Weekend Outlook: July 22-25, 2022

Hot Hot Hot. Buster Poindexter’s song is also for the forecast for the next few days.

Showers and thunderstorms will end this evening as a frontal system pushes offshore, then skies clear out overnight. Drier air settles in for Friday and Saturday, with dewpoints in the 50s Friday and 60s Saturday, but it will remain hot, with temperatures well into the 90s in many locations. Sunday is shaping up to be a rather hot and humid day as another frontal system approaches the region. Temperatures should be well into the 90s again with high to oppressive humidity. Some models are showing the potential for triple-digit temperatures north and west of Boston, especially from the Merrimack Valley into southern New Hampshire. We’re not sure it gets quite that hot, but upper 90s are a distinct possibility. Some showers and thunderstorms are likely late Sunday night, and again on Monday as another frontal system crosses the region. Humidity levels will start dropping again later on Monday, but it will remain warm, with highs well into the 80s, and some places could top 90 once again.

Sunday is looking like a very hot day across much of the region. Image provided by WeatherBell.

If you’re curious about the record highs for Sunday and whether some could be broken, here are the current records for some selected cities across the region:

  • Blue Hill – 96 (1987)
  • Boston – 98 (1933)
  • Brockton – 97 (1987)
  • Concord, NH – 100 (1870)
  • Hyannis – 93 (1952)
  • Keene, NH – 95 (1910)
  • Lowell – 98 (1963 and 1987)
  • Manchester, NH – 95 (2001)
  • Nashua, NH – 100 (1952)
  • Newburyport – 96 (2002)
  • Portsmouth, NH – 95 (1987)
  • Providence, RI – 94 (1987)
  • Reading – 99 (2016)
  • Woonsocket, RI – 95 (2016)
  • Worcester – 94 (1910)

Thursday night: Showers and thunderstorms ending then skies clear out. Low 67-74.

Friday: Plenty of sunshine, not as humid. High 89-96, cooler right at the coast. Offshore: Small Craft Advisory for the South Coast. West winds 5-10 knots, becoming southwest 10-15 knots in the afternoon, seas 3-5 feet, a little higher off the South Coast, visibility under 1 mile in morning fog, improving in the afternoon.

Friday night: Clear skies. Low 66-73.

Saturday: Sunshine and a few clouds. High 89-96, cooler right at the coast. Offshore: Southwest 5-10 knots in the afternoon, seas 2-4 feet, visibility under 1 mile in morning fog, improving in the afternoon.

Saturday night: Clear to partly cloudy. Low 68-75.

Sunday: A mix of sun and clouds, humid. High 93-100. Offshore: Southwest winds 10-15 knots, gusting to 25 knots, seas 2-4 feet, visibility 10 miles or better.

Sunday night: Partly to mostly cloudy with some showers and thunderstorms possible. Low 70-77.

Monday: Intervals of clouds and sun with additional showers and thunderstorms, especially during the afternoon. High 84-91. Offshore: Small Craft Advisory likely. Southwest winds 10-20 knots, gusting to 25 knots, season 3-6 feet, visibility 1-3 miles in showers and thunderstorms.

Weekend Outlook: July 15-18, 2022

Despite a little rain early this morning, and some thunderstorms this afternoon, the drought continues to worsen around here, and we won’t get much relief over the next few days.

Parts of Northeastern Massachusetts and adjacent New Hampshire are now in a severe drought. Image provided by the National Drought Mitigation Center

We’ll have some showers and thunderstorms around this evening before a cold front pushes offshore. This allows drier air to settle in with high pressure for Friday and Saturday. Temperatures will remain on the warm side, but it won’t be humid. The humidity returns on Sunday as the high moves offshore and another frontal system approaches from the west. That front may trigger a few showers and thunderstorms late Sunday, but they likely hold off until Sunday night. Monday looks unsettled at this point as the front takes it’s time moving through, with more showers and thunderstorms likely. Some of the models are showing the potential for heavy rain at times on Monday, but given the way the models have performed in terms of rainfall, and the fact that we’re in a drought, we’re a bit skeptical on the idea of heavy rain for Monday. We’ll revisit that in our Weekly Outlook late Sunday night/early Monday morning.

Some models show the potential for heavy rain on Monday. We’re a bit skeptical. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.

Thursday night: Any lingering showers or thunderstorms end this evening, then skies clear out. Low 58-65.

