While there will be a couple of chilly days this week, we’ve also got some more typical spring weather coming, and the best sign yet that winter is just about done – Red Sox Opening Day!
We start the week off on a breezy and chilly note in the wake of a cold front with high pressure building into the region. Wind Advisories and High Wind Warnings are in effect through this afternoon. Sustained winds of 20-30 mph with gusts of 40-50 mph or higher are possible. Temperatures will be below normal for late March, with the wind making it feel even colder, but the chill won’t last long. High pressure moves off to the east on Tuesday and we quickly see temperatures start to moderate.
Wind gusts of 40-50 mph or higher are possible, mainly this morning and early afternoon. Image provided by WeatherBell.
Wednesday looks to be milder, but clouds will be streaming back in as another storm system moves toward the region. This system will bring in some showers by Wednesday afternoon, with some steady rain possible at night into Thursday morning. The rain looks to end by midday, with much cooler air moving in behind the system. This may allow the rain to mix with wet snow before ending. Of course, when the rain (or mix) ends is crucial, since first pitch at Fenway is scheduled to take place just after 2pm. Right now, it looks cloudy with some sunny breaks possible before the game ends. Temperatures will only be in the lower 40s, with wind chills in the 30s. Not exactly baseball weather, but not out of the ordinary for April 1.
Thursday is Opening Day, and the Red Sox can’t possibly be as bad as last year, right? Image provided by Major League Baseball.
High pressure builds back in on Friday with colder weather, but again, it will be short-lived. As the high moves offshore, temperatures will moderate back to near to above normal levels next weekend.
Monday: Becoming mostly sunny and windy. High 45-52.
Monday night: Clear skies. Low 25-32.
Tuesday: Sunshine and a few afternoon clouds, breezy. High 54-61, cooler along the South Coast and Cape Cod.
Tuesday night: Partly cloudy. Low 37-44.
Wednesday: Becoming mostly cloudy and breezy with showers developing in the afternoon, becoming a steady rain at night. High 60-67, cooler along the South Coast and Cape Cod.
Thursday: Cloudy with rain, possibly mixed with some wet snow, ending around midday. High 49-56 in the morning, temperatures drop into the 40s during the afternoon.
We’ve got a fantastic stretch of weather coming up for a good chunk of the upcoming week thanks to a large area of high pressure.
Dry and mild conditions are expected through at least the first part of Wednesday thanks to a large area of high pressure. Along the coast, temperatures will be cooler, thanks to a seabreeze each of the next few afternoons, but once you get inland, temperatures should reach the 60s each day. Things could be a little tricky on Wednesday however. Low pressure will meander off to the south for the first half of the week, with little impact on us. However, by late Wednesday it will start to lift out, sending some clouds in along with the possibility of a few showers. If the showers are more widespread than we currently expect or the clouds are thicker, temperatures could end up quite a bit cooler than our forecast currently shows.
A little rain is possible late Wednesday, but not all of the models agree on it. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.
High pressure then builds back in south of the region, resulting in southwesterly winds bringing even milder air in for Thursday, possibly right to the coastline. Unfortunately, we’ll also have more cloudcover, as another low pressure area makes its way into the eastern Great Lakes. With enough sunshine, temperatures could top 70 degrees in many spots. That system will bring us some rain for Thursday night into Friday as it passes to our north and west, before a cold front crosses the region during the day on Friday. Friday’s temperatures will be dependent on the timing of the front, the later it moves through, the more likely that it’ll be warmer. If the rain lingers long enough and the cold air moves in fast enough, some wet snow could mix in before everything winds down. We don’t expect this to be the case, but can’t completely rule it out just yet.
Temperatures could reach 70 on Thursday, depending on how much sunshine we get. Image provided by WeatherBell.
Behind that front, more seasonable conditions are expected for Saturday, but Sunday is where things could get interesting again. Another low pressure system will head toward the region, with some rain possible by late Sunday or Sunday night. The problem is, we’ll have some cold air nearby, so it may not be just rain, at least for part of the region. There’s a chance we could have some snow from this system, especially the farther north and west you go from Boston. This is hardly a lock, and things will change numerous times between now and then, but it’s just another example that even though it’s now Spring, that doesn’t mean we’re entirely done with Winter just yet.
A few members of the GFS Ensemble show the potential for at least a little snow Sunday night. Image provided by Weathermodels.com
Monday: Lots of sunshine. High 57-64, cooler along the coast.
