Despite the wet start to the weekend, drier weather is expected for much of the time.
A healthy drink of water tonight will help put a dent on the drought. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.
Low pressure moving up the Appalachians will bring some rain into the region this evening, possibly heavy at times for a while. As the system lifts northward, the rain will taper off and end from south to north before daybreak as temperatures rise thanks to increasing southwest winds. Temperatures may top 60 Friday morning in many areas before the storm drags a cold front across the region. Gusty west winds will usher cooler air in, with temperatures dropping through the afternoon. High pressure builds in for the weekend, but with an upper-level low moving through we’ll still have some clouds at times, and winds will remain gusty on Saturday. By Monday, we’ll see clouds start to move back in ahead of a fast-moving storm system moving out of the Great Lakes, with some showers possible at night.
Wind gusts of 30-40 mph or higher are likely across the region Friday afternoon. Image provided by WeatherBell.
Thursday night: Rain likely, possibly heavy for a while through the evening, ending before daybreak, breezy. Low 48-55.
Friday: Intervals of clouds and sunshine, windy. High 54-61 in the morning, temperatures drop in the afternoon.
Friday night: Partly cloudy, breezy. Low 39-46.
Saturday: Partly to mostly sunny, breezy. High 50-57.
Saturday night: Clear to partly cloudy. Low 31-38, a little milder across Cape Cod.
Sunday: A mix of sun and clouds. High 48-55.
Sunday night: Partly cloudy. Low 30-37, a little milder across Cape Cod.
Some unsettled weather is on the way for the 2nd half of the week for our region. Meanwhile, Jamaica is going to get walloped by Hurricane Melissa.
Wednesday could be a chilly, damp day for a good portion of the region. Image provided by Weathermodels.com
We start the week off with dry and cool conditions thanks to a large area of high pressure of eastern Canada. However, with an upper-level low still overhead we’ll see clouds popping up today with just a slight chance for a shower, mainly across Cape Cod where northerly winds could generate a few ocean-effect showers. As we head into Tuesday, low pressure will move off the Carolina coast and head out to sea well south of New England. However, the gradient between the developing low and the high to our north will result in northeast winds, bringing some moisture in from the Atlantic. This will result in some clouds, and possibly a few showers or some drizzle across eastern Massachusetts from late Tuesday into Wednesday.
The potential exists for more heavy rain at the end of the week. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.
By late Wednesday, we’ll start to watch a low pressure area developing in the Tennessee Valley. It should head northeastward, but there is still quite a bit of uncertainty with this system. We’ll likely see some rain move in from this system on Thursday, ending Friday morning, which would result in dry weather for trick-or-treating Friday evening. But that’s not the entire story. It’ll likely be rather breezy with this storm, taking down a lot of the remaining leaves on the trees. As a result, if we get enough rain, it’ll result in some slick roads with the wet leaves covering them, as well as areas of poor drainage flooding. But wait, there’s more! We’ll also be keeping an eye on what remains of Hurricane Melissa (more on that in a moment). The system should be heading well out to sea, but it could be just close enough to the East Coast for our developing system to tap into it, and infuse some tropical moisture, which would result in much heavier rain from this system. This scenario is not looking that likely at this time, but it is a possibility, so we felt the need to mention it. An upper-level low pressure area will then move in for the weekend with breezy and cooler conditions.
Forecast track for Hurricane Melissa. Image provided by the National Hurricane Center.
In the Caribbean, Hurricane Melissa is assaulting Jamaica and nearby portions of Cuba and Haiti, and this will continue for another day or two. As of 2am, Melissa was centered about 130 miles south-southwest of Kingston, Jamaica, drifting toward the west at 5 mph. Maximum sustained winds were near 150 mph, making Melissa a Category 4 storm. Unfortunately, the forecast for Jamaica is rather grim. Melissa will drift westward for another day or so, with some additional strengthening expected. That means rain and strong winds will continue to increase across Jamaica. By Monday night, the storm will start to turn more toward the north as a trough of low pressure off the Southeast begins to pick the storm up. That means it will likely cut right across the island, possibly as a Category 5 storm. In addition to sustained winds possibly in excess of 150 mph, a storm surge of up to 15-20 feet east of the center will likely result in widespread damage, including the capital city of Kingston. On top of that, rainfall totals of 20-40 inches (or higher) will result in catastrophic flooding and mudslides. Torrential rain and strong winds are also likely across portions of Haiti and eastern Cuba, especially as Melissa turns northward towards these areas. It will then cross the Turks and Caicos and parts of the Bahamas as it continues to slowly weaken. By mid-week, it could be a threat to Bermuda as well, possibly still at hurricane strength.
