Weekly Outlook: March 18-24, 2024

Much of the upcoming week, which features the start of astronomical spring, should be dry, but on the cool side.

Astronomical Spring begins Tuesday evening with the Vernal Equinox. Image provided by weather.com.

We start the week off with high pressure building in, but a series of weak upper-level disturbances will move through as well. What that means is that we may start each day with some sun, but clouds will quickly fill in, with just a slight chance for a pop-up shower today and Tuesday. Some gusty winds are expected both days, and temperatures will be near or even a little below normal for the latter half of March. A weak low pressure area will move across the region on Wednesday, bringing in more clouds and a better chance for some showers. With some rather cool air aloft, some of these showers could contain some graupel, which is just soft hail, or even some wet snowflakes. High pressure builds in for Thursday with sunshine, breezy, conditions and cooler weather. The high hangs on into early Friday with dry weather, but the weekend looks unsettled at this point.

On average, temperatures will be below normal for much of the week. Image provided by WeatherBell.

The weekend forecast is very uncertain at the moment. Most of the model show a coastal low developing off the Mid-Atlantic coast and heading off toward the Northeast. But that’s about the extent of what they agree on. Some keep the storm too far south to have little or no impact on the region. Some bring it close enough to bring some rain in, and some have a weak disturbance ahead of it that may bring in a little snow to start, especially across the interior. At this point, it’s too early to tell which scenario is right, so we’ll just play the middle ground for now, and hope to have a much better idea of what will happen by the time we get to our Weekend Outlook on Thursday.

The models all have different ideas about a potential storm on Saturday. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.

Monday: Morning sunshine and some afternoon clouds, slight chance for a sprinkle, breezy. High 44-51.

Monday night: Clear skies. Low 28-35.

Tuesday: Partly sunny, breezy, slight chance for a shower. High 40-47.

Tuesday night: Partly to mostly cloudy. Low 29-36.

Wednesday: More clouds than sun, breezy some rain or snow showers likely during the afternoon and evening. High 44-51.

Thursday: Partly to mostly sunny, windy. High 37-44.

Friday: Becoming partly to mostly cloudy, breezy, some rain or snow possible at night. High 37-44.

Saturday: Mostly cloudy, breezy, chance of rain, possibly mixed with snow north and west of Boston in the morning. High 40-47.

Sunday: Partly sunny, breezy. High 41-48.

Weekly Outlook: March 11-17, 2024

After a couple of heavy rainstorms, some drier and milder air is on the way this week.

It’ll be quite windy across the region today. Images provided by WeatherBell.

The storm system that brought in the rain yesterday morning will move into Atlantic Canada today while high pressure starts to build in from the west. With a tight pressure gradient between the two, it’ll be quite the windy day, with sustained winds of 20-30 mph and gusts to 40-50 mph or higher across the region. Clouds will gradually give way to some sunshine today, but temperatures will remain on the cool side. The high pressure area then builds for Tuesday into Thursday. Sunshine will return on Tuesday with diminishing winds. A few clouds are expected on Wednesday, but temperatures will start to moderate as a warm front moves through, possibly accompanied by a shower or two. Clouds will become a little more numerous on Thursday, but temperatures could get well into the 60s across the area, away from the shoreline, where a seabreeze is expected. More showers are possible though ahead of a cold front.

Right now, Thursday is looking like a very mild day. Image provided by Weathermodels.com

The end of the week and the weekend is a different story. A series of weak systems will move through, with episodes of showers likely. It’s not going to rain the entire time, and the rain shouldn’t be that heavy, but it won’t be the nicest of weekends. Temperatures will cool off, but still remain above normal for mid-March. Friday is the day that is the biggest question mark. Some models have the cooler air move in rather early, some wait until later in the day. If the earlier ones are right, temperatures may only be in the 40s or lower 50s for highs, but if the later ones are right, we could get well into the 60s once again. We’re leaning towards the cooler model solutions at this time, but we will refine this forecast when we publish our Weekend Outlook on Thursday.

Will Friday be warm, mild, or cool? Depends on which model you trust. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.

Monday: Morning clouds give way to some afternoon sunshine, windy. High 38-45.