Monday night: Clear skies. Low 30-37.
Tuesday: Sunshine and some afternoon high clouds. High 57-64, cooler along the coast.
Tuesday night: Partly cloudy. Low 33-40.
Wednesday: Thickening clouds with some showers possible during the afternoon and evening. High 52-59, cooler along the coast.
Thursday: More clouds than sunshine. High 62-69, cooler along the South Coast and Cape Cod.
Friday: Cloudy and breezy with showers likely, possibly mixing with wet snow before ending at night. High 58-65, cooler along the South Coast and Cape Cod.
Saturday: Intervals of clouds and sun, cooler. High 53-60.
Sunday: Early sun, then becoming cloudy with rain possible late in the day and at night, possibly mixed with some wet snow well to the north and west. High 49-56.
Astronomical Spring officially begins Saturday morning at 5:37am, but it’s going to feel likely winter for a couple more days.
Spring begins Saturday morning. Image provided by EarthSky.org
Most of this week will be fairly dry, as today will be with high pressure building in. Today will also be quite cold, with many places likely not reaching the 30-degree mark. Add in a little wind, especially this morning, and it definitely won’t feel like mid-March, with wind chills in the single numbers and teens. As the high slides off to the east, temperatures will start to moderate a bit on Tuesday, but it will remain on the chilly side. Clouds will also start to move back in ahead of a weak low pressure system. That system will pass to sour south Tuesday night and Wednesday, but may produce a few snow showers, especially near the South Coast. We’re not expecting anything to accumulate, and for the bulk of the region, we’re not expecting much, if anything, to even fall from the clouds.
Temperatures will be 15-20 degrees below normal today. Image provided by Weathermodels.com
We’ll see some sunshine return on Wednesday to parts of the area along with temperatures continuing to moderate. However, the next system moves in for Thursday into Friday. This one doesn’t look as weak or as far south, but temperatures will be a bit milder to start. We could see some rain or snow showers, especially Thursday night into Friday morning, especially south of the Mass Pike, but again, this does not look like a big deal. Colder weather will settle in on Friday as the system pulls away, but temperatures will moderate again over the weekend thanks to high pressure building back in.
Some models show the possibility for a little snow Thursday night into Friday. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.
Monday: Partly to mostly sunny and breezy, especially in the morning. High 23-30.
Monday night: Clear to partly cloudy. Low 9-16.
Tuesday: Early sun, then thickening clouds. High 34-41.
Tuesday night: Partly to mostly cloudy with some snow showers possible, mainly south of the Mass Pike. Low 23-30.
Wednesday: Mostly cloudy, some sunny breaks are possible across southern New Hampshire. High 43-50.
Thursday: Plenty of clouds with some showers possible, maybe mixing with snow at night. High 49-56.
Friday: Mostly cloudy, breezy, and colder, with a chance of snow showers. High 33-40.
Saturday: A few clouds early, otherwise mostly sunny. High 42-49.
Things you won’t need this week: Snow shovels, heavy winter coats. Things you will need this week: Sunglasses, lighter jackets, short-sleeve shirts. Yup, warmer weather is finally on the way.
High pressure settles off the East Coast this week, and that means southwesterly winds pumping milder air into the region. Of course, if you are in a place where a southwest wind is coming off the water, like the South Coast, Cape Cod, or Cape Ann, then it won’t be quite as warm, since the ocean is still pretty chilly. However, it will be sunny for the most part into Thursday. (daytime only, it’ll still be dark at night) The exception will be Monday night and early Tuesday, when a weak disturbance passes by to the north, bringing in some clouds, and possibly a few rain or snow showers in the morning.
Ocean temperatures are still in the 30s to lower 40s. Image provided by Rutgers University.
Temperatures will gradually warm up each day this week, with temperatures getting to above to well above normal levels for the second half of the week, with many places likely topping 60 for a couple of days, and a few 70-degree readings aren’t out of the question, especially Thursday and Friday.
A few record highs are possible on Thursday. Image provided by WeatherBell.
By later on Thursday, clouds will start moving in ahead of a cold front. This front may produce a few showers as it moves through on Friday. How warm it gets on Friday will be determined by when the front comes through. If it holds off until late in the day, we could see temperatures well into the 60s again despite cloud cover, with some 70-degree readings possible.
