As is typical of summer, we’ve got a fairly uneventful week coming up across the region.
High pressure remains in control today with sunshine, warm temperatures and comfortable humidity. As the high moves offshore, a weak system will head towards northern New England. Clouds will start to move in Monday night, but they’ll start to thicken up Tuesday afternoon, with a round of showers and thunderstorms expected late Tuesday afternoon and Tuesday night. High pressure builds back in for Wednesday through Friday with dry and seasonably warm conditions. Another system will bring in a few showers and thunderstorms late Friday or Saturday, then high pressure builds back in for Sunday.
Some beneficial rain is likely Tuesday night, but we need a lot more to help alleviate the drought. Image provided by Weathermodels.com
Monday: Sunshine and some late-day clouds. High 78-85.
Monday night: Partly cloudy. Low 59-66.
Tuesday: Some morning sun, then becoming mostly cloudy and breezy, showers possible late in the day. High 81-88.
Tuesday night: Mostly cloudy with showers likely, ending late at night. Low 64-71.
Wednesday: Becoming mostly sunny. High 78-85.
Thursday: A mix of sun and clouds. High 77-84.
Friday: Partly sunny with a chance for showers late in the day and at night. High 78-85.
Saturday: Partly sunny, chance for a few showers, mainly early. High 74-81.
We’ve reached the Fourth of July, and for the most part, we’ll have some great weather for the long weekend.
High pressure slides offshore tonight, resulting in hot and increasingly humid conditions on Friday. Temperatures will likely top 90 in much of the region. Humidity levels, while rising, won’t be in the unbearable range (yet), but you’ll definitely notice the increase in moisture. A warm front moves through at night, with a shower or thunderstorm possible, but all this front will really do is increase the humidity for Saturday. We’ll have more cloudcover on Saturday as a cold front approaches, but with a very warm and now very humid airmass in place, showers and thunderstorms are likely ahead of that cold front. Some of the storms that do form could be strong to severe, with strong winds, heavy downpours, and hail. If you’ve got outdoor plans Saturday afternoon/evening, keep an eye on the sky and the radar, and be prepared to move indoors.
There is a slight risk for severe weather across much of the region on Saturday, with the remainder of the region under a marginal risk. Image provided by the Storm Prediction Center.
Showers come to an end from northwest to southeast Saturday night, though they may linger across the South Coast and Cape Cod into early Sunday morning. Sunday should feature cooler and drier conditions as high pressure builds in, but with the front stalled out just south of New England, there will still be a slight chance for a shower on Sunday, mainly near the South Coast. For the 4th itself, we’re looking at sunshine, seasonably warm temperatures and comfortable humidity levels.
Dewpoints will be in the 50s to lower 60s for the 4th of July. Image provided by WeatherBell.
Thursday night: Clear to partly cloudy. Low 58-65.
Friday: Partly to mostly sunny. High 88-95, cooler along the South Coast. Offshore: Southwest 10-15 knots, gusts to 20 knots, seas 2-4 feet visibility 1-3 miles in patchy morning fog, improving in the afternoon.
Friday night: Becoming mostly cloudy with a slight chance for a shower or thunderstorm. Low 66-73.
Saturday: More clouds than sunshine with showers and thunderstorms likely, some of which may become strong to severe. High 79-86. Offshore: Southwest 15-20 knots, gusts to 25 knots, seas 3-5 feet, visibility under 1 mile in showers and thunderstorms.
Saturday night: Showers and thunderstorms ending, then skies become partly cloudy. Low 60-67.
Sunday: A mix of sun and clouds, slight chance for a shower, mainly near the South Coast. High 80-87. Offshore: West winds 5-10 knots, seas 2-4 feet, visibility 1-3 miles in showers near the South Coast, 10 miles or better elsewhere.
Sunday night: Clear to partly cloudy. Low 57-64.
Monday: Partly to mostly sunny. High 80-87. Offshore: West winds 5-10 knots, seas 2-4 feet, visibility 10 miles or better.
As we head towards a long weekend, much, but not all, of the upcoming week will feature some rather nice weather.
