Weekend Outlook: December 15-18, 2023

This weekend is going to end up very similar to last weekend, dry to start, then very wet to end.

Temperatures will be as much as 10-15 degrees above normal across much of the region on Friday. Image provided by weathermodels.com.

High pressure keeps us dry into Saturday. We’ll start off chilly this evening under clear skies, but as winds shift into the southwest, temperatures will level off toward midnight, and could rise a bit overnight. Friday is about as good a day as we can expect for mid-December with sunshine and above normal temperatures. Clouds start to filter in Friday night and during the day on Saturday as low pressure begins to develop across the Southeast. As that low moves northward, we’ll have plenty of clouds on Sunday, with rain moving in by late afternoon or evening. The rain will likely be heavy Sunday night into Monday morning, with some gusty south winds bringing unseasonably mild air back in, with temperatures making a run at 60 in some spots. Monday is where the models start to diverge. Some of them bring the storm well to our west (central or western NY), some a little closer (western MA). Overall, this doesn’t make too much of a difference at this point, but the eastern track would likely mean the rain ends earlier, and the cold front swings through earlier, bringing an end to the mild air. Beyond that, the models rapidly diverge, which has significant impacts on the forecast around here for Tuesday and into midweek, but this forecast only goes through Monday, so we’ll worry about next week in our Weekly Outlook Sunday night.

Where will the storm be centered Monday afternoon? It makes a difference for the forecast. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.

Thursday night: Clear skies. Low 26-33 during the evening, temperatures may rise a little after midnight.

Friday: Plenty of sunshine, breezy at times, especially through early afternoon. High 45-52.

Friday night: Clear skies during the evening, some clouds start to move in overnight. Low 32-39.

Saturday: Intervals of sunshine and clouds. High 43-50.

Saturday night: Becoming mostly cloudy. Low 29-36.

Sunday: Cloudy and becoming breezy with rain developing late in the day. High 47-54.

Sunday night: Periods of rain, possibly heavy at times, becoming windy. Low 44-51 during the evening, temperatures rise overnight.

Monday: Windy and mild with more rain, tapering off during the afternoon. High 54-61.

Weekend Outlook: December 8-11, 2023

Some rain is on the way along with milder temperatures as we head towards the weekend.

Some very heavy rain is possible Sunday night, especially well inland. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.

We start off with high pressure in control, keeping us dry through Saturday. Temperatures will be chilly tonight, but as the high moves off to the east, we’ll start to moderate for Friday and Saturday. Friday should feature a decent amount of sunshine, but clouds will increase and thicken up during the day on Saturday as low pressure heads toward the Great Lakes. As that low heads into southeastern Canada, southerly winds will start to pick up on Sunday, resulting in quite a mild day, with temperatures likely getting close to 60 degrees in many locations. It looks like most of the rain should hold off until late in the day, but once it moves in, some heavy rain is possible Sunday night into Monday morning. South to southwest winds will be quite gusty at night as well. The low will drag a cold front across the region Monday morning, with the rain ending by early afternoon. Once the front moves through, west to northwest winds will usher much cooler air in. So, even though we’ll likely start the day well into the 50s, we’ll drop in the 40s by afternoon. Skies should start to clear out by late in the day.

Temperatures could still be in the 60s Monday morning ahead of a strong cold front. Image provided by WeatherBell.

Thursday night: Becoming mostly clear. Low 17-24.

Friday: Sunshine and some afternoon clouds. High 38-45.

Friday night: Clear during the evening, some clouds move in overnight. Low 26-33.

Saturday: Increasing and thickening clouds, milder. High 46-53.

Saturday night: Partly to mostly cloudy. Low 35-42.

Sunday: Mostly cloudy, becoming breezy and mild, rain developing late in the day. High 55-62.

Sunday night: Windy with periods of rain, possibly heavy at times. Low 52-59.

Monday: Rain ending around midday, some late-day clearing, still breezy. High 52-59 in the morning, temperatures drop through the afternoon.

Weekend Outlook: December 1-4, 2023

Some unsettled weather is on the way for the weekend, so get those umbrellas out.

Temperatures will be close to the normal highs in the middle to upper 40s over the next few days. Image provided by Weathermodels.com

High pressure remains in control into Friday morning with dry and seasonably cool conditions. Clouds will thicken up on Friday as a weak storm system moves toward the region. A period of showers is likely late Friday afternoon and evening, but we’re not expecting any heavy rain at this point. After that, a series of weak systems will move through over the weekend, keeping the clouds in place with slightly cooler temperatures, and some episodes of rain showers. We’re not expecting them to be widespread or heavy, but they’ll be enough of a nuisance that you’ll notice them. A more potent system looks to move in for late Sunday into Monday. There is still quite a bit of uncertainty among the models as the how this storm will evolve and track, but right now, it looks like it will move across southeastern New England early Monday. This will likely result in rain, possibly heavy, for much of the region, with some gusty winds near the coast. Temperatures will be on the cool side, except near the South Coast and Cape Cod, which could be on the warm side of the storm. The area with the most uncertainty is across southern New Hampshire and the hills of central Massachusetts. At least one model is showing the potential for enough cold air for some snow or a wintry mix both at the start and at the end of the storm, but this is far from a certainty. In fact, the majority of the models do not show this scenario, but that doesn’t mean we should just discount it.

