We’ve reached the last full week of meteorological summer, but at least one day this week will likely feel more like fall.

We start the week off with another very warm to hot and humid day today. With warm and humid conditions in place, we’ll see showers and thunderstorms develop, mainly during the afternoon hours. While not as potent as yesterday, some storms may produce heavy downpours, gusty winds, and possibly some hail. Most of the activity should diminish after sunset, but a warm and muggy night is likely.

Tuesday will be a different story. A strong cold front will be approaching the region. It will likely produce showers and thunderstorms, mainly during the afternoon and evening, and many of those storms could become strong to severe. Heavy downpours, strong winds, and hail are all threats with the stronger storms.

Behind that front, high pressure builds in for Wednesday with an early taste of fall for the region. High temperatures will only be in the 70s, with some spots even staying in the upper 60s. Dewpoints will also drop into the 40s and possibly the upper 30s. We could even see some low temperatures drop into the upper 40s Wednesday night. The cool air will be short-lived, as we’ll start to warm back up for Friday. While the warmer air may try to move back in on Thursday, an approaching low pressure system bring bring in clouds and showers, keeping temperatures on the cool side.

The weekend is a bit of a question mark at this point. We’ll need to keep an eye on the remains of Laura and possibly Marco. Once they move inland, they’ll rapidly weaken, but the moisture will eventually head this way. Right now it looks like we may see that rain come through late Friday into Saturday, but obviously, it’s dependent on what the storms actually do. High pressure looks to build in for Sunday with cooler and drier weather once again.

Monday: Some patchy fog early, otherwise a mix of sun and clouds with a chance for some afternoon showers and thunderstorms. High 84-91.

Monday night: Any showers end during the evening, then becoming clear to partly cloudy. Low 64-71.

Tuesday: Partly sunny and breezy with showers and thunderstorms likely during the afternoon. High 84-91.

Tuesday night: Showers and storms end in the evening then becoming mostly clear. Low 55-62.

Wednesday: Plenty of sunshine, breezy, and cooler. High 70-77.

Thursday: Intervals of clouds and sun, showers are possible late in the day and into the evening. High 71-78.

Friday: More clouds than sun with periods of rain and showers during the afternoon and at night. High 77-84.

Saturday: Plenty of clouds with some rain and showers possible. High 75-82.

Sunday: A mix of sun and clouds. High 72-79.

As has been the case for a few months now, most of the upcoming week will be dry across the region, but not all of it.

We did receive some beneficial rainfall across parts of Southern New England on Sunday, and it may linger into this morning, especially across parts of the Cape, before low pressure finally pulls away from the region. However, an upper-level disturbance will move through later today, and it may kick off a few additional showers or even a thunderstorm. This won’t be a widespread beneficial rain, but every little bit helps to alleviate the drought.

High pressure builds in on Tuesday, and remains in place through Friday, with generally dry and seasonably warm conditions expected. Humidity levels will remain comfortable as well, with dewpoints generally in the 50s.

Clouds start to move back in on Saturday and humidity levels start to rise as a cold front approaches from the west. This front will likely produce some showers and thunderstorms later Saturday into Sunday, but the timing will depend on how quickly the front actually crosses the region. We’ll nail down those details in our Weekend Outlook on Thursday.

Monday: Early clouds and a few showers, then becoming partly sunny with a chance for a few late-day showers. High 73-80, coolest along the coast.

Monday night: Mostly cloudy with some more showers possible, mainly during the evening. Low 59-66.

Tuesday: Becoming partly to mostly sunny. High 77-84.

Tuesday night: Clear to partly cloudy. Low 56-63.

Wednesday: Sunshine and some afternoon clouds. High 76-83.

Thursday: Plenty of sunshine. High 77-84.

Friday: Mostly sunny. High 79-86.

Saturday: Partly sunny, chance for some afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms. High 82-89.

Sunday: A mix of sun and clouds, chance for some showers and thunderstorms. High 78-85.

The heat and humidity are back, and they’ll hang around for at least a few days.

We start the week with high pressure in control, pumping warm to hot and humid weather in for Monday and Tuesday. Many places away from the shoreline will top 90, and when the humidity is factored in, it will feel like its in the middle to upper 90s, especially on Tuesday. Heat advisories have been posted for this afternoon and Tuesday for much of interior Southern New England. A couple of pop-up showers and thunderstorms may develop this afternoon, but they’ll be few and far between, and even less likely on Tuesday.

Wednesday will be another hot and humid day, but a cold front will be slowly approaching from the west. It will produce some more numerous showers and thunderstorms during the afternoon. Some of these storms may produce heavy downpours and gusty winds, but for now at least, it doesn’t look like we’ll have widespread severe weather. More showers and thunderstorms are likely on Thursday before the front finally gets through the region. The front looks like it will stall out just to the south, which will keep clouds and possibly more showers around for Friday, especially south of the Mass Pike. High pressure finally builds in for next weekend with drier and cooler conditions.

