Remember all that sunshine and the warm temperatures that we had in September? Yeah, that’s not in this week’s forecast. This week will be a reminder of what October is usually like around here.

The week starts off with a mild day, but with plenty of clouds. An approaching cold front will bring in some showers by late afternoon, with some downpours possible during the evening and into the night. The rain comes to an end as the front pushes offshore, but it will stall out just south of the region. High pressure tries to build in from the north of Tuesday, but clouds may hang tough across southern parts of the region with the front just offshore, and a few showers are possible near the south coast.

By late Tuesday, low pressure will develop off the North Carolina coast and start drifting northward. It’s not going to move too much though with a ridge of high pressure off to the north and east, but the big question is – how far north does it actually get. Right now, it looks close enough to spread some occasional rain into the region by Tuesday night, mainly south of the Mass Pike, but possibly up into parts of New Hampshire and southern Maine. It will also produce east to northeast winds that may be gusty at times. This will result in some rather cool temperatures.

Oh, did we mention that the low will likely sit there until late Saturday when a cold front finally kicks it out to sea? Yeah, that means cool and occasionally wet conditions from Tuesday night into Saturday. Doesn’t that sound…..awful? (OK, that’s probably not a strong enough word, but we didn’t want to resort to profanity). High pressure finally brings drier weather in for Sunday behind the cold front.

One note about that cold front, the system generating the front will be moving across parts of the Plains states and the Upper Midwest before moving into southern Canada. Before crossing the border, it could produce quite the snowstorm across parts of the Northern Plains later this week. Parts of the Dakotas and Minnesota could see a couple of feet of snow. While they get snow quite often in the winter, they usually don’t get this much at once, and even for places like Minnesota and North Dakota, this is a little early in the year for a storm to produce that much snow. For example, in Grand Forks, ND, home of the University of North Dakota, the largest October snowstorm on record is 10.9″ from October 24-26, 2001. In Bemidji, MN, the October snowstorm record is just 8.0″, done twice – October 18-20, 1917, and again October 29-30, 1932.

Monday: Cloudy and breezy with showers developing late in the day from west to east. High 68-75.

Monday night: Plenty of clouds with showers likely, possibly a few downpours. Low 49-56.

Tuesday: Some sunshine may develop across southern New Hampshire, mostly cloudy elsewhere with a few showers possible across the South Coast and Cape Cod. High 60-67.

Tuesday night: Mostly cloudy and becoming breezy with showers possible, mainly south of Boston. Low 45-52.

Wednesday: Breezy and cool with periods of rain and showers likely. High 53-60.

Thursday: Cloudy, breezy, and cool again with occasional showers and drizzle. High 52-59.

Friday: More clouds, more drizzle, more showers at times too. High 55-62.

Saturday: Plenty of clouds with a few sunny breaks possible, but also some more showers and drizzle at times. High 57-64.

Sunday: A mix of sun and clouds. High 62-69.

Yes, we’re a little later than normal, but we did warn you that would likely be the case. Without further delay, let’s get to a forecast that has some big changes coming to the area.

The rest of today should be pretty self explanatory with high pressure in control, so let’s jump ahead to tomorrow. A warm front will move through, and that will bring us a return to summer-like air as we flip the calendar to October. A few showers are possible ahead of the warm front, but overall, we’ve got a decent day coming up, despite some cloud cover.

This brings us to Wednesday – the transition day. We’ll start off warm, and could get very warm, but a strong cold front will move through. Exactly when that front comes through is still a little up in the air, which will have a significant impact on the temperatures. If it comes through late enough, we could see some locations get into the 80s. Behind it, temperatures will quickly drop. We’ll also have some showers and possibly thunderstorms to deal with as the front moves across the region.