The models all have different ideas for what will happen on Sunday. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.

Thursday night: Partly cloudy. Low 33-40.

Friday: Some morning sun, then clouds return, showers develop by late afternoon. High 48-55.

Friday night: Mostly cloudy, showers ending toward midnight. Low 35-42.

Saturday: Plenty of clouds with a few showers possible. High 48-55.

Saturday night: Mostly cloudy, chance for a shower or two. Low 37-44.

Sunday: Cloudy with light rain and showers redeveloping, possibly some wintry mix from the hills of central Massachusetts into southwestern New Hampshire. High 44-51.

Sunday night: Periods of rain and showers. Low 34-41.

Monday: Cloudy with occasional showers, possibly mixed with some snow from central Massachusetts into southern New Hampshire. High 43-50.

Thanksgiving Weekend Outlook: November 23-27, 2023

The weather will be more tranquil but also cooler for a good chunk of the extended holiday weekend.

Wind chills will be in the teens Saturday morning, so bundle up if you’ll be ehading out. Image provided by WeatherBell.

Low pressure pulls away this evening with rain ending, and skies slowly clearing out overnight. High pressure builds in for Thanksgiving with sunshine and seasonably cool temperatures, but it will remain breezy as our low pressure system continues to intensify in Atlantic Canada. Another cold front moves through on Friday, but with only a few clouds accompanying it. Behind it, even colder air will settle in for Friday night and Saturday on gusty northwest winds. Temperatures on Saturday likely stay in the 30s for highs, with lows Saturday night dropping into the 20s, with some teens in the normally colder locations. Keep this in mind if you’ll be out during the day Saturday or at night. Temperatures will start to moderate on Sunday, but clouds will also stream in ahead of both a low pressure system moving off the Mid-Atlantic coast and another cold front moving in from the west. A period of rain showers seems likely Sunday night into Monday morning as the low passes by offshore and the cold front moves in. Temperatures may be marginally cold enough for some snow to mix in at the start well north and west of Boston. We’ll start to clear out behind both systems Monday afternoon.

There are still some differences to be worked out among the models for our Sunday night storm system. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.

Wednesday night: Any lingering showers end this evening, skies start to clear out after midnight, breezy. Low 34-41.

Thanksgiving: Plenty of sunshine, breezy. High 44-51.

Thursday night: Clear skies. Low 30-37.

Friday: A mix of sun and clouds, breezy. High 42-49.

Friday night: Clear skies. Low 17-24.

Saturday: Sunshine and some afternoon clouds. High 31-38.

Saturday night: Partly cloudy. Low 22-29.

Sunday: Becoming partly to mostly cloudy. High 41-48.

Sunday night: Cloudy with showers likely, possibly starting as a little wet snow well north and west of Boston. Low 31-38.

Monday: Morning showers, some afternoon clearing, breezy. High 44-51.

Weekend Outlook: November 17-20, 2023

Lots of change is in the air for the weekend, from warm to cool, from wet to dry, from windy to calm.

Temperatures should get well into the 60s for most of us on Friday. Image provided by WeatherBell.

High pressure is in control to start the weekend with dry weather for tonight and Friday. Temperatures will turn milder as winds shift into the southwest with the high pressure area moving off to our east. However, clouds will be streaming in ahead of both an approaching cold front and a low pressure area moving up the East Coast. The low pressure area is the one that has been drenching Florida for the past couple of days, but right now, it looks like it will stay far enough offshore to only bring in some rain to parts of Cape Cod and the Islands and possibly southeastern Massachusetts. However, the cold front will also bring in some showers for Friday night into Saturday morning. Saturday will start off quite mild, likely in the 50s for most spots, but with the front moving through, not only will it bring an end to the rain, it will usher much cooler weather in on gusty northwest winds. Temperatures will likely drop trough the afternoon, with skies clearing out late in the day. High pressure builds in for Sunday and Monday with sunshine and cool conditions, but it will likely remain breezy, especially on Sunday, as low pressure strengthens in Atlantic Canada.

This system shouldn’t be a big rain-maker for most of the region. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.

Thursday night: Clear skies through the evening, clouds start to move in after midnight. Low 34-41.

Friday: Increasing and thickening clouds, breezy, and mild. High 58-65.

Friday night: Cloudy with showers developing, mainly after midnight. Low 47-54.