Friday: Sunshine and a few clouds. High 79-86, coolest along the coast thanks to an afternoon seabreeze. Offshore: Northwest winds 5-10 knots becoming onshore in the afternoon, seas 2-4 feet, visibility under 1 mile in morning fog.

Friday night: Clear to partly cloudy. Low 59-66.

Saturday: A mix of sun and clouds. High 80-87. coolest along the coast. Offshore: South winds 5-10 knots, seas 2-3 feet, visibility 1-3 miles in some morning fog.

Saturday night: Partly cloudy. Low 63-70.

Sunday: Partly sunny, humid, chance for a late-day shower or thunderstorm. High 81-88. Offshore: Southwest winds 10-15 knots, gusts to 20 knots, seas 2-3 feet.

Sunday night: Partly to mostly cloudy with a few showers and thunderstorms around. Low 64-71.

Monday: Intervals of clouds and sunshine, with scattered showers and thunderstorms. High 81-88. Offshore: Southwest winds 10-15 knots, gusts to 25 knots, seas 2-4 feet, visibility 1-3 miles in showers.

Weekend Outlook: July 8-11, 2022

The weather for the upcoming weekend will be nearly perfect.

Sunshine will be dimmed by a few clouds today as high pressure slides offshore. Clouds will increase tonight as a warm front tries to approach the region. Humidity levels will increase tomorrow ahead of a cold front, but aside from a few hit-or-miss showers, the front will move through late in the day with little fanfare. After that, high pressure builds in for the weekend with sunshine, temperatures that are near or a little below normal for early July, and low humidity levels. Monday looks to be similar, but as the high moves offshore, temperatures and humidity levels will start to rise a little.

Dewpoints in the upper 40s and lower 50s in July? Enjoy the refreshing air this weekend! Image provided by WeatherBell.

Thursday night: Partly to mostly cloudy. Low 58-65.

Friday: Intervals of clouds and sunshine with a chance for a few showers. High 80-87. Offshore: South to southeast winds 5-10 knots, seas 2-3 feet.

Friday night: Becoming partly cloudy. Low 60-67.

Saturday: Sunshine and a few clouds. High 76-83, a little cooler along the coast. Offshore: Northeast to east winds 5-10 knots, seas 2-3 feet.

Saturday night: Clear skies. Low 53-60.

Sunday: Plenty of sunshine. High 75-82, a little cooler along the coast. Offshore: Southwest winds 10-15 knots, gusts to 25 knots, seas 2-4 feet.

Sunday night: Clear skies. Low 54-61.

Monday: Sunshine and some afternoon clouds. High 81-88. Offshore: South to southwest winds 10-15 knots, gusts to 20 knots, seas 2-4 feet.

Weekend Outlook: June 24-27, 2022

We’re entering the first weekend of astronomical summer and the weather is actually going to feel like….summer.

High pressure builds in tonight and remains in control through the weekend, with generally dry weather into Sunday. We could see a couple of stray showers Friday afternoon as a weak trough of low pressure at the upper levels of the atmosphere moves through, but they’ll be few and far between. Otherwise, we’re good through Sunday. Temperatures will gradually warm up, some locations likely reaching or exceeding 90 both Saturday and Sunday. While it will be quite warm, it shouldn’t be that humid, with dewpoints generally in the lower 60s. Clouds will start to move in later on Sunday as a cold front starts to approach from the northwest. That front will move though on Monday with some showers and thunderstorms. We really need the rain to help alleviate the developing drought, but we’re not sure how widespread Monday’s activity will be. A few days ago, the models were all showing the possibility for a decent slug of rainfall, but as is usually the case when we’re in a drought, as we get closer the models continue to back off. We’ll have more details on that in our Weekly Outlook early Monday morning.

Drought conditions continue to expand across southern New England. Image provided by the National Drought Mitigation Center.

Thursday night: Partly to mostly cloudy with areas of fog, some of it dense in spots. Low 53-60.

Friday: Becoming partly to mostly sunny. High 75-82, coolest along the coast. Offshore: Northeast to east winds 5-10 knots, seas 3-5 feet, visibility under 1 mile in morning fog, improving by afternoon.

Friday night: Clear skies. Low 56-63.

Saturday: Sunshine and a few clouds. High 84-91, a little cooler along the coast. Offshore: Variable winds becoming southwest 5-10 knots during the afternoon, seas 3-6 feet, visibility 10 miles or better.

Saturday night: Partly cloudy. Low 61-68.

