Much of the upcoming week will be dry and mild, but there are some exceptions.
A weak low pressure system will pass south and east of New England later today and tonight. It will spread some light rain into the area, though temperatures will be marginally cold enough for some light snow across the interior, mainly north and west of I-495. Rain ends late tonight, followed by gradual clearing on Tuesday. After that, we’ll have generally dry and mild weather through the remainder of the week, though some disturbances will spread in some clouds and possibly a few showers at times. We may turn colder again next weekend, but there are no big storms in sight.
Any snow today and tonight will be across the interior. Image provided by WeatherBell.
Monday: Cloudy with showers developing, mixed with snow across the interior. High 35-42.
Monday night: Cloudy with rain or snow showers gradually ending. Low 29-36.
Tuesday: Any lingering showers end early, skies start to clear out late in the day. High 38-45.
Tuesday night: Clear skies. Low 17-24.
Wednesday: Sunshine and a few afternoon clouds. High 35-42.
Thursday: Intervals of clouds and sunshine, slight chance for a shower. High 42-49.
Friday: Partly to mostly sunny. High 37-44.
Saturday: Partly sunny. High 42-49.
Sunday: More clouds than sun, much cooler. High 28-35.
It’s mild today, but a messy Friday is on the way.
A strong cold is making its way toward the region this afternoon. We’ll have some rain ahead of it tonight, and the rain may be quite heavy. The combination of rain and mild temperatures will help to melt a lot of the snow that remains from last weekend’s blizzard. The front moves through this evening, and colder air will slowly make its way into the region early on Friday, first at the surface, then aloft. As temperatures drop, the rain will change to freezing rain and then sleet from north to south. With the roads already wet from the rain and temperatures dropping, a flash freeze is likely, and it will unfortunately be timed for the morning commute. If you’re going to be out in the morning, use plenty of caution, as untreated surfaces will become very icy quickly.
Much of the region will receive 1.5-2.0 inches of rain tonight and Friday. Image provided by Weathermodels.com
Temperatures will continue to drop during the day, with the freezing rain and sleet likely ending as some wet snow, mainly north of the Mass Pike. Everything winds down in the evening, then skies gradually clear out at night as high pressure builds in. This sets up a sunny but cold Saturday across the region. The high slides off to the east for Sunday and Monday, keeping us dry, but allowing temperatures to begin to moderate once again.
Saturday night looks quite chilly across the region. Image provided by WeatherBell.
Thursday night: Rain, possibly heavy at times, changing to freezing rain and sleet late at night, mainly across southern New Hampshire and northern Massachusetts. Low 26-33 north of the Mass Pike, 34-44 south of the Pike.
Friday: Rain and freezing rain changing to sleet, and eventually some wet snow north of the Mass Pike. Temperatures dropping during the day.
Friday night: Wintry mix ending, some clearing late at night. Low 12-19.
Saturday: Becoming mostly sunny, breezy, and cold. High 19-26.
Saturday night: Clear and cold. Low -7 to 0 north and west of Boston, 1-8 south of Boston.
Sunday: Sunshine and some afternoon clouds. High 24-31.
After a snowy weekend, quiet weather will settle in for a few days.
The week starts off on a rather chilly note with high pressure in control, but as it slides off to the east, temperatures will moderate for the next few days. By Wednesday, many locations could top 40 degrees. This will help to melt some of the mounds of snow across the region, but remember, with temperatures dropping below freezing at night, anything that melts will ice back up.
Wednesday could be relatively mild by early February standards. Image provided by WeatherBell.
The next storm system approaches on Thursday, and it looks a bit complicated. A cold front will bring colder air back into the region and a wave of low pressure will ride along it, possibly passing south of the region. With warmer air in place to start, we will likely see precipitation start as rain, but a change to sleet and/or freezing rain is possible, especially across the interior during Thursday night and Friday. We could see a change to snow before everything winds down Friday afternoon. We’ll obviously have a better handle on this storm later this week. High pressure then builds in for the weekend with cold and dry conditions.
Monday: Sunshine and a few clouds. High 24-31.
Monday night: Clear to partly cloudy. Low 4-11.
Tuesday: Partly sunny. High 30-37.
Tuesday night: Partly to mostly cloudy. Low 21-28.
Wednesday: Mostly cloudy. High 38-45.
Thursday: Cloudy with rain developing, changing to sleet and/or freezing rain across the interior. High 39-46.
Friday: Wintry mix possibly ending as snow. Temperatures dropping into the 20s and 30s during the day.