We start the week with a cold front approaching the region today. Showers and a few thunderstorms are likely ahead of the front. While we’re not expecting a lot of rainfall today, we need every drop we can get, to help alleviate the developing drought. The front moves offshore this evening, then skies clear out. High pressure builds in or Tuesday and Wednesday with sunshine and mild temperatures. A weak disturbance may produce a shower or two Wednesday evening, otherwise, high pressure remains in control for the latter half of the week with dry weather and a warming trend. In fact, Friday, could be quite toasty, with some of the models showing temperatures well into the 90s across a good portions of the region.
Friday could be a hot day across the region. Image provided by WeatherBell.
For the Fourth of July Weekend, the start looks a little uncertain. A frontal system will approach the region on Saturday. How warm we get ahead of the front will depend on the timing. If we can get some sunshine, it could be another hot day. The front should produce another round of showers and thunderstorms late Saturday into Saturday night. We should dry out for Sunday and Monday, with temperatures at least reaching seasonably warm levels, though some models show the potential for hot weather to quickly return, especially on the Fourth.
The European model has July 4th as a scorcher, the GFS does not. Which will be closer to the truth? Images provided by Pivotal Weather.
Monday: Cloudy with scattered showers and a few thunderstorms. High 74-81.
Monday night: Showers end in the evening, skies clear out after midnight. Low 53-60.
Tuesday: Sunshine and a few clouds. High 74-81.
Tuesday night: Clear skies. Low 54-61.
Wednesday: Mostly sunny, chance for a shower during the evening. High 78-85.
Thursday: Plenty of sunshine. High 81-88.
Friday: A mix of sun and clouds, breezy. High 88-95, cooler along the coast.
Saturday: Partly to mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. High 84-91.
Sunday: Showers and storms may linger into the morning, then becoming partly sunny. High 79-86.
We’re entering the first weekend of astronomical summer and the weather is actually going to feel like….summer.
High pressure builds in tonight and remains in control through the weekend, with generally dry weather into Sunday. We could see a couple of stray showers Friday afternoon as a weak trough of low pressure at the upper levels of the atmosphere moves through, but they’ll be few and far between. Otherwise, we’re good through Sunday. Temperatures will gradually warm up, some locations likely reaching or exceeding 90 both Saturday and Sunday. While it will be quite warm, it shouldn’t be that humid, with dewpoints generally in the lower 60s. Clouds will start to move in later on Sunday as a cold front starts to approach from the northwest. That front will move though on Monday with some showers and thunderstorms. We really need the rain to help alleviate the developing drought, but we’re not sure how widespread Monday’s activity will be. A few days ago, the models were all showing the possibility for a decent slug of rainfall, but as is usually the case when we’re in a drought, as we get closer the models continue to back off. We’ll have more details on that in our Weekly Outlook early Monday morning.
Drought conditions continue to expand across southern New England. Image provided by the National Drought Mitigation Center.
Thursday night: Partly to mostly cloudy with areas of fog, some of it dense in spots. Low 53-60.
Friday: Becoming partly to mostly sunny. High 75-82, coolest along the coast. Offshore: Northeast to east winds 5-10 knots, seas 3-5 feet, visibility under 1 mile in morning fog, improving by afternoon.
Friday night: Clear skies. Low 56-63.
Saturday: Sunshine and a few clouds. High 84-91, a little cooler along the coast. Offshore: Variable winds becoming southwest 5-10 knots during the afternoon, seas 3-6 feet, visibility 10 miles or better.
Saturday night: Partly cloudy. Low 61-68.
Sunday: A mix of sun and clouds. High 86-93, a little cooler along the coast. Offshore: South to southwest winds 10-15 knots gusting to 20 knots, seas 2-4 feet, visibility 10 miles or better.
Sunday night: Partly cloudy during the evening, increasing clouds after midnight. Low 63-70.
Monday: Mostly cloudy with some showers and thunderstorms likely. High 73-80. Offshore: South to southwest winds 10-15 knots gusting to 20 knots, seas 3-5 feet, visibility 1-3 miles in showers and thunderstorms.
Astronomical summer begins at 5:13am Tuesday, but it’ll be at least a few more days until some traditional “summer weather” arrives.
An upper-level low pressure system will pull away from the region today while a ridge of high pressure that has been roasting the nation’s mid-section will slowly start to slide eastward. At the surface, high pressure builds in today with sunshine and mild temperatures, but still a little below normal for the middle of June. A warm front will start to approach on Tuesday, and it may be accompanied by some scattered showers Tuesday night into early Wednesday. They shouldn’t be that heavy, and won’t ruin either day, but at this point, we need any rain we can get. That brings us to Thursday.
