Weekly Outlook: April 25 – May 1, 2022

As we enter the final days of April, we’re not looking at a lot of warm weather this week.

Today looks to be the pick of the week with high pressure building in. We’ll have some sunshine, but temperatures will be on the cool side again, especially along the coast thanks to an onshore flow. Clouds start to move in late in the day as a cold front starts to approach the region. That front will bring in some showers later Tuesday into early Wednesday as it moves through and a wave of low pressure rides along it. Once it pushes offshore, an upper-level low pressure area will slowly move across the Northeast, keeping us rather cool with a decent amount of clouds for Thursday and Friday, possibly even lingering into Saturday. By Sunday, high pressure will build back in with milder temperatures returning.

A rather chilly week is expected across the Northeast. Image provided by WeatherBell.

Monday: Partly sunny. High 56-63, a little cooler right at the coast.

Monday night: Becoming mostly cloudy. Low 38-45.

Tuesday: Mostly cloudy with showers developing late in the day. High 57-64.

Tuesday night: Cloudy with showers likely. Low 41-48.

Wednesday: Showers end early, some afternoon sunny breaks may develop. High 53-60.

Thursday: A mix of sun and clouds, breezy. High 49-56.

Friday: Sunshine with afternoon clouds, breezy. High 49-56.

Saturday: Partly sunny. High 50-57.

Sunday: A mix of sun and clouds. High 55-62.

Weekly Outlook: April 18-24, 2022

“April is the cruelest month, breeding lilacs out of the dead land, mixing memory and desire, stirring dull roots with spring rain.” – T.S. Eliot

We had temperatures above 70 on Friday and Saturday, and now there might be snow in the forecast? Ah yes, April can indeed be the cruelest month.

We start the week off on a chilly note with high pressure in control, but with sunshine this morning, temperatures will rise into the 50s this afternoon, which is a few degrees below normal. Clouds will start to stream in this afternoon as low pressure begins to head up the East Coast. We’ll have a period of rain and gusty winds Monday night into Tuesday, but across the interior, especially in the hills from Worcester County into southern New Hampshire, there will likely be some snow, with some accumulations likely. Even at the lower elevations, especially from southern New Hampshire into the Merrimack Valley, we could have some wet snow mix in, but if there’s any accumulation in these areas, it will be very minor and confined to grassy surfaces.

Any snow is likely confined to the hills and areas well north and west. Image provided by WeatherBell.

Skies start to clear out Tuesday afternoon as high pressure builds back in, with dry and seasonably cool conditions into Wednesday. We’ll start to warm up again on Thursday ahead of another frontal system, that could bring in a few showers for Thursday night and early Friday. High pressure builds back in for the weekend with mild temperatures for at least Saturday, but Sunday could turn cooler as a backdoor cold front may slide down the coastline.

Average high temperatures in mid-April are right around 60 degrees. Image provided by Weathermodels.com

Monday: Sunny and chilly early, clouds start to filter in and thicken up during the afternoon. High 50-57.

Monday night: Rain developing, mixed with snow across the hills and well inland, breezy. Low 36-43.

Tuesday: Breezy with rain (or snow) ending in the morning, some clearing in the afternoon. High 50-57.

Tuesday night: Becoming mostly clear. Low 34-41.

Wednesday: Mostly sunny and breezy, clouds may start to move back in late in the day. High 51-58.

Thursday: Intervals of clouds and sun, chance for a few showers at night. High 55-62.

Friday: Chance for a shower early, then becoming partly to mostly sunny and milder. High 61-68.

Saturday: Sunshine and a few clouds. High 56-63.

Sunday: A mix of sun and clouds. High 53-60.

Weekly Outlook: April 11-17, 2022

With both Opening Day at Fenway and Easter coming up this week, the forecast will be under a bit more scrutiny. As you might expect in mid-April, we’ve got a rather typical springtime pattern coming up this week, which means it’ll be warm, cool, dry, and wet. Let’s try to make some sense of that.

You know the summer is not far away when Opening Day at Fenway arrives.