Rainfall totals of 20 to perhaps 40 or more inches are possible. Image provided by the Weather Prediction Center.
Monday: Morning sun with some afternoon clouds, slight chance for a shower or two, especially across Cape Cod. High 48-55.
Monday night: Clear skies north and west of Boston, partly to mostly cloudy south with a few showers or drizzle possible. Low 34-41, a little milder across Cape Cod.
Tuesday: Intervals of clouds and sun, breezy, chance for a few showers or some drizzle near the coast. High 49-56.
Tuesday night: Partly to mostly cloudy with some showers or drizzle around. Low 36-43, a little milder across southeastern Massachusetts and Cape Cod.
Wednesday: More clouds than sun, breezy, some additional showers or drizzle near the coast. High 49-56.
Wednesday night: Mostly cloudy, chance for a few showers. Low 38-45, a little milder across Cape Cod.
Thursday: Plenty of clouds, breezy, rain developing. High 54-61.
Thursday night: Periods of rain, breezy. Low 44-51.
Friday: Cloudy and breezy with rain ending. High 54-61.
Saturday: A mix of sun and clouds, breezy. High 51-58.
Despite last week’s heavy rain, we’re still in a drought for much of the region and really need more rain. Well, we are going to get some today.
A cold front will produce showers and thunderstorms this morning as it moves through. Loop provided by Weathermodels.com
A strong cold front will cross the region this morning. Ahead of this front we can expect some heavy rain, maybe a rumble of thunder, and some gusty winds. While this could have some impacts on the morning commute, it will be short-lived, as the rain should end with the front moving offshore by early afternoon. Gusty west winds behind the front will send temperatures downward through the afternoon. We’ll clear out at night as high pressure builds in, giving us some sunshine on Tuesday, but clouds will quickly return Tuesday night ahead of another cold front. This one will produce more showers Wednesday morning, but it will also move through fairly quickly, with skies starting to clear out in the afternoon. High pressure then builds in with cooler weather for the end of the week, but with an upper-level low moving in, we’ll see some clouds each day, and possibly a few showers at times. The upper-level low lifts out over the weekend as high pressure moves overhead with dry and cool conditions.
Temperatures will be below normal for the end of the week and the weekend. Image provided by WeatherBell.
Monday: Rain likely during the morning, possibly heavy at times, ending from west to east by early afternoon, skies start to clear out late in the day, breezy, especially during the morning and early afternoon. High 60-67 in the morning, temperatures start falling in the afternoon.
Monday night: Becoming partly cloudy to clear with diminishing winds. Low 44-51.
Tuesday: Mostly sunny, some clouds start to move back in late in the day. High 58-65.
Tuesday night: Becoming mostly cloudy with showers developing before daybreak. Low 47-54, temperatures may rise a little overnight.
Wednesday: Showers likely during the morning, ending by early afternoon, followed by clearing late in the day, breezy. High 60-67.
Wednesday night: Clear to partly cloudy. Low 40-47.
Thursday: Sunshine and some afternoon clouds, a sprinkle is possible, breezy, cooler. High 54-61.
Thursday night: Clear to partly cloudy. Low 37-44.
Friday: A mix of sun and clouds, slight chance for a shower. High 52-59.
Some slow improvement is expected as the week goes on, but the start of the week will be rather nasty.
Low pressure will remain off the East Coast for much of the week. Loop provided by Tropical Tidbits.