Average high temperatures for this time of year should be in the upper 70s to near 80 degrees. Image provided by Weathermodels.com
That warm front likely slips back southward, and a weak area of low pressure may develop offshore. That could result in a rather cool and wet day on Thursday. This is not definite by any means, so don’t cancel any outdoor plans just yet. By Friday, that front should lift northward again and the weak low pulls away, resulting in warmer and more humid weather for Friday into the weekend. While temperatures will be near to a little above normal, we’re not looking at any widespread heat just yet. A few thunderstorms could pop up each afternoon, especially Sunday, with a cold front approaching from the northwest.
Thursday may or may not be damp, depending on which model you believe. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.
Monday: Sunshine and just a few afternoon clouds. High 71-78, coolest along the coastline with afternoon seabreezes likely.
Monday night: Clear to partly cloudy. Low 47-54.
Tuesday: A mix of sun and clouds. High 72-79, again coolest at the coast.
Tuesday night: Partly to mostly cloudy, chance for a few showers. Low 51-58.
Wednesday: Intervals of clouds and sunshine, chance for a shower. High 68-75.
Thursday: More clouds than sun with showers likely. High 67-74.
Friday: Partly sunny, chance for a shower or two. High 76-83.
Saturday: A mix of sun and clouds, slight chance for a shower or thunderstorm. High 79-86.
Sunday: Partly sunny, a shower or thunderstorm is possible. High 78-85.
While heat grips much of the nation, conditions will be a bit more pleasant around here this week:
A cold front will move offshore this morning, taking any lingering showers with it. High pressure then builds in later today into Wednesday with dry and seasonably warm conditions expected. Another cold front approaches later Thursday into Friday, with more showers and thunderstorms possible. Humid weather will return for those days as well, ahead of the front. Behind that front, high pressure builds in for next weekend with drier but still mild conditions.
Friday could be a really warm day even with a cold front moving through early. Image provided by WeatherBell.
Monday: Any lingering showers end this morning, skies clear out this afternoon. High 77-84.
Monday night: Clear skies. Low 54-61.
Tuesday: Plenty of sunshine with just a few afternoon clouds. High 79-86.
Tuesday night: Clear to partly cloudy. Low 55-62.
Wednesday: Partly to mostly sunny. High 73-80.
Thursday: Partly to mostly cloudy and breezy with showers and thunderstorms possible late in the day, more likely at night. High 77-84.
Friday: Showers and thunderstorms end in the morning, becoming partly sunny in the afternoon. High 81-88.
Saturday: Sunshine and a few clouds, breezy. High 72-79.
Some additional much-needed rain is on the way, but it shouldn’t disrupt your weekend plans too much.
Rainfall has been below normal across the Northeast for most of the year, but the deficit has worsened recently. Image provided by ACIS.
High pressure builds into the region for tonight and Friday, with drier and seasonably mild temperatures expected. Things get a little more complicated over the weekend. An upper-level low pressure system will move across the the Northeast this weekend. It may help produce a few showers or even a thunderstorm during the afternoon on Saturday, but they’ll be hit and miss, so if you’ll be outside, just keep an eye to the sky. A disturbance rotating around that upper-level low will move in later Sunday. This will provide some additional pop-up showers or thunderstorms, but again, they don’t look to be that widespread. Another low pressure system will move in on Monday, with plenty of clouds and a better chance for widespread showers and thunderstorms.
Some models show the potential for a wet Sunday afternoon. We’re leaning toward a drier forecast with only a few showers and thunderstorms. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.
Thursday night: Clear skies. Low 51-58.
Friday: Sunshine and a few clouds. High 74-81.
Friday night: Increasing clouds. Low 53-60.
Saturday: More clouds than sun, chance for a shower or thunderstorm. High 73-80.
Saturday night: Partly to mostly cloudy. Low 53-60.
Sunday: More clouds than sun, a few showers or thunderstorms are possible, especially late in the day. High 72-79.
Sunday night: Mostly cloudy, showers possible, especially late at night. Low 55-62.
Monday: Partly sunny, chance for a few showers and thunderstorms, especially in the morning. High 72-79.
A couple of programming notes: 1. There will not be a Weekend Outlook published next Thursday. 2. When the Weekend Outlook resumes the following Thursday, we will be including the marine forecast for the remainder of the summer.