Sunday: A mix of sun and clouds. High 86-93, a little cooler along the coast. Offshore: South to southwest winds 10-15 knots gusting to 20 knots, seas 2-4 feet, visibility 10 miles or better.

Sunday night: Partly cloudy during the evening, increasing clouds after midnight. Low 63-70.

Monday: Mostly cloudy with some showers and thunderstorms likely. High 73-80. Offshore: South to southwest winds 10-15 knots gusting to 20 knots, seas 3-5 feet, visibility 1-3 miles in showers and thunderstorms.

Weekend Outlook: June 10-13, 2022

Some additional much-needed rain is on the way, but it shouldn’t disrupt your weekend plans too much.

Rainfall has been below normal across the Northeast for most of the year, but the deficit has worsened recently. Image provided by ACIS.

High pressure builds into the region for tonight and Friday, with drier and seasonably mild temperatures expected. Things get a little more complicated over the weekend. An upper-level low pressure system will move across the the Northeast this weekend. It may help produce a few showers or even a thunderstorm during the afternoon on Saturday, but they’ll be hit and miss, so if you’ll be outside, just keep an eye to the sky. A disturbance rotating around that upper-level low will move in later Sunday. This will provide some additional pop-up showers or thunderstorms, but again, they don’t look to be that widespread. Another low pressure system will move in on Monday, with plenty of clouds and a better chance for widespread showers and thunderstorms.

Some models show the potential for a wet Sunday afternoon. We’re leaning toward a drier forecast with only a few showers and thunderstorms. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.

Thursday night: Clear skies. Low 51-58.

Friday: Sunshine and a few clouds. High 74-81.

Friday night: Increasing clouds. Low 53-60.

Saturday: More clouds than sun, chance for a shower or thunderstorm. High 73-80.

Saturday night: Partly to mostly cloudy. Low 53-60.

Sunday: More clouds than sun, a few showers or thunderstorms are possible, especially late in the day. High 72-79.

Sunday night: Mostly cloudy, showers possible, especially late at night. Low 55-62.

Monday: Partly sunny, chance for a few showers and thunderstorms, especially in the morning. High 72-79.

A couple of programming notes: 1. There will not be a Weekend Outlook published next Thursday. 2. When the Weekend Outlook resumes the following Thursday, we will be including the marine forecast for the remainder of the summer.

Weekend Outlook: June 3-6, 2022

The first weekend of meteorological summer has arrived, and although it won’t feel like summer on Friday, the rest of the weekend should. Meanwhile, the first tropical system of the season is expected to impact Florida.

Moderate drought conditions are developing across parts of southeastern New England. Image provided by the National Drought Mitigation Center.

An area of showers will move across the region tonight, ending towards midday Friday. This is good news, because we really need the rain, as drought conditions are developing across the region. Clouds will hang tough for most of the afternoon, keeping temperatures on the cool side for one more day, but some breaks if sunshine may develop in the afternoon. Skies clear out Friday night, but a cold front will move across the region on Saturday. It will generate some additional clouds, but only a sprinkle or two is expected. After that, high pressure builds in for Sunday and Monday with dry and seasonably warm conditions.

Potential Tropical Cyclone One will impact parts of Cuba, Florida, and the Bahamas on Friday and Saturday. Image provided by the National Hurricane Center.

Meanwhile, it appears as though the first tropical system of the season is developing in the southeastern Gulf of Mexico. Potential Tropical Cyclone One was centered about 80 miles north-northwest of Cozumel, Mexico this evening, moving toward the north at 5 mph. The system still had a broad circulation, and conditions aren’t that favorable for development, but many of the models do insist that it will develop into a tropical depression and eventually Tropical Storm Alex over the next 12-24 hours. As a result, tropical storm watches have been issued for parts of western Cuba, central and southern Florida, and the northwestern Bahamas. The system should head northeastward, crossing Florida on Saturday. Gusty winds and a minor storm surge will be threats with this system, but the main threat, whether it develops or not, is heavy rainfall. Rainfall totals of 5-10 inches and heavier are likely across western Cuba, southern Florida and the northwestern Bahamas over the next few days, leading to flooding in many areas. Across central Florida, rainfall totals of 2-6 inches will likely produce flooding as well. We’ll likely post an updated blog on just this system on Friday if it does develop.

Heavy rain will produce flooding across southern Florida and the Bahamas this weekend. Image provided by Weathermodels.com

Thursday night: Cloudy with showers likely. Low 50-57.

Friday: Showers end in the morning, some sunny breaks develop during the afternoon. High 64-71, a little cooler near the coast.