Saturday: Becoming partly to mostly sunny. High 18-25.
Another chilly week is expected, but trouble could be lurking next weekend.
A dry, but chilly day is expected today as high pressure builds in, but it won’t stay that way for long. An Alberta Clipper will be heading this way, sending clouds back in late today, with some snow showers late tonight into early Tuesday. Temperatures may be marginally warm enough to change the snow to rain across Cape Cod and the South Coast. Any accumulation should be an inch or less. Once that system moves by, high pressure builds back in for Wednesday and Thursday with much colder weather once again. Another weak system may bring in a few snow showers on Friday as temperatures moderate a bit. This brings us to next weekend.
Temperatures will remain below normal for most of the upcoming week, but the coldest air will stay to our north and west. Image provided by WeatherBell.
For several days now, the models have been indicating the potential for a significant storm system somewhere near the East Coast around Saturday, January 29. We’ve mentioned more times than we can count that the models aren’t trustworthy beyond about 2 or 3 days right now, but they have all had the same signal for quite some time, which gives us increased confidence that there will be some sort of storm, and it will probably be potent. However, models are showing little consistency beyond that in terms of how strong it will be, where it will track, what areas (if any) it might impact, and what impacts (if any) that it will have. At this point, everything is on the table, from a swing and a miss with the storm heading out to sea, to an inland runner, where we end up on the warm side with heavy rain and mild temperatures, to a mix of snow, sleet, freezing rain, and rain with the storm tracking right over us, to a full-fledged blizzard with the classic track right up the coast. Depending on which model you look at, and which run of that model, they have all indicated any and all of these scenarios at one point over the past several days. So, at this point, it is impossible to make a forecast, because frankly, we just don’t know, and probably won’t have a better idea of what to expect until at least mid-week. By the time we issue our Weekend Outlook on Thursday, we *should* have a decent idea of what will happen, but even that isn’t definite. So, stay tuned….
This is the last 5-days worth of forecasts from the GFS model that are all valid for this Saturday afternoon. Images provided by Tropical Tidbits.
Monday: Intervals of clouds and sun. High 27-34.
Monday night: Mostly cloudy with some snow showers possible. Low 18-25, temperatures may start to rise a bit after midnight.
Tuesday: Mostly cloudy with morning snow showers, possibly mixed with rain near the South Coast and Cape Cod, some afternoon sunny breaks develop. High 36-43.
Tuesday night: Becoming clear. Low 12-19.
Wednesday: Mostly sunny. High 19-26.
Thursday: Sunshine and some afternoon clouds. High 22-29.
Friday: Mostly cloudy with a chance for snow showers. High 32-39.
Saturday: Partly to mostly _____ with a chance of _____. High 26-33.
Sunday: Partly to mostly _____ with a chance of _____. High 24-31.
The week is starting off on a very stormy note, but should quiet down later in the week.
A variety of advisories and warnings are in effect across the Northeast. Image provided by Pivotal Weather.
Low pressure will move across the region today, bringing a variety of hazardous conditions in, mainly during the morning hours. Some heavy rain is likely through the morning, tapering off by early afternoon as an occluded front moves across the region. Some strong winds are also likely this morning, especially near the coast, where gusts of 50-60 mph are possible. In addition, some coastal flooding is likely around high tide, due to the combination of strong onshore winds and already astronomically high tides. Notice what we didn’t mention? Snow. Any snow will be confined to areas well north and west of Boston, and likely will have changed to rain and/or ended by the time most of you read this.
Wind gusts could exceed 50 mph along the coast this morning. Image provided by WeatherBell.
During the afternoon it will still be breezy, but winds won’t be nearly as strong as they are in the morning. A cold front will move through by evening as the low passes by to our north, and that front could be accompanied by some rain or snow showers. High pressure then builds in for Tuesday with sunshine, but it will be breezy and turning colder once again. The cold air will be short-lived as another weak system approaches for Wednesday. As this system moves through, we could see some rain or snow showers late Wednesday and Wednesday night. High pressure then builds back in for Thursday and Friday, with a return to much colder weather, though not likely as cold as we had earlier this past weekend. As we head into next weekend, we’ll be keeping our eyes on a potential coastal storm. While some models have shown the potential for it to impact us next weekend, at this point, the more likely scenario is that it stays offshore with little impact, and high pressure continues to build in, keeping us dry and cold. As usual, we should have a better idea of what to expect when we publish our Weekend Outlook on Thursday.