We start off with high pressure building in today, giving us some sunshine and seasonably mild temperatures. Clouds start to stream in tonight ahead of low pressure heading toward southeastern Canada. That system will send a warm front toward the region early Tuesday, with some showers likely Monday night into Tuesday morning. We’ll clear out in the afternoon and turn milder before a cold front moves through during the afternoon with little fanfare. High pressure builds back in for Tuesday night into Wednesday before the next system starts to head toward the region.

The next system will be making headlines across the nation for a few days before it arrives. It’ll produce heavy rain and mountain snow in the Northwest and Northern California, a blizzard in the Northern Plains, and widespread severe weather from the Central and Southern Plains into the Mississippi Valley. None of that is expected here, but we will have some rain, which could be heavy at times on Thursday. Temperatures will be highly dependent on how far north the warm front ahead of the systems gets. South of the front, temperatures could soar into the 70s, while north of the front, it could stay in the 40s and 50s. As the system drags a cold front through late Thursday, the rain will end, and so will any of the warm weather that moves in. High pressure builds in for Friday with drier and a return to seasonable temperatures. For the Red Sox home opener on Friday at Fenway, for now it looks to be partly sunny with temperatures somewhere around 60.

Thursday could potentially be a very warm day for at least part of the area. Image provided by WeatherBell.

Next weekend presents some question marks. The models all handle the following system differently, not only from model to model, but from run to run. So, we’re looking at another period of rain and cooler temperatures at some point between Saturday and Monday, but we’re not quite sure when. Some models have even hinted at the potential for a little snow in the hills or even southern New Hampshire. So, what you see below represents our best thinking for now, but realize that it will almost certainly change by the time we get to our Weekend Outlook on Thursday. With Sunday being Easter, and next Monday being Patriots Day, a.k.a. Marathon Monday, the forecast is fairly important, so we hope to have a fairly good idea of what to expect by Thursday.

The GFS can’t decide from one run to the next if Easter will be wet or dry. Images provided by Tropical Tidbits.

Monday: Mostly sunny, clouds start to move in late in the day. High 55-62.

Monday night: Becoming cloudy with showers developing. Low 39-46.

Tuesday: Showers end early, becoming partly to mostly sunny in the afternoon. High 62-69.

Tuesday night: Clear to partly cloudy. Low 39-46.

Wednesday: Morning sun, increasing afternoon clouds, showers develop at night. High 60-67.

Thursday: Mostly cloudy with occasional rain and showers. High 62-69, potentially even warmer south of the Mass Pike, but potentially much cooler from the North Shore to the New Hampshire Seacoast.

Friday: Partly sunny. High 60-67.

Saturday: A mix of sun and clouds, breezy, chance for showers. High 60-67.

Sunday: Intervals of clouds and sun, breezy, showers possible. High 52-59.

Weekly Outlook: April 4-10, 2022

Better enjoy today, because much of the upcoming week isn’t looking that nice.

High pressure builds in today with some sunshine and seasonably mild temperatures, but that will be enough to make this the best day of the week. Tuesday might not be that bad either, with some sunshine in the morning, but clouds will start to move in during the afternoon ahead of a low pressure system heading toward the Mid-Atlantic states. That system will pass south of the region Tuesday night into Wednesday with rain likely. Wednesday just looks like a cool, damp day, not that unusual for early April. Temperatures may be marginally cold enough for some wet snow across central and possibly southern New Hampshire, but any accumulation would likely be confined to grassy surfaces, and mainly before daybreak Wednesday. Again, this is not that unusual for early April.

Daytime temperatures on Wednesday will be 5-10 degrees below normal across the region. Image provided by Weathermodels.com

That system will pull away later on Wednesday, but another one quickly follows for Thursday into Friday. This one will bring another round of rain in, and it could be heavy once again. In fact, Thursday looks like a washout at this point. The Red Sox are scheduled to open the season at Yankee Stadium at 1pm Thursday, and the odds of that game happening look pretty slim at this point. Expect it to be bumped to Friday afternoon.

