The weather shouldn’t impact any Thanksgiving travel plans you might have, but that doesn’t mean the entire week will be quiet.
We’re starting the week off on a wet note with showers ahead of a strong cold front. Temperatures are starting off mild, but that will change in a hurry. The front moves through by early afternoon, bringing an end to the rain, but much cooler air will quickly settle in. High pressure builds in for Tuesday into Wednesday resulting in a couple of very chilly days. While most of us will have sunshine to go with the cool weather, it could be a different story across parts of the Cape and Islands. As the chilly air comes in on north to northeast winds, it will move over the still-relatively mild waters of the Atlantic. This may result in some ocean-effect snow showers, especially across the Outer Cape. This is far from definite, and accumulations, if any, would be very minor, but don’t be surprised if flakes are flying in places like Truro or Chatham later Tuesday into Wednesday.
Tuesday afternoon will feature wind chills in the 20s and lower 30s. Image provided by Weatherbell.
The high slides off to the east of Thanksgiving Day, allowing milder air to move back into the region. Another cold front approaches from the west on Friday, another round of showers is expected. Even colder air returns behind that front for next week. With an upper-level low moving across the Northeast at the same time we’ll have some clouds and possibly a few rain or snow showers popping up.
Temperatures may struggle to reach 40 on Sunday. Image provided by Weathermodels.com
Monday: Cloudy with showers ending by early afternoon. High 51-58 in the morning, then temperatures drop during the afternoon.
Monday night: Gradual clearing late at night. Low 25-32.
Tuesday: A mix of sun and clouds, breezy. High 35-42.
Tuesday night: Clear skies, except clouds and possibly some snow showers over the Outer Cape. Low 20-27.
Wednesday: Mostly sunny. High 36-43.
Thanksgiving Day: Morning sun, clouds move in during the afternoon. High 48-55.
Friday: Cloudy with showers likely, mainly in the morning, some afternoon sunny breaks may develop. High 42-49.
Saturday: Intervals of clouds and sun, breezy, slight chance for a rain or snow shower. High 36-43.
Hope you enjoyed the mild weather today, because it’ll be a distant memory by tomorrow.
Normal high temperatures in mid-November are within a degree or two of 50. Image provided by Weathermodels.com
A cold front will move across the region tonight, bringing some showers with it, but it will also sweep our mild weather offshore and replace it with temperatures closer to normal for mid-November. An upper-level disturbance moves across the region on Friday with some clouds and maybe a shower, but with high pressure building in at the surface, it will turn drier and cooler. That high keeps us dry and cool on Saturday, but clouds will start streaming in late in the day ahead of the next storm system. A warm front moves through on Sunday, allowing temperatures to moderate again, but some showers or even a period of steady rain is likely Sunday night into Monday as another cold front approaches the region.
Thursday night: Cloudy with showers likely. Low 33-40.
Friday: Becoming mostly sunny and breezy, but clouds may pop up during the afternoon. High 42-49.
Friday night: Clear skies. Low 24-31.
Saturday: Mostly sunny, clouds start to increase again late in the day. High 40-47.
Saturday night: Mostly cloudy. Low 30-37.
Sunday: Plenty of clouds, showers may develop late in the day. High 50-57.
Sunday night: Periods of rain and showers, breezy. Low 42-49 in the evening, then temperatures rise a bit at night.
Monday: Cloudy and breezy with showers ending. High 52-59.
Much of the upcoming week should be fairly quiet and on the cool side, but there are some exceptions.
The week starts of with low pressure moving into southeastern Canada while an upper-level low pressure system moves into the Northeast. A few showers are possible behind the departing surface system, but with the upper-level system moving in, we’ll see plenty of clouds, and possibly another shower or two. Across the hills of central Massachusetts and southwestern New Hampshire, those showers could have some wet snow mixed in. High pressure builds in for Tuesday with sunshine and cool temperatures. Clouds will start to move back in on Wednesday ahead of a warm front, but it doesn’t look like there will be much in the way of shower activity with this front.
Normal high temperatures are within a degree or two of 50 in mid-November. Image provided by Weathermodels.com
Thursday looks like it will be quite a mild day by November standards, with many locations topping 60 degrees. However, a cold front will be approaching from the west, so some showers are likely by late in the day and especially at night. Could some wet snow mix in as colder air rushes in early Friday morning before the rain all moves offshore? Sure it’s possible, especially well north and west of Boston. Another upper-level disturbance moves through on Friday with more clouds and possibly a rain or snow shower. High pressure returns on Saturday, then clouds stream back in on Sunday ahead of yet another weak storm system, with some showers possible by late in the day.
Thursday looks quite mild. Image provided by WeatherBell.
Monday: Early clouds, maybe a shower, then sunshine develops, but clouds return in the afternoon ad possibly another shower. possibly mixed with some snow across the interior hills. High 43-50.