Friday looks like it will be another very cold day across the region. Image provided by Weathermodels.com
Monday: Windy with snow across the interior changing to rain early, elsewhere rain, heavy at times in the morning, ending by early afternoon. Mostly cloudy with diminishing winds in the afternoon. High 41-48 in the morning, temperatures start to drop in the afternoon.
Monday night: Mostly cloudy and breezy, chance for a few rain or snow showers during the evening. Low 18-25.
Tuesday: Becoming partly to mostly sunny, still breezy. High 23-30.
Tuesday night: Clear during the evening, clouds start to move back in late at night. Low 8-15.
Wednesday: Mostly cloudy and breezy, chance for a few snow or rain showers late in the day and at night. High 37-44.
Thursday: Mostly cloudy, any lingering snow showers end early. High 31-38.
Friday: Partly sunny and cold, except mostly cloudy across Cape Cod with a few snow showers possible. High 17-24.
Dig out the thermals and heavy winter gear, some really cold air is on the way.
Temperatures will turn colder today despite some sunshine, but this is just the opening act for what is on the way. An arctic cold front will cross the region this evening. It may produce some snow showers or squalls, so if you’ll be out this evening, be prepared for a short burst of snow that could significantly reduce visibility and drop a quick coating on the roads. Once the front moves offshore, bitterly cold air will flood into the region for Tuesday and Tuesday night. Temperatures will drop below zero in parts of the region Tuesday morning. Despite plenty of sunshine Tuesday afternoon, highs may struggle to reach the lower teens across most of the area, with wind chills that are below zero. Across Cape Cod, there may not be as much sunshine, as northwest winds blowing over the relatively mild water of Cape Cod Bay could produce some ocean-effect snow showers, especially across the Outer Cape. We’ll have another bitterly cold night Tuesday night, with subzero lows possible once again, but as high pressure slides off to the east on Wednesday, temperatures should start to moderate. It’ll still be chilly, but highs should get into the 30s across the area.
Wind chills could be well below zero Tuesday morning. Image provided by WeatherBell.
Temperatures will turn colder again for the end of the week, but there are bigger concerns. We’ve cautioned you recently that the models have performed rather poorly beyond 2 or 3 days, and that is still the case, so this part of the forecast is highly uncertain. However, many models are showing the potential for a powerful ocean storm to develop late Thursday into Friday, and a second storm to do the same over the weekend. The fact that they all show this gives us a little more confidence that they both may actually develop. The problem is, that’s about all they agree on. They don’t agree on the timing of the storms, the track they might take, how strong they’ll get, and what, if any, impacts they may have up here. These are things that we’ll be keeping a close eye on as the week goes by, but for now, what you read below is our “best guess” (for lack of a better term), but it is very low confidence.
The models all have different ideas about a potential coastal storm on Sunday. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.
Monday: Partly sunny. High 23-30.
Monday night: Partly cloudy and breezy, some snow showers or squalls are possible during the evening. Low -2 to 5 north and west of Boston, 6-13 south of Boston, wind chills could drop to -10 to -20 by daybreak.
Tuesday: Mostly sunny and very cold, except partly to mostly cloudy with some snow showers across parts of Cape Cod. High 8-15, with wind chills below zero.
Tuesday night: Partly cloudy. Low -2 to +5.
Wednesday: A mix of sun and clouds, breezy, and milder. High 31-38.
Thursday: Partly to mostly cloudy. High 35-42.
Friday: Mostly cloudy and breezy, chance for some light snow or snow showers, mainly across southeastern Massachusetts and Cape Cod. High 28-35.
Saturday: Partly to mostly sunny and cold. High 21-28.
Sunday: Plenty of clouds with a chance of snow, especially in eastern Massachusetts. High 28-35.
A rather active pattern is expected to continue for this week, with some snow for parts of the region, possibly more than once.
The week starts off with low pressure passing south of the region today. It will be close enough to spread some light snow into the Cape and Islands, and possibly southeastern Massachusetts. Any accumulations will be confined to the Cape and Islands, with Nantucket and Martha’s Vineyard possibly seeing a few inches. For the rest of us, it’ll be a cloudy and chilly day. Many places won’t get out of the 20s, and wind chills will be in the teens, so keep that in mind if you’ll be outside for any length of time today. We’ll clear out tonight as the system pulls away, then high pressure builds in with sunshine and seasonably cool conditions on Tuesday. We’ll start to warm up again on Wednesday, but also will have plenty of clouds and some showers ahead of another cold front. That front moves through early on Thursday, bringing an end to the showers, and ushering cooler air back in. After that, things get very uncertain.