It’s a little late, and possibly a day later than we’re hoping, but Opening Day has finally arrived. Image provided by MLB.

That system will pull away late Friday, but an upper-level low moves into the Northeast for the weekend, keeping plenty of clouds around, with a few showers possible each afternoon. We also have to keep an eye on a storm system offshore, but right now, it looks to be too far offshore to have any impact, expected possibly bringing some showers to the Outer Cape.

Parts of the region could pick up a decent amount of rain between now and next weekend. Image provided by WeatherBell.

Monday: A mix of sun and clouds. High 49-56.

Monday night: Partly cloudy. Low 30-37.

Tuesday: Morning sunshine, increasing afternoon clouds. Showers may develop near the South Coast late in the day. High 54-61.

Tuesday night: Cloudy with showers likely, possibly mixed with wet snow across central New Hampshire. Low 36-43.

Wednesday: Periods of rain and showers, tapering off by evening. High 44-51.

Thursday: Rain likely. High 47-54.

Friday: Plenty of clouds with more showers, possibly some afternoon sunny breaks. High 59-66.

Saturday: A mix of sun and clouds, chance for a shower. High 56-63.

Sunday: More clouds than sun, a shower or two possible. High 51-58.

Finally, we’ll mention that the models are showing the potential for a significant warmup next week. While we wouldn’t be surprised if there’s at least one very warm day in there, we’re skeptical that an extended warmup is on the way. For one, the water is still very cold, leaving us susceptible to seabreezes or even back-door cold fronts that will bring in much cooler air off the Atlantic. Also, if the upper-level ridge sets up a bit too far to the west, we stay on the cooler side of things. As we said, some of the models show a significant warmup, but beyond a day or two in the middle of next week, they haven’t been consistent is showing it lasting into the end of the week or beyond. We’ll obviously delve more into this next weekend.

Weekly Outlook: March 28-April 3, 2022

No, Mother Nature is not playing an early April Fool’s joke on us, today really will be quite chilly.

The week starts out on a very chilly note as an upper-level low pressure system slowly moves across the Northeast. We’ll have some sunny breaks today but there will be plenty of clouds and possibly a few snow showers or flurries during the afternoon and evening. Temperatures will be well below normal for late March, with highs only in the 30s, possibly upper 20s in some spots. This will likely break records for the lowest high temperature for the date across much of the Northeast. Add in gusty winds, and wind chills will only be in the teens (or colder), so bundle up if you’re heading outside today. Skies will clear out tonight as high pressure builds in, resulting in a rather cold night, possibly setting low temperature records in spots, as lows drop into the teens in many locations.

Record low high temperatures are likely across much of the Northeast today. Image provided by WeatherBell.

High pressure starts to slide off to the east on Tuesday, allowing temperatures to begin to moderate, but it will remain on the chilly side. Wednesday should be milder, but clouds will start to stream into the region as a complex low pressure system heads into the Great Lakes. That system will send a warm front toward the region on Thursday. Ahead of the warm front, we could see a little snow or sleet Wednesday night, especially across the interior. Milder air should eventually move in for Thursday as the warm front finally pushes through, but rain showers are likely Thursday night into early Friday before the storm sends a cold front across the region. How quickly that warm front moves through on Thursday will determine our temperatures. Some of the guidance is showing the potential for temperatures well into the 60s, but some of the models don’t bring the warmer air into the Merrimack Valley or southern New Hampshire until late afternoon or evening, resulting in a much cooler day. Steady rain ends early Friday, but some showers could linger during the day. Next weekend looks dry and cooler as high pressure builds back in.

Depending on how quickly the warm front moves through, Thursday could be quite mild. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.

Monday: Intervals of clouds and sunshine, blustery, chance for a few snow showers or flurries. High 27-34.

Monday night: Becoming clear to partly cloudy, breezy, and cold. Low 14-21.

Tuesday: Morning sun, afternoon clouds, still breezy. High 34-41.

Tuesday night: Mostly clear. Low 19-26.