The front settles south of the region Wednesday night and we may even clear out a bit, but that will be short-lived. Another system quickly approaches from the west with rain likely for much of Thursday and into early Friday. The rain isn’t the only part of Thursday that you’ll hate. Temperatures will likely be 20-30 degrees colder than Wednesday, with highs only in the 50s. Yup, fall will finally arrive. High pressure builds in behind that system for Friday into the weekend, with cool conditions. Some frost is possible for much of the region.

Monday afternoon: Partly sunny. High 59-66, coolest along the coast.

Monday night: Partly to mostly cloudy, chance for a few showers, mainly north of the Mass Pike. Low 46-53, but temperatures may rise a bit after midnight.

Tuesday: A few showers possible early, then some sunshine may develop. Breezy and warmer. High 68-75.

Tuesday night: Mostly cloudy with some showers likely. Low 61-68.

Wednesday: Cloudy and mild with scattered showers, possibly a thunderstorm. Turning sharply cooler in the afternoon. High 73-80.

Thursday: A few sunny breaks early, mainly from the Merrimack Valley northward, otherwise cloudy with showers developing, becoming a steady rain late in the day and at night. High 52-59.

Friday: Cloudy with showers ending early, then becoming partly to mostly sunny and windy. High 57-64.

Saturday: Plenty of sunshine. High 55-62.

Sunday: More clouds than sun., breezy. High 59-66.

The autumnal equinox occurs at 3:50AM today, which means that by the time you read this, fall will have already started. Naturally, it will still feel like summer today.

We’ll start off fall with unseasonably warm temperatures once again, but clouds will start to move in ahead of a cold front. This front will produce some showers and maybe a few thunderstorms later today and tonight as it moves through the region. Cooler air settles in behind the front for Tuesday, but an upper-level low moving across the Northeast may result in some clouds and possibly another shower or two.

High pressure builds in for Wednesday and Thursday with dry weather. Temperatures will remain above normal, and should start to warm up again, but another cold front will quickly follow. This one will produce some more showers late Thursday and Thursday night, with high pressure building back in for Friday.

For next weekend, right now, it looks like we’ll be in a similar pattern with a warm day on Saturday, then a cold front brings in showers followed by cooler weather on Sunday. However, there is a chance that this front gets hung up north and west of the region or possibly even washes out. If that were to happen, Sunday could end up significantly warmer. We’re leaning against this scenario right now, but it is a possibility.

When will fall finally arrive? Well, right now, it looks like the unseasonably warm weather will continue into at least the first few days of October before we see a pattern change. Cooler weather looks like it may arrive late next week, which is perfect as far as we’re concerned, because that’s when hockey season starts. It shouldn’t be in the 70s around here when the Bruins are playing, unless it’s deep in the playoffs in May or June.

Monday: Some morning sunshine, then increasing clouds and breezy with showers and possibly some thunderstorms developing late in the day. High 81-88, cooler along the South Coast.

Monday night: Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms ending from west to east, skies will clear out north and west of Boston overnight. Low 58-65.

Tuesday: A mix of sun and clouds, chance for a shower or two in the afternoon, mainly north and west of Boston. High 71-78.

Tuesday night: Mostly clear. Low 48-55.

Wednesday: Sunshine and some afternoon clouds. High 68-75.

Thursday: Morning sunshine, then becoming mostly cloudy and breezy during the afternoon with some showers possible late in the day and into the evening. High 74-81.

Friday: Sunshine and a few clouds. High 69-76.

Saturday: Intervals of clouds and sunshine with a chance for a few showers. High 74-81.

Sunday: Plenty of clouds, some sunny breaks develop in the afternoon. High 70-77.

Note – this outlook is usually posted very early Monday morning. Next week, it may not get posted until late morning. We at StormHQ are taking a little road trip next week to western New York, to watch the Patriots stomp the Bills on the road to their seventh Super Bowl title. Since we have an early morning flight home Monday, we may not get a chance to write and subsequently post the weekly outlook until we’re back at the StormHQ World Headquarters Compound until late Monday morning.

This may be one of the shortest blog posts we’ve ever written, because the forecast for this week is ridiculously simple.