Monday: Some patchy fog this morning, otherwise a mix of sun and clouds, just a few widely scattered showers and thunderstorms this afternoon, humid. High 85-92, coolest along the coast.

Monday night: Clear to partly cloudy, some patchy fog may redevelop. Low 66-73.

Tuesday: Mostly sunny, hot, and humid, a very slight chance for a shower or thunderstorm. High 89-96.

Tuesday night: Clear to partly cloudy and muggy. Low 67-74.

Wednesday: Partly sunny, humid, showers and thunderstorms likely during the afternoon and evening. High 88-95.

Thursday: More clouds than sun with scattered showers and thunderstorms. High 82-89.

Friday: More showers south of the Mass Pike, mainly during the morning, otherwise, skies gradually clear out from north to south. High 80-87, cooler along the coast.

Saturday: Partly to mostly sunny. High 76-83, coolest along the coast.

Sunday: A mix of sun and clouds. High 74-81.

Tropical Storm Isaias is near the Carolina coastline this afternoon, but struggling to maintain its intensity.

As of 2pm Monday, Tropical Storm Isaias was centered about 115 miles south of Charleston, South Carolina, moving toward the north at 13 mph, though radar and data from Air Force reconnaissance aircraft appear to show a motion more toward the north-northeast. The National Hurricane Center says maximum sustained winds are near 70 mph, but again, data from reconnaissance aircraft show the system to be weaker than that.

A Hurricane Warning is in effect from South Santee River, South Carolina to Surf City, North Carolina. A Storm Surge Warning is in effect from Edisto Beach, South Carolina to Cape Fear, North Carolina, and also from Oregon Inlet, North Carolina to the Virginia/North Carolina border, including Pamlico and Albemarle Sounds. Between Cape Fear and Oregon Inlet, a Storm Surge Watch is in effect. A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect south of South Santee River to Altamaha Sound, Georgia, and north of Surf City, all the way to the Mouth of the Merrimack River in Massachusetts, , including Chespeake Bay, the Tidal Potomac, River, Delaware Bay, and Long Island Sound. North of the Merrimack River, a Tropical Storm Watch is in effect to Eastport, Maine.

Isaias should continue heading north-northeastward, making landfall near the South Carolina/North Carolina border this evening. Although the official forecast calls for the storm to strengthen back into a hurricane before landfall, this appears unlikely at this point. There really isn’t much difference between a strong tropical storm and a weak hurricane anyway, so it’s a moot point. Once inland, it should continue on a north-northeast track, moving up the coastline, steered by an upper-level trough moving in from the west. Normally, tropical storms weaken rapidly as they move over land and away from warm water, which is their main source of energy. However, Isaias will be making the transition into an extratropical storm, so it may not weaken that rapidly.

Storm surge will be a threat along the Carolina coast, near and east of where the center makes landfall. A surge of up to 5 feet above normal tide levels could result in some coastal flooding. Strong winds will also be a threat, mainly east of the storm’s center. Wind gusts of 40-50 mph have been reported just off the South Carolina coastline this afternoon. As it moves northward, some strong winds will be likely across eastern North Carolina as the storm moves inland, and possibly across eastern New England late Tuesday as the system moves across the Northeast.

By far, the biggest threat with Isaias is heavy rainfall and the resulting flooding. The heaviest rain is likely along and west of the storm’s track. Rainfall totals of 3-6 inches and locally heavier are likely from the Carolinas into eastern Canada, which will produce flooding in many areas. The storm’s relatively quick motion will preclude even heavier totals. East of the storm’s track, rainfall will be much lighter, with many places likely seeing less than 1 inch, which won’t help with the drought developing across eastern New England.

Elsewhere, we’re keeping an eye on a tropical wave located a few hundred miles south of Bermuda. Conditions could become favorable for it to develop into a tropical depression in a few days. Model forecasts show it heading northwestward for the next few days, staying over open water. By mid-week, most forecasts show it stalling out about midway between Bermuda and the Bahamas. It does not look like a threat to any land areas at this time.

This week will feature a little bit of everything, at least in terms of summer weather.

We start the week off with more heat and humidity today. Offshore high pressure continues to pump hot and humid weather in, and as a result, Heat Advisories remain in effect for a large portion of the region. Highs will get into the 90s again for much of the area today, with dewpoints in the upper 60s to middle 70s. That combination of heat and humidity will make it feel like its 100 or higher during the afternoon. Relief is on the way though, as a cold front will move across the region later today. This front may produce some showers and thunderstorms, but we’re not that confident that we’ll see widespread activity. Any storms that do form may produce heavy downpours and strong winds, but a severe weather outbreak doesn’t look likely at this point.

