The week will start off warm and somewhat humid, but cooler air is on the way.

A cold front will approach the region today, with warm and humid conditions likely ahead of it. We’ll also have plenty of clouds, though there will be some sunny breaks. The front won’t have much moisture with it, but there may be enough for a few showers along the front during the late afternoon and evening hours. Once the front moves through, high pressure builds in for Tuesday through Thursday with cooler temperatures (they’ll be below normal for late August), and lower humidity, so you can open all the windows and let some fresh air back in once again.

Things turn unsettled for the end of the week. Low pressure moves into southeastern Canada, dragging a couple of frontal systems across the region. This will result in more clouds, higher humidity, and some episodes of showers, possibly some thunderstorms, between late Thursday night into Friday. A secondary system moves in for Saturday, but whether it crosses the region or stays offshore is still up for debate among the models, which has an impact not only on the weather we’ll expect, but the temperatures as well. Temperatures will remain on the cool side for late-August, thanks to the cloudcover and rainfall. By Sunday, high pressure builds back in with dry and cool weather returning.

Monday: Intervals of clouds and sun, chance for a late-day shower. High 80-87.

Monday night: Mostly cloudy with a shower possible during the evening, skies start to clear late at night. Low 58-65.

Tuesday: Becoming mostly sunny and less humid. High 71-78.

Tuesday night: Clear skies. Low 53-60.

Wednesday: Sunshine and some afternoon clouds. High 71-78.

Thursday: Morning sun fades behind increasing clouds, showers possible at night. High 73-80.

Friday: Mostly cloudy with showers likely. High 70-77.

Saturday: Partly to mostly cloudy with a chance for showers. High 71-78.

Sunday: Partly sunny. High 68-75.

An active weather pattern will continue across the region this week.

We start the week off with high pressure providing us with a dry and warm day today. Humidity levels will begin creeping back up as well. High clouds will filter the sunshine today, and then they will thicken up late in the day as the next storm system moves toward the region. A warm front will likely stall out near or just south of the region, with showers moving in ahead of it tonight. Occasional showers are likely on Tuesday, and with the front stalled out to the south, it will likely be a rather cool day. Showers end Tuesday night, then high pressure builds back in for Wednesday and part of Thursday with dry and seasonably warm conditions. The next system moves in later Thursday into Friday with some more showers and thunderstorms. High pressure returns for the week with dry and warm to potentially hot conditions.

Monday: Sunshine filtered through increasing and thickening clouds. High 78-85.

Monday night: Becoming mostly cloudy with showers developing. Low 63-70.

Tuesday: Plenty of clouds with showers and some thunderstorms likely. High 72-79, though areas North of the Mass Pike could stay in the 60s all day.

Tuesday night: Mostly cloudy, showers and thunderstorms ending. Low 61-68.

Wednesday: Partly sunny. High 75-82.

Thursday: A mix of sun and clouds, a few showers possible late in the day. High 76-83.

Friday: Partly sunny with some showers and thunderstorms around. High 77-84.

Saturday: Mostly sunny. High 76-83.

Sunday: Sunshine and some afternoon clouds. High 80-87.

“Everything in moderation, including moderation” – Oscar Wilde

Mother Nature is taking that quote to heart this week, as we’ll have moderately high temperatures at times, moderate humidity at times, and some moderate rain at times.

A low pressure system will move across the Ohio Valley, passing north and west of the region over the next day or two. Some showers will develop ahead of the system today as it sends a warm front in, with a very noticeable spike in the humidity. The showers will be mostly on the light side, and not everyone will get them. We’ll have a bit of a lull in the activity during the afternoon, then an area of steadier rain will likely move in by evening, and continue overnight into Tuesday morning. We could be looking at a second round of showers and thunderstorms later in the day as the cold front trailing the low pressure system finally moves through and pushes offshore. Wednesday looks like the pick of the week, with high pressure building in, providing sunshine, warm temperatures and lower humidity. The latter half of the week and the weekend look unsettled at this time, with a series of disturbances moving through. These will generate showers and thunderstorms at times, but the timing of these disturbances is still in question. None of the days will be a washout, but if you’ve got outdoor plans, keep an eye on updated forecasts as the week goes on.

