Weekend Outlook: October 28-31, 2022

An extended stretch of dry weather is coming up, but it probably won’t last through Halloween.

High pressure provides the region with dry weather into early Sunday. Some clouds will be around on Friday as an upper-level disturbance moves through, otherwise, we’ll generally have clear skies. Temperatures will be on the cool side through Friday night, but will start to moderate on Saturday as high pressure moves off to the east. Clouds start to stream in on Sunday ahead of a low pressure system moving up from the southwest. That system will bring in some showers for Monday afternoon and into Tuesday. For any local towns that still do trick-or-treating on Halloween itself, it’s look rather damp right now.

Saturday morning could be rather chilly in some locations. Image provided by WeatherBell.

Thursday night: Clear and cool, breezy through the evening. Low 34-41.

Friday: A mix of sun and clouds. High 51-58.

Friday night: Becoming mostly clear. Low 29-36.

Saturday: Plenty of sunshine. High 55-62.

Saturday night: Clear skies. Low 30-37.

Sunday: Sunshine during the morning, clouds start to increase during the afternoon. High 58-65.

Sunday night: Mostly cloudy. Low 41-48.

Monday: Cloudy with showers likely, mainly during the afternoon and evening. High 61-68.

Weekly Outlook: October 24-30, 2022

Over the past few months, we’ve had numerous weeks during which we have enjoyed extended stretches of dry weather. The first half of this week won’t be one of them.

A weak low pressure system moving up from the south will bring in more showers today, tapering off to drizzle this evening. Occasional showers may linger into Tuesday and Wednesday as an upper-level system moves in from the west, before a cold front finally moves across the region. Drier air moves in for Thursday, but temperatures will remain warm. High pressure then builds in for the end of the week with drier and more seasonable conditions.

Parts of the region could receive a decent amount of rainfall today. Image provided by WeatherBell.

Monday: Cloudy with occasional showers and fog. High 59-66.

Monday night: A few more showers along with some drizzle and fog. Low 51-58.

Tuesday: Plenty of clouds with a shower or two possible. High 64-71.

Tuesday night: Cloudy with a few showers, more fog may develop. Low 55-62.

Wednesday: Scattered showers. High 61-68.

Thursday: A mix of sun and clouds. High 64-71.

Friday: Partly sunny and cooler. High 52-59.

Saturday: Intervals of clouds and sun. High 53-60.

Sunday: Partly sunny. High 56-63.

Weekend Outlook: October 21-24, 2022

We’ve got a couple of nice days coming up, and a couple of not-so-nice days coming up.

After dealing with a drought for most of the summer, rainfall is above to well above normal over the past 60 days for most of the region. Image provided by WeatherBell.

High pressure remains in control through Saturday with sunshine both Friday and Saturday afternoon along with moderating temperatures. So, if you’ve got outdoor plans, you’re in good shape. Clouds will start to move in from the south late Saturday and Saturday night as low pressure starts moving up the coastline. This will be a fairly weak storm, but it will have plenty of moisture. Rain will develop during the day on Sunday, likely reaching the South Coast during the morning, the Mass Pike corridor by early afternoon, and the Merrimack Valley and Southern New Hampshire by late afternoon. Sunday night will be fairly wet, as the rain may be heavy at times. On Monday, the rain will taper off to showers during the morning, with the steadiest rain ending by early afternoon. However, occasional showers and drizzle may linger well into the evening, which could make for a damp night in Foxborough for the Patriots Monday Night Football game with the Bears.

Some heavy rain is possible across parts of the region Sunday into Monday. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.

Thursday night: Clear and chilly again. Low 36-43.

Friday: Plenty of sunshine. High 57-64.

Friday night: Clear skies. Low 37-44.

Saturday: Sunshine through early afternoon, then high clouds start to stream in. High 61-68.

Saturday night: Increasing and thickening clouds. Low 41-48.

Sunday: Rain developing from south to north. High 57-64.

Sunday night: Periods of rain, possibly heavy. Low 47-54.

Monday: Rain tapers off to showers early, showers drizzle through the afternoon. High 59-66.

Weekly Outlook: October 17-23, 2022

The week starts off unsettled, but a warmup is in the way.