Most of the snow today will be confined to the Cape and Islands. Image provided by WeatherBell.
Some of the models have been hinting at the potential for coastal storm in the Thursday night/Friday time frame for quite some time now. However, since the models have downright awful beyond about 2-3 days, we haven’t bothered to look at the details too much, but have noted the potential. Well, it’s 5 days away now, and there is still plenty of disagreement as to what could happen, or if there will even be a system to affect the region. We’re of the belief that there will be a system, and it could produce some snow across at least inland locations. Beyond that, we’re not prepared to go into much more detail yet (though some of the usual internet trolls will probably be more than happy to find maps from models that show heavy snow and will share them all over Facebook and Twitter). Obviously, we’ll have a better idea as we get towards mid-week, and will elaborate more at that point, if needed.
Storm or no storm on Friday? It depends on which model you believe, if any of them. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.
High pressure builds in for Saturday with dry and chilly conditions, then another system could bring in some snow or rain showers for Sunday.
Monday: Plenty of clouds, snow showers likely across the Cape and Islands. High 25-32.
Monday night: Clearing and cold. Low 11-18.
Tuesday: Mostly sunny. High 29-36.
Tuesday night: Increasing clouds. Low 20-27.
Wednesday: Mostly cloudy, breezy, mild, chance for showers. High 45-52.
Thursday: Partly sunny. High 35-42.
Friday: Cloudy and breezy with a chance of snow or rain. High 32-39.
Saturday: Mostly sunny. High 26-33.
Sunday: Mostly cloudy with some snow or rain showers possible. High 37-44.
The final days of 2021 will feature an active weather pattern that doesn’t really do too much.
High pressure starts the week off with sunshine, but clouds quickly move in later today ahead of a weak storm system moving toward the region. This system will lose much of its punch, and the bulk of its precipitation will stay to our south, but a few snow showers or some spotty freezing rain are possible early Tuesday as it moves through, with mainly rain showers south of Boston. Another system quickly follows for Tuesday night and Wednesday with a few rain or snow showers. Yet another weak system may bring in a few more showers on Thursday. High pressure brings in dry and seasonable conditions for New Years Eve. If you’re heading out for any First Night festivities, the weather shouldn’t be an issue. New Years Day also looks decent with high pressure in control.
Normal high temperatures are in the upper 30s to lower 40s at the end of December. Image provided by Weathermodels.com
Sunday is where we could have problems. As we’ve mentioned numerous times later, the forecast models have been, well, awful, beyond a few days (and sometimes beyond a few hours), so this is a very low confidence forecast. However, many of the models have been indicating a period of stormy conditions centered around next Sunday and/or Monday. We’re going to keep the forecast very general for now, and hope that we have some more clarity by the time we get to the Weekend Outlook on Thursday.
Sunday could be stormy, but the details are still fuzzy. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.
Monday: Morning sun, clouds return in the afternoon. High 30-37.
Monday night: Mostly cloudy, showers developing late south of Boston, snow showers or freezing rain north and west. Low 22-29 during the evening, temperatures may rise after midnight.
Tuesday: Early clouds and lingering showers give way to some afternoon sunshine. High 42-49.
Tuesday night: Cloudy with some snow or rain showers possible. Low 27-34.
Wednesday: Mostly cloudy, slight chance for a rain or snow shower. High 39-46.
Thursday: Cloudy with a few showers possible. High 40-47.
New Years Eve: Partly to mostly sunny. High 38-45.
New Years Day: Some early sun, then becoming cloudy. High 39-46.
Sunday: Cloudy with a chance of…..something. High 38-45.
Sure, there’s some snow on the ground in southern New Hampshire, but it won’t last too long, and the rest of us have bare ground. However, there is a chance we could have a White Christmas for parts of the region, depending on a potential storm system next weekend.
The week is starting on a very chilly note. Image provided by Weathermodels.com
We’re starting the week on a chilly note, in the wake of the system to moved through Saturday night. We’ll turn a little milder on Tuesday as high pressure slides eastward but another weak cold front will move through. How weak? Aside from a few clouds, you’ll barely notice it, except for the fact that it’ll turn a little cooler once again. A low pressure system will pass south and east of the region on Wednesday while a second one passes well to the north. The southern system may spread some light rain into parts of eastern Massachusetts, while the northern one has little impact other than some clouds. Some of the models show the possibility of the rain spreading farther inland, where some colder air could be in place. This would imply the potential for a little freezing rain from southern New Hampshire into parts of central Massachusetts. We’re not confident that will be the case, but do acknowledge that it is possible. High pressure builds in with drier and colder conditions on Thursday.