Friday night: Gradual clearing. Low 51-58.

Saturday: Sunshine and a few clouds, very slight chance for a sprinkle. High 72-79.

Saturday night: Clear skies. Low 48-55.

Sunday: Mostly sunny. High 70-77.

Sunday night: Mostly clear. Low 49-56.

Monday: Sunshine and some afternoon clouds. High 71-78.

Weekend Outlook: May 27-30, 2022

We’ve reached the unofficial start of summer – Memorial Day Weekend, and there is some summer-like weather on the way.

Low pressure will head towards the Great Lakes, sending a warm front towards our area. Some clouds will stream in ahead of the warm front tonight and Friday, but aside from a stray shower or some drizzle near the South Coast late tonight, most of the shower or thunderstorm activity should hold off until Friday night when the warm front finally moves through. Showers should come to an end Saturday morning, with some sunshine developing in the afternoon. However, as that low pressure system passes by to the north, it will drag a cold front across the region late in the day on Saturday, possibly producing another shower or thunderstorm. Depending on the timing of the front and how much sunshine we see in the afternoon, a few strong storms are possible. High pressure builds in behind the front Saturday night, allowing skies to clear out, setting up a fantastic Sunday with sunshine and seasonably warm temperatures. As for Memorial Day itself, current indications are for sunshine mixed with some clouds, and the potential for even warmer weather. It wouldn’t be a surprise if some inland locations made a run at 90 in the afternoon.

Memorial Day is looking quite warm at this point. Image provided by WeatherBell.

Thursday night: Partly to mostly cloudy, patchy fog and possibly some drizzle near the South Coast. Low 54-61.

Friday: Clouds and some sunny breaks, breezy. High 76-83, cooler near the South Coast.

Friday night: Cloudy with showers and possibly thunderstorms likely. Low 59-66.

Saturday: Showers end early, then becoming partly sunny and breezy with a chance for another shower or thunderstorm late in the day. High 73-80, a little cooler along the South Coast.

Saturday night: Becoming mostly clear. Low 52-59.

Sunday: Sunshine and a few clouds. High 73-80.

Sunday night: Clear to partly cloudy. Low 53-60.

Monday: A mix of sun and clouds. High 81-88, cooler along the South Coast.

Weekend Outlook: May 20-23, 2022

After a cool and damp day today, big changes are on the way.

A weak area of low pressure pulls away overnight, and skies start to clear out. A warm front moves across the region on Friday, allowing warmer air to start to move in. A shower or thunderstorm is possible during the evening, then very warm to hot and increasingly humid air settles in for the weekend as high pressure builds in. Away from the coastline, temperatures should get well into the 90s both Saturday and Sunday. Sunday looks like the hottest day, with some upper 90s possible across the Merrimack Valley and Southern New Hampshire. A cold front will approach late Sunday, with some showers and thunderstorms likely at night. Monday will be more seasonable, but there may still be plenty of clouds, with some showers, mainly in the morning.

Sunday looks like the hotter of the two days, with some places getting into the upper 90s. Image provided by WeatherBell.

Thursday night: Gradual clearing, with some patchy fog, especially near the coast. Low 45-52.

Friday: A mix of sun and clouds, chance for a late-day shower or thunderstorm. High 74-81, cooler along the coast.

Friday night: An evening shower or thunderstorm, otherwise partly to mostly cloudy with some patchy fog near the coast. Low 53-60.

Saturday: Sunny, hot, and becoming humid. High 90-97, cooler along the coast.

Saturday night: Clear to partly cloudy. Low 64-71.

Sunday: Sunny and hot, clouds start to move in during the afternoon with showers and thunderstorms possible late in the day. High 91-98, cooler along the coast.

Sunday night: Cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Low 60-67.

Monday: Mostly cloudy, some showers possible in the morning. High 71-78.

Weekend Outlook: May 13-16, 2022

Warm weather is finally here, and with it mostly dry weather, but that’s not a completely good thing.

High pressure will continue to build into the region over the next few days before sliding offshore. At the same time, the low pressure that has been sitting off the East Coast for the last several days while move into the Southeast and dissipate, but that doesn’t mean it won’t impact our weather.

Low pressure is close to the Carolina coast this afternoon, but it is impacting the weather as far north as southern New England. Loop provided by NOAA.

