Author: wxmanscottk

Weekly Outlook: February 20-26, 2023

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An active weather pattern will bring many changes to our weather this week.

We start off the week with a little rain across southeastern Massachusetts behind a departing disturbance. The rest of the day will be mild, but a cold front will swing through this afternoon with the chance for a few showers. We’ll clear out for a little while tonight behind that front, but clouds quickly return on Tuesday ahead of another disturbance. This one will bring in some more showers on Tuesday, but some snow could mix in, especially from the Merrimack Valley into southern and central New Hampshire. Accumulations won’t amount to much, but an inch or so is possible in southern New Hampshire. The real changes start on Wednesday.

A little bit of snow is possible Tuesday afternoon and evening. Image provided by WeatherBell.

A double-barreled low pressure will move out of the Great Lakes and head toward the region later Wednesday into Thursday and early Friday. This will bring a variety of weather in. Precipitation will move in late Wednesday afternoon and evening, and will likely start as snow for much of the region, with a wintry mix or rain likely near the South Coast. Warmer air will move in aloft, eventually changing the precipitation to sleet and freezing rain. A change to plain rain is likely near the South Coast, but temperatures may stay below freezing across much of the remainder of the region, with a prolonged period of sleet and/or freezing rain possible Wednesday night and early Thursday. We may get a bit of a break Thursday afternoon before the second part of the system moves in with more mixed precipitation Wednesday night into Thursday morning. There is the potential for several inches of snow before the changeover Wednesday night and Thursday morning, especially north of the Mass Pike, but this is highly uncertain at this point. Either way, the Thursday morning commute will be a mess.

The Thursday morning commute has the potential to be ugly around here. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.

High pressure builds in for late Friday and Saturday with some chilly weather, then another system quickly follows late Saturday into Sunday with a chance for some more light snow, possibly mixed with rain, especially near the South Coast.

Saturday morning could be rather chilly around here. Image provided by Weathermodels.com

Monday: Mostly cloudy, chance for a few showers during the afternoon, some late-day clearing, breezy. High 51-58.

Monday night: Partly cloudy through the evening, clouds move back in late at night. Low 27-34.

Tuesday: Cloudy and cooler with some rain or snow showers likely during the afternoon and evening. High 36-43.

Tuesday night: Clearing, breezy. Low 24-31.

Wednesday: Early sun, then clouds return, snow and sleet developing at night. High 37-44.

Thursday: Snow changing to sleet and freezing rain, plain rain south of Boston, breezy. High 25-32 north of the Mass Pike, 33-40 south of the Pike.

Friday: Snow, sleet, freezing rain, and rain ending early, some late-day clearing, windy. High 30-37.

Saturday: Partly sunny and chilly, clouds thicken up in the afternoon, light snow developing at night, mixed with rain near the South Coast. High 23-30.

Sunday: Snow or rain ending early, some late-day clearing, breezy. High 36-43.

Weekend Outlook: February 17-20, 2023

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We’re in an active pattern right now, with lots of rapid-fire changes coming over the next few days.

Low pressure will cross central New England on Friday. Ahead of it, we’ll remain quite mild in Friday morning, but some showers likely tonight. They’ll become more numerous on Friday as the low drags a strong cold front across the region during the morning. Gusty northwest winds behind the front will send temperatures downward fairly quickly Friday afternoon. The rain should come to an end during the evening, but enough colder air may work in that the rain could mix with or change to wet snow before ending across southern New Hampshire and the Merrimack Valley. We’ll clear out late Friday night, then high pressure builds in for Saturday with sunshine and seasonably cool temperatures. Temperatures start to moderate on Sunday as the high slides offshore, but clouds will also move in as a weak upper-level disturbance moves toward the area. It may produce a few showers Sunday night and early Monday, mainly across Cape Cod and possibly southeastern Massachusetts. Another disturbance passes by late Monday and Monday night with a few more showers possible as it drags a cold front through late in the day.

Temperatures will quickly drop Friday afternoon behind a cold front. Loop provided by WeatherBell.

Thursday night: Cloudy and mild with some showers likely. Low 43-50 this evening, temperatures may rise a bit overnight.

Friday: Scattered showers, possibly mixing with wet snow late in the day north of Route 2, becoming windy and much cooler in the afternoon. High 55-62 in the morning (cooler across the NH Seacoast), temperatures drop sharply in the afternoon.

Friday night: Rain or snow showers end in the evening, skies start to clear out late at night, breezy. Low 18-25.

Saturday: Sunshine and a few clouds. High 34-41.