Monday night: Becoming mostly clear and breezy. Low 28-35.
Tuesday: Sunshine and a few clouds, breezy at times. High 42-49.
Tuesday night: Clear to partly cloudy. Low 25-32.
Wednesday: Morning sun, clouds move in during the afternoon. High 46-53.
Thursday: Partly sunny, breezy, and mild with showers developing at night. High 59-66.
Friday: More clouds than sunshine, breezy, and cooler, showers end in the morning, possibly mixed with some wet snow well north and west of Boston. High 43-50.
Saturday: Plenty of sunshine. High 39-46.
Sunday: Mostly cloudy, chance for showers late in the day. High 45-52.
Our recent stretch of dry weather is coming to an end and temperatures are going to turn cooler. There’s also the potential that a few spots in the area could see some of that s-word on Monday. You know which word I’m talking about. It’s definitely November.
High pressure slides offshore tonight as a strong low pressure system moves into the Great Lakes. A frontal system well ahead of that low will approach the region on Friday. Showers will develop Friday morning, with a period of steady, and perhaps heavy, rain likely during the afternoon and evening hours. Don’t be surprised if you hear a rumble of thunder as well. Gusty southerly winds ahead of the front will result in a mild day with many places topping 60 degrees. The front moves through in the evening, bringing an end to the rain, with skies clearing out overnight.
Most of the models are showing the potential for an inch or more of rain across parts of the region on Friday. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.
Saturday starts off with some sunshine, but clouds quickly return. That low pressure system will move into southern Canada, but a disturbance rotating around it will bring in a few more showers Saturday night. Skies will clear out again behind that on Sunday, but much cooler air will start to settle in. We’re not done with that low pressure system though. Another disturbance will rotate around it Sunday night and Monday, and it will trigger another weak system that will bring in some more showers for Sunday night and Monday. With the cooler air in place, we could even see a few wet snowflakes mix in, especially across the hills from central Massachusetts into southern New Hampshire.
Temperatures may struggle to reach 50 on Sunday across the region. Image provided by WeatherBell.
Thursday night: Mostly cloudy, some drizzle or a few showers may develop towards daybreak. Low 40-47 this evening, then temperatures may rise a little overnight.
Friday: Cloudy and breezy with showers likely through early afternoon, becoming a steady and potential heavy rain for the mid-to-late afternoon hours. High 57-64.
Friday night: Showers end during the evening, followed by clearing after midnight. Low 37-44.
Saturday: Mostly sunny through midday, clouds start to move back in during the afternoon with showers possible by late in the day. High 54-61.
Saturday night: Mostly cloudy and breezy with some showers likely during the evening, then clearing after midnight. Low 32-39.
Sunday: Sunny in the morning, clouds return during the afternoon. High 45-52.
Sunday night: Cloudy with showers developing after midnight, possibly mixed with some wet snow across the interior hills. Low 33-40.
Monday: Mostly cloudy with scattered showers, possibly mixed with some wet snow across the interior hills. High 44-51.
After some recent chilly weather we’re going to start to warm back up and it will remain dry, but not for the entire week.
We start the week off with high pressure in control providing us with sunshine and milder temperatures into Tuesday. A weak system will pass to our north Tuesday night, sending in some clouds and possibly a shower or two, but the bulk of the rain should stay well to our north. Drier weather returns for Wednesday and Thursday, but the end of the week is when the changes happen.
Temperatures could top 60 across much of the region on Tuesday. Image provided by WeatherBell.
A low pressure system will move into the Great Lakes on Friday after bringing some snow to parts of the Dakotas and Minnesota. A frontal system will be located well ahead of that low, sending some showers out way for Friday. A secondary area of low pressure will develop along the front, bringing in another round of rain for Friday night into Saturday. and this batch could be heavy. Everything should push offshore by Saturday evening, with drier and cooler conditions settling in for next Sunday. A much cooler weather pattern may set up for next week, possibly hanging around for quite a while.
Parts of the region could see more than an inch of rain at the end of the week. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.
Monday: Some morning clouds, otherwise becoming mostly sunny. High 53-60.
Monday night: Clear skies. Low 35-42.
Tuesday: Plenty of sunshine. High 58-65.
Tuesday night: Becoming partly to mostly cloudy, slight chance for a shower late at night. Low 39-46.
Wednesday: Early clouds and possibly a shower, then becoming partly sunny and breezy. High 55-62.
Thursday: Intervals of clouds and sun. High 51-58.
Friday: Cloudy and breezy with showers likely, becoming a steady rain at night. High 57-64.
Saturday: Periods of rain and showers, ending in the afternoon. High 55-62.
Sunday: Sunshine and some afternoon clouds, breezy. High 48-55.
We’ve got a fairly easy forecast coming up for the next several days, so let’s get right to it.