Normal high temperatures for mid-October are in the lower 60s across the region. Image provided by Weathermodels.com

A strong cold front will approach the region today, with some showers developing ahead of it. Those showers will continue off -and-on into Tuesday morning before the front finally pushes offshore. It does not look like we’ll have the heavy rain that the models were advertising a few days ago, but any rain will help to continue to put a dent into the drought. Skies start to clear out late in the day as high pressure starts to build in. While temperatures will turn cooler for Tuesday and Wednesday, the core of the cold air will stay off to our west. In fact, some lake-effect snow is possible downwind of the Great Lakes over the next few days. We’ll have temperatures that are below normal, but highs should still be in the 50s. By the end of the week and the weekend, the high slides off to the east, allowing temperatures to moderate to above normal levels for Friday into Sunday.

Temperatures could reach 70 degrees next weekend. Image provided by WeatherBell.

Monday: Mostly cloudy, showers develop in the afternoon. High 57-64.

Monday night: Cloudy with occasional showers. Low 46-53.

Tuesday: Showers ending by early afternoon, gradual clearing late in the day. High 56-63.

Tuesday night: Becoming clear. Low 34-41.

Wednesday: Sunshine and a few clouds. High 51-58.

Thursday: Plenty of sunshine, breezy. High 50-57.

Friday: Mostly sunny. High 56-63.

Saturday: Sunshine and some afternoon clouds. High 62-69.

Sunday: A mix of sun and clouds. High 63-70.

Weekend Outlook: October 14-17, 2022

We’ve got some unsettled weather to start and end the weekend, but in between, it should be rather nice.

The drought continues across the region, but we’ll put another big dent in it this weekend. Image provided by the National Drought Mitigation Center.

A cold front is approaching the region, and we’ll have some rain and gusty winds ahead of it tonight into Friday. Some of the heavy could be heavy, especially from central Massachusetts into southern New Hampshire, where flood watches are in effect. The rain tapers off to showers Friday morning, ending from west to east during the afternoon and evening. Skies clear out Friday night, then high pressure builds in for Saturday with sunshine and mild temperatures. Sunday also looks mild, but clouds will start to increase ahead of the next system moving toward the region. That system will bring in showers and cooler weather for Monday into Tuesday. In fact, much of next week is looking cool at this point.

Between tonight and Monday, we’re expecting quite a bit of rain around here. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.

Thursday night: Breezy with periods of rain, possibly heavy at times. Low 57-64.

Friday: Rain tapers off to showers, ending during the afternoon. Winds diminish in the morning. High 65-72.

Friday night: Any lingering showers end during the evening, then skies clear out. Low 44-51.

Saturday: Sunny and mild. High 62-69.

Saturday night: Clear to partly cloudy. Low 45-52.

Sunday: A mix of sun and clouds. High 63-70.

Sunday night: Becoming cloudy. Low 43-50.

Monday: Scattered showers. High 56-63.

Weekly Outlook: October 10-16, 2022

High pressure will be in control for much of the upcoming week, but there is some unsettled weather on the way.

Normal high temperatures for mid-October are still in the middle 60s. Image provided by Weathermodels.com

Another cool day to start off the week with a weak frontal system moving through, but only producing some clouds. High pressure will be in in control with moderating temperatures for Tuesday through Thursday with dry weather. Clouds will start to move in later Wednesday and Thursday as a strong cold front starts to approach the region. That front will bring in a period of rain and showers for Thursday night and early Friday, along with some gusty winds at times. Behind the front, high pressure builds back in with cooler weather for next weekend.

Some models are showing the potential for heavy rain Thursday into Friday. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.

Monday: Partly sunny, just a slight chance for an afternoon sprinkle, mainly north of Boston. High 59-66.

Monday night: Clear skies. Low 38-45.

Tuesday: Plenty of sunshine. High 60-67.

Tuesday night: Clear skies. Low 40-47.

Wednesday: A mix of sun and clouds. High 65-72.

Thursday: Becoming mostly cloudy and breezy with showers developing in the afternoon, possibly becoming a period of rain at night. High 65-72.