Wednesday: Early sun, then clouds increase and thicken. A few showers possible at night, maybe mixed with sleet or snow across the interior. High 42-49.

Thursday: Cloudy and breezy with showers likely. High 55-62, possibly a little cooler across southern New Hampshire.

Friday: More clouds than sunshine, breezy, chance for a few more showers. High 56-63.

Saturday: Partly sunny, breezy, and cooler. High 46-53.

Sunday: A mix of sun and clouds. High 50-57.

Weekly Outlook: March 21-27, 2022

Now that Spring has officially arrived, cooler weather will return.

The week starts off with high pressure building into eastern Canada, providing us with sunshine and seasonably cool conditions for today and Tuesday. By Wednesday, that high will start to slide eastward as low pressure heads toward the Great Lakes, sending some clouds our way. Precipitation looks to spread in Wednesday night, and there may be enough cold air in place that allows it to start as some snow or a wintry mix, at least across the interior. Everything should go over to plain rain on Thursday, and some of it could be heavy as a secondary area of low pressure develops nearby and moves right across the region. Rain ends early Friday as that low pulls away, but with another upper-level low pressure area slowly moving in, we’ll start have a decent amount of cloud cover along with the threat of some pop-up showers Friday afternoon. For the weekend, that upper-level low will cross the Northeast, and a new area of low pressure will develop at the surface near the Mid-Atlantic coast. While the surface low may be too far offshore to have much impact, it may interact with the upper-level low to produce some additional rain or snow showers next weekend.

Around an inch of much-needed rainfall us expected later this week. I age provided by WeatherBell.

Monday: Sunshine and a few afternoon clouds, breezy. High 47-54.

Monday night: Clear to partly cloudy. Low 29-36.

Tuesday: Partly to mostly sunny and breezy. High 43-50.

Tuesday night: Clear to partly cloudy. Low 25-32.

Wednesday: Some sun in the morning, then clouds move in during the afternoon with rain or snow showers developing in the evening. High 41-48.

Thursday: Cloudy with rain likely, possibly some wintry mix across the interior during the early morning. High 42-49.

Friday: Rain ends early, otherwise plenty of clouds and a few sunny breaks, slight chance for an afternoon shower. High 52-59.

Saturday: More clouds than sunshine with a rain or snow shower possible. High 47-54.

Sunday: Partly to mostly cloudy with a chance for a few rain or snow shower. High 45-52.

Weekly Outlook: March 14-20, 2022

Astronomical spring begins on Sunday at 11:33am, but we’re already 2 weeks into meteorological spring, and this week it will feel like it.

High pressure slides offshore today, allowing for milder air to move back into the region. Tuesday looks to be mild as well, but a cold front will be dropping southward with a weak area of low pressure riding along it. This may bring in a few showers Tuesday night, possibly even mixed with a little wet snow across central and southern New Hampshire. That front will stall out nearby, so areas to the south may stay mild on Wednesday, but much of the region will be on the cooler side, though still a little above normal for mid-March. Thursday looks to be similar with some clouds and possibly even a few showers as another low pressure system passes by to the south. This brings us to Friday, which is most definitely the pick of the week.

On average, high temperatures in mid-March are usually in the middle 40s. Image provided by Weathermodels.com

Low pressure will head into the Great Lakes, sending a warm front across the region. With some sunshine and southwesterly winds, temperatures should get well into the 60s away from the South Coast, with lower 70s possible. Saturday’s forecast is a bit trickier. That storm system will head into southeastern Canada, with 1 of 2 things possibly happening – We could have another very warm day with showers developing ahead of a cold front or a secondary area of low pressure develops off the Mid-Atlantic coast, resulting in more rain and significantly cooler temperatures. We’re going to lean towards the first scenario for now, but are cognizant of the fact that the second one is just as likely to happen. Either way, Sunday looks drier and seasonably cool.

The models don’t agree on what will happen on Saturday. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.

Monday: Sunshine and some afternoon clouds. High 47-54.