Some beneficial rainfall could be on the way later this week.
We start the week off under the influence of high pressure, bringing sunshine and seasonably warm temperatures in today. Tuesday will also remain dry and mild, but clouds will start to stream in ahead of an approaching cold front. As that front moves nearer, we’ll see some showers and possibly a few thunderstorms developing Tuesday night into Wednesday. It doesn’t look like we’ll have any severe weather with this front, but it’s best to stay alert if you’ll be outdoors on Wednesday for anything. The front looks like it will stall out near or just south of the region, and a wave of low pressure will ride along it Wednesday night and Thursday, with the potential for some heavier rainfall, especially near the South Coast. It’s been a dry couple of months around here, and drought conditions have been developing, so any rainfall is needed.
Some beneficial rain could be on the way for late Wednesday and Thursday. Image provided by Weathermodels.com
High pressure will build back in for Friday with dry and seasonably warm conditions, but next weekend may not be that great. Another complex low pressure system may move in for Saturday and Sunday, with the potential for more rain and cooler temperatures. There is still some disagreement among the models, so don’t go cancelling any plans for next weekend just yet. We hope to have more clarity on this when we publish our Weekend Outlook on Thursday.
Rainfall over the past 90 days is 2 to 5 inches below normal, so we need all the rain we can get. Image provided by WeatherBell.
Monday: Sunshine and some afternoon clouds. High 75-82.
Monday night: Clear to partly cloudy. Low 51-58.
Tuesday: Partly sunny and breezy, clouds start to thicken up late in the day. High 75-82.
Tuesday night: Mostly cloudy with showers developing after midnight. Low 57-64.
Wednesday: Cloudy with showers likely, mainly in the morning. Steadier rain possible at night. High 67-74.
Thursday: Rain ending in the morning, some sunny breaks may develop in the afternoon. High 70-77.
Friday: A mix of sun and clouds. High 73-80.
Saturday: Cloudy with a chance of rain, especially during the afternoon and evening. High 71-78.
Sunday: More clouds than sun with a chance of showers, mainly in the morning. High 68-75.
The first weekend of meteorological summer has arrived, and although it won’t feel like summer on Friday, the rest of the weekend should. Meanwhile, the first tropical system of the season is expected to impact Florida.
Moderate drought conditions are developing across parts of southeastern New England. Image provided by the National Drought Mitigation Center.
An area of showers will move across the region tonight, ending towards midday Friday. This is good news, because we really need the rain, as drought conditions are developing across the region. Clouds will hang tough for most of the afternoon, keeping temperatures on the cool side for one more day, but some breaks if sunshine may develop in the afternoon. Skies clear out Friday night, but a cold front will move across the region on Saturday. It will generate some additional clouds, but only a sprinkle or two is expected. After that, high pressure builds in for Sunday and Monday with dry and seasonably warm conditions.
Potential Tropical Cyclone One will impact parts of Cuba, Florida, and the Bahamas on Friday and Saturday. Image provided by the National Hurricane Center.
Meanwhile, it appears as though the first tropical system of the season is developing in the southeastern Gulf of Mexico. Potential Tropical Cyclone One was centered about 80 miles north-northwest of Cozumel, Mexico this evening, moving toward the north at 5 mph. The system still had a broad circulation, and conditions aren’t that favorable for development, but many of the models do insist that it will develop into a tropical depression and eventually Tropical Storm Alex over the next 12-24 hours. As a result, tropical storm watches have been issued for parts of western Cuba, central and southern Florida, and the northwestern Bahamas. The system should head northeastward, crossing Florida on Saturday. Gusty winds and a minor storm surge will be threats with this system, but the main threat, whether it develops or not, is heavy rainfall. Rainfall totals of 5-10 inches and heavier are likely across western Cuba, southern Florida and the northwestern Bahamas over the next few days, leading to flooding in many areas. Across central Florida, rainfall totals of 2-6 inches will likely produce flooding as well. We’ll likely post an updated blog on just this system on Friday if it does develop.
Heavy rain will produce flooding across southern Florida and the Bahamas this weekend. Image provided by Weathermodels.com
Thursday night: Cloudy with showers likely. Low 50-57.
Friday: Showers end in the morning, some sunny breaks develop during the afternoon. High 64-71, a little cooler near the coast.