Monday night: Clear skies, breezy. Low 28-35.

Tuesday: Plenty of sunshine, still breezy, not as cool. High 48-55.

Tuesday night: Clear skies during the evening, some clouds start to filter in late at night. Low 29-36.

Wednesday: A mix of sun and clouds, just a slight chance for a shower. High 52-59, cooler along the coast.

Thursday: Partly sunny and mild, showers possible late in the day and into the evening. High 57-64, cooler along the coast.

Friday: Mostly cloudy and breezy with showers likely. High 48-55.

Saturday: Intervals of clouds and sunshine, breezy, chance for a few showers, mainly early. High 47-54.

Sunday: Partly to mostly cloudy, breezy, rain possible. High 48-55.

Weekly Outlook: March 4-10, 2024

An active weather pattern means you won’t see the sun much this week.

Highs near or over 60 on Wednesday? It’s possible. Image provided by Weathermodels.com

High pressure is in control to start the week, but with plenty of low-level moisture around we’ll have plenty of clouds, along with some spotty drizzle. If we can get any sunshine, especially well inland, temperatures could get well into the 50s again, otherwise, places closer to the coast will stay in the 40s. A weak low pressure area moves up the coast for Tuesday, spreading some showers in, and keeping temperatures in the 40s, but that is still above normal for early March. We’ll turn much milder on Wednesday, with some spots possibly topping 60 degrees, despite plenty of clouds once again as another system begins to head toward the region. This one will bring in more rain for late Wednesday into Thursday, and some of it could be heavy. We’ll turn cooler on Thursday as system moves through, and there’s a chance that the rain could mix with snow before ending Thursday evening, especially north and west of Boston. Friday looks to be the pick of the week with some sunshine developing as high pressure builds in briefly.

The potential exists for some very heavy rain with the storm Wednesday into Thursday. Image provided by WeatherBell.

Next weekend is a bit uncertain at this point. Most of the models show a system impacting the region, but they don’t agree on the timing or the details of the system. Temperatures look to be colder, and there is a chance that we could see some snow from the system across parts of the region. It is still early March, so this is not an uncommon occurrence. We should have a better idea of what to expect and when to expect it by the time we get to our Weekend Outlook Thursday afternoon.

The models all have a storm impact the region next weekend, but the timing and details vary quite a bit. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.

Also, don’t forget – Daylight Saving Time begins next Sunday at 2am, when we “Spring Ahead”, and you lose an hour of sleep. The good news? Sunset next Sunday is at 6:45pm.

Monday: Patchy morning fog, otherwise plenty of clouds with some spotty drizzle, a few sunny breaks possible, especially inland. High 47-54, coolest along the coast.

Monday night: Cloudy with a chance for a few late-night showers. Low 36-43.

Tuesday: Plenty of clouds with showers likely, especially in the afternoon. High 45-52.

Tuesday night: Overcast with showers ending in the evening. Low 38-45 during the evening, temperatures hold steady or rise a bit overnight.

Wednesday: Cloudy and milder with rain developing in the afternoon, possibly heavy at night. High 55-62, cooler across the South Coast and Cape Cod.

Thursday: Windy with showers gradually ending. High 42-49.

Friday: A mix of sun and clouds, breezy. High 42-49.

Saturday: Cloudy and breezy with some rain or snow possible. High 39-46.

Sunday: Cloudy and breezy with a chance for rain or snow. High 43-50.

Weekly Outlook: February 26 – March 3, 2024

Some interesting weather is on the way for the upcoming week.

Temperatures could approach 60 in parts of the region on Wednesday. Image provided by Weathermodels.com

A warm front will move across the region this morning with a few rain or snow showers accompanying it. We’ll clear out this afternoon with milder weather settling in. High pressure builds in for Tuesday with partial sunshine and even milder weather but clouds will thicken up by evening as a strong cold front begins to approach from the west. Gusty south to southwest winds ahead of the front will send temperatures well into the 50s on Wednesday, despite plenty of clouds and some occasional rain showers. The front moves through late in the day, then colder air surges in quickly behind the front. Rain may change to snow before coming to an end Wednesday night as temperatures quickly drop on gusty northwest winds.