The front moves offshore tonight, and “cooler” and “drier” air settles in for Tuesday. While it won’t exactly be a lot cooler or a lot drier, it will still be more comfortable compared to today. Our respite doesn’t last long though as a warm front approaches on Wednesday. While the front may produce a few showers or thunderstorms, the more noticeable impact will be to bring the humidity back in. It’ll be quite warm as well, but cloud cover will prevent us from getting too hot once again.

Another cold front approaches on Thursday, with more showers and thunderstorms expected. Again, some of them could be quite strong, but a widespread severe weather event doesn’t appear likely at this time. Much cooler and drier weather does finally move in behind this front for Friday and Saturday. As for next Sunday, that’s a bit of a question mark at this point. Most of the models show a storm system passing to the north, but that’s where the similarities end and the story of Goldilocks and the Three Bears starts. One model has little to no precipitation, with hot and humid conditions. Another has it warm but dry with precipitation moving in at night. A third model has it cloudy and mild with showers during the afternoon. We’re going to play the middle ground right now, knowing full well that we’ve got plenty of time for the models to find some common ground and decide on a solution before we issue our Weekend Outlook Thursday afternoon.

Monday: Some dense fog along the South Coast early, otherwise a mix of sun and clouds with some showers and thunderstorms developing during the afternoon. A few of the storms may produce gusty winds and heavy downpours. High 89-96, cooler right along the South Coast. Heat indices could reach as high as 104 in some spots.

Monday night: Clearing and less humid. Low 65-72.

Tuesday: Sunshine and a few clouds. High 85-92.

Tuesday night: Clear to partly cloudy. Low 63-70.

Wednesday: Partly sunny and humid with some afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms possible. High 82-89, cooler along the coast.

Thursday: Intervals of clouds and sun with some showers and thunderstorms during the afternoon and evening, breezy. High 82-89.

Friday: Partly to mostly sunny and drier. High 77-84.

Saturday: Sunshine and some high clouds. High 80-87.

Sunday: More clouds than sun with showers and thunderstorms possible late in the day and at night. High 83-90.

Much of this week will feature typical summer-time weather in New England, with warm to hot temperatures, humidity levels ranging from somewhat comfortable to not very comfortable, and some pop-up showers and thunderstorms.

The week starts off with the most active weather day as a cold front starts to approach the region. A few showers are likely this morning as an upper-level disturbance swings through, but we should see some sunshine develop by midday. How much sunshine we get will help determine how much the atmosphere will destabilize again in the afternoon. As the front moves in from the west, showers and thunderstorms will develop. Many of these storms will produce heavy downpours, and some could redevelop over the same locations, resulting in some flash flooding. Depending on how much sun we see in the late morning and early afternoon, we could be looking at some severe storms, with strong winds and hail as well. There is even a slight chance for a tornado to form. How quickly the front moves will also help determine how long we’ll be dealing with the storms, and what areas have the best chance to have them. Right now, it looks like most of the storms will be during the 1pm-8pm time frame.

The front moves offshore tonight, and cooler and drier air starts to settle in. However, an upper-level low pressure area will be moving in at the same time. As this upper-level low moves right across New England on Tuesday, it will help produce another round of showers and thunderstorms during the afternoon. Most of these shouldn’t be strong, but with a pool of cold air aloft, we could see some small hail in a few of them.

The upper-level low moves offshore for Wednesday, and we’ll be under the influence high pressure for Wednesday and Thursday, with sunshine, seasonably warm temperatures (tempered by a seabreeze along the coast), and moderate humidity levels. Warmer and more humid air moves in for Friday and the weekend. A series of weak upper-level disturbances will also move across the region, creating a daily chance for showers and thunderstorms.

Monday: A few showers early, then becoming partly sunny. Showers and thunderstorms are likely during the afternoon and evening. Some of them may produce heavy downpours. High 82-89.

Monday night: Showers and thunderstorms end during the evening, then skies clear out. Low 62-69.

Tuesday: A sunny start, then clouds develop with a few showers and thunderstorms likely during the afternoon. High 76-83.

Tuesday night: Clear to partly cloudy. Low 59-66.

Wednesday: Sunshine and a few clouds. High 72-79, coolest along the coast.

Thursday: Some patchy morning fog, then becoming partly to mostly sunny. High 74-81, coolest along the coast.

Friday: Intervals of clouds and sunshine with some showers and thunderstorms possible, especially during the morning, a little more humid. High 77-84.

Saturday: Partly sunny, chance for a shower or thunderstorm. High 83-90, cooler along the coast.

Sunday: A mix of sun and clouds, a shower or thunderstorm is possible. High 86-93.

We’ve got some typical summertime weather coming up for most of the week, with heat, humidity, and thunderstorms all expected.

The week starts off with high pressure building in from the north, which will bring in sunshine, lower humidity, and slightly cooler temperatures, especially along the coast. By Tuesday, however, that high will move off to the south, allowing more humid air into the region, along the the chance for a few showers and thunderstorms.