Friday: Showers end in the morning, then becoming partly sunny. High 64-71.

Saturday: Plenty of sunshine. High 59-66.

Sunday: Sunshine and some afternoon clouds. High 59-66.

Weekend Outlook: October 7-10, 2022

We’ve got one more mild day coming up but fall weather really arrives.

We’ll have some clouds across the region tonight as a weak upper-level disturbance crosses the Northeast, but Friday is shaping up to be another fantastic early October day with mostly sunny skies and mild temperatures, with many locations topping 70. However, a strong cold front will slice across the region late in the day. It will be accompanied by some clouds and possibly a few showers, but for the most part, it’ll have little fanfare. Behind it, you’ll notice a big difference. High pressure builds in for the weekend with sunshine for Saturday through Monday, but temperatures will be significantly cooler. Many locations may fail to top 60 on Saturday despite ample sun, and some frost is possible Saturday night as temperatures tumble into the 30s in some of the normally cooler locations. Temperatures will moderate a bit for Sunday and Monday, but will still be near or a little below normal for early October.

Saturday morning is looking quite chilly. Image provided by WeatherBell.

Thursday night: Partly to mostly cloudy. Low 50-57.

Friday: Becoming partly to mostly sunny, chance for a few late-day showers. High 69-76.

Friday night: Gradual clearing. Low 40-47.

Saturday: Sunny and cool. High 54-61.

Saturday night: Clear and chilly. Low 35-42.

Sunday: Plenty of sunshine. High 56-63.

Sunday night: Clear skies. Low 38-45.

Monday: Sunshine and some afternoon clouds. High 57-64.

Weekly Outlook: October 3-9, 2022

The first full week of October will bring us a variety of weather between now and next weekend.

We’re starting the week off on a cool note. High pressure will be located to the north, while the remains of Ian will generate a new low pressure area to our south, off the Mid-Atlantic coastline. The gradient in between the two will produce some gusty northeast to east winds for the next few days. This will result in below normal temperatures. The high to the north will help keep the region dry for the most part, but the low to the south, which will take its time moving out to sea, will be closer enough to bring some clouds in, with a few showers possible, mainly near the South Coast, and mainly Tuesday into early Wednesday.

Once again, the models don’t agree on how far north the rain gets and how much will fall. We’re leaning towards lighter amounts, mainly near the South Coast. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.

By Thursday, the low finally pulls away, and the high slides eastward as well, resulting in sunshine and warmer temperatures. Friday looks to be similar, but a strong cold front will be advancing toward the region. While it will be starved for moisture, it will usher the coolest airmass so far this fall into the region. Saturday looks to be breezy and quite cool, with a widespread frost and/or freeze possible Saturday night as the winds die down. Sunday should remain dry, but temperatures will remain on the cool side.

Saturday night is looking rather chilly right now. Image provided by WeatherBell.

Monday: Intervals of clouds and sun, breezy. High 53-60.

Monday night: Partly to mostly cloudy. Low 35-42 north and west of I-95, 43-50 south and east of I-95.

Tuesday: Plenty of clouds, breezy, chance for a few showers late in the day near the South Coast. High 56-63.

Tuesday night: Cloudy with some showers possible, mainly across southeastern Massachusetts and southern Rhode Island. Low 45-52, a little cooler across southern New Hampshire.

Wednesday: Mostly cloudy, breezy again, chance for a few more showers across eastern Massachusetts and Rhode Island. High 58-65.

Thursday: Partly to mostly sunny and milder. High 66-73.

Friday: Sunshine and some afternoon clouds. High 68-75.

Saturday: Mostly sunny, breezy, and much cooler. High 54-61.

Sunday: Mostly sunny. High 55-62.

Weekend Outlook: September 30-October 3, 2022

What’s left of Hurricane Ian will bring some rain into part of the region this weekend.

Ian may not get anywhere close to us, but the rain from the storm will. Image provided by Tomer Burg.