Friday could end up being a very mild day. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.
Behind the front, temperatures return to normal or even below normal next weekend as high pressure starts to build back in. While some models bring the cold weather back with sunshine, at least one model has the front stall just south of New England, and has a wave of low pressure ride along it. This would keep clouds in place for the weekend along with the risk for some rain or snow showers. We’re going to lean on the drier side for now, but can’t completely rule out a cloudier scenario.
Also, just a reminder, Daylight Saving Time begins next Sunday morning at 2am. So, you lose an hour of sleep Saturday night, but sunset won’t be until almost 7:00pm Sunday evening.
Daylight Saving Time starts at 2am Sunday. Sunset next Sunday evening will be at approximately 6:50pm. Image provided by the National Weather Service.
Monday: Sunshine and a few clouds. High 34-41.
Monday night: Mostly cloudy, chance for a few flurries late at night. Low 21-28.
Tuesday: A morning snow or rain shower is possible, then becoming partly sunny and breezy. High 48-55.
Tuesday night: Clear to partly cloudy. Low 23-30.
Wednesday: Mostly sunny. High 54-61, cooler right at the coast.
Thursday: A mix of sun and clouds, breezy, and mild. High 60-67, cooler right at the coast.
Friday: Mostly cloudy and breezy, chance for a few showers. High 63-70, cooler right at the coast.
Saturday: Morning clouds, then clearing, breezy, and cooler in the afternoon. High 42-49.
Sunday: Mostly sunny, breezy, and colder. High 33-40.
Today is the first day of meteorological spring, but tomorrow will feel like the middle of winter.
We’re starting the week off with some clouds and showers as a frontal system crosses the region. Skies may start to clear out as we head into the late afternoon hours, however, a very strong cold front will move through this evening. The front may be accompanied by some snow showers or squalls, so keep that in mind if you are heading out this evening. Gusty winds behind the front will usher much colder air into the region. Since some of the roads may be wet from the snow showers/squalls, they could ice up if untreated. Wind Advisories have been posted for parts of the region, with wind gusts of 40-50 mph possible behind the front into Tuesday.
Winds gusts of 40-50 mph or higher are likely Monday night and Tuesday. Image provided by Weathermodels.com
High pressure builds in on Tuesday with temperatures more reminiscent of mid-January than early March, despite ample sunshine. Wind chills will likely be below zero to start the day, so bundle up if you’re heading outside in the morning. The cold shot will be short-lived, as high pressure slides offshore, allowing milder air to move back in on Wednesday. Unfortunately, that looks to be short-lived as well, as another cold front moves through late Wednesday, ushering cooler air back in. This airmass doesn’t look quite as cold as the one on Tuesday, but temperatures will likely be below normal once again for Thursday and Friday. With an upper-level low pressure system crossing the Northeast, we’ll still have some clouds around, and a few snow showers may be possible at times. Next weekend looks dry and cold with high pressure building in, but we need to keep an eye on a low pressure system. Right now, it looks like it’ll be too far south to have much, if any, impact here, but it’s a week away, so things can change.
Wind chills will be well below zero for much of the region Tuesday morning. Image provided by WeatherBell.
Monday: Showers ending in the morning, some clearing during the afternoon, becoming breezy. High 45-52 in the morning, temperatures may start to drop during the afternoon.
Monday night: A few snow showers or squalls during then evening, then becoming clear to partly cloudy and windy. Low 7-14.
Tuesday: Sunny, windy, and cold. High 23-30.
Tuesday night: Clear during the evening, then clouds increase. Low 17-24 during the evening, then temperatures hold steady or rise a few degrees overnight.
Wednesday: Partly sunny. High 41-48.
Thursday: Mostly sunny, breezy, and colder. High 36-43.
Friday: A mix of sun and clouds, breezy, and cold. High 28-35.
Some milder weather is on tap for part of the week, but that doesn’t mean that winter is over.
We start the week off with a weak low pressure system heading toward the region. For areas from Boston southward, this will be mostly rain, with a few snowflakes possibly mixed in at the start this afternoon. However, there will still be enough cold air in place for precipitation to start as snow north and west of Boston. Even here, a change to rain is likely, but there could be some minor accumulations, possibly as much as 1-2 inches, before the changeover, mainly in parts of southern and central New Hampshire, but possibly into the Merrimack Valley. Everything ends this evening as the storm pulls away.