Monday: Plenty of clouds with a few breaks of sunshine, some showers around, especially during the morning and early afternoon. High 72-79.

Monday night: Mostly cloudy and breezy with some showers and thunderstorms likely. Low 63-70.

Tuesday: Cloudy with showers and thunderstorms during the morning, some clearing in the afternoon, then another round of showers and thunderstorms possible late in the day. High 76-83.

Tuesday night: Becoming partly cloudy, breezy. Low 61-68.

Wednesday: Plenty of sunshine, still breezy, but not as humid. High 77-84.

Thursday: Morning sun, then clouds start to move back in, a few showers possible late in the day. High 79-86.

Friday: A mix of sun and clouds. High 79-86.

Saturday: Partly sunny with some late-day showers and thunderstorms possible. High 79-86.

Sunday: Partly sunny. High 78-85.

After one of the wettest Julys on record, we’ve got an extended stretch of dry weather to start August.

A weak cold front will cross the region today, generating some clouds and possibly a few showers this afternoon, otherwise, high pressure will be in control through Thursday, with sunshine, cool temperatures and, lower humidity levels. Yes, you can turn off the air conditioning and open the windows for the next several days and save on that electric bill. By the end of the week, another upper-level low will drop into the Great Lakes, while at the surface, a low pressure area moves into southeastern Canada, dragging a cold front across the region. The result will be some showers and thunderstorms on Friday and early Saturday, with some heavy rain possible. High pressure builds back in for later Saturday and Sunday with drier weather.

Monday: Morning sun with some afternoon clouds and a few showers or thunderstorms. High 75-82.

Monday night: Clear skies. Low 55-62.

Tuesday: Sunshine with some afternoon clouds again. High 73-80.

Tuesday night: Clear skies. Low 52-59.

Wednesday: Plenty of sunshine. High 72-79.

Thursday: A mix of sun and clouds, breezy. High 75-82.

Friday: Partly to mostly cloudy and breezy with showers and thunderstorms developing. High 74-81.

Saturday: Showers end early, becoming partly sunny. High 75-82.

Sunday: A mix of sun and clouds. High 77-84.

Finally, a quick note on the tropics. The potential exists for two named tropical systems to develop in the Atlantic over the next 24-48 hours, but neither of them will be a threat to any land areas. A tropical wave and associated area of low pressure has been slowly organizing as it made its way across the Atlantic over the past week. Conditions are favorite for some additional development as the storm turns toward the north well east of the Lesser Antilles today. It should head northward and then eventually northeastward, likely become a tropical depression and quite possibly a tropical storm over the next couple of days. It could eventually become a potent extratropical system as it heads toward the British Isles at the end of the week. There’s also a system off the North Carolina coast. This system produced heavy rain across parts of Florida and the Southeast over the past few days, and now that it is offshore again and over the warm waters of the Gulf Stream, it has a small window where it could become a tropical depression or tropical storm today before it merges with a frontal system and races northeastward over the open waters of the Atlantic. If either system does develop, we’ll have another post on Monday talking about the tropics around the world, as the Atlantic isn’t the only place with tropical activity at the moment.

It’s been a very wet July across most of the region, but this week will be drier, but also warmer.

We start the week off with high pressure keeping the region dry and warm, but a weak upper-level trough of low pressure remains in place across the southeastern Canada. As little disturbances rotate around that trough, we may see a few showers and thunderstorms pop up each afternoon, but they’ll be widely scattered, and mainly across the interior. For most of us, it’ll just be partly to mostly sunny, quite warm, and not that humid for Monday and Tuesday. During the latter half of the week, both temperatures and humidity levels will be on the rise, with a couple of hot days expected for Thursday and Friday. Beyond that, a cold front will be dropping down from Canada, producing some showers and thunderstorms late Friday into early Saturday. The question is, when does the front actually move through? That’ll be the difference between another hot and humid day on Saturday or a cooler and drier day. By Sunday, the cooler and drier air should finally settle into most of the region.

