Weekend Outlook: June 30 – July 4, 2023

While the weather won’t be perfect for a long holiday weekend, it won’t be as bad as your weather app say it will be.

Believe it or not, rainfall has actually been below normal this morning for a good portion of the region. Images provided by the Northeast Regional Climate Center.

We’ll have high pressure building in, and remaining in place through Saturday, which means drier weather and lower humidity, but it will remain warm. There’s still a slight chance for a pop-up shower Friday afternoon, but these should be few and far between. Clouds will start to move in late Saturday ahead of a slow-moving frontal system. In addition, another upper-level low will move into the Great Lakes, with disturbances riding around it. So, that means that for Sunday, Monday, and July 4th, we’re back in the same pattern we’ve been in, with higher humidity, and a daily chance for showers and thunderstorms, mainly during the afternoon and evening hours. None of the days should be a washout, but if you’ve got outdoor plans, make sure you keep an eye on the sky (or the radar), and be prepared to head inside if need be. For fireworks displays Tuesday night, most of the thunderstorm activity should diminish after sunset, but obviously, this is a little hard to pinpoint several days in advance.

Longer-range forecasts show no end to this pattern, with troughs of low pressure and/or cutoff lows continuing to drop into the Great Lakes and the Northeast. Loop provided by Tropical Tidbits.

Thursday night: Clear to partly cloudy, some patchy fog may develop. Low 60-67.

Friday: A mix of sun and clouds, slight chance for a stray shower during the afternoon. High 78-85, coolest along the coast.

Friday night: Partly cloudy. Low 59-66.

Canada Day: Partly sunny. High 78-85, coolest along the coast.

Saturday night: Becoming mostly cloudy, chance for a few late-night showers. Low 62-69.

Sunday: Intervals of clouds and sun with showers and thunderstorms developing, most widespread during the afternoon. High 74-81.

Sunday night: Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms tapering off during the evening. Low 63-70.

Monday: Partly sunny, showers and thunderstorms pop up during the afternoon. High 78-85.

Monday night: Partly to mostly cloudy, showers end in the evening. Low 63-70.

Fourth of July: Intervals of clouds and sun, showers and thunderstorms possible during the afternoon and evening. High 77-84.

Weekly Outlook: June 26 – July 2, 2023

This week’s forecast is fairly simple, because we’re stuck in the same weather pattern that we’ve been in for quite some time.

One upper-level low slowly moves through this week, another one starts to move in next weekend. Loop provided by Tropical Tidbits.

Upper-level low pressure over the Great Lakes will very slowly move eastward this week while weakening. As disturbances rotate around this low, we’ll have a daily chance for showers and thunderstorms, mainly during the afternoon and evening each day. Not everyone will get these, and none of the days will be a washout, but the threat exists each day for some showers and thunderstorms. Any storms that do form will likely produce heavy downpours, as we’ll have a warm and humid airmass in place. A few strong to severe storms are possible, especially today, but for the most part, we’re just looking at your typical garden-variety thunderstorms each day. The upper low finally starts to move out next weekend, but another one drops right into the Great Lakes in its place, keeping the unsettled weather going for a few more days.

With all the cloudcover, temperatures will average a little below normal for most of the next week. Image provided by Weathermodels.com

Monday: Morning fog, then intervals of clouds and sun with showers and thunderstorms developing, some could be quite strong. High 77-84, a little cooler along the coast from the North Shore to the New Hampshire Seacoast.

Monday night: Mostly cloudy, fog redevelops, a few more showers, mainly during the evening. Low 62-69.

Tuesday: Partly to mostly cloudy, breezy with some afternoon showers and thunderstorms. High 72-79.

Tuesday night: Mostly cloudy, showers taper off in the evening, fog likely again. Low 62-69.

Wednesday: Intervals of clouds and sun, breezy, chance for a few afternoon showers and thunderstorms. High 73-80.

Thursday: Partly sunny, some showers and thunderstorms likely in the afternoon. High 74-81.