Saturday night: Clear to partly cloudy. Low 24-31.

Sunday: Increasing clouds, milder. High 42-49.

Sunday night: Mostly cloudy, chance for a few showers. Low 33-40.

Monday: More clouds than sun, chance for a few showers. High 48-55.

Weekly Outlook: February 13-19, 2023

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We’ve got another fairly quiet week coming up with some rather mild weather on the way once again.

Normal high temperatures for mid-February are in the middle to upper 30s. Image provided by Weathermodels.com

We start the week off with low pressure pulling away from the region. Any lingering showers across Cape Cod will end this morning, but skies will remain cloudy. An upper-level disturbance moves through tonight with more clouds, and possibly a few snow showers, mainly north of Route 2. High pressure then builds in for Tuesday with clearing and mild temperatures. The warming trend will continue for Wednesday and Thursday, with highs on Thursday possibly setting some records with temperatures topping 60 in some spots. Wednesday will remain dry, but some rain will develop later on Thursday as low pressure heads toward the St. Lawrence Valley. The rain will end on Friday as the system drags a strong cold front across the region. The timing of this front is a huge question mark right now, and that will have a significant impact on the temperature forecast. The later the front moves through, the more likely we have another warm day with more record highs possible. An earlier frontal passage results in a cooler day. Either way, high pressure builds in for the weekend with dry and much cooler conditions.

Record highs could be challenged across the region again on Thursday. Image provided by WeatherBell.

Monday: Mostly cloudy, any lingering showers near the South Coast and Cape Cod end in the morning. High 40-47.

Monday night: Partly to mostly cloudy, chance for a few snow showers or flurries, mainly north of Route 2. Low 28-35.

Tuesday: Becoming mostly sunny and breezy. High 42-49.

Tuesday night: Clear during the evening, then clouds increase once again. Low 26-33.

Wednesday: Intervals of clouds and sun, windy. High 49-56.

Thursday: Becoming mostly cloudy and breezy with showers likely late in the day and at night. High 58-65, cooler across the South Coast and Cape Cod.

Friday: Mostly cloudy with showers ending, some late-day clearing, windy. High 52-59, temperatures drop during the afternoon.

Saturday: Plenty of sunshine, breezy, and cooler. High 32-39.

Sunday: Partly sunny and breezy. High 44-51.

Weekend Outlook: February 10-13, 2023

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As we get into Super Bowl Weekend, the weather won’t be that bad, especially compared to what could happen during early February around here.

Low pressure will head into the Great Lakes tonight, sending a warm front through, with some showers likely ahead of it. The showers should end before daybreak as the storm sends a cold front across the region, but the airmass behind the front isn’t that cold. In fact, it’s actually warmer, so with some sunshine developing on Friday, we’ll actually have a rather warm day, with some record highs possible across our area. A stronger cold front moves through late in the day, with gusty northwest winds ushering more seasonable air in. High pressure builds in for Saturday with sunshine and cool temperatures. It’ll remain breezy in the morning, so it may be a little on the cool side for the morning outdoor activities, but winds will diminish in the afternoon. Sunday starts off nice, but clouds will stream in ahead of a low pressure system that will pass south of the region Sunday night and Monday. Some of the models have the precipitation from that system move into the region, possibly as far north as the Mass Pike, others barely get it to the South Coast. If it does make it this far north, temperatures could be close to freezing, so we could be dealing with a little snow or sleet as well. We are expecting most of the precipitation to stay offshore, but obviously we’ll keep an eye on things.

Some record highs could be challenged on Friday. Image provided by WeatherBell.

Thursday night: Showers likely, ending around midnight, breezy. Low 37-44 this evening, then temperatures rise overnight.

Friday: A mix of sun and clouds, windy, and mild. High 55-62.

Friday night: Partly cloudy, breezy. Low 26-33.

Saturday: Partly to mostly sunny, breezy early, winds diminish in the afternoon. High 36-43.

Saturday night: Clear skies, clouds start to move in late at night. Low 19-26.

Sunday: Increasing clouds, showers possible near the South Coast late in the day. High 41-48.

Sunday night: Cloudy with a chance for showers, mainly near the South Coast. Low 27-34.

Monday: Mostly cloudy and breezy, any showers ending in the morning. High 38-45.

Weekly Outlook: February 6-12, 2023

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Today marks the 45th anniversary of the Blizzard of 1978. Nothing remotely similar is expected this week.

The Blizzard of 78 is still the storm that all snowstorms are compared to across this region. Image provided by NOAA.

