Weekend Outlook: January 22-25, 2021

We’re more than halfway through meteorological winter, but for the first time in about a month, it’s actually going to feel like winter outside.

The disturbance that gave us snow showers and flurries today will push offshore tonight with some clearing, but it will be short-lived. Another system heading into the Great Lakes will send a warm front our way on Friday with clouds and somewhat milder conditions. As that system passes to our north Friday night, it will drag a strong cold front across the region. There may be a few snow showers along the front, but for the most part it will remain dry. What you will notice is gusty north to northwest winds behind the front bringing much colder air into the region for the weekend. Despite sunshine, temperatures may not reach freezing on Saturday. When you add in the gusty winds, wind chills will be in the single digits. Winds will remain gusty into the nighttime hours, when wind chills may drop below zero. The winds start to decrease on Sunday, but it will be another chilly day despite sunshine once again.

Wind chills will be near or below zero Sunday morning. Image provided by WeatherBell.

This brings us to Monday. We’re keeping an eye on a storm system that will be moving out of the Midwest and toward the East Coast. We’ll also have high pressure building in to the north so it will remain chilly. The question is, where does the low actually track? Right now, it looks like it should stay too far south to have much impact here, but that is far from definite at this point. If there are going to be any impacts, it would be mainly across southern parts of the area, and likely late Monday night into Tuesday, but again, there is still a lot that needs to be worked out. While most of the models are in pretty good agreement at this point that the storm stays south, we’ve seen plenty of times before (even earlier this winter), where the models agree on a storm missing out to the south 4-5 days in advance, and then they all shift northward a few days later. So, we’re not going to just write this off yet. Obviously, we’ll have a better idea when we get to our Weekly Outlook Monday morning.

Low pressure should stay to the south Monday night, but how far south? Images provided by Pivotal Weather.

Thursday night: Becoming clear to partly cloudy. Low 21-28.

Friday: Some morning sun, then clouds return. High 36-43.

Friday night: Partly to mostly cloudy through the evening with a slight chance for a snow shower, clearing and becoming breezy after midnight. Low 18-25.

Saturday: Sunshine and a few clouds, windy. High 23-30.

Saturday night: Clear and cold, still breezy. Low 10-17.

Sunday: Partly to mostly sunny and breezy. High 25-32.

Sunday night: Partly cloudy. Low 12-19.

Monday: Morning sunshine, clouds move in during the afternoon. High 30-37.

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