Southwest winds could gust as high as 40-50 mph or higher on Wednesday. Image provided by WeatherBell.

High pressure returns with chilly weather on Thursday, but the cold air won’t hang around too long. Temperatures start to moderate on Friday as the high moves off to the east, then unseasonably warm weather returns for the first weekend of March. However, we’ll also have to keep an eye on a low pressure area off to the south, as it may spread more clouds and possibly some rainfall in, especially near the South Coast on Saturday.

Saturday could end up being wet, or maybe it won’t. We’ll have a better idea later this week. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.

Monday: A rain or snow shower early, becoming partly to mostly sunny and breezy during the afternoon. High 46-53, coolest across the South Coast.

Monday night: Partly cloudy. Low 27-34.

Tuesday: Some morning sun, clouds thicken up in the afternoon, winds start to pick up late in the day. High 50-57, coolest near the coast.

Tuesday night: Cloudy and windy with showers developing. Low 42-49 during the evening, temperatures rise a little overnight.

Wednesday: Cloudy and windy with periods of rain and showers, possibly even a rumble of thunder. Rain may change to snow before ending at night. High 51-58, coolest across the South Coast.

Thursday: Becoming mostly sunny, windy, and much colder. High 32-39.

Friday: Sunshine and some afternoon clouds, still breezy. High 39-46.

Saturday: More clouds than sun, chance for some showers, breezy. High 46-53.

Sunday: Partly sunny. High 51-58.

Weekly Outlook: February 19-25, 2024

Much of the upcoming week will feature quiet weather with a gradual warming trend.

Normal high temperatures are in the upper 30s to lower 40s across the region. Image provided by Weathermodels.com

High pressure builds in for today and Tuesday with sunshine and cool temperatures. As the high slides off to the east on Wednesday, temperatures will start to moderate as winds become southwest, but we’ll also see a few clouds start to filter in. More clouds and warmer temperatures are likely on Thursday as a cold front begins to approach from the west. A cold front moves in on Friday with a wave of low pressure developing along it and passing close to or south of the region. This will keep temperature cooler, but still warm enough so that precipitation should be mostly in the form of rain, but it could start as some wet snow north and west of Boston late Thursday night or early Friday. High pressure returns with much cooler conditions on Saturday. Another low pressure system may bring in some rain or snow showers later Sunday and Sunday night.

We could see a little snow or mix as precipitation moves in before daybreak on Friday. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.

Monday: Sun, sun, and more sun, breezy, and cool. High 32-39.

Monday night: Clear skies, chilly. Low 14-21.

Tuesday: Plenty of sunshine. High 29-36.

Tuesday night: Clear to partly cloudy. Low 17-24.

Wednesday: A mix of sun and clouds. High 34-41.

Thursday: Partly sunny, clouds thicken up late in the day. High 38-45.

Friday: Cloudy and breezy with some rain likely, possibly starting as snow or a wintry mix north and west of Boston. High 41-48.

Saturday: A mix of sun and clouds, breezy, cooler. High 31-38.

Sunday: Partly sunny, some rain or snow showers possible toward evening, breezy. High 34-41.

Weekly Outlook: February 12-18, 2024

Some snow is on the way, quite a bit for some areas, and probably more than once this week.

Tuesday’s storm will be very impactful across the region. Image provided by the Weather Prediction Center.