A weak disturbance will cross the region today, with some clouds and maybe a shower or two here or there. Maybe. We’re not even convinced that any will pop up. A weak backdoor cold front may produce a few showers early Wednesday, mainly along the coast. Otherwise, high pressure is in control for most of the week and into the weekend. It’ll be on the cool side for Tuesday into Thursday, then we’ll warm up for Friday and the weekend. That’s it. That’s the forecast for the week. Really.

Monday: Partly to mostly sunny north of the Mass Pike. Intervals of clouds and sunshine south of the Pike with just a very slightly chance for a shower. High 68-75.

Monday night: Clear skies. Low 47-54.

Tuesday: Sunshine and a few clouds. High 64-71.

Tuesday night: Becoming partly to mostly cloudy, chance for a few showers or some drizzle, mainly along the coast. Low 48-55.

Wednesday: A shower or some drizzle early, then becoming partly sunny. High 61-68, coolest along the coast.

Thursday: Unlimited sunshine (from sunrise to sunset only). High 65-72, coolest along the coast.

Friday: Wall-to-wall sunshine. High 72-79.

Saturday: Sun, sun, and more sun. High 76-83.

Sunday: Mostly sunny, maybe a couple of clouds just for a chance of pace. High 78-85.

No hurricanes to worry about this week, just a cold front one day, and high pressure for most of the rest of the week.

We start the week off with high pressure in control, keeping us on the cool side today and Tuesday. Temperatures will actually be a little bit below normal for mid-September. The cool and dry weather won’t last though, as a warm front moves through Tuesday night, likely producing a few showers as it comes through. Once the front its through, we’ll have some warm and somewhat humid conditions around for Wednesday. We will have another cold front coming through late Wednesday or early Thursday. This front may produce another round of showers and thunderstorms. Thursday’s temperatures will be determined by when that front comes through. The longer it takes, the better the chance that Thursday is also a warm day, which is the way we’re leaning right now.

High pressure builds in behind the front, with cooler weather likely on Saturday, but again, it will be short-lived. As the high slides off to the east, we’ll warm up again on Saturday before another cold front approaches, possibly producing some more showers or thunderstorms. That front looks like it won’t do much, as Sunday could be another warm day. In fact, it’s looking like a good chunk of next week could be warm, with temperatures getting into the 80s. Don’t put away those summer clothes just yet!

Monday: Intervals of sunshine and clouds. High 67-74, coolest right along the coast.

Monday night: Clear to partly cloudy. Low 48-55.

Tuesday: A sunny start, clouds move in during the afternoon. High 68-75, coolest right along the coast.

Tuesday night: Partly to mostly cloudy with some showers possible. Low 55-62.

Wednesday: A shower or two early, then becoming partly sunny and breezy. High 78-85.

Thursday: A mix of sun and clouds, slight chance for a shower or thunderstorm. High 75-82.

Friday: Partly to mostly sunny. High 64-71.

Saturday: More clouds than sun, breezy, showers and thunderstorms possible late in the day. High 74-81.

Sunday: Partly sunny, chance for a shower or thunderstorm. High 76-83.

First, our apologies for the brief post last week and the missing temperatures in the forecast. We at Storm HQ were taking a cruise to Bermuda for a much-needed vacation, and our internet connection on the ship was even worse than expected. It took far too long to even get what we wrote posted. We’re back in the Storm HQ World Headquarters Compound now, so we’re back to full updates.

As for the coming week and the upcoming Labor Day Weekend, we’ll start off with high pressure in control, providing the region with dry and cool conditions today, but a warming trend is expected over the next few days. Some low clouds may remain in place this morning along the coast, thanks to the onshore flow around the high pressure area to our north and a deepening system south of Nova Scotia. The high pressure system will eventually win out, with sunshine developing along the coast by afternoon as well.