Not much snow is expected from today’s system. Image provided by Weathermodels.com
High pressure builds in for Tuesday and Wednesday with drier and milder conditions. In fact, parts of the area could make a run at 50 degrees on Wednesday. However, it won’t last long, as a cold front sweeps through at night, with a few showers and colder weather once again. High pressure builds back in for Thursday and Friday with temperatures that are closer to where they should be in late February, maybe even a little below normal again.
Wednesday could end up as a mild day across the area. Image provided by WeatherBell.
Another system moves in for next weekend, bringing some snow or rain to the region. Details are still a bit fuzzy this far out, but it doesn’t look like a big storm, and temperatures may end up cold enough for some snow, at least to start. Of course, given that it is six days away, things will change, so we won’t get into too much detail just yet. Conditions should improve on Sunday as the system pulls away, and it could turn quite mild again.
The models have differing ideas on what to expect next Saturday. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.
Monday: Cloudy and becoming breezy with light rain likely, starting as snow north and west of Boston. High 35-42.
Monday night: Showers end in the evening, some clearing late at night. Low 25-32.
Tuesday: More clouds than sunshine. High 37-44.
Tuesday night: Becoming clear. Low 27-34.
Wednesday: Sunny in the morning, clouds return in the afternoon, becoming breezy, a few showers are possible at night. High 41-48.
Thursday: Sunshine and a few clouds, breezy. High 36-43.
Friday: Mostly sunny, breezy, and colder. High 30-37.
Saturday: Cloudy with a chance of snow or rain. High 36-43.
This week is going to be messy with not one but two different storms that will produce a variety of precipitation across the region.
We start off the week with plenty of clouds and some light snow and/or freezing drizzle this afternoon as a weak system passes well south of the region. However, another storm system will be moving out of the Tennessee Valley and heading our way. This is the same storm that wreaked havoc on Texas and the Southern Plains over the weekend. At one point over the weekend, all 254 counties in Texas were under a Winter Storm Warning. We’re not sure if that has ever happened before, but it’s certainly a rare event. That storm will head northeastward today, moving up the Appalachians. It will then redevelop south of Long Island tonight, and pass near or across southeastern Massachusetts Tuesday morning.
A variety of watches, warnings, and advisories are in effect across the Northeast ahead of the next storm system. Image provided by Pivotal Weather.
With the low passing to our south, cold air will remain in place for much of the region, mainly north and west of Boston. As milder air moves in aloft, we’ll see snow change over to sleet and then freezing rain this evening and tonight. Before it changes over, we’re looking at an inch or less of snow for much of Massachusetts and Rhode Island, with an inch, possibly 2 inches across southern New Hampshire. Once you get north of Concord, NH, several inches are possible before the flip to sleet/freezing rain. An extended period of freezing rain is possible in parts of the area, especially from the Merrimack Valley into Southern New Hampshire. This will obviously result in hazardous driving conditions, but also will increase the threat of power outages due to downed trees and wires from the weight of the ice. From Boston southward, we’re looking at mostly rain, with temperatures above freezing. How far inland that above-freezing air gets is still a question mark, but right now, we’re thinking that areas north and west of Interstate-95 will likely stay below freezing the entire time. Most of the models try to bring the warmer air all the way into the Merrimack Valley or even Southern New Hampshire. However, the models also tend to overestimate how quickly the cold air will erode, especially when there is snow on the ground. Plus, they have significantly underestimated the magnitude of the cold air that moved in across Texas and the Southern Plains over the last few days. For these reasons, we’re going to stay a little colder than the models. Across Cape Cod and parts of southeastern Massachusetts, cold air won’t be an issue, and in fact, temperatures could get to 50 or even warmer for a while Tuesday morning if the storm passes across southeastern Massachusetts instead of just to the south.
Everything winds down by early afternoon, then skies clear out, with colder air returning for Tuesday night and Wednesday as high pressure builds in. From Boston southward, this means that everything will quickly ice back over Tuesday evening as temperatures drop below freezing. Keep this in mind if you’ll be out an about, as many untreated surfaces will become slick. Although Wednesday will feature sunshine, it will be quite chilly, with temperatures likely staying in the 20s to lower 30s, which is as much as 10 degrees below normal.