Friday night: Gradual clearing. Low 51-58.
Saturday: Sunshine and a few clouds, very slight chance for a sprinkle. High 72-79.
Saturday night: Clear skies. Low 48-55.
Sunday: Mostly sunny. High 70-77.
Sunday night: Mostly clear. Low 49-56.
Monday: Sunshine and some afternoon clouds. High 71-78.
For the first time since 2014, we made it to the official start of Hurricane Season without having a named storm already develop.
Satellite photo for each of the 21 named storms that developed during the 2021 Hurricane Season, Image provided by NOAA.
2021 featured another very active season, with a total of 21 named storms (we’re still skeptical on at least a few of them), making it the 3rd most active storm on record. Only one storm, Ida, had its name retired. Ida slammed into Louisiana as a Category 4 storm, inflicting more than $60 Billion in damage and resulting in 55 deaths. Here in New England, we had 2 tropical storms make landfall last season. Both Elsa and Henri each made landfall near Westerly, Rhode Island about 6 weeks apart. This is just the 5th time since 1851 that two tropical systems made landfall in Southern New England or Long Island in the same year, and only the 2nd time (1961 being the other), that both storms were only tropical storm strength. (We’ll have more info on New England tropical systems a little later in this post)
2021 was another very active hurricane season. Image provided by the National Hurricane Center.
It looks like another active season is expected this year. NOAA issued their seasonal hurricane outlook on May 24, and it calls for a 65 percent chance for an above normal season, a 25 percent chance for a normal season, and a 10 percent chance for a below normal season. Many of the other hurricane outlooks issued by various outlets are also expecting a busy season, due to a number of factors. An average season consists of 14.4 named storms, of which 7.2 become hurricanes and 3.2 become major hurricanes (Category 3 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson scale). NOAA’s forecast for this season calls for 13-20 named storms, 6-10 hurricanes, and 3-5 major hurricanes. The Tropical Meteorology Project at Colorado State, the first group to forecast how active a hurricane season would be, originally led by Dr. Bill Gray, will issue their updated forecast on June 2. Their initial forecast from April called for 19 named storms, 9 hurricanes, and 4 major hurricanes. They also pegged the chance at a storm making landfall in the United States at 71% (52% is the average in any given year), and the odds of a storm making landfall along the East Coast at 47% (31% is the average). The last 7 seasons have all featured above normal activity across the Atlantic.
List of names for storms that form during the 2022 Hurricane Season. Image provided by NOAA.
Despite the early start for the past several years, the average date for the first named storm in the Atlantic is still June 20, and the average date for the first hurricane is August 11. Over 97% of all named storms in the Atlantic form between June 1 and November 30. Most early season storms tend to be on the weaker side. A hurricane hasn’t made landfall in the United States before July 1 since Hurricane Bonnie came ashore as a minimal hurricane near the Texas/Louisiana border on June 26, 1986.
Based on climatology, the most likely spots for an early season storm are in the Gulf of Mexico or northwest Caribbean. Image provided by the National Hurricane Center.
A busy season does not always mean that multiple storms (or any storms for that matter) will impact the United States, though 2020 saw much of the Gulf Coast and East Coast threatened by tropical systems. In 2010, 19 named storms were observed in the Atlantic, 12 of them became hurricanes, and 5 were major hurricanes. Only one storm made landfall in the United States, and that was Bonnie, which was a minimal tropical storm at landfall. In 1990, there were a total 14 named storms, 8 of them hurricanes and 1 major hurricane. Not a single one of them made landfall in the United States. On the flip side, an inactive year doesn’t mean much for landfall probabilities as well. Only 7 named storms formed in 1992, and the 1st one didn’t develop until August 16. That storm, however, was named Andrew, and it made landfall just south of Miami as a category 5 storm. It only takes one storm to ruin your entire year.
Here in New England, we should always pay attention when a storm is nearing the Bahamas, as those are the ones that have the potential to impact us, and we are very overdue for a hurricane to head this way. Using data back to 1851, here are some stats that show how overdue we are:
Since 1851, 39 storms of tropical storm strength of greater have made landfall in New England or Long Island, an average of one every 4.4 years. The longest we’ve ever gone without one is 11 years, between 1897 and 1908 and also between 1923 and 1934. Last year, we had two tropical storms (Elsa and Henri) make landfall in the region.