Monday night: Mostly cloudy. Low 34-41.

Tuesday: Plenty of clouds with a few late-day showers possible, mainly north of the Mass Pike. High 55-62, a little cooler across southern New Hampshire.

Tuesday night: Mostly cloudy with showers during the evening north of the Mass Pike, possibly mixed with snow across southern New Hampshire. Low 32-39.

Wednesday: Becoming partly to mostly sunny. High 51-58, cooler along the coast.

Thursday: Intervals of clouds and sun, chance for a shower, especially near the South Coast. High 56-63.

Friday: A mix of sun and clouds. High 64-71, cooler along the South Coast.

Saturday: Cloudy and breezy with showers likely, ending in the afternoon. High 50-57.

Sunday: Partly sunny, breezy, and cool. High 51-58.

Weekly Outlook: March 7-13, 2022

As you’d expect as we get into Spring, things will change quite a bit this week.

Low pressure will pass across New England today, bringing some rain in, mainly this afternoon and evening. With temperatures remaining mild, especially across Massachusetts, there’s even the potential for a rumble of thunder. The system pulls away tonight, setting up a sunny but breezy and cooler day on Tuesday. Another system passes by to the south on Wednesday, close enough for some clouds, but most of the precipitation with the system likely stays south of New England, though we could see a rain or snow shower reach the South Coast. By Thursday, we’ll start to turn milder once again as high pressure slides offshore, setting up the end of the week and the weekend.

Another mild day is expected across the region. Image provided by WeatherBell.

On Friday, low pressure will start to head up the Ohio Valley, crossing the Northeast on Saturday as it intensifies. We should be breezy and mild ahead of it, with rain likely Friday night into Saturday. Some of the models show the potential for very strong winds and potentially some heavy rain, but it’s still 5-6 days away, so for now it’s just potential. The system drags a cold front through later on Saturday, which may allow the rain to end as snow across the region, then windy and colder weather settles in for Sunday.

Most of the models show a rather potent storm system moving into the Northeast Saturday morning. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.

Monday: Cloudy and mild with periods of rain and showers during the afternoon. High 53-60, except 45-52 across southern New Hampshire.

Monday night: Rain during the evening, possibly a rumble of thunder, some clearing after midnight, breezy. Low 29-36.

Tuesday: Mostly sunny and breezy. High 39-46.

Tuesday night: Clear during the evening, clouds start to move in late at night. Low 20-27.

Wednesday: Plenty of clouds, just a slight chance for a rain or snow shower along the South Coast and Cape Cod. High 39-46.

Thursday: Partly sunny. High 46-53.

Friday: Morning sun, clouds move in during the afternoon, showers develop late at night. High 47-54.

Saturday: Cloudy and windy with rain likely, possibly mixing with wet snow before ending at night. High 53-60.

Sunday: A mix of sun and clouds., breezy, and colder. High 30-37.

Weekly Outlook: February 21-27, 2022

We’ve got a little bit of everything coming this week, unseasonably warm air (again), a snowstorm (again), some rain (again).

The week starts off with high pressure sliding offshore, allowing mild weather to return to the region today, with high temperatures likely topping 50 in many areas. Clouds start to stream in by late in the day though as low pressure heads toward the region. That low pressure system will pass north and west of the area later Tuesday, with gusty southwest winds bringing in very warm conditions in for Tuesday into Wednesday, with many places possibly topping 60 degrees on Wednesday. There are some indications that the warm air may struggle to move into southern and central New Hampshire on Tuesday, possibly holding off until Tuesday night, which may allow for a little freezing rain Tuesday evening. With the warm air comes some rain later Tuesday and Tuesday night, into early Wednesday morning. The rain ends when a strong cold front moves through, with skies clearing in the afternoon. High pressure builds in for Thursday with dry and cold conditions.