We start the week off with a few showers across Cape Cod as low pressure passes well to the south of the region. Despite the cloudcover, and it’ll be another mild day. Tuesday will be a little cooler as high pressure builds in, but temperatures will remain above normal for early February. Another front approaches at night with some rain or snow showers possible. High pressure returns for Wednesday with dry and mild conditions once again. Another system moves in on Thursday with more rain, possibly starting as a little sleet or snow north and west of Boston. Friday looks to be quite mild with partial sunshine, but another system quickly follows for Friday night into early Saturday with more rain, possibly some snow well north and west of Boston. High pressure builds back in on Sunday.

Monday: More clouds than sun any lingering showers across the Cape and Islands end early, becoming breezy. High 43-50.

Monday night: Becoming clear to partly cloudy, breezy. Low 18-25.

Tuesday: Early sun, then clouds return. High 34-41.

Tuesday night: Cloudy with a few rain or snow showers possible during the evening, clearing late at night, breezy. Low 27-34.

Wednesday: Mostly sunny. High 44-51.

Thursday: Plenty of clouds with showers likely, possibly mixed with snow to start well north and west of Boston, breezy. High 44-51.

Friday: Partly sunny and breezy. High 50-57.

Saturday: Mostly cloudy, breezy. more showers, possibly mixed with snow, especially north and west of Boston. High 38-45.

Sunday: Plenty of sunshine, breezy again. High 33-40.

Weekend Outlook: February 3-6, 2023

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Some rather cold air is on the way for the next couple of days, but it’s stay should be rather short.

Saturday morning will be the coldest morning we’ve had around here in several years. Image provided by Weathermodels.com.

A strong cold front will cross the region late tonight, possibly accompanied by a few flurries or snow showers. Behind it, gusty northwest winds will usher some arctic air into the New England. This is likely some of the coldest air we’ve had around in several years, so make sure you are prepared for it if you have to go outside. Temperatures will likely have dropped into the teens and lower 20s by the time most of you get out of bed Friday morning, and they will continue to drop during the day despite sunshine. Temperatures will be in the single numbers by evening, and below zero for near the entire region at night. Wind chills will drop below zero during Friday afternoon, and with northwest winds of 20-30 mph gusting to 40 mph at times, we’ll see wind chills in the -20 to -40 range Friday night and early Saturday. Temperatures bottom out in the -5 to -15 range Saturday morning, but it will remain breezy, so we’ll still be dealing with bitterly cold wind chills in the morning. Winds will diminish during the day on Saturday, but temperatures will only slowly rise. The good news is that high pressure will slide offshore, allowing winds to shift into the south and southwest, so temperatures will start to moderate, likely rising all through the night Saturday night, but we’ll also have some clouds starting to move in as a frontal system begins to approach from the west. By Sunday, temperatures will be above normal again, likely reaching 40 for most of us. A few showers are possible Sunday night as the frontal system moves through and another passes well to the south, then we’ll see some sunshine and mild temperatures again on Monday.

Wind chills will bottom out in the -20 to -40 range before daybreak Saturday. Image provided by WeatherBell.

Thursday night: Partly cloudy, slight chance for a snow shower, breezy. Low 13-20.

Friday: Mostly sunny, windy and turning sharply colder, chance for a few snow showers across the Outer Cape. High 13-20 early, temperatures drop during the day.

Friday night: Clear to partly cloudy, windy, and bitterly cold. Low -6 to -13.

Saturday: Mostly sunny, clouds start to filter in later in the day, breezy in the morning. High 11-18.

Saturday night: Partly to mostly cloudy, becoming breezy again late at night. Low 8-15 during the evening, temperatures rise overnight.

Sunday: Plenty of clouds, windy, and milder. High 39-46.

Sunday night: Mostly cloudy and breezy with a chance for a few showers across Southeastern Massachusetts and Cape Cod. Low 27-34.

Monday: Morning clouds and possibly a few showers in southeastern Massachusetts give way to some afternoon sun, breezy. High 41-48.

Weekly Outlook: January 30 – February 5, 2023

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We’re deep into winter, but it hasn’t felt like it much for the past couple of months. That’s about to change, potentially in a big way.

The week starts off mild once again, but a cold front will move across the region later today and tonight. As the front moves through, some rain or snow showers are possible, with a few snow squalls not out of the question. High pressure builds in for Tuesday and Wednesday with drier weather and more seasonable temperatures. This will also help deflect a low pressure off to the south, which may actually bring some snow to the Mid-Atlantic states, though we could see some of the precipitation reach the South Coast. Another system passes south of the region on Thursday, spreading in more clouds, but we’ll also see temperatures start to moderate a bit. This sets the stage for what’s to come at the end of the week.