Since 1851, 32 strong tropical storms (maximum sustained winds of 60 mph or more) have made landfall in New England or Long Island, an average of one every 5.3 years. The longest we’ve ever gone without one is 19 years, between 1897 and 1916. Last year, we had two strong tropical storms (Elsa and Henri) make landfall in the region.
Since 1851, a hurricane has made landfall in New England or Long Island 18 times, an average of one every 9.5 years. The longest we’ve ever gone between hurricane landfalls is 38 years, between 1896 and 1934. It’s been 31 years since Bob, our 2nd longest drought on record.
Since 1851, 8 hurricanes of Category 2 intensity or stronger have made landfall in New England or Long Island, an average of one every 21.4 years. The longest we’ve gone between hits by storms of that intensity is 69 years, between 1869 and 1938. We’re at 31 years since Bob, the last one to do so.
Since 1851, New England/Long Island has had 3 Major Hurricanes (Category 3 or higher) make landfall – an unnamed storm in October of 1869, the infamous 1938 Long Island Express, and Hurricane Carol in 1954. That’s an average of 1 every 57 years, and the longest time between 2 major hurricanes is 69 years (1869-1938). We’re at 67 years since Carol. There are also 3 documented storms from before 1851 – The Great Colonial Hurricane of 1635, the 1815 New England Hurricane, and the Norfolk and Long Island Hurricane of 1821. That’s it. That changes the numbers to 6 in 387 years, or one every 64.5 years, with a longest drought of 180 years.
Satellite photo of Hurricane Bob approaching New England. Bob was the last hurricane to make landfall in New England – 27 years ago. Image provided by NOAA.
We all saw what Sandy did in 2012, and that was a minimal hurricane that eventually made landfall in southern New Jersey (technically as an extratropical storm). When (not if) the next big storm comes up the coast, much of this region will not be prepared for the storm or its aftermath.
The Atlantic is quiet right now (more on that in a moment), but even if something were to form off the East Coast in the next few weeks and head this way, the waters off of New England are much too cold to sustain a tropical system, so we’d see something more like a typical nor’easter. Only two tropical storms have ever made landfall in the Northeast before the end of June. The first was an unnamed minimal tropical storm that crossed extreme eastern Long Island and went into southeastern Connecticut on May 30, 1908. The other was Tropical Storm Agnes, which made landfall near New York City on June 22, 1972, then caused devastating flooding across parts of the Mid-Atlantic states. In terms of hurricanes, the earliest one to ever make landfall up this way was Hurricane Belle, which slammed into Long Island with 90 mph winds on August 9, 1976. We did have Hurricane Arthur pass just offshore of Nantucket on July 4, 2014. While it did not make landfall, it made for a rather wet and cool holiday, especially across Cape Cod and southeastern Massachusetts. Statistically, the most likely time for a hurricane to hit New England is between the middle of August and late September. Of the 18 hurricanes that made landfall in New England or Long Island since 1851, 15 of them have done so between August 19 and September 27.
The most likely time for a tropical system to impact our area is August of September. Image provided by the National Weather Service office in Norton, MA.
As always, you should get your weather information from a trusted source, especially when dealing with tropical systems. Much like with snowstorms in the winter, there will be plenty of hype and exaggeration on Twitter and Facebook, as well as people posting doom and gloom maps showing how a thunderstorm near the coast of Africa will develop into a Category 5 storm and head right for the East Coast in the next 2 weeks. We’re not among that group, we give you facts and our best forecasts, without any hype. If there’s reason to worry, we’ll let you know with plenty of advance warning. It’s always best to prepare ahead of the season. Chances are, you won’t have anything to worry about, but in case you do, it’s always good to be prepared, as we’ve learned recently.
Could a tropical depression develop later this week in the southeastern Gulf of Mexico? It’s possible. Image provided by the National Hurricane Center.
There is something we’re keeping an eye on as hurricane season begins. Hurricane Agatha made landfall on the Pacific side of Mexico yesterday. It will dissipate today or tomorrow, but what’s left of it will drift towards the Yucatan Peninsula and then likely the southeastern Gulf of Mexico As it does so, conditions could be favorable for it to become a new tropical depression toward the end of the week. Whether it does or doesn’t develop, it will bring some heavy rain to parts of Florida, Cuba, and the Bahamas this weekend.
Storm HQ 