A cold front will start to approach the region on Wednesday, which means we should turn warmer and more humid, but there’s a possible fly in the ointment. There’s a system off the Carolinas right now that could become a tropical or subtropical storm later today (we’ll likely have a special blog post about this storm and Dorian either later today or on Tuesday). Right now, this system looks like it will head towards the northeast, and stay well offshore, but that is not set in stone yet. A track more towards the north-northeast could bring it close enough to at least bring in some clouds to southeastern New England. A return of onshore flow would mitigate any warm and humid weather along the coast, and depending on how close the system passes, we could even see a few showers reach the Outer Cape and the Islands. Obviously, we’ll keep an eye on this situation over the next few days. We think it’s a low-probability that it has an impact on us, but that probability is nowhere near zero right now.

Back to that cold front, it likely produce some showers and a few thunderstorms Wednesday night into Thursday before it moves offshore. High pressure builds in behind the front on Friday with some drier weather, but another cold front moves will approach on Saturday. This one doesn’t look like it will have much moisture to work with, so we’re only expecting a few showers. High pressure builds in behind the front with cooler weather on Sunday. For Labor Day on Monday, the “traditional end of summer”, it looks like we’ll turn a littler warmer again as the high starts to move offshore.

You’re probably wondering if we’re done with the heat for the year. The answer is “not likely”. We’ve had plenty of 90-degree days well into September (and on very rare occasions into October. In fact, at least one model is showing some very warm weather the following weekend, with temperatures well into the 80s and close to 90 again. It’s nearly 2 weeks away, so it’s hardly set in stone, but don’t take the air conditioner out of the window and out away your summer clothes just yet.

Monday: Low clouds linger across southeastern Massachusetts in the morning, bright sunshine everywhere in the afternoon. High 68-75, coolest along the coast.

Monday night: Clear skies. Low 47-54, warmest in the urban areas.

Tuesday: Sunshine and some afternoon clouds. High 71-78.

Tuesday night: Mostly clear. Low 53-60.

Wednesday: Partly to mostly sunny. Clouds move in at night with some showers possible towards daybreak. High 75-82, a little cooler along the coast.

Thursday: Intervals of clouds and sunshine with scattered showers, possibly a thunderstorm, mainly during the morning. High 77-84.

Friday: Plenty of sun. High 78-85.

Saturday: Partly to mostly sunny, some showers are possible at night. High 79-86.

Sunday: A mix of sun and clouds. High 71-78, coolest along the coast.

Labor Day: A sunny start, then clouds move in. High 73-80.

Since this forecast is being written from the North Atlantic (somewhere around 39N/73W), and after a few mojitos, we’ll keep it simple this week. The graphics and sarcasm will return next week.

Basically, we’ve got hot and humid conditions through Thursday with high pressure sitting offshore. A few showers and thunderstorms may pop up each day, but especially Wednesday and Thursday as a cold front moves through. High pressure then builds in with drier and cooler conditions for Friday and the weekend.

Monday: A mix of sun and clouds, a few showers and thunderstorms are possible.

Monday night: Partly cloudy, and showers or storms end in the evening.

Tuesday: Partly sunny, chance for an afternoon shower or thunderstorm.

Tuesday night: Partly cloudy.

Wednesday: Intervals of sun and clouds, showers and thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.

Thursday: More clouds than sun with scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Friday: A mix of sun and clouds.

Saturday: Plenty of sunshine.

Sunday: Partly to mostly sunny.

After a pretty- good weekend weatherwise, we’ve got another decent day today, though humidity levels will start to creep up. After that, there’s some rain in our future.

High pressure remains in control today, but it will be offshore, so we’ll see moisture start to move into the region. You’ll notice it both at the surface, where dewpoints will start to creep up, and later of aloft, as some clouds start to move into the region. A few showers are possible Monday night as a cold front starts to approach the region, but the bulk of the activity will wait until Tuesday when the front moves through. Some thunderstorms are also possible, especially towards the South Coast where there is the potential for some heavy downpours.