At this point, we feel compelled to remind you that the forecast models have really struggle beyond 2-3 days lately. So, the forecast for Christmas Weekend is highly uncertain, and you should treat it that way.
A weak disturbance may cross the region on Christmas Eve with some snow showers possible. Christmas Day is very uncertain at this point. Low pressure will head across the Great Lakes and into southern Canada, sending a warm front this way. The question is, does a secondary area of low pressure form along this front, and if so, where does it track, and also, how strong does it get? At this point, a scenario similar to the one we just had on Saturday seems plausible, with snow changing to a wintry mix and possibly rain inland, and rain possibly starting as some snow along the coast. Of course, this is all subject to change and some fine-tuning as we go through the next several days. An upper-level low will follow for Sunday, keeping some clouds and possibly a few lingering snow showers around.
Once again, there’s not much model agreement on our potential system for Christmas Day. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.
Monday: Partly to mostly sunny. High 30-37.
Monday night: Partly cloudy. Low 21-28.
Tuesday: Sunshine through some high clouds. High 37-44.
Tuesday night: Mostly cloudy. Low 20-27.
Wednesday: Plenty of clouds, some light rain is possible in eastern Massachusetts, possibly a little freezing rain across the interior. High 35-42, except 43-50 across Cape Cod and parts of southeastern Massachusetts.
Thursday: Sunshine and some afternoon clouds. High 30-37.
Friday: Cloudy with some snow showers possible. High 36-43.
Saturday: Cloudy with a chance of rain or snow. High 39-46.
Sunday: Intervals of clouds and sun, breezy, chance for a few snow showers. High 35-42.
We’re in a fairly active weather pattern, but despite that, we’re not going to have too much going on for a good portion of this week.
The week starts off with high pressure in control, bringing us sunshine and mild temperatures today. A weak frontal system drops southward across the region on Tuesday with a few clouds, but it will bring slightly cooler temperatures. High pressure passes by to the north on Wednesday while that weak front starts to head northward again as a warm front. It will send some clouds into the region on Wednesday. Some showers are likely Wednesday night into Thursday morning. Temperatures may be near freezing for a while Wednesday evening into southern New Hampshire before the milder air moves back in, which means a period of icing or even some wet snow is possible as the precipitation overspreads the region.
Conditions could be iffy across southern New Hampshire for a while Wednesday evening. Image provided by WeatherBell.
Thursday looks to be quite mild once again, with temperatures well into the 50s, possibly topping 60 in some locations. However, low pressure will be moving across southern Canada, dragging a cold front towards the area. Some showers may accompany the front as it moves through Thursday night. High pressure builds in behind the front on Friday with drier and cooler conditions.
Thursday looks like another mild afternoon. Image provided by Weathermodels.com
Next weekend is where there is considerable uncertainty. The models have done rather poorly beyond 2 or 3 days recently, so looking ahead 6 days is a low-confidence forecast to begin with. However, the models seem to come up with a different solution nearly every run lately, and none of them agree with the others. A wave of low pressure may move toward the region for Saturday, but exactly where it goes (or if it even develops), is a giant question mark. Some models bring it well north of us, resulting in mild conditions and rain. Some bring in close to or over the region, resulting in a wintry mix, and some bring it south of the region, which could mean snow, or it stays too far south and we get no impacts at all. At this point, any of those solutions could be the right one. As Ozzy Osbourne famous sang “Don’t look at me for answers, don’t ask me, I don’t know.”
Ozzy was singing about this weekend’s forecast
Sunday looks to be dry and cool with high pressure building back in, but that could be impacted by what happens (or doesn’t happen) on Saturday. We should have more clarity on that when we get to our Weekend Outlook on Thursday.
Rain, snow, or nothing on Saturday? Depends which model you look at. We trust none of them. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.
Monday: Some clouds in the morning, then becoming sunny. High 44-51.
Monday night: Clear skies. Low 32-39.
Tuesday: Sunshine and some afternoon clouds. High 42-49.
Tuesday night: Partly to mostly cloudy. Low 23-30.
Wednesday: Plenty of clouds with showers likely at night, possibly starting as some freezing rain or wet snow across southern New Hampshire. High 39-46.
Thursday: Cloudy, breezy, and mild, any showers ending in the morning. High 52-59.
Friday: Partly sunny. High 47-54.
Saturday: Partly to mostly ________ with a chance of _______. (We’ll fill in the blanks later this week). High 37-44.
Storm HQ 