Friday: Partly sunny, an isolated shower or thunderstorm possible. High 73-80.

Saturday: Intervals of clouds and sun, breezy, chance for an afternoon shower or thunderstorm. High 76-83.

Sunday: More clouds than sun, breezy, more showers and thunderstorms possible. High 74-81.

Weekly Outlook: June 19-25, 2023

Astronomical summer begins at 10:57am Wednesday, and right on cue, some summer weather will move into the region by then.

Astronomical summer officially begins Wednesday morning. Image provided by Earth.com

The week starts off with yet another upper-level low in place across the Northeast, which means we’ll have plenty of clouds generated each day along with some showers during the afternoon and evening hours. Showers may continue for a good chunk of the night tonight as another disturbance rotates around that upper-level low. Temperatures will remain on the cool side for mid-June, especially near the coast, where a seabreeze is likely. By Wednesday, the upper-level low moves away, and a ridge of high pressure builds into the East Coast. As a result, we’ll turn drier and warmer, with temperatures likely getting into the 80s in many locations, possibly approaching 90, especially on Friday. With the warmth will come increasing humidity levels, especially over the weekend, and which may allow for a few thunderstorms to pop Friday afternoon. The ridge starts to break down over the weekend as a disturbance moves toward the region, likely producing some showers and thunderstorms. Showers and thunderstorms become a little more numerous on Sunday ahead of a cold front dropping down from the north.

Dewpoints could climb into the lower 70s around here by next Saturday. Images provided by Weathermodels.com

On a separate note, the tropics are starting to show signs of life. Aided by sea surface temperatures more reminiscent of late August than mid-June, a tropical wave that moved off the coast of Africa a few days ago has been slowly organizing over the weekend, Conditions are favorable for further development, and it will likely become a tropical depression at some point later today or Tuesday. Its immediate future calls for a westward track with gradual strengthening, and no threat to land for much of the upcoming week. As we get to the end of the week, that becomes more complicated. Once the storm does form, we’ll have a more detailed blog post about it, and what its future may look like.

Many of the models quickly bring the disturbance in the eastern Atlantic to hurricane strength by midweek. Image provided by WeatherBell.

Monday: Partly sunny, chance for a few showers or thunderstorms during the afternoon and evening. High 67-74, coolest along the coast.

Monday night: Partly to mostly cloudy with showers likely. Low 52-59.

Tuesday: Partly sunny, a few more showers possible, especially during the afternoon. High 66-73, coolest along the coast.

Tuesday night: Partly cloudy. Low 52-59.

Wednesday: Partly to mostly sunny. High 70-77.

Thursday: Sunshine and a few clouds. High 77-84, coolest along the South Coast.

Friday: A mix of sun and clouds, breezy, slight chance for a late-day shower or thunderstorm. High 80-87, coolest along the South Coast.

Saturday: More clouds than sun, breezy, scattered showers and thunderstorms develop. High 80-87.

Sunday: Partly to mostly cloudy, breezy, more showers and thunderstorms expected. High 75-82.

Weekly Outlook: June 12-18, 2023

Another week, another upper-level low. This week shouldn’t be as gloomy as last week at least.

Average high temperatures for mid-June are in the middle 70s. Images provided by Weathermodels.com

We’re starting the week off on a mild note ahead of a cold front. Most of the day should remain dry, with plenty of clouds and some sunny break. The shower and thunderstorm activity with the front likely hods off until evening, with most of it coming through overnight tonight into Tuesday morning. We’ll see some clearing in the afternoon, but another shower or thunderstorm may pop up late in the day. The front may stall out across the region before it washes out, with cooler air making into areas north of the Mass Pike, while areas to the south remain mild once again. After that, an upper-level low pressure area settles into the Great Lakes and starts moving eastward. A disturbance rotating around that low will move in on Wednesday, generating showers and thunderstorms. If the timing works out right, some of those storms could be strong to severe during the late afternoon hours, with strong winds, hail, and heavy downpours likely. Thursday will be a bit more tranquil, but with the upper low moving in, we’ll have clouds and possibly some afternoon showers. Right now, Friday and the weekend look fairly similar, with morning sun, afternoon clouds, and possibly a few showers or thunderstorms each day.