Monday: Sunshine filtered through some high clouds, slight chance for an afternoon shower or thunderstorm, mainly well north and west of Boston. High 82-89.

Monday night: Clear to partly cloudy. Low 64-71.

Tuesday: A mix of sun and clouds, a few showers and thunderstorms develop in the afternoon. High 81-88.

Tuesday night: Partly cloudy. Low 63-70.

Wednesday: Mostly sunny, just a very slight chance for an afternoon shower or thunderstorm. High 84-91.

Thursday: A mix of sun and clouds, a few showers and thunderstorms possible during the afternoon and evening. High 87-94.

Friday: Partly sunny, some showers and thunderstorms possible at night. High 88-95.

Saturday: Intervals of clouds and sun, chance for a few showers and thunderstorms, mainly early. High 82-82.

Sunday: Partly to mostly sunny. High 75-82.

Yup, we’re still stuck in the same pattern we’ve been in for a while now, with an upper-level low sitting near the Great Lakes. Some days will be like yesterday – wet (or very wet), and some will be like today (dry), but there’s no persistent heat on the way.

After an extraordinarily wet day on Sunday, we’ll dry out today as high pressure builds in. It’ll still be warm and humid, but we’re not expecting any rain. Another frontal system will move toward the region on Tuesday, with another round of showers and thunderstorms expected during the afternoon and evening. A few of these storms may produce downpours, but for now, we’re not expecting a repeat on Sunday. High pressure returns with drier weather on Wednesday, then another system brings in more showers and thunderstorms later Thursday into Friday. Again, some downpours are possible, but a widespread heavy rain event doesn’t appear likely at this time Once that system moves out, drier air should move in for the weekend. This would be a welcome change from the past several weekends, which all seemed to feature some rain, but don’t consider it a lock just yet. It’s a week away and things can change.

Monday: Becoming mostly sunny. High 83-90.

Monday night: Partly cloudy. Low 66-73.

Tuesday: Intervals of clouds and sun, showers and thunderstorms develop in the afternoon. High 82-89.

Tuesday night: Partly to mostly cloudy, showers and storms end before midnight. Low 65-72.

Wednesday: A mix of sun and clouds. High 80-87.

Thursday: Partly sunny, showers and thunderstorms move in late in the day, continuing at night. High 77-84.

Friday: Showers end in the morning, some clearing in the afternoon. High 77-84.

Saturday: A mix of sun and clouds. High 77-84.

Sunday: Partly to mostly sunny. High 79-86.

Our unsettled pattern will continue for a good chunk of the week, but some changes are expected.

We start the week off with a similar pattern to what we’ve had for a while now. An upper-level trough of low pressure moving from the Great Lakes into the Northeast with a frontal system at the surface stalled out across the region. That front will trigger some showers and thunderstorms again today, a few of which could be quite strong. More heavy rain is possible with some storms, which could lead to areas of flooding, especially from northern Connecticut across central and northeastern Massachusetts and southern New Hampshire, where as much as 2-4 inches of rain fell on Sunday. The front will dissipate across the region on Tuesday, with some additional showers and thunderstorms possible, but they shouldn’t be as widespread as today, which is good news for July 4th celebrations in many locations.

Wednesday and Thursday feature a change, as a ridge of high pressure builds in both at the surface and aloft. This means we’ll be drier and warmer, with many spots approaching 90 degrees. The change will be short-lived though, as another frontal system approaches on Friday, and slows down as it moves across the region next weekend. A wave of low pressure may ride along it while another upper-level trough moves in from the Midwest, meaning that we’re back in the humid and unsettled pattern. While some showers and thunderstorms are expected each day, none of the days should be a washout.

Monday: Morning fog, then intervals of clouds and sunshine with showers and thunderstorms developing, some may be locally heavy. High 77-84, possibly a little warmer across southeastern Massachusetts and Rhode Island.

Monday night: Partly to mostly cloudy, more showers and thunderstorms through the evening, tapering off overnight, areas of fog develop. Low 63-70.

Independence Day: Partly sunny with a chance for some additional showers and thunderstorms. High 76-83.