Temperatures will be 5-10 degrees below normal on Wednesday. Image provided by Weathermodels.com
By Thursday, another system will approach the region, and this one also looks messy, but a little colder. This system will likely stay south of the region, but some milder air will move in aloft. So, once again, we’re looking at snow, changing to sleet and freezing rain, and possibly plain rain in some areas. The airmass ahead of this system will be a little colder than the one we have in place today, so we could be looking at more snow before the changeover, especially from the Merrimack Valley northward. However, this one could also feature a period of freezing rain across the interior. Details like this are nearly impossible to pin down 4-5 days in advance, so we’ll get into more detail towards midweek as things become clearer.
Thursday night and Friday are looking messy once again. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.
High pressure returns next weekend with drier and colder conditions once again. There are some signs that the colder weather we’ve been dealing with for much of the month could start to retreat in Canada next week, but that’s a long ways away, and things can still change.
Above normal temperatures next week? It’s possible, at least according to one model. Image provided by WeatherBell.
Monday: Cloudy with some light snow or snow showers, possibly mixed with a little sleet or drizzle, especially along the coast. High 27-34.
Monday night: Light snow during the evening, mainly from the Merrimack Valley into Southern New Hampshire, eventually changing to sleet and freezing rain, except precipitation falls mainly as rain south and east of Interstate 95. Low 25-32 during the evening, then temperatures may rise a few degrees overnight.
Tuesday: Freezing rain across the interior and rain in the coastal plain ending by early afternoon. High 30-37 north and west of Interstate 95, 38-45 south and east of I-95, potentially as warm as 45-55 across parts of southern Rhode Island, southeastern Massachusetts, and Cape Cod during the morning.
Tuesday night: Clearing, breezy. Low 14-21.
Wednesday: Sunshine and some late-day clouds. High 25-32.
Thursday: Cloudy, light snow is possible late in the day, possibly changing to sleet and freezing rain at night. High 26-33.
Friday: Snow, sleet, freezing rain, and rain ending in the morning, breezy. High 33-40.
Saturday: Intervals of clouds and sun, breezy, a few flurries are possible. High 25-32.
As you stare outside at all of the snow that fell yesterday, we’ve got some a tidbit to show you that despite what it looks like, Spring is right around the corner.
Our forecast for yesterday’s storm was nearly perfect, with only a few places exceeding our forecast. Image provided by the National Weather Service Office in Norton, MA
Yes, the Groundhog said we’re going to have six more weeks of winter, but we’ve got a sure sign for you that Spring is coming soon. Today is Red Sox Truck Day. It’s the day that the big truck leaves Fenway with all of the equipment to head to Fort Myers for Spring Training. Now, the team was largely forgettable last year, and this year isn’t looking a lot better, but if we’re talking about Spring Training starting soon (we hope), then can there really be a lot of winter left? (You really don’t want the answer to that question).
The first sign of spring is upon us – today is Red Sox Truck Day, when all of the equipment gets loaded up and shipped down to Fort Myers for spring training. Image provided by Boston.com
As for the weather this week, we’re starting off with sunshine and chilly conditions as high pressure settles into the region today. It won’t last that long, as we’re in a fairly active pattern right now, with systems moving in every 2-3 days, but none of them look to be substantial, at least for now. However, if you get enough little systems over a short period, and it does add up. Sort of like “Death by 1000 Paper Cuts.” The next one sends clouds in tonight, with some light snow likely on Tuesday, possibly mixed with rain along the South Coast. This will not be a big storm, but another 2-4 inches seems likely. It will likely fall during the day, so it could impact both the morning and afternoon commutes, for those of you not working from home.
Tuesday’s show should be on the light side. Image provided by WeatherBell.
High pressure builds back in for Wednesday with drier and cooler conditions. Again, this won’t last long, as another system approaches on Thursday. This storm will also pass south of the region, so we’re looking at another period of light snow sometime Thursday into Friday. The models differ a bit on the timing of this storm, and some of the models show the high pressure area to the north building in, which would keep the snow confined to areas south of the Mass Pike. These are details that can’t be worked out that precisely 5 days in advance, especially since the models have performed rather poorly more than 2-3 days in advance lately, so we’re just going to include a chance of snow for the entire region. Obviously, we have some time to work out the details. High pressure returns on Saturday with colder weather, but then another storm may move in for Sunday with more light snow or a wintry mix possible. It’s obviously WAY too early for any details on that system.
Monday: Sunshine with some afternoon clouds. High 22-29.