The front pushes offshore Tuesday night then stalls south of New England while high pressure tries to build in to the north. As a result, we may have clouds lingering near the south coast while sunshine dominates farther north.

Another weak disturbance will move through on Thursday with some additional clouds and possibly a few more showers, then high pressure builds in for Friday and the weekend with conditions fairly similar to what we just had this past weekend. This also includes the chance for a few widely scattered pop-up showers. These won’t be an issue for 90-95% of the region, but if you’re one of the unlucky 5-10%, they won’t last too long and shouldn’t be that heavy. Certainly nothing to cancel any plans over.

While we’re talking about next weekend, we just wanted to let you know that next week’s outlook will likely be posted at some point next Sunday morning, and not early Monday morning as usual. We’ll return to the Monday morning posting the following week.

Monday: Morning sunshine starts to fade behind increasing high clouds in the afternoon, becoming humid. High 80-87.

Monday night: Becoming mostly cloudy with a few showers possible, especially across southern New Hampshire and northern Massachusetts. Low 64-71.

Tuesday: Mostly cloudy with scattered showers and thunderstorm. High 77-84.

Tuesday night: Mostly cloudy with scattered showers and thunderstorms lingering across the South Coast and Cape Cod through midnight. Skies may start to clear out after midnight north of the Mass Pike. Low 59-66.

Wednesday: Partly to mostly sunny from the Merrimack Valley northward, intervals of clouds and sunshine elsewhere. High 73-80, coolest along the coast.

Thursday: A mix of sun and clouds, chance for a shower or two. High 72-79.

Friday: Sunshine and some afternoon clouds, slight chance for a shower. High 74-81.

Saturday: Partly to mostly sunny, just a very slight chance for a pop-up shower. High 77-84.

Sunday: Sunshine and some afternoon clouds, but a stray shower is possible again. High 79-86.

We’ve actually got some fairly typical summer-time weather coming up for most of the week. Nothing too extreme, just warm and humid weather for a few days with a daily chance for thunderstorms, followed by cooler and drier weather late in the week.

We start the week off with a cold front pushing farther offshore and high pressure building in today. This will result in seasonably warm temperatures and low humidity. This won’t last long, as a warm front will move through Monday night and early Tuesday. This will allow more humid air to settle back in on Tuesday. With the warm and humid air in place, a few showers and thunderstorms may develop Tuesday afternoon.

As we get into Wednesday, a slow-moving cold front will start to approach from the west. The front likely won’t move through until Thursday night or Friday morning, but again, we’ll have warm and humid conditions in place, and the approaching front will help to trigger showers and thunderstorms both Wednesday afternoon and again Thursday afternoon. Some of these storms could become strong to severe, with gusty winds, hail and heavy downpours in some of the stronger storms. It’s not going to rain all day, but if you’ve got outdoor plans Wednesday and Thursday, keep an eye to the sky during the afternoon and evening both days.

The front finally pushes through early Friday, but an upper-level low pressure area will move across the Northeast. So, even though we’ll have some drier air moving in, a few pop-up showers and thunderstorms will be possible once again. High pressure then builds in for the weekend with cooler and drier conditions. In fact, temperatures could even end up a little below normal.

Monday: Sunshine and a few afternoon clouds. High 79-86.

Monday night: Clear to partly cloudy. Low 59-66.

Tuesday: Partly sunny and becoming humid, chance for a few showers and thunderstorms during the afternoon. High 80-87.

Tuesday night: Partly to mostly cloudy, some additional showers and storms are possible, mainly in the evening. Low 64-71.

Wednesday: Intervals of clouds and sunshine with scattered showers and thunderstorms developing. High 80-87.

Thursday: Partly sunny with another round of showers and thunderstorms possible. High 81-88.

Friday: Sunshine and some afternoon clouds, breezy, slight chance for a shower or thunderstorm. High 78-85.

Saturday: A mix of sun and clouds. High 75-82.

Sunday: Partly to mostly sunny. High 76-83.