Some snow squalls are possible as a cold front moves through the region tonight. Loop provided by WeatherBell.

A strong cold front will cross the region Friday morning as a rather large high pressure system settles into southern Ontario. Behind the front, the coldest air we’ve seen in several years will pour into the region. Temperatures will likely start the day in the 30s, but will rapidly drop during the afternoon, likely reaching the single digits by evening, and dropping below zero across most of the region overnight. By Saturday morning, temperatures may be as cold as -10 to -15 north and west of Boston, with even colder temperatures possible. But wait, if that’s not cold enough, gusty northwest winds will create wind chills of -20 to -30. Saturday morning might be a good day to skip that morning run, or you’ll probably want to make sure the dog takes care of business quickly. Despite sunshine, temperatures likely stay in the single digits or lower teens during the daytime. As the high slides by to the north, winds may shift into the north or northeast, which could allow for some ocean-effect snow showers to develop across Cape Cod. As the high continues eastward, winds will shift into the southeast and eventually south, bringing a quick end to our arctic blast. Temperatures will continue to rise Saturday night, and should get well into the 30s and even 40s again across the region on Sunday.

No matter which model you look at the wind chills Saturday morning will be ridiculously cold. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.

We should also mention that Thursday is Groundhog Day. Tradition states that if the groundhog sees his shadow, then there will be 6 more weeks of winter. Have we really had winter yet? Not really, so the groundhog probably won’t see his shadow. Of course, if you trust a long-range forecast from a rodent, then can we interest you in investing in some quality swampland in Florida? Sunday however is National Weatherperson’s Day. Obviously, we like that one a little more.

Monday: Intervals of sun and clouds. High 43-50.

Monday night: Partly to mostly cloudy with a few rain or snow showers possible, maybe even some snow squalls that could drop a quick inch in spots. Low 26-33.

Tuesday: Partly sunny. High 31-38.

Tuesday night: Partly to mostly cloudy with a few snow showers possible. Low 14-21.

Wednesday: Sunshine and a few clouds. High 26-33.

Thursday: A mix of sun and clouds, breezy. High 33-40.

Friday: Partly to mostly sunny, windy, and turning sharply colder. High 21-28 in the morning, temperatures plunge in the afternoon.

Saturday: Plenty of sunshine, breezy, and bitterly cold, except for a few snow showers possible on Cape Cod. Morning low -1 to -8 south of the Mass Pike, -9 to -16 north of the Pike. High 6-13 during the evening.

Sunday: Mostly cloudy, windy, milder, chance for some snow or rain showers. High 35-42.

Weekend Outlook: January 27-30, 2023

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Drier weather will return for a few days, but won’t last for too long.

Most of the region has received 5-10 inches of rain (not snow) over the past month. Image provided by Weathermodels.com.

High pressure builds in for tonight and Friday with some clearing and temperatures remaining on the mild side for late January. A weak front will move through on Saturday with some clouds and possibly a rain or snow shower, but for the most part, it will remain dry. The front stalls out just to the south, keeping plenty of clouds around for Saturday night and Sunday. On Sunday it will start moving northward again as a warm front, ahead of low pressure heading toward the eastern Great Lakes. That low passes across Northern New England Sunday night and Monday, producing a few rain or snow showers across our area. We’ll start to clear out behind the system later on Monday.

Temperatures will remain above to well above normal over the next few days. Image provided by WeatherBell.

Thursday night: Partly cloudy, breezy. Low 22-29.

Friday: Partly to mostly sunny. High 34-41.

Friday night: Variably cloudy, chance for a few late-night rain or snow showers. Low 21-28.

Saturday: Partly sunny and breezy. High 39-46.

Saturday night: Partly to mostly cloudy. Low 24-31.

Sunday: Mostly cloudy, breezy. High 42-49.

Sunday night: Mostly cloudy, chance for a few rain or snow showers. Low 25-32.

Monday: Plenty of clouds with a few rain or snow showers early, some clearing late in the day. High 39-46.

Weekly Outlook: January 23-29, 2023

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A fairly active weather pattern is on deck for this week, with several bouts of unsettled weather expected.

We’re starting the week off on a stormy note with low pressure passing south of the region. Colder air will work its way in behind the storm today, allowing the rain/snow line to move southward as the day progresses. So, even places that are still raining this morning will likely see some snow before the day is out and the storm pulls away. Areas south of the Mass Pike will likely see an inch or less of accumulation, with another 1-3 inches north of the Pike, and possibly a little more than that across southern New Hampshire. Everything ends this evening, then high pressure briefly builds in tomorrow with drier conditions.