Low pressure continues to meander around off the Mid-Atlantic coast today, with more rain, some of it heavy, strong winds, especially near the coast, and coastal flooding around the time of high tide, especially along east and northeast-facing coastlines. The low will start to drift eastward on Tuesday, with rain tapering off to showers and eventually ending, and winds slowly dying down, but it still won’t be a great day. By Wednesday the system will be south of Nova Scotia, but an upper-level low will move into the Northeast, keeping the clouds and cool temperatures around, with a few showers or some drizzle possible, especially near the coast, as north to northeast winds will remain gusty off the Atlantic. Thursday won’t be that much different than Wednesday as the upper low only slowly moves eastward.
Much of the region will pick up another 1-2″ (or more) of much needed rain before it ends. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.
We finally start to see some improvement by Friday as high pressure continues to build in at the surface, but also aloft. Saturday looks to be the pick of the week with sunshine and milder temperatures with high pressure in control. Sunday will be a warmer day, but we won’t see as much sunshine. Low pressure moving into the Great Lakes will send some clouds into the region. Whether we see any showers before the end of the day is still a question mark, but for now, it looks like most of the day should remain dry.
Temperatures could approach or exceed 70 on Sunday. Image provided by WeatherBell.
Monday: Windy with rain, heavy at times. High 51-58, a little milder across southeastern Massachusetts and Cape Cod.
Monday night: Breezy, rain tapers off to showers. Low 46-53, a little milder across southeastern Massachusetts and Cape Cod.
Tuesday: Cloudy and breezy with more showers, tapering off during the afternoon from west to east. High 55-62.
Tuesday night: Partly to mostly cloudy, showers ending in the evening in eastern areas, winds diminish. Low 45-52.
Wednesday: More clouds than sun, breezy, chance for a few showers or drizzle near the coast. High 58-65.
Wednesday night: Partly cloudy, breezy, a few showers are drizzle along the coast. Low 37-44.
Thursday: Intervals of clouds and sun, breezy, another shower or some drizzle possible near the coast. High 51-58.
Thursday night: Partly cloudy, breezy. Low 36-43.
Friday: Mostly sunny, breezy in the morning. High 55-62.
Saturday: Sunshine and some afternoon clouds. High 58-65.
Sunday: Partly sunny, showers possible late in the day. High 64-71.
We’ve had warm and dry weather for much of the past few months, but that is going to change this weekend.
Freeze Warnings (dark blue) and Frost Advisories (light blue) are in effect for much of the Northeast. Image provided by the National Weather Service.
A large area of high pressure will settle across the region tonight, bringing us clear skies and light winds – the ideal setup for radiational cooling. As a result, we’re looking at the coolest night so far this fall, with widespread frost away from the coast and urban areas, with a freeze expected in the normally colder locations. Friday will feature plenty of sunshine, but we’ll remain on the cool side. As the high starts to slide off to the south and east, winds will shift into the southwest Friday night, so we won’t be as chilly as tonight. Saturday should be a milder day, but we’ll see clouds starting to move in as moisture streams northward from a low pressure area developing off the Carolina coast. That system will drift northward Sunday and Monday, but won’t get this far north, though it will still have a significant impact on the region.
A developing low pressure will impact much of the East Coast this weekend. Loop provided by WeatherBell.
We’ll see rain spreading northward from the system, likely moving in from south to north Sunday afternoon and evening. How far north the rain gets is still a bit of a question mark, but it looks like most of the region should receive some much-needed rainfall. How much rainfall is also a question, but at this point it looks like the heaviest rain will be near the South Coast and also east-facing coastal areas, which some spots could see 1-2 inches of rain, possibly more, before everything starts to wind down on Tuesday.
Some models show the potential for very heavy rainfall with this system. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.
Rain isn’t the only impact from this system though. The pressure gradient between the developing low to the south and high pressure to the north will result in gusty east to northeast winds, especially near the coast, where some gusts in excess of 40 mph are possible, especially later Sunday into Monday. In addition, with tides still near the astronomical high for the month, persistent onshore gusty winds will result in some areas of coastal flooding, especially along east and northeast facing locations. Oh, and the combination of cloudcover, rainfall, and winds, will keep temperatures on the cool side again, especially on Monday.
