Weekly Outlook: June 5-11, 2017

After a rather chilly and damp May, things haven’t changed too much to start June. In fact, the next couple of days will be downright suck-tastic (that’s a technical term). While we’ll see some improvement in this pattern as we head towards the end of the week, a flip to summer-like weather is probably still at least a week away. Even then, we’re not sure how long a summer-patter may hang around.

Stop us if you’ve heard this before, but for the first half of the week, an upper-level low pressure area will remain in place across the Northeast. That means showers and cool temperatures through at least Tuesday. A weak area of high pressure will try to build in at the surface on Wednesday, but with that upper-low hanging around, we’ll still see plenty of clouds, and possibly a few showers. In fact, that will probably be repeated each day through Saturday. None of the days will be a washout, as we won’t have any organized storm systems moving near the area. However, each day will feature plenty of clouds along with some sunny breaks, along with showers popping up. Temperatures will gradually warm up as we head through the week, but will remain below normal. As we get into the middle of June “normal” is generally lower to middle 70s, so we’re looking at highs in the 60s later this week.

gfs.500wh.conus.2017060500-loop
As has been the case for the past several weeks, an upper-level low pressure area will keep us cool and damp this week. Loop provided by Pivotal Weather.

 

Things *might* start to change on Sunday. By then, there are some indications that the upper-level low may start to move out and be replaced by a ridge of high pressure. That would allow for sunshine and warmer temperatures. Of course, the models haven’t been that trustworthy lately, and it was only a few days ago that they showed this transition taking place towards Thursday or Friday, not Sunday. So, we remain a bit skeptical that it will occur by Sunday.

gfs_t2m_a_f_boston_8
Temperatures will be 15-25 degrees below normal Tuesday afternoon. Image provided by WeatherBell.

Just think, it could have been a lot worse. If we had this pattern in January and February instead of May and early June, it would have been reminiscent of the winter of 2014-2015, when we got absolutely buried with record snow in a 6 week period.

Monday: Cloudy with occasional showers and drizzle. High 55-62.

Monday night: More showers, drizzle, and fog expected. Low 47-54.

Tuesday: Breezy and cool with periods of rain and showers expected. Temperatures hold steady for much of the day, possibly dropping a few degrees.

Tuesday night: Showers, drizzle, and fog persist. Low 44-51.

Wednesday: Partly to mostly cloudy with a chance for more showers.  High 54-61.

Thursday: Partly sunny, chance for a few showers. High 59-66.

Friday: Intervals of clouds and sunshine with additional showers possible. High 66-73.

Saturday: Partly sunny, a few more showers are possible. High 71-78.

Sunday: A mix of sun and clouds, slight chance for a shower. High 72-79.

Many models are showing the possibility that the start of next week features some real summer weather, with temperatures getting into the 90s and dewpoints near or above 70s. We’ll see if they stick to their guns as the week goes on.

 

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