Another upper-level low pressure system will influence our weather for much of the week. Loop provided by Tropical Tidbits.

Monday: Intervals of clouds and sunshine, a few showers around in the morning across Southern New Hampshire. High 76-83, a little cooler near the South Coast.

Monday night: Plenty of clouds with showers likely, maybe a thunderstorm. Low 56-63.

Tuesday: Showers taper off around daybreak, otherwise mostly cloudy with a few sunny breaks in the afternoon. High 69-76 south of the Mass Pike, 62-69 north of the Mass Pike.

Tuesday night: Partly to mostly cloudy. Low 52-59.

Wednesday: Partly sunny, showers and thunderstorms expected late in the day and into the evening. High 73-80.

Thursday: A mix of sun and clouds, slight chance for an afternoon shower. High 72-79.

Friday: Partly sunny, showers and thunderstorms possible in the afternoon and evening. High 73-80.

Saturday: Intervals of sun and clouds, chance for a few showers and thunderstorms. High 71-78.

Sunday: Partly sunny, chance for a late-day shower or thunderstorm. High 73-80.

Weekly Outlook: June 5-11, 2023

Once again, we’re stuck in a persistent weather pattern, but unlike the recent ones that have kept us mostly dry, this one will keep us cool and damp for a good chunk of the week.

An upper-level low will meander around the Northeast and Atlantic Canada for the next several days. Loop provided by Tropical Tidbits.

An upper-level low pressure system will hang around for much of the upcoming week, keeping temperatures on the cool side for the most part. A surface low pressure system will pull away today, with any lingering showers ending, and some breaks in the clouds are possible by late in the day. Tuesday may end up as a somewhat decent day with some sunshine and warmer temperatures, however, another disturbance will rotate around the upper-low, sending a cold front our way, triggering some showers and thunderstorms during the afternoon and evening. With cold air aloft, a few of the storms may produce some hail, but we’re not looking at a widespread severe weather event. Some additional weaker disturbances will move through between Wednesday and Friday, resulting in more clouds, some occasional showers, and cooler temperatures once again. It looks like the upper-level low will finally move out next weekend and high pressure builds in with drier and warmer weather. However, upper-level lows always seem to hang around a little longer than the models show, so, even though our forecast is for improvement, we’re a little weary that it may be a little slower to occur.

Temperatures will average 5-10 degrees below normal across the Northeast this week. Image provided by WeatherBell.

Monday: Plenty of clouds with some showers, especially in the morning, some sunny breaks possible in the afternoon, breezy. High 59-66, coolest along the coast.

Monday night: Partly to mostly cloudy. Low 47-54.

Tuesday: Partly sunny, showers and thunderstorms possible in the afternoon and evening. High 70-77.

Tuesday night: Partly to mostly cloudy with a few showers possible. Low 48-55.

Wednesday: Plenty of clouds, chance for a few showers. High 62-69.

Thursday: More clouds than sun, more showers possible. High 61-68.

Friday: Partly sunny, chance for some additional showers. High 61-68.

Saturday: A mix of sun and clouds. High 69-76.

Sunday: Partly sunny, breezy. High 75-82.

Weekly Outlook: May 29 – June 4, 2023

As we reach the beginning of meteorological summer, warm and dry weather is expected once again.

Despite the heavy rain from a couple of weeks ago, rainfall is well below normal over the past couple of months across the region. Image provided by WeatherBell.

After a rather warm Sunday, a cold front moved through overnight, which will set up a much cooler day today. Temperatures will be as much as 15-25 degrees cooler today compared to Sunday, despite plenty of sunshine. Tuesday will also feature lots of sunshine, with temperatures beginning to rebound a little. High pressure then settles off to the south, with much warmer air return for Wednesday and especially Thursday and Friday, when temperatures could reach 90 in some areas once again. A cold front may produce a few showers or thunderstorms Friday night, then high pressure builds back in with much cooler air for Saturday. Temperatures will begin to moderate again by Sunday.