Wind gusts in excess of 40 mph are possible, especially near the coast, Sunday night and Monday. Image provided by WeatherBell.
Thursday night: Clear and chilly. Low 29-36, milder along the coast and in urban areas.
Friday: Plenty of sunshine. High 56-63.
Friday night: Clear during the evening, some clouds start to filter in from south to north after midnight. Low 38-45, a little milder along the coast and in urban areas.
Saturday: Partly sunny, clouds start to thicken up late in the day. High 60-67.
Saturday night: Mostly cloudy. Low 44-51.
Sunday: Cloudy and becoming windy with rain developing from south to north. High 57-64.
Sunday night: Cloudy and windy with rain likely, possibly heavy at times. Low 48-55.
Monday: Cloudy and windy with more rain, possibly heavy at times. High 54-61, a little milder near the South Coast and Cape Cod.
Summer officially ends at the Autumnal Equinox at 2:19 this afternoon, but summer-like weather will continue beyond that.
Astronomical Fall begins with the Autumnal Equinox at 2:19pm today. Image provided by EarthSky.org
High pressure remains in control for today and part of Tuesday, keeping us dry, as has been the case for much of the summer. After a cool weekend, temperatures will start to moderate a bit today, but Tuesday will be rather warm and somewhat humid, with many locations likely topping 80. Clouds will start to move in during the day as a frontal system approaches the region. This will bring in some showers and possibly some thunderstorms late in the day and at night. As the front slows down, a wave of low pressure will ride along it on Wednesday, bringing in some additional showers along with much cooler temperatures. We do need the rain, and some models show the potential for some very beneficial amounts. However, for the most part, they have overestimated rainfall with several recent systems, plus there’s an old adage that usually holds true when talking about rainfall forecasts during a drought – “When in Drought, Leave it Out”. So, even though Wednesday will be a cool and damp day, it’s likely not going to be the widespread heavy rain that we need.
Temperatures could top 80 in many areas on Tuesday. Image provided by weathermodels.com.
High pressure builds in for Wednesday night and early Thursday with some drier air, but it won’t last long. An upper-level low pressure system and its surface reflection over the Great Lakes will start to slowly move into southeastern Canada toward the end of the week. The models are all over the place with the timing and strength of this system, but it looks like a second period of rainfall is expected possibly starting as early as Thursday afternoon, continuing into Friday night or possibly Saturday. Temperatures on Friday could be tricky. Several models show the system sending a warm front across the region, so even though we’re expecting more showers, temperatures could get well into the 70s. Of course, if the front gets hung up south of New England, temperatures may stay stuck in the 60s. We’re leaning towards the warmer scenario for now, but it is far from a lock. The system pulls away on Saturday then high pressure builds back in with drier air for Sunday.
Many models show the potential for a decent amount of rain between our two systems this week. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.
Monday: Partly to mostly sunny. High 68-75.
Monday night: Clear skies during the evening, becoming partly cloudy overnight. Low 54-61.
Tuesday: A mix of sun and clouds through midday, then clouds thicken up in the afternoon with some late-day showers and thunderstorms develop. High 76-83.
Tuesday night: Cloudy with showers likely. Low 58-65.
Wednesday: Cloudy and cooler with more showers. High 66-73.
Wednesday night: Mostly cloudy, showers ending in the evening. Low 54-61.
Thursday: More clouds than sun, showers may redevelop in the afternoon. High 64-71.
Thursday night: Cloudy with showers likely. Low 55-62.
Friday: Mostly cloudy with additional showers, mainly in the morning. High 70-77.
Saturday: Morning clouds and a few showers across the Cape and Islands give way to some afternoon sunshine. High 70-77.
As we flip the calendar we’ve some absolutely fantastic weather on tap for much of the upcoming weekend.
It’s going to be a rather wet night across the region. Loop provided by WeatherBell.