Monday night: Becoming mostly cloudy. Low 8-15.
Tuesday: Cloudy with light snow likely, possibly mixed with some rain along the South Coast and Cape Cod. High 27-34.
Tuesday night: Becoming clear to partly cloudy. Low 14-21.
Wednesday: A mix of sun and clouds. High 25-32.
Thursday: Cloudy with a chance of light snow. High 23-30.
Friday: Partly to mostly cloudy with a chance for light snow. High 22-29.
Saturday: Some early sun, then clouds return. High 24-31.
Sunday: Cloudy with a chance for snow or a wintry mix. High 20-27.
March is supposed to come in like a lion, and it still may, but for now, February is going to as well.
As you may have heard, it’s going to snow today. We’re not going to rehash that too much, since we just wrote a very detailed post about the storm Sunday evening, and our thinking really hasn’t changed much. Suffice to say, snow will become heavy at times this afternoon and tonight, changing to rain for the immediate coast and Cape Cod. It’ll start to wind down early Tuesday, but occasional snow showers and periods of light snow continue on Tuesday with rain eventually going back to snow near the coast. Strong winds this afternoon and tonight slowly diminish on Tuesday as well.
The NWS Blend of Models is still closest to our thinking with snowfall for the current storm. Image provided by Weathermodels.com
So, let’s get to what comes next. On Wednesday, the storm pulls away, heading towards Nova Scotia, but we may still have a few snow showers around, especially during the morning. Skies may start to clear out late in the day. The airmass behind the storm isn’t that cold, so unlike past storms, we don’t have to worry about another arctic blast freezing everything up. High pressure then builds in for Thursday and the sun should return, with temperatures right around where they should be in early February.
Average high temperatures in early February are in the middle to upper 30s across the region. Image provided by Weathermodels.com
Friday and the weekend are when things get interesting again. You may recall a few days ago when some of the tv meteorologists were talking about a big warmup and rainstorm around here for this coming Friday, which would help get rid of a lot of the snow we’re getting today. Well, that’s not quite what’s going to happen now. Yes, low pressure will still travel into the Great Lakes and then Ontario, passing well north and west of us, and temperatures will moderate a bit on Friday. However, temperatures will likely only get into the upper 30s to lower 40s, which is still a little above normal, but not the 50s some of the models were showing a few days ago. We’re also not looking at a lot of rain either. There will likely be some precipitation ahead of a strong cold front, and much of it will be rain, but it might not start as rain across the interior.
The cold front moves through Friday night and high pressure starts to build in with colder air once again. It won’t be as cold as what we had this past weekend, but temperatures will be near to perhaps a little below normal. That’s not the end of the story though. That cold front likely stalls out across the Southeast and then a wave of low pressure will move out of the Gulf of Mexico and start to ride up along the front. Some of the models are showing the potential for that system to bring in some more snow next weekend. It’s still 6-7 days away, and most of the models have not performed that well beyond 2-3 days for quite some time, so we’re not completely convinced of this yet, but it’s something we’ll start to focus on once we get our current storm out of the way. If it starts looking more likely, we’ll have more details in our Weekend Outlook Thursday afternoon.
The models have lots of differences in timing and track of a potential system next weekend. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.
Monday: Becoming windy with snow, heavy at times by late afternoon, changing to rain along the coast. High 28-35.
Monday night: Windy with snow, heavy at times inland, and rain from Cape Cod and parts of southeastern and coastal Massachusetts. Precipitation tapers off toward daybreak. Temperatures hold steady or rise a few degrees overnight.
Tuesday: Cloudy and breezy with periods of light snow and snow showers, except rain showers for southeastern Massachusetts. High 30-37, a little warmer across Cape Cod and possibly southeastern Massachusetts.
Tuesday night: Cloudy and breezy with additional snow showers possible. Low 21-28.
Wednesday: Cloudy with a few more snow showers possible early, some glimpses of sunshine are possible in the afternoon. High 29-36.
Thursday: Partly to mostly sunny. High 32-39.
Friday: Cloudy and breezy with showers developing, possibly starting as snow or a wintry mix north and west of Boston. High 38-45.
Saturday: Some early sun is possible otherwise mostly cloudy with a chance of snow or rain. High 33-40.
Sunday: Mostly cloudy with snow or rain possible. High 32-39.
This is shaping up to be one of those weeks that ages a meteorologist rapidly, since there are not only multiple systems to track, but the bust potential is much higher than normal.