You’ll start to hear the “Triple-H” talk for Wednesday through Friday, but it may not quite qualify. It’ll be quite warm to hot, with temperatures will into the 80s and lower 90s in many locations. It’ll also be quite humid, as dewpoints will get well into the 60s, and possibly even lower 70s. Will it be hazy? Probably not. Even without the haze, it’ll still be quite comfortable for a lot of people.

The end of the week and into the weekend is a bit of a question mark right now. Low pressure currently over the Southeast will move off the Carolina coastline by midweek, and then head northeastward up the coastline. The National Hurricane Center has already given it a 40% chance of development before the end of the week. Given their recent track record, we’re assuming that assuming it moves off the coast, as long as it’s spinning and has a thunderstorm nearby, it’ll be called Tropical Depression Six, or maybe they’ll go right to Tropical Storm Fay. Either way, it may very well have some impact here by Friday or Saturday. The most likely impact is for some heavy rainfall. We’ll already have a very soupy airmass in place, and adding tropical air to that will help wring out even more moisture. While this will help put a dent in the developing drought for some areas, it may also lead to flooding in others. We could also see some impacts from wind, depending on the development of the system, and rough surf along the coast. Unsettled weather may hang around through the weekend, as the system may be slow to depart.

Monday: Partly to mostly sunny. High 77-84, cooler along the coast.

Monday night: Partly cloudy. Low 57-64.

Tuesday: A mix of sun and clouds, just a slight chance for an afternoon shower or thunderstorm. High 76-83.

Tuesday night: Partly cloudy. Low 61-68.

Wednesday: Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely in the afternoon. High 81-88.

Thursday: Sunshine and a few afternoon clouds, a shower or thunderstorm may pop up. High 86-93.

Friday: Early sun, then clouds move in, some showers and thunderstorms develop, possibly become a steady rain late in the day and at night. High 84-91.

Saturday: Rain ends early, then becoming partly sunny, a few showers and thunderstorms are possible in the afternoon and evening. High 80-87.

Sunday: Intervals of clouds and sun, more showers and thunderstorms are possible. High 82-89.

This is going one of those weeks where the weather app on your phone just won’t cut it. Most of those apps will give you a little icon for the day, and for this week, we wouldn’t be surprised if there was a little thunderstorm icon in there for every day. Yes, there will be a chance of thunderstorms for almost every day this week. However, the vast majority of the time will be dry, and none of the days should be a washout.

After widespread strong to severe thunderstorms on Sunday, things should be a bit more quiet today. We’ve got an upper-level low pressure settling into the northeast, so we’ll see clouds popping up, and some showers and thunderstorms will likely develop this afternoon. This will be nothing like yesterday however. Sure, a few of the storms may produce a quick downpour or even some small hail due to some cold air aloft, but they’ll be hit and miss storms, with more areas getting nothing than areas that get storms. Most of the activity should diminish with the setting sun.

That upper-level low will remain nearby for Tuesday and Wednesday, so we’ll have similar conditions both days with showers and thunderstorms popping up each afternoon, produce a few downpours and maybe a little hail, but nothing widespread is expected. Temperatures will be on the cooler side, possibly even a little below normal for the end of June/beginning of July, with highs only in the 70s for most of us, with some coastal locations possible staying in the 60s thanks to a wind off the water.

The upper-level low finally starts to move out on Thursday, but it still may produce a few showers and thunderstorms. After it moves out, a ridge of high pressure starts to build in…..to the Midwest. That means another upper-level trough of low pressure starts to build in for Friday and the weekend. So, we’ll be a bit warmer, but, you guessed it, we’ll have a daily chance for some pop-up showers and thunderstorms. Wash. Rinse. Repeat. Things may start to dry out a bit more on Sunday.

Monday: Some patchy fog to start the day, otherwise more clouds than sunshine, chance for some showers and thunderstorms. High 73-80, a little cooler along the coast.

Monday night: Showers taper off in the evening, then partly to mostly cloudy with some fog redeveloping. Low 59-66.

Tuesday: Intervals of clouds and sunshine, chance for a few showers and thunderstorms. High 69-76, a little cooler along the coast.

Tuesday night: Partly to mostly cloudy, again some patchy fog is possible. Low 60-67.

Wednesday: A mix of sun and clouds with some afternoon showers and thunderstorms possible. High 72-79.

Thursday: A sunny start, then clouds pop up, just a slight chance for a shower or thunderstorm. High 80-87, a little cooler along the coast.

Friday: Morning sunshine then afternoon clouds, a shower or thunderstorm may pop up. High 77-84.

Independence Day: Partly sunny with an afternoon shower or thunderstorm possible. High 75-82.

Sunday: Sunshine and a few clouds. High 78-85.