We’ll start the week off with sunshine thanks to high pressure in control of the region, but it won’t last too long. Clouds will start to steam in this afternoon and thicken up tonight as the low pressure area that brought severe weather to parts of Texas and the Deep South yesterday moves into the Tennessee Valley. By Monday night, a secondary area of low pressure will develop near the Mid-Atlantic coast, passing south of New England on Tuesday. There’s not a lot of cold air in place, but with the storm passing far enough to the south, we should be cold enough for snow across most of the region, except for parts of Cape Cod and possibly southeastern Massachusetts, but even there, a change to snow is expected. The snow will be accompanied by gusty northeast winds, especially across the Cape and Islands where a High Wind Watch has been posted. With tides already at astronomically high levels, some coastal flooding is also expected, so a Coastal Flood Watch has been issued for much of eastern Massachusetts. The storm will be moving rather quickly, so snowfall totals won’t be outrageous. Snow should start around sunrise Tuesday, and end around sunset, but in between, it could snow rather heavily for a while late Tuesday morning and early afternoon. If you don’t have to be on the roads, we’d recommend you stay home. Complicating the snow forecast is that many of the models show a sharp cutoff to the northern edge of the snow, but don’t agree where that northern edge will be. Some have it in central New Hampshire, some in southern New Hampshire, some across northern Massachusetts. Wherever it does setup, you are going to see snowfall totals go from quite a bit to virtually nothing over a small area, perhaps even as little as 20 miles. Having said that, our snowfall forecast is, for lack of a better term, our “best guess” across central and southern New Hampshire right now.

Wind gusts of 30-40 mph are possible across much of the region, especially at the coast, perhaps stronger across Cape Cod. Image provided by Weathermodels.com

So, how much snow can we expect?

Outer Cape/Islands: 1-3″
Upper Cape/South Coast: 3-5″
Central New Hampshire: (Concord): 3-6″
Southeastern Massachusetts: 4-8″
Southern New Hampshire (Nashua/Manchester to Portsmouth): 4-8″
Remainder of Eastern Massachusetts: 6-10″ with a few spots picking up 12″ or more

The National Blend of Models is the closest to our snow forecast at this time. Images provided by WeatherBell.

We’ll quickly clear out Tuesday night, then a cold front moves through with a few flurries Wednesday morning, followed by high pressure building in for Wednesday afternoon and Thursday with sunshine and colder weather. Clouds will start to move back in later Thursday ahead of a weak storm system moving out of the Great Lakes. That system will bring in some light snow or rain for Thursday night into early Friday. Skies will start to clear out Friday afternoon, but clouds quickly return ahead of yet another storm moving out of the Ohio Valley. This one will likely bring in some more light snow on Saturday. Another cold front follows on Sunday with some more clouds and possibly a few snow showers.

Another weak system may bring in some snow or rain for Thursday night. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.

Monday: Morning sunshine, clouds filter in and thicken up during the afternoon. High 42-49.

Monday night: Becoming mostly cloudy, snow developing by daybreak, possibly mixed with some rain across Cape Cod and southeastern Massachusetts. Low 26-33.

Tuesday: Windy with snow, possibly heavy at times, tapering off late in the day. High 30-37 early, temperatures start falling in the afternoon.

Tuesday night: Any lingering snow ends in the evening, then skies clear out, breezy. Low 17-24.

Wednesday: Sunshine and a few clouds, windy, colder, slight chance for a snow flurry early. High 28-35.

Thursday: Sunny in the morning, clouds move in during the afternoon, some light snow or rain possible overnight, breezy. High 31-38.

Friday: Any snow or rain ends early, becoming partly sunny and windy in the afternoon. High 33-40.

Saturday: Mostly cloudy and breezy with some light snow possible. High 28-35.

Sunday: Partly sunny, breezy, chance for a few snow showers. High 31-38.

Weekly Outlook: February 5-11, 2024

Our first sign that winter is on its way out arrives today. No, we’re not talking about the groundhog. It’s Truck Day, the day that the equipment truck leaves Fenway to head to Fort Myers for the beginning of Spring Training next week.

The first sign of spring is upon us – today is Red Sox Truck Day, when all of the equipment gets loaded up and shipped down to Fort Myers for Spring Training. Image provided by Boston.com

In terms of weather, we start the week with more sunshine as high pressure remains in control. Tuesday and Wednesday should end up decent for a good portion of the region, but it could be a little complicated. High pressure will remain in place across southeastern Canada. The low pressure system that produced severe weather across Florida on Sunday will slowly move into the Atlantic, passing well south and east of New England. We’ve also got an upper-level low spinning south of Atlantic Canada. The pressure gradient between the high to the north and low to the south will result in some gusty northeast winds, especially near the coast Monday night into Wednesday. They’ll also bring in some cloud cover, especially across southeastern Massachusetts. Meanwhile, disturbances rotating around that upper-level low well to the east will bring in a little more cloud cover on Tuesday, and possibly a few snow showers, especially along the coast, and south of Boston. It wouldn’t be a shock if the ground got covered across parts of southeastern Massachusetts and Rhode Island, and a few of these ocean-effect snow bands could even produce an inch or two across coastal Plymouth County and Cape Cod.