With winds still coming off the ocean, we’ll have plenty of moisture around tonight, resulting in low clouds and fog, especially along the coastal plain. Once it burns off Friday morning we’ll have partly to mostly sunny skies, though the clouds may hang tough across parts of southeastern Massachusetts and Cape Cod. Areas that break out into the sunshine should see temperatures well into the 70s and 80s thanks to southerly winds, though that will keep areas with south-facing coastlines significantly cooler. We may see a little fog Friday night once again. By Saturday, winds will shift into the southwest, resulting in warm weather across most of the region, except for south-facing shorelines once again. We’ll probably have a bit more cloudcover across the region, but it will still be at least partly sunny. A couple of showers and thunderstorms may pop up during the afternoon across the interior. Sunday looks to be similar, but showers may be a bit more numerous as the moisture from that old low pressure system works its way up the coastline. The day won’t be a washout by any means, but if you’ve got outdoor plans in the afternoon, keep an eye on the sky (or the radar).

Saturday looks to be an absolutely fantastic mid-May day. Image provided by WeatherBell.

By Monday, we’ll have a cold front approaching from the west. It’ll still be quite warm, but we’ll have more clouds, and more widespread showers and thunderstorms, mainly late in the day. Given how dry it’s been lately, we actually need the rain, though it doesn’t look like this will produce a lot of rain. We’ve had some brush fires locally in recent weeks, and drought conditions are beginning to develop in parts of the region. We really could use some rain to help alleviate that.

Thursday night: Becoming mostly cloudy with patchy dense fog. Low 50-57.

Friday: Becoming partly to mostly sunny, though it may remain mostly cloudy near the South Coast and across Cape Cod. High 68-75 near the coast, 76-83 inland.

Friday night: Clouds return, fog may redevelop across southeastern Massachusetts. Low 55-62.

Saturday: Partly sunny, slight chance for an afternoon shower or thunderstorm across the interior. High 79-86, cooler along south-facing shorelines.

Saturday night: Partly to mostly cloudy, fog may redevelop across the South Coast and Cape Cod. Low 57-64.

Sunday: Partly sunny, a late-day shower or thunderstorm is possible. High 78-85, cooler along south-facing shorelines.

Sunday night: Partly to mostly cloudy. Low 54-61.

Monday: Intervals of clouds and sun, showers and thunderstorms possible late in the day. High 74-81, cooler along south-facing shorelines.

Weekend Outlook: May 6-9, 2022

For parts of the region, we’ve got a decent weekend coming up, for other parts, not so much.

While you’re enjoying today’s sunshine and mild temperatures, changes are coming. High pressure will build in to our north while low pressure slowly moves toward and then off the Mid-Atlantic coastline before stalling out south of New England. We’ll be caught in between these two for the next several days. We’ll see clouds streaming in tonight ahead of the low pressure system. Some rain will spread in for Friday afternoon into Saturday, but the northern extent of the rain is still a bit of a question mark. Some models keep it confined to just the South Coast, some bring it up into the Merrimack Valley. We’re going with a compromise for now, with rain mainly south of the Mass Pike, but plenty of clouds everywhere. We’ll also have some gusty east to northeast winds through the weekend, which combined with the clouds and rain will result in a few rather chilly days. By later Sunday into Monday, the storm will start to drift southward while the high to our north builds in, with skies eventually clearing and temperatures starting to moderate, especially away from the shoreline.

How far north will the rain get for Friday and Saturday? The models don’t completely agree yet. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.

Thursday night: Becoming mostly cloudy. Low 42-49.

Friday: Mostly cloudy with rain developing, mainly south of Mass Pike. High 59-66.

Friday night: Periods of rain and showers, mainly south of the Mass Pike. Low 40-47.

Saturday: Cloudy and breezy with showers ending. High 48-55.

Saturday night: Mostly cloudy and breezy. Low 37-44.

Sunday: More clouds than sunshine. breezy. High 51-58, warmest well inland.

Sunday night: Partly to mostly cloudy, breezy. Low 36-43.

Monday: Partly sunny and breezy. High 49-56 along the coast, 56-63 inland.

A warming trend could be on the way later next week. Image provided by WeatherBell.

Finally, just a sneak peek at next week shows the potential for a significant warmup around here for the latter half of next week and into next weekend. Some models are showing the potential for at least few days where the first number of high temperature is an “8”. Now, it’s a week away, and things can change, plus, we’ve got the very chilly Atlantic right here which always can complicate things at this time of year, but we figured we’d let you know that there is the chance for things to finally feel likely May. For now, it’s just potential, but we’ll update you in our Weekly Outlook Monday morning.