We’re starting off with some rain as a wave of low pressure rides along a stalled out frontal system just south of New England. Some of the rain could be heavy this evening and tonight, but the bulk of the heavy rain will stay southwest of our area, mainly across the Mid-Atlantic states. We do need the rain that we are getting though, as it has been on the dry side for the past couple of months, with drought conditions starting to re-emerge in spots. Once the rain ends Friday morning we’ll see skies start to clear out by late in the day, then high pressure builds in for the weekend with lots of sunshine. Temperatures will be a little below normal for Saturday but still rather mild, with a warming trend back to near normal on Sunday and a little above normal on Monday, but humidity levels will remain comfortable the entire time.
High temperatures should be in the lower to middle 80s in early August. Image provided by Weathermodels.com.
Thursday night: Periods of rain and showers, possibly heavy at times, tapering off late at night, breezy. Low 56-63.
Friday: Any lingering showers end in the morning, skies start to clear out in the afternoon, breezy. High 68-75.
Friday night: Becoming clear. Low 53-60.
Saturday: Sunshine and a few clouds. High 73-80.
Saturday night: Clear skies. Low 54-61.
Sunday: Plenty of sunshine. High 79-86, a little cooler across Cape Cod.
Sunday night: Clear skies. Low 58-65.
Monday: Mostly sunny. High 82-89, a little cooler near the South Coast and Cape Cod.
Heat and humidity return for the first half of the week, but the latter half will tell a different story.
Heat Advisories are in effect for the first half of the week. Image provided by the National Weather Service office in Norton, MA.
We start the week off with high pressure moving offshore, resulting in hot and humid conditions into Wednesday. Tuesday looks the be the hottest day of this stretch, with temperatures well into the 90s, and only a stray shower or thunderstorm providing minimal relief. Wednesday could also be quite hot, but we’ll have a cold front moving in, with clouds and a few showers and thunderstorms ahead of it during the afternoon. The front moves through and then stalls out near or just off the South Coast, which is where things get tricky.
It will feel like it is near or over 100 degrees Tuesday afternoon. Image provided by WeatherBell.
A wave of low pressure will ride along that front, bringing some rain and cooler air into the region. What’s uncertain is where the front stalls out, and the timing of the wave. For now, it looks like the bulk of the rain will be South of the Mass Pike, but that is highly uncertain. The rain could get all the way into southern New Hampshire, or it could be confined to the South Coast. This will be dependent om where the front actually is. How much rain will be dependent on how strong the wave is. Some models have light to moderate rain in spots, some show the potential for some hefty amounts. The other question is the timing. Some models show most of the rain Thursday and Thursday night, some have the heavier rain Thursday night into Friday, some even have it linger into Friday night. What you’ll see below is our best estimate on all these variables at this time, but it is obviously very low confidence. Behind the system high pressure builds in with cooler and drier weather for the weekend.
There’s a lot of uncertainty with the rainfall potential for the end of the week. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.
Monday: Patchy morning fog, otherwise mostly sunny, hot, and humid. High 85-92, cooler along the coast.
Monday night: Clear skies, a little patchy fog again. Low 65-72.
Tuesday: Sunshine and a few clouds, slight chance for an afternoon shower or thunderstorm. High 90-97, cooler across Cape Cod.
Tuesday night: Clear to partly cloudy. Low 66-73.
Wednesday: A mix of sun and clouds, chance for some late-day showers and thunderstorms. High 88-95, cooler across Cape Cod.
Wednesday night: Partly to mostly cloudy, showers and thunderstorms possible. Low 65-72.
Thursday: More clouds than sun with showers and thunderstorms likely. High 75-82.
Thursday night: Partly to mostly cloudy with more showers and thunderstorms. Low 58-65.
Friday: Showers and thunderstorms ending, becoming partly sunny. High 70-77.
Heat and humidity remain in place to start the week, but they won’t last too long.
The heat index will be in the lower to middle 90s again this afternoon. Image provided by WeatherBell.
High pressure sits offshore today while a cold front begins to approach from the west. That’s a recipe for hot and humid conditions across our region today. We could see a few showers and thunderstorms pop up during the afternoon, but they should not be widespread. Tuesday is the transition day, though it will be very warm to hot and quite humid once again. Across parts of southeastern Massachusetts and Cape Cod there is the potential for some heavy downpours early in the day as what’s left of Tropical Storm Chantal moves past the area. Later, that cold front will move across the region, resulting in more widespread showers and thunderstorms, a few of which could be strong to severe across the interior.