A little bit of snow is possible south of Boston from tonight into Wednesday morning. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.

We should clear out later Wednesday, but clouds will start to move back in on Thursday as a frontal system starts to approach the region from the west. Temperatures will warm to above normal levels for the end of the week, with temperatures possibly topping 50 across parts of the region on Friday. Some showers are likely Friday night into Saturday ahead of the front. Temperatures will drop a few degrees on Sunday but it will remain mild with more clouds expected.

For now, Saturday looks like it could be a mild day. Image provided by Weathermodels.com

Monday: Plenty of sunshine, clouds start to move in late in the day, breezy. High 35-42.

Monday night: Partly to mostly cloudy, some snow showers possible south of Boston, breezy along the coast. Low 20-27.

Tuesday: Plenty of clouds, some sunny breaks well inland, more snow showers south of Boston, breezy near the coast. High 32-39.

Tuesday night: Partly to mostly cloudy more snow showers possible, mostly across eastern Massachusetts, breezy along the coast. Low 22-29.

Wednesday: Morning clouds and a few more snow showers across eastern Massachusetts, skies start to clear out in the afternoon, still breezy near the coast, especially in the morning. High 35-42.

Thursday: Sunshine and some afternoon clouds. High 38-45.

Friday: Becoming mostly cloudy, breezy. High 41-48.

Saturday: More clouds than sun, breezy. High 49-56.

Sunday: Partly sunny, breezy. High 46-53.

Weekly Outlook: January 29 – February 4, 2024

January is going to end on a chilly note, but February isn’t going to be much warmer to start.

Tuesday night is looking quite chilly across the area. Image provided by WeatherBell.

Low pressure pulls away from the region today with any lingering snow ending during the morning or early afternoon showers. It’ll become breezy with steady or falling temperatures during the afternoon, so it’ll definitely feel like late January. High pressure builds in for tonight through Wednesday with some rather chilly air, but it probably won’t completely clear out. If it did, with some fresh snowcover, it could get very cold Tuesday night. By Thursday, high pressure slides off to the east and temperatures start to moderate, but this won’t last too long. A strong cold front will drop southward from Canada on Friday. An upper-level disturbance will move through at the same time, with low pressure likely developing along the front offshore. These will combine to bring in some light snow Friday afternoon and night, but the system will likely deepen too far offshore to have a significant impact on the region. High pressure then builds in for a rather cold first weekend of February.

Another system may bring in some light snow later Friday, or it could be too far offshore. Time will tell. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.

Monday: Cloudy and breezy with light snow and snow showers ending by early afternoon. High 32-39 early, temperatures hold steady or drop during the afternoon.

Monday night: Partly to mostly cloudy, breezy along the coast. Low 16-23.

Tuesday: Plenty of clouds with some sunny breaks developing. High 26-33.

Tuesday night: Partly to mostly cloudy. Low 11-18.

Wednesday: A mix of sun and clouds. High 32-39.

Thursday: Some morning sun, then clouds return, breezy. High 38-45.

Friday: Mostly cloudy and breezy with some light snow or snow showers possible during the afternoon and at night. High 37-44.

Saturday: Becoming partly sunny, breezy, and colder. High 29-36.

Sunday: A mix of sun and clouds, still breezy. High 28-35.

Weekly Outlook: January 22-28, 2024

Cold weather is on the way out, but wet weather may be on the way back in.

Normal high temperatures are in the lower to middle 30s at this time of year. Image provided by Weathermodels.com

We start the week off with high pressure sliding offshore to our south, which means moderating temperatures today with sunshine for part of the day, but we’ll see some clouds start to move in by evening. A cold front will drop down from the north on Tuesday with more clouds, but as a wave of low pressure rides along with, we may see a period of light snow Tuesday night into early Wednesday. Accumulations will be on the light side, generally a few inches at most. By later Wednesday, that front will lift northward as a warm front, changing the snow to rain across the region as the precipitation tapers off.