Much of the region will only pickup another inch or two of snow today. Image provided by WeatherBell.

However, another storm will quickly follow for Wednesday. With some cold air in place, this one will likely start as snow across the region Wednesday afternoon, making for a rather messy afternoon commute. However, with the low passing west of us, and a secondary low pressure system developing right overhead, warmer air will move in, resulting in a change to rain Wednesday evening and night, ending Thursday morning. As that system pulls away, breezy and cooler conditions settle in late Thursday into Friday, but a cold front will approach the region on Saturday. That front may produce some snow showers Saturday afternoon and evening before it pushes offshore. Wel clear out behind it and turn colder, but yet another system quickly follows late Sunday, with some rain or snow showers possible late in the day ahead of a warm front.

Most of the models show snow falling for the Wednesday afternoon commute. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.

Monday: Breezy with snow likely north of the Mass Pike, rain changing to snow south of the Pike. High 34-41 early, temperatures drop during the afternoon.

Monday night: Snow ending in the evening, followed by clearing, windy. Low 22-29.

Tuesday: Morning clouds, some afternoon sun, breezy. High 35-42.

Tuesday night: Clear through the evening, clouds return after midnight. Low 17-24.

Wednesday: Cloudy with snow developing in the afternoon, changing to rain from south to north during the evening. High 32-39.

Thursday: Windy with periods of rain, ending in the afternoon. High 39-46 north and west of I-495, 47-54 south and east.

Friday: Partly to mostly sunny, breezy, and colder. High 32-39.

Saturday: Mostly cloudy and breezy with a few snow showers possible, clearing late in the day. High 37-44.

Sunday: Becoming mostly cloudy and breezy, snow or rain showers possible late in the day. High 35-42.

Weekend Outlook: January 20-23, 2023

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We’re getting into a more active weather pattern around here, and also one that is a bit more wintry.

Tonight’s storm will bring a little bit of everything to the region. Loop provided by Weathermodels.com

Low pressure will head into the Midwest tonight while a secondary area of low pressure develops across the northern Mid-Atlantic states and passes just south of New England tonight. Rain will overspread much of the region over the next few hours, except for central New Hampshire, where precipitation will likely start as some snow. As that secondary area of low pressure passes by to the south tonight, winds will shift into the north, allowing cooler air to settle in, and the rain/snow line to start migrating southward. The steadiest precipitation likely ends before daybreak, but the old low pressure system will move through during the day on Friday, with occasional snow showers north and west of Boston, and occasional rain showers changing to snow showers from Boston southward. The rain/snow line likely doesn’t reach the South Coast before everything winds down late Friday afternoon or evening. How much snow can we expect?

South and east of I-95: Less than 1″
MetroWest/North Shore: 1-2″
Merrimack Valley/NH Seacoast: 2-4″
Southern/Central NH: 3-6″

This will not be a big snowmaker for much of our region. Image provided by Pivotal Weather.

We may see some clearing on Saturday as high pressure tries to move in, but clouds quickly return Saturday night as another system heads toward the region. This one looks to be mostly rain for Sunday night into Monday morning, but it may start as snow across southern New Hampshire, and the rain may change to snow before ending across the region Monday morning. We’ll clear out behind the system Monday afternoon, but it will be quite breezy.

Northwest winds may gust to 30-40 mph Monday afternoon. Image provided by WeatherBell.

Thursday night: Rain developing across the region, except snow across central New Hampshire. Rain changes to snow as we head through the night across southern New Hampshire and the Merrimack Valley. Low 29-36.

Friday: Occasional snow showers north and west of Boston, with rain showers changing to snow showers from Boston southward. High 34-41 in the morning, temperatures drop during the day.

Friday night: Mostly cloudy, any lingering rain or snow showers end in the evening. Low 20-27.

Saturday: Becoming partly sunny. High 30-37.

Saturday night: Clouds return. Low 11-18 across southern New Hampshire and the Merrimack Valley, 19-26 elsewhere.

Sunday: Mostly cloudy. High 36-43.

Sunday night: Cloudy and becoming windy with rain likely, possibly starting as snow across southern New Hampshire. Low 30-37, temperatures may rise a bit overnight.

Monday: Rain may change to snow before ending in the morning, becoming partly sunny and windy in the afternoon. High 40-47 early, temperatures drop during the day.