Temperatures could top 90 in many areas on Thursday and Friday, especially away from the coast. Image provided by Weathermodels.com.

Monday: Plenty of sunshine, breezy, and cooler. High 67-74, cooler near the coast.

Monday night: Clear skies. Low 42-49.

Tuesday: Sunny. High 69-76, cooler along the coast.

Tuesday night: Clear to partly cloudy, patchy fog possible near the South Coast. Low 43-50.

Wednesday: Sunny and milder. High 78-85, cooler along the South Coast.

Thursday: More sunshine, very warm. High 85-92, cooler along the coast.

Friday: A mix of sun and clouds, chance for a few showers and thunderstorms late in the day or at night. High 85-92, cooler along the coast.

Saturday: Partly sunny, breezy, cooler again. High 66-73, a little cooler near the coast.

Sunday: Mostly sunny. High 71-78, a little cooler near the coast.

Weekly Outlook: May 22-29, 2023

Dry weather is expected again for much of the upcoming week, but Memorial Day Weekend is uncertain right now.

High pressure builds in north of the region today, resulting in onshore flow and cool temperatures, especially near the shoreline. As the high moves off to the east on Tuesday, temperatures will begin to moderate a bit, with an even warmer day likely on Wednesday. A cold front moves in late Wednesday and Wednesday night with some showers, mainly north of the Mass Pike, followed by much cooler weather on Thursday. High pressure continues to build in on Friday, with temperatures moderating again, which brings us to Memorial Day Weekend.

The cold front won’t produce a lot of rain on Wednesday, and most of it should be focused north of the Mass Pike. Image provided by WeatherBell.

Low pressure is expected to develop off the Southeast coast late this week and it will start to head northward. Yesterday, some of the models were showing the possibility of a cool and damp to wet Memorial Day weekend. Now, the models all show high pressure building in, keeping the low safely to the south. So, while our forecast is optimistic right now, there is still plenty of time for things to change.

The models all keep low pressure well to the south of New England for Memorial Day Weekend. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.

Monday: Sunshine, dimmed by haze and smoke from Canadian wildfires at times. High 62-69, coolest along the coast.

Monday night: Clear skies. Low 42-49.

Tuesday: More sunshine, but also more smoke and haze. High 64-71, coolest along the coast.

Tuesday night: Clear skies. Low 43-50.

Wednesday: Morning sun, increasing afternoon clouds, showers possible late in the day and into the evening, especially north of the Mass Pike. High 72-79, perhaps a little cooler right at the coast.

Thursday: A mix of sun and clouds, breezy, and cooler. High 58-65.

Friday: Partly sunny. High 64-71.

Saturday: A mix of sun and clouds. High 68-75.

Sunday: Partly sunny. High 69-76.

Memorial Day: Partly sunny. High 74-81.

Weekly Outlook: May 15-21, 2023

Temperatures will ride a roller coaster this week, but for the most part it should remain dry.

It’s chilly out there this morning. Image provided by Weathermodels.com

We’re starting the week off on a rather chilly note, but temperatures will quickly moderate today with high pressure in control. Tuesday looks to be fairly mild as well with some gusty winds ahead of a strong cold front. This front will be starved for moisture, so other than a few stray showers, you’ll notice the front when the winds shift. Wednesday looks to be a rather chilly day by mid-May standards with some gusty winds. As high pressure builds in Wednesday night, clear skies and light winds result in radiational cooling, with some frost likely. Temperatures remain on the cool side for Thursday, but should be a few degrees warmer than Wednesday. Warmer weather is expected on Friday with high pressure moving off to the east.

Tuesday looks like the pick of the week with partly sunny skies and warm temperatures. Image provided by WeatherBell.

