friday: More clouds than sun with some showers possible. High 68-75.

Saturday: Partly sunny. High 68-75.

Sunday: A mix of sun and clouds, chance for a few showers. High 71-78.