Saturday: Rain and showers end by early afternoon, skies start to clear out late in the day, becoming breezy and turning cooler in the afternoon. High 52-59 in the morning, temperatures drop in the afternoon.

Saturday night: Clear skies, breezy during the evening. Low 28-35.

Sunday: Plenty of sunshine, breezy. High 44-51.

Sunday night: Clear skies, breezy. Low 25-32.

Monday: Sunshine and a few clouds, still a bit breezy. High 38-45.

Weekend Outlook: November 10-13, 2023

Another dry weekend coming up? Where were these during the summer?

If you were up early enough this morning, some parts of the region had some sleet or even a few wet snowflakes for the first time this season. Don’t worry, they won’t be back for a while. Any lingering rain showers will end this evening, and while we may see a little clearing overnight, clouds quickly return on Friday as an upper-level disturbance moves across the region. Could there be a shower or two? It’s possible, but for the most part, it just be cloudy, breezy, and cool. High pressure builds in for the weekend with lots of sunshine, but again, temperatures will remain on the cool side. Another upper-level disturbance brings clouds back in on Monday, but again, we should remain dry for the most part, with only a few stray showers expected.

Temperatures will be well below normal through the weekend. Image provided by WeatherBell.

Thursday night: A lingering shower this evening, then becoming partly cloudy. Low 33-40.

Friday: Mostly cloudy, slight chance for a shower, skies start to clear out late in the day, breezy. High 45-52.

Friday night: Clear skies. Low 31-38.

Saturday: Sunshine and a few clouds. High 43-50.

Saturday night: Clear to partly cloudy. Low 25-32.

Sunday: Partly to mostly sunny. High 38-45.

Sunday night: Clear to partly cloudy. Low 23-30.

Monday: Morning sun, increasing afternoon clouds, slight chance for a late-day shower. High 42-49.

Weekend Outlook: October 27-30, 2023

The warm weather continues into the start of the weekend, but big changes are on the way.

Temperatures could reach 80 in some spots on Saturday. Image provided by Weathermodels.com

A ridge of high pressure remains in control through Saturday, keeping temperatures well above normal. In fact, with plenty of sunshine both Friday and Saturday, we may make a run at 80 degrees in some spots. Friday night will be rather mild, with our low temperatures fairly close to our normal high temperatures for late-October. A cold front moves through Saturday evening, with clouds streaming in along with it. Sunday will feature plenty of clouds, and it will turn much cooler, but we’ll still be close to normal for this time of year. A wave of low pressure riding along the front brings in some rain during the afternoon. Occasional showers will continue for Sunday night and a good chunk of Monday as the cooler air continues to filter in. As the wave and the front push farther offshore later Monday, we may see some clearing develop as high pressure starts to build in. A much cooler pattern settles in for next week with below normal temperatures. Some of the models show the potential for a storm later Tuesday into Wednesday which may not be all rain if you’re well inland, and could impact trick-or-treating Tuesday evening, but we’ll get into more detail on that in our Weekly Outlook Monday morning.

Sunday afternoon will be 20-25 degrees cooler than Saturday afternoon across the region. Image provided by WeatherBell.

Thursday night: Partly to mostly cloudy. Low 53-60.

Friday: Becoming mostly sunny and warm. High 73-80.

Friday night: Clear skies. Low 54-61.

Saturday: Sunshine and a few clouds, breezy, and warm. Clouds may start to increase late in the day. High 73-80.

Saturday night: Becoming partly to mostly cloudy and turning cooler. Low 43-50.

Sunday: Cloudy and much cooler with showers developing in the afternoon. High 54-61.

Sunday night: Occasional showers. Low 44-51.

Monday: Showers gradually ending, some clearing possible late in the day. High 55-62.

Weekend Outlook: October 20-23, 2023

For a change, it’s going to rain this weekend. The forecast itself isn’t that simple though, so let us explain.

A cold front in the Midwest and a trough of low pressure off the South Carolina coast will be the main players in our weather for the next few days. Image provided by NOAA.

High pressure slides off to the east tonight and clouds start to stream in ahead of a cold front currently crossing the Great Lakes. Meanwhile, a weak area of low pressure will begin to develop off the Carolina coast tonight and head northward. Ahead of both of these, we’ll have a cloudy but mild day on Friday. Some showers are possible during the day, but the bulk of the activity should stay to our west. Showers will become more widespread by evening as the low pressure area to the south draws closer. The combination of the low and the approaching front will produce widespread showers with some bouts of steadier rain through Friday night and Saturday morning, tapering off during the afternoon. While the rain won’t be heavy, some places could see an inch or so by the time it winds down. By Saturday night, the cold front and the low pressure area move offshore, but an upper-level disturbance will move into the Northeast. This will allow the low to slow down or even stall out in the Gulf of Maine while intensifying. This may keep the showers around across parts of Southern Maine and Southern New Hampshire, possibly northern Massachusetts as well, but for most of us, it’ll just be a blustery and cool day with only a few showers around.