High pressure remains in control tonight and Friday with dry and cool conditions, but high clouds will be streaming northward, which will result in limited sunshine on Friday. By Saturday, what’s left of Ian will start to meander around across the Mid-Atlantic states, but some of the rain associated with it will move into southern New England. There are still questions as to how far north the rain will get, but for now at least, the best chance for rain looks to be south of Mass Pike. Most of the heavy rain should stay offshore to the south, but it could make it into the South Coast at times. Accompanying the rain will be gusty east to northeast winds, resulting in some rather cool temperatures as October begins. We may get a bit of a lull in the rain later Sunday into Monday as Ian’s remains drift around well to our southwest.

The models don’t agree on how much rain will fall and how far north it will get. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.

Thursday night: Increasing high clouds. Low 40-47, a little milder along the coast south of Boston.

Friday: Sunshine dimmed by thickening clouds. High 58-65.

Friday night: Mostly cloudy. Low 43-50.

Saturday: Cloudy with rain developing, mainly south of the Mass Pike. High 56-63.

Saturday night: Cloudy and becoming breezy with more showers, mainly south of the Mass Pike. Low 47-54.

Sunday: Mostly cloudy, windy, and cool, chance for a few morning showers, mainly near the South Coast. High 53-60.

Sunday night: Partly to mostly cloudy. Low 40-47.

Monday: Partly sunny and breezy. High 55-62.

Weekly Outlook: September 26-October 3, 2022

Much of the forecast for this week is fairly straightforward, but it gets very complicated next weekend.

An upper-level trough of low pressure will move across the Northeast today into Tuesday. This means we’ll have some clouds popping up with a few showers developing during the afternoon, mainly on Monday, but a couple are possible on Tuesday as well. Wednesday through Friday will feature high pressure, which means we’ll remain dry and on the cool side. Next weekend has a high amount of uncertainty, and it has to do with Tropical Storm Ian.

Normal high temperatures in late September are in the upper 60s to near 70 degrees. Image provided by Weathermodels.com

As of 12am Monday, Tropical Storm Ian was centered about 115 miles south-southwest of Grand Cayman, moving toward the northwest at 13 mph. Maximum sustained winds were near 70 mph. The forecast calls for Ian to pass close to the Cayman Islands on Monday as a hurricane, then near or across western Cuba Monday night and Tuesday before moving into the southeastern Gulf of Mexico. Ian could rapidly intensify into a major hurricane over the next few days. After that, its future gets a little murkier. A trough of low pressure across the eastern US should steer Ian northward and at some point northeastward, but when it makes that turn is not clear. This impacts where and when landfall will occur. At this point, landfall is possible anywhere from Fort Myers, Florida all the way to New Orleans. Complicating matters even more is the fact that as it gets farther northward, drier air and wind shear will act to weaken the storm. So, a sooner landfall (say in the Ft Myers to Tampa area) could result in a stronger storm making landfall, but if it heads toward the Florida Panhandle or central Gulf Coast, it could be considerably weaker at landfall. An earlier turn toward the northeast could also result in Ian moving back into the Atlantic, and thus could be a threat to the Carolinas.

The members of the various ensembles show a wide range of tracks for Ian as you get out to next weekend. Image provided by Tomer Burg.

So, how does that impact our forecast next weekend? Well, an earlier turn would likely keep the storm off to our south, with high pressure holding on over the Northeast, keeping us drier. A landfall farther north likely results in the storm rapidly weakening over land, but increases the possibility that the remains move up the Appalachians and bring some rain, possibly heavy, in here or across northern New England next weekend. At this point, it’s just too early to figure out which scenario may occur, so we’re going to be very vague in the forecast for now.

Most of the models keep the heavier rain both north and south of the region next weekend. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.

Monday: A mix of sun and clouds with a few showers possible in the afternoon, mainly north and west of Boston. High 68-75.

Monday night: Partly cloudy, chance for a few showers during the evening. Low 51-58.

Tuesday: Partly to mostly sunny, just a slight chance for an afternoon shower. High 67-74.

Tuesday night: Clear skies. Low 47-54.

Wednesday: A mix of sun and clouds. High 64-71.

Thursday: Partly to mostly sunny. High 60-67.

Friday: Partly sunny. High 59-66.

Saturday: Intervals of clouds and sun with a chance for showers. High 63-70.

Sunday: More clouds than sun with a chance for showers. High 63-70.