While the snow may impact the Wednesday morning commute, it won’t be a big deal overall. Image provided by WeatherBell.

Another wave of low pressure brings in a second bout of rain for Wednesday night into Thursday, with temperatures warming to above normal across the region. Yet another wave of low pressure could bring in more rain for Friday, before high pressure builds in with drier weather on Saturday. Sunday is highly uncertain at this point. Another cold front will be dropping down from the north while a developing low pressure area moves off the Mid-Atlantic coast. Does the low stay too far south to have any impact on us, does it come farther north and bring in some snow or rain? We can’t answer this question yet, but hope to have more clarity when it is time for our Weekend Outlook Thursday afternoon.

The models all have different ideas for the end of the weekend. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.

Monday: Sunny in the morning, some clouds start to move in during the afternoon. High 33-40.

Monday night: Partly to mostly cloudy, breezy, slight chance for a snow flurry. Low 26-33.

Tuesday: Some sunny breaks in the morning, otherwise mostly cloudy, some light snow possible toward evening. High 35-42.

Tuesday night: Cloudy with some light snow developing. Low 26-33.

Wednesday: Cloudy with light snow tapering off early, eventually changing to sleet and then rain showers. Some steadier rain expected at night, possibly still as freezing rain across central New Hampshire. High 34-41.

Thursday: Cloudy with occasional light rain and showers. High 42-49.

Friday: Mostly cloudy, breezy, more rain, especially in the morning. High 47-54.

Saturday: Partly to mostly cloudy. High 43-50.

Sunday: Partly sunny, breezy, chance for some snow or rain showers, mainly near the South Coast. High 37-44.

Weekly Outlook: January 15-21, 2024

It took until mid-January, but this week will finally feel like winter around here.

Temperatures will be well below normal this week. Image provided by WeatherBell.

The week starts off with high pressure providing the region with sunshine and chilly temperatures. Low pressure will start to organize across the Southeast and begin heading up the East Coast, spreading some clouds in during the afternoon and evening. While that system is heading our way, an upper-level disturbance will move toward the region from the Midwest. If these two systems were to come together, we could have quite the snowstorm on our hands…but that’s not going to happen. Instead, we’ll have the coastal low pass well south and east of New England while the upper-level disturbance moves through. The result will be a period of light snow developing toward midday Tuesday, ending before midnight. Most places will pick up 1-3 inches of snow, possibly a little more in spots, possibly a little less across parts of Cape Cod and the Islands where a little rain could mix in.

The models are in pretty good agreement that Tuesday’s storm will produce just a few inches of snow. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.

High pressure builds in behind the system with dry and chilly conditions for Wednesday and Thursday, though not nearly to the magnitude of what they have been experiencing from the Midwest into the Northern Rockies. Clouds start to stream in on Thursday as a scenario similar to Tuesday unfolds. Low pressure passes south and east of New England on Friday while an upper-level low moves in, resulting in another round of light snow. Much like Tuesday, it looks like just a few inches for most places, though we’re not expecting any rain across the Cape and Islands this time. As that system pulls away, Saturday is shaping up to be quite a chilly day with high pressure building in, likely the coldest one so far this winter, with some places struggling to reach 20 degrees in the afternoon. Sunday looks dry as well with high pressure still in control, but not as chilly as Saturday.

Wind chills will likely be below zero across most of the region Saturday morning. Image provided by Weathermodels.com

Monday: Sunny in the morning, clouds start to move in during the afternoon. High 27-34.

Monday night: Becoming cloudy. Low 18-25, temperatures may start to rise after midnight.

Tuesday: Cloudy with light snow likely. High 28-35, possibly warmer across Cape Cod.

Tuesday night: Clearing. Low 14-21.

Wednesday: Sunshine and a few clouds, colder. High 24-31.

Thursday: Increasing clouds, breezy. High 25-32.

Friday: Cloudy and breezy with light snow likely. High 26-33.

Saturday: Partly sunny, windy, and cold. High 17-24.

Sunday: Mostly sunny, breezy. High 21-28.