The week starts off rather quietly, with high pressure moving offshore. We’ll still be on the chilly side, but close to normal for late January, and not as cold as the past few days were. Clouds will start streaming in as well, ahead of a storm system moving into the Midwest. This is the first headache of the week.
On average, high temperatures should be in the lower to middle 30s around here in late January. Image provided by Weathermodels.com
As that low pressure area moves into the Midwest, a secondary area of low pressure will develop near the Mid-Atlantic states, and will pass offshore to our south later Tuesday. However, some energy from the original system will still move towards us late Tuesday into Wednesday. The bulk of the precipitation from the secondary storm will stay to the south, with some snow showers or flurries possible along the South Coast, possibly as far north as the Mass Pike. What complicates things is the energy from the original storm. Some of the models have that move across the region with another area of snow, and possibly a decent amount. This has been a recent development in the models over the last 24 hours, which makes us skeptical, but many of the models show something similar, so we can’t completely ignore it. Right now, we’re thinking that a period of light snow is likely Tuesday night into early Wednesday, with some accumulations expected. There are some models that show significant accumulations in parts of the region. While that is possible, we don’t think it’s likely at the moment. If that were to change, we’d update the blog later Monday or Tuesday.
There is plenty of disagreement among the models about how much snow to expected between now and Wednesday afternoon. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.
That system pulls away on Wednesday and high pressure builds in. However, with the high building in north of us, we’ll stay chilly, but we’ll also have northeast winds. This may result in some ocean-effect snow in eastern parts of the area, especially Cape Cod, coastal Plymouth County, and Cape Ann. Some persistent snow showers could result in accumulations, possibly several inches, but this far in advance it’s too tough to predict if or where those bands may setup.
Ocean-effect snow is essentially the same as lake-effect snow. Image provided by NOAA.
Another storm system will head towards the Mid-Atlantic by Thursday, and again, this storm should also pass far enough south to have little direct impact on us. However, unlike the system on Tuesday that will be weakening as it moves this way, this storm will strengthen. In fact, once it moves offshore, it should become a powerful storm over the North Atlantic. It may produce some gusty winds along the coast, especially Cape Cod, and possibly some additional ocean-effect snowfall, but the precipitation shield associated with the storm itself should remain offshore.
Behind that storm, much colder air will settle in for Friday and Saturday. We should finally start to clear out as high pressure builds in, though a few more ocean-effect snow showers are possible, especially across Cape Cod. The more noticeable impact is that it will be very chilly, likely colder than we just experienced this weekend. Daytime highs in the 20s (even some upper teens), and overnight lows in the teens and single-digits seem reasonable right now, with sub-zero wind chills, especially Friday into early Saturday.
Wind chills may be well below zero around here Saturday morning. Image provided by WeatherBell.
This brings us to Sunday, and our next headache. Yet another storm system will be heading for the Mid-Atlantic states, sending clouds our way. With high pressure over southern Quebec, we’ll still be on the cold side. The exact track this storm takes is still a big question mark, but this one doesn’t look like it’ll pass offshore to our south. In fact, several models bring the storm right across southern New England on Monday. We’re not going to get into too many details because it’s a week away, and technically outside the usual range of this forecast, but we’ll just let you know that there is the potential for a decent amount of snow early next week for parts of the region. It’s just potential for now and far from a lock, but the models have been showing this potential for several days now. We’ll get into more details on this one in our Weekend Outlook on Thursday.
Monday: Sunny in the morning, clouds start to move in during the afternoon. High 30-37.
Monday night: Becoming partly to mostly cloudy. Low 17-24.
Tuesday: Cloudy, light snow may develop late in the day. High 29-36.
Tuesday night: Cloudy with light snow likely, possibly mixed with some rain along the south coast. Low 22-29.
Wednesday: Cloudy with light snow likely, mainly north and west of Boston, with snow or rain showers likely from Boston southward. High 32-39.
Thursday: Cloudy and breezy with a chance of snow showers, especially near the east coast. High 31-38.
Friday: Becoming partly to mostly sunny, breezy, and cold, though clouds may linger along the east coast with a few more snow showers possible. High 18-25.
Saturday: Mostly sunny and cold. High 19-26.
Sunday: Becoming mostly cloudy with a chance for snow at night. High 28-35.
Storm HQ 