A few showers and storms are possible today, but they are more likely late Tuesday into Tuesday evening. Loop provided by Weathermodels.com
The front settles south of the region, but likely remains close enough for plenty of clouds on Wednesday with cooler temperatures and possibly a few showers as well. A wave of low pressure riding along the front brings in more showers for Thursday. For Friday, a few lingering showers are possible, but some drier air will start to move in as high pressure starts to build in across southeastern Canada. Saturday should be mostly dry, but with an upper level low pressure area moving through we’ll see some clouds and possibly a shower or two in the afternoon. High pressure should move offshore for Sunday with dry and warmer weather expected.
A few models show the potential for heavy rain near the South Coast Thursday, but many show nothing more than scattered showers. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.
Monday: Partly sunny, breezy, quite humid, chance for a few showers or thunderstorms. High 85-92, a little cooler across the South Coast and Cape Cod.
Monday night: Partly to mostly cloudy with areas of fog, some rain possible across southeastern Massachusetts and Cape Cod after midnight. Low 67-74.
Tuesday: A mix of sun and clouds, humid, showers and thunderstorms likely in the afternoon, a few could be strong. High 85-92, cooler across Cape Cod.
Tuesday night: Mostly cloudy, showers and storms taper off fog redevelops. Low 64-71.
Wednesday: Partly to mostly cloudy, a shower or two is possible, cooler. High 75-82.
Wednesday night: Plenty of clouds, some showers possible after midnight, mainly near the South Coast. Low 61-68.
Thursday: Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. High 74-81.
Thursday night: Cloudy with more showers. Low 60-67.
Friday: Mostly cloudy, a few more showers, mainly in the morning, some sunny breaks possible in the afternoon. High 72-79.
Saturday: Becoming partly sunny, slight chance for a pop-up shower. High 75-82.
Sunday: Intervals of clouds and sunshine. High 77-84.
Stop us if you’ve heard this before, but there’s some rain on the way for part of the weekend.
Rainfall has been above normal across the region for most of climatological Spring. Image provided by weathermodels.com
A weak low pressure area pulls away from the region tonight, taking any lingering showers with it. Friday looks like a decent day with some sunshine and warm temperatures, but a weak disturbance moving across the region could produce a shower or thunderstorm during the afternoon. After that, we turn our attention to an area of low pressure heading this way from the southwest. It will bring in some rain for Friday night and Saturday morning, some of which could be heavy, though it looks like the heaviest rain will stay just west of our area. We get into a bit of a lull Saturday afternoon, then another disturbance brings in more showers and possible some thunderstorms Saturday evening and night. High pressure starts to build in on Sunday with drier and cooler weather, but with an upper-level low also moving in, we’ll see some clouds and possibly a popup shower or two. Monday should be the nicest day of this stretch, with mostly sunny skies and temperatures running a little below normal for this time of year.
Most of the models are depicting some heavy rainfall totals for parts of New England this weekend. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.
Sunday marks not only the beginning of climatological summer, but also the start of hurricane season. While there’s nothing imminent, we did take a look at what to expect this season and explained how extremely overdue we are for a storm to head towards New England and our annual start of hurricane season post that was published yesterday.
Thursday night: Partly to mostly cloudy, any lingering showers end in the evening. Low 51-58.
Friday: Becoming partly sunny, chance for an afternoon shower or thunderstorm. High 69-76, cooler along the South Coast and Cape Cod.
Friday night: Mostly cloudy with rain developing, possibly heavy overnight. Low 52-59.
Saturday: Rain tapers off in the morning, some sunny breaks may develop in the afternoon. High 64-71.
Saturday night: Mostly cloudy with another round of showers and thunderstorms, ending overnight. Low 47-54.
Sunday: A mix of sun and clouds, slight chance for a shower, breezy. High 61-68.
Sunday night: Clear to partly cloudy. Low 45-52.
Monday: Sunshine and some afternoon clouds. High 65-72.
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