Wednesday could be a very mild day across the region. Image provided by WeatherBell

Another storm system moves into the Ohio Valley before redeveloping off the Mid-Atlantic coastline for Thursday night and Friday. There are still plenty of variables to be determined, but with colder air in place, we’ll likely see some snow to start. How much snow, and whether it changes over to sleet, freezing rain, and/or rain are questions that we cannot answer yet, but there is the chance for several inches of snow for at least part of the region. High pressure builds back in next weekend with dry and chilly conditions.

Thursday is looking wintry for at least part of the region for now. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.

Monday: Sunshine filtered through some high clouds at times. High 47-54.

Monday night: Increasing clouds. Low 26-33.

Tuesday: Some sunny breaks early, otherwise mostly cloudy and becoming breezy with showers developing in the afternoon. High 47-54, except possibly cooler across central and southern New Hampshire.

Tuesday night: Cloudy and windy with rain likely, possibly some freezing rain in parts of central or even southern New Hampshire for a while during the evening. Temperatures holding steady or rising overnight.

Wednesday: Lingering showers end early, clearing in the afternoon, breezy, and warm. High 58-65.

Thursday: Mostly cloudy and much colder, snow develops at night. High 31-38.

Friday: Breezy with snow likely, possibly mixing with or changing to sleet, freezing rain and plain rain, ending in the evening. High 30-37.

Saturday: Partly sunny and cold. High 25-32.

Sunday: Sunshine gives way to afternoon clouds. High 31-38.

Weekly Outlook: February 14-20, 2022

We’ve got quite the week coming up with everything from some snow and bitterly cold temperatures to heavy rain and possibly more record highs by the end of the week.

Snow showers will come to an end this morning, then skies will start to clear out this afternoon as high pressure starts to build in. Despite the developing sunshine, temperatures will only be in the 20s, which is 10-15 degrees below normal for mid-February. As skies become clear tonight and winds diminish, combined with the fresh snowcover, we’ll have some radiational cooling. Temperatures will likely drop into the single numbers, with some sub-zero readings possible. Tuesday remains chilly, but not quite as cold as today as the high pressure area continues to build in. By Wednesday, that high shifts offshore, and a significant temperature moderation develops. The milder air will be accompanied by clouds though as a storm system begins to move toward the region.

Tuesday morning looks quite chilly across the region. Image provided by WeatherBell.

By Thursday, that system draws nearer, with gusty southwest winds sending temperatures well into the 50s and possibly 60s, with more record highs possible. While temperatures will be mild during the day, it looks like the warmest temperatures will be at night. We could be near or above 60 degrees at midnight Thursday night across the region. We’ll also have some heavy rain as the system gets closer, which combined with the mild weather, will help melt much of the snow that remains on the ground. A widespread soaking rainfall is likely, with rainfall totals of more than an inch possible. We wouldn’t even be surprised if there’s a rumble of thunder. This storm will likely produce some severe weather across the South, and while that’s not likely here, a few thunderstorms are possible. Friday likely starts off warm and wet with temperatures still in the 50s at daybreak, but as a strong cold front comes through during the morning, the rain will end, and temperatures will drop during the day. High pressure builds back in for the weekend with dry and seasonably cool conditions for Saturday, but we may start to turn milder again on Sunday.

Some record highs are possible on Thursday across the Northeast. Image provided by Weathermodels.com

Monday: Snow showers ending in the morning, skies start to clear out by late in the day, breezy. High 18-25.

Monday night: Becoming mostly clear. Low -2 to +5.

Tuesday: Sunshine and some afternoon clouds. High 23-30.

Tuesday night: Clear to partly cloudy. Low 6-13.

Wednesday: Sunny in the morning, clouds start to stream in during the afternoon, becoming breezy and milder. High 38-45.

Thursday: Plenty of clouds with some sunny breaks, especially in the morning, showers developing in the afternoon, becoming windy. Wind-swept rain likely at night, possibly some thunder as well. High 56-63. The warmest temperatures are likely at night.

Friday: Windy with rain ending in the morning, clearing during the afternoon. High 47-54 at daybreak, temperatures drop during the day.

Saturday: Mostly sunny. High 34-41.

Sunday: Sunshine and a few clouds. High 35-42.