Next weekend is looking a little uncertain at this point. Another cold front will likely move through, with a wave of low pressure riding up the coast along the front. However, the timing and placement of both the front and the wave, as well as the amount of moisture accompanying vary depending on which model you prefer. Given how dry it has been recently, and the trends in the models to overestimate rainfall several days in advance, we’re going to lean toward the dry side for now, with only a chance for some showers.

The models all have differing ideas for next weekend’s forecast. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.

Monday: Morning sunshine, some afternoon clouds, breezy. High 70-77, cooler across Cape Cod.

Monday night: Partly cloudy. Low 50-57.

Tuesday: Partly sunny, windy. High 75-82, cooler across Cape Cod.

Tuesday night: Partly to mostly cloudy, just a slight chance for a shower. Low 43-50.

Wednesday: Becoming mostly sunny, breezy, and cooler. High 58-65.

Thursday: Wall-to-wall sunshine. High 60-67.

Friday: Mostly sunny, breezy. High 66-73.

Saturday: Partly sunny, breezy, chance for a few showers. High 67-74.

Sunday: Intervals of clouds and sun, breezy. chance for some showers. High 65-72.

Weekend Outlook: May 12-15, 2023

Enjoy the warm weather for a few more days, because it will go away this weekend, at least temporarily.

Drought isn’t a problem yet, but unless the pattern turns wetter soon, it could become an issue. Image provided by the National Drought Mitigation Center.

High pressure remains in control into Friday, however, a cold front will begin to approach the region. There will be just enough moisture in the air to make it feel a little humid, and this may help to trigger a few showers and thunderstorms during the afternoon and evening. The cold front moves through at night, possibly with another shower or two, and may slow down near the South Coast, keeping some clouds around into part of the day, otherwise, drier air will filter in, but it will remain warm. With high pressure building in, we’ll have clear skies and light winds for Saturday night, resulting in a cooler night due to radiational cooling. Sunday should feature plenty of sunshine, but it will be cooler than the past few days. After another chilly night Sunday night, temperatures will start to moderate on Monday.

Much of the region could top 80 Friday afternoon. Image provided by WeatherBell.

Thursday night: Partly cloudy. Low 50-57.

Friday: A mix of sun and clouds, chance for a few showers or thunderstorms during the afternoon and evening. High 77-84, cooler across the South Coast, Cape, and Islands.

Friday night: Partly cloudy, slight chance for a shower. Low 55-62.

Saturday: Partly to mostly sunny. High 73-80.

Saturday night: Clear skies. Low 44-51.

Sunday: Sunshine and some high clouds, breezy, and cooler. High 62-69.

Sunday night: Clear to partly cloudy. Low 43-50.

Monday: A mix of sun and clouds, breezy. High 68-75.

Weekly Outlook: May 8-14, 2023

After a couple of cool and damp weeks, we’ve got most dry weather on the way for this week.

Average high temperatures in mid-May are in the middle 60s around here. Image provided by Weathermodels.com

We start the week off with a mostly sunny day today after clouds move offshore this morning, with mild temperatures once again. However, a backdoor cold front will move in for Tuesday with cooler temperatures, though we should remain dry. Temperatures will start to moderate on Wednesday, but even warmer weather is expected for Thursday and Friday. A weak frontal system may bring in a few showers late Friday and Friday night, with drier weather returning for next weekend.

Right now, Friday looks like the warmest day or the week, with some 80-degree readings possible. Image provided by WeatherBell.

Monday: A few clouds early, otherwise mostly sunny, breezy, and mild. High 67-74.

Monday night: Clear to partly cloudy. Low 40-47.

Tuesday: A mix of sun and clouds. High 59-66, coolest along the coast.

Tuesday night: Clear and cool. Low 37-44.

Wednesday: Plenty of sunshine. High 63-70.

Thursday: Partly to mostly sunny. High 72-79.

Friday: Partly sunny, breezy, chance for a few showers late in the day and at night. High 73-80.

Saturday: A mix of sun and clouds, breezy. High 72-79.

Sunday: Partly sunny. High 66-73.