Sunday could end up as another damp day according to some of the models. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.

High pressure finally starts to build in for Monday with some clearing, but it will remain breezy and cool. In fact, as winds subside Monday night, and skies become clear, we’ve got a chance for our first widespread frost of the fall. So, if you’ve got some outdoor plants, you may want to prepare to bring them inside.

Monday night will be the coolest night we’ve had around here since the middle of May. Image provided by WeatherBell.

Thursday night: Increasing clouds. Low 46-53.

Friday: Mostly cloudy, chance for a few showers. High 60-67.

Friday night: Cloudy with showers likely. Low 52-59.

Saturday: Cloudy with occasional showers and some periods of steadier rain. High 57-64.

Saturday night: Partly to mostly cloudy, showers ending in the evening, becoming breezy. Low 45-52.

Sunday: More clouds than sun, windy, cooler, more showers possible, especially from the Merrimack Valley northward. High 52-59.

Sunday night: Becoming partly cloudy, breezy. Low 38-45.

Monday: A mix of sun and clouds, breezy, especially in the morning. High 53-60.

Weekend Outlook: October 13-16, 2023

A weekend without rain? Those have been rare since June, but for many of us, it will be a reality this weekend.

Average high temperatures for mid-October are in the lower to middle 60s. Images provided by Weathermodels.com

A weak cold front will cross the region this evening with little fanfare. Behind it, northwest winds will usher some cooler air in for Friday, but we’ll also have a decent amount of sunshine, with seasonably cool temperatures. Low pressure will then start to move out of the Great Lakes and head toward the Mid-Atlantic states. That will send some clouds in for Saturday, but the low should be far enough to the south that most of the rain stays offshore as well. A few showers are possible later Saturday into early Sunday near the South Coast, and there could be a little drizzle near eastern coastal locations, but for the most part we’ll stay dry. We may see a bit more sunshine on Sunday, but clouds come back Monday as another system moves off the Mid-Atlantic coastline. This may bring in a few showers on Monday, but it looks like most of the rain from this system likely holds off until Tuesday.

Some models bring the rain to the South Coast Saturday evening, some don’t. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.

Thursday night: A few clouds and possibly a stray shower during the evening, otherwise clear. Low 40-47.

Friday: Mostly sunny, breezy. High 57-64.

Friday night: Clear during the evening, some clouds move in overnight. Low 41-48.

Saturday: Becoming partly to mostly cloudy, a late-day shower possible near the South Coast. High 57-64.

Saturday night: Partly to mostly cloudy, a shower or two possible near the South Coast. Low 41-48.

Sunday: More clouds than sunshine, breezy. High 56-63.

Sunday night: Partly to mostly cloudy. Low 43-50.

Monday: Mostly cloudy, breezy, chance for a shower or two. High 55-62.

Weekend Outlook: October 6-9, 2023

Another rainy Saturday? Yup, we’ve got another rainy Saturday on the way.

Tropical Storm Philippe may have a role in our weather this weekend. Image provided by the National Hurricane Center.

We start off with another foggy night tonight, with plenty of moisture around and high pressure sliding off to the east. Once the fog burns off Friday morning, we’ll still have plenty of clouds ahead of a cold front slowing moving in from the west. A few showers are possible during the day, but they’ll become more likely at night, and through a good chunk of the day on Saturday. Complicating matters is Tropical Storm Philippe, or what’s left of it. It will be moving northward, passing east of the region, but some of the rain from it could move into eastern Massachusetts. Eventually, it’ll get tugged northwestward by an upper-level low (more on that in a minute), moving into Maine or New Brunswick this weekend, with some heavy rain and gusty winds for parts of northern New England. The cold front moves across the region Saturday evening, bringing an end to the rain, then much cooler air settles in behind it. However, that upper-level low over southeastern Canada will move southeastward, which means that despite high pressure building in at the surface, we’ll still have plenty of clouds around Sunday and Monday, with a few popup showers possible.

The heaviest rain will stay well to our west, but there is the potential for some heavy rain in eastern New England this weekend. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.

Thursday night: Becoming mostly cloudy with areas of fog, some of it dense. Low 54-61.

Friday: Partly to mostly cloudy with a chance for a shower or two. High 67-74.

Friday night: Cloudy with showers developing. Low 57-64.

Saturday: Periods of rain and showers. High 61-68.

Saturday night: Showers end, some clearing possible late at night, becoming breezy. Low 46-53.

Sunday: A mix of sun and clouds, windy, cooler. High 57-64.

Sunday night: Clear to partly cloudy, winds slowly diminish. Low 41-48.

Monday: Partly sunny, breezy. High 54-61.