The forecast for the weekend is pretty straightforward…..or is it?
An upper level low pressure system over Atlantic Canada will keep us on the cool side through the weekend while high pressure builds in at the surface. Low pressure moving out of the Great Lakes will be deflected south and west of New England, spreading some clouds in, but the rain shield associated the system looks like it won’t make it past Connecticut. At least, that’s what some of our more reliable models are showing. However, not all of the models see it that way, and there’s where things get complicated. Some of the models bring the storm south of the region, but close enough to bring the rain shield into the South Coast and Cape Cod. Others slow the system down, then have it redevelop as a new upper level low pressure area develops just offshore, resulting in some steadier and heavier rain for much of eastern New England Sunday and Monday. With all of this in mind, we also are reminded of an old meteorological saying – “When in drought, leave it out”. What this means is that droughts tend to feed on themselves – when it’s dry, it stays dry, so leave the rain out of the forecast. We’ve been in a drought for a while now, so with all of this in mind, we are going to lean toward a drier forecast for now, but are well aware that it could change for the latter half of the weekend. We’ll also note that many models are showing the potential for a very wet period for the middle to latter half of next week, which we’ll take a deeper dive into in our Weekly Outlook early Monday morning.
Thursday night: Clear skies with a few clouds around. Low 33-40.
Friday: Sunshine with some afternoon clouds. High 50-57, a little cooler along the coast.
Friday night: Partly cloudy. Low 32-39.
Saturday: Some morning sun, then increasing and thickening clouds. High 48-55, a little cooler along the coast.
Saturday night: Mostly cloudy. Low 35-42.
Sunday: More clouds than sunshine, chance for a few showers near the South Coast. High 53-60, a little cooler along the coast.
Sunday night: Partly to mostly cloudy, chance for a few showers near the South Coast. Low 37-44.
Monday: Partly to mostly cloudy, chance for a few showers near the South Coast. High 54-61, a little cooler along the coast.
Storm HQ 