Tuesday night: Showers and storms end in the evening, then becoming partly cloudy. Low 62-69.

Wednesday: Partly to mostly sunny. High 81-88.

Thursday: Sunshine and a few clouds. High 83-90, a little cooler right at the coast.

Friday: A mix of sun and clouds, chance for a few late-day showers and thunderstorms. High 82-89.

Saturday: Partly sunny with some showers and thunderstorms possible. High 79-86.

Sunday: Intervals of clouds and sun with more showers and thunderstorms likely. High 77-84.

While the weather won’t be perfect for a long holiday weekend, it won’t be as bad as your weather app say it will be.

We’ll have high pressure building in, and remaining in place through Saturday, which means drier weather and lower humidity, but it will remain warm. There’s still a slight chance for a pop-up shower Friday afternoon, but these should be few and far between. Clouds will start to move in late Saturday ahead of a slow-moving frontal system. In addition, another upper-level low will move into the Great Lakes, with disturbances riding around it. So, that means that for Sunday, Monday, and July 4th, we’re back in the same pattern we’ve been in, with higher humidity, and a daily chance for showers and thunderstorms, mainly during the afternoon and evening hours. None of the days should be a washout, but if you’ve got outdoor plans, make sure you keep an eye on the sky (or the radar), and be prepared to head inside if need be. For fireworks displays Tuesday night, most of the thunderstorm activity should diminish after sunset, but obviously, this is a little hard to pinpoint several days in advance.

Thursday night: Clear to partly cloudy, some patchy fog may develop. Low 60-67.

Friday: A mix of sun and clouds, slight chance for a stray shower during the afternoon. High 78-85, coolest along the coast.

Friday night: Partly cloudy. Low 59-66.

Canada Day: Partly sunny. High 78-85, coolest along the coast.

Saturday night: Becoming mostly cloudy, chance for a few late-night showers. Low 62-69.

Sunday: Intervals of clouds and sun with showers and thunderstorms developing, most widespread during the afternoon. High 74-81.

Sunday night: Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms tapering off during the evening. Low 63-70.

Monday: Partly sunny, showers and thunderstorms pop up during the afternoon. High 78-85.

Monday night: Partly to mostly cloudy, showers end in the evening. Low 63-70.

Fourth of July: Intervals of clouds and sun, showers and thunderstorms possible during the afternoon and evening. High 77-84.

This week’s forecast is fairly simple, because we’re stuck in the same weather pattern that we’ve been in for quite some time.

Upper-level low pressure over the Great Lakes will very slowly move eastward this week while weakening. As disturbances rotate around this low, we’ll have a daily chance for showers and thunderstorms, mainly during the afternoon and evening each day. Not everyone will get these, and none of the days will be a washout, but the threat exists each day for some showers and thunderstorms. Any storms that do form will likely produce heavy downpours, as we’ll have a warm and humid airmass in place. A few strong to severe storms are possible, especially today, but for the most part, we’re just looking at your typical garden-variety thunderstorms each day. The upper low finally starts to move out next weekend, but another one drops right into the Great Lakes in its place, keeping the unsettled weather going for a few more days.

Monday: Morning fog, then intervals of clouds and sun with showers and thunderstorms developing, some could be quite strong. High 77-84, a little cooler along the coast from the North Shore to the New Hampshire Seacoast.

Monday night: Mostly cloudy, fog redevelops, a few more showers, mainly during the evening. Low 62-69.

Tuesday: Partly to mostly cloudy, breezy with some afternoon showers and thunderstorms. High 72-79.

Tuesday night: Mostly cloudy, showers taper off in the evening, fog likely again. Low 62-69.

Wednesday: Intervals of clouds and sun, breezy, chance for a few afternoon showers and thunderstorms. High 73-80.

Thursday: Partly sunny, some showers and thunderstorms likely in the afternoon. High 74-81.

Friday: Partly sunny, an isolated shower or thunderstorm possible. High 73-80.

Saturday: Intervals of clouds and sun, breezy, chance for an afternoon shower or thunderstorm. High 76-83.

Sunday: More clouds than sun, breezy, more showers and thunderstorms possible. High 74-81.