High pressure will build in and keep the region dry and cool into the weekend, with some moderation expected by the end of the weekend and start of next week as the high slides offshore. There are only two potential flies in the ointment. We’ve got a low pressure area passing south and east of the region late tonight and Friday. It may pass close enough to spread a few showers into Cape Cod and possibly southeastern Massachusetts, but the vast majority of the region will stay dry. Whether or not there are clouds (and/or some light rain), will have a big impact on temperatures. Areas north and west of Boston should radiate tonight, with lows dropping well into the 30s, perhaps even some 20s again. Across southeastern Massachusetts, clouds and possibly rain will keep temperatures in the upper 30s and lower 40s. If the storm is farther offshore, then the clouds likely will be too, resulting in temperatures ending up a little cooler than what this forecast shows. Another system will pass offshore late Sunday night and Monday. This system looks to be even farther offshore, so it shouldn’t be much of a concern.
Temperatures could get back to 60 by Monday. Image provided by WeatherBell.
Thursday night: Partly to mostly cloudy, chance for a few showers across Cape Cod. Low 28-35, except 36-43 across Cape Cod and parts of southeastern Massachusetts.
Friday: Chance for a shower across the Cape during the morning, otherwise skies gradually become partly to mostly sunny. High 46-53.
Friday night: Mostly clear. Low 26-33.
Saturday: Sunshine and a few clouds. High 47-54.
Saturday night: Clear to partly cloudy. Low 28-35.
Sunday: Partly sunny. High 49-56.
Sunday night: Partly to mostly cloudy. Low 33-40.
Monday: Becoming mostly sunny and milder. High 53-60.
Much of the upcoming week is going to dry but it will get progressively cooler.
A cold front will cross the region with little fanfare today, but temperatures will remain on the mild side. Another weak front moves through on Tuesday with just a few showers accompanying it, but temperatures will turn a little cooler once again. Another weak disturbance moves through on Wednesday with little fanfare, but again, temperatures will turn a little cooler behind it as well. A weak system will pass by to the south Thursday into Friday, possibly close enough for a few showers south of Boston, but the flow around it will bring even cooler weather into the area. High pressure then builds in next weekend.
Temperatures will be below normal for much of the upcoming week. Loop provided by Weathermodels.com
Monday: Mostly sunny. High 54-61.
Monday night: Becoming partly to mostly cloudy. Low 34-41.
Tuesday: More clouds than sun, slight chance for a shower. High 50-57.
Tuesday night: Clearing. Patchy frost is possible. Low 32-39.
Wednesday: Sunshine and some afternoon clouds. High 47-54.
Thursday: Partly to mostly cloudy, chance for a shower or two south of Boston late in the day and at night. High 45-52.
Friday: Chance for an early shower south of Boston, then becoming partly sunny. High 46-53.
The weather will cooperate with cleanup operations from this week’s storm, but another one is lurking on the horizon. Luckily, this one won’t be as strong.
High pressure remains in control into Friday with mostly dry weather and diminishing winds. There will be plenty of cloudcover from Boston southward, as low-level moisture remains in place tonight, while areas north and west of Boston get rather chilly under clear skies. Clouds stream in on Friday ahead of the next storm system. That system will come at the region from the southwest, and not up the coast. It should pass north and west of the region on Saturday, resulting in much milder conditions. Winds may be a little gusty out of the southwest, but we’re talking about gusts of 20-30 mph, not the 75-95 mph we saw Tuesday night and early Wednesday. The main issue with this storm will be rainfall. Rain will develop early Saturday morning, and continue for much of the day. The rain will be heavy at times during the afternoon and evening, but should taper and end by daybreak Sunday. We’ll see some clearing on Sunday, but as an upper-level disturbance crosses the Northeast, clouds will return, and a few pop-up showers are possible. High pressure then builds in for Monday with dry and mild conditions.
Another 1-2 inches of rain is expected this weekend. Some models show even heavier amounts are possible. Image provided by WeatherBell.
Thursday night: Clear to partly cloudy north and west of Boston, partly to mostly cloudy south of Boston. Low 33-40 north and west of Boston, 41-48 south.
Friday: Becoming partly to mostly cloudy. High 49-56.
Friday night: Cloudy with rain developing, mainly after midnight. Low 42-49.
Saturday: Breezy with periods of rain, possibly heavy at times. A rumble of thunder is possible, especially across southeastern Massachusetts and Cape Cod. High 57-64.
Saturday night: Rain gradually tapers off and ends. Low 48-55.
Sunday: Becoming partly sunny, chance for a shower or two during the afternoon. High 58-65.
We can sum up much of the upcoming week in one word: Awful. Yeah, it’s gonna suck. Let’s get right to the ugly details.
Showers will taper off this morning as a warm front stalls out near or just south of the region and a wave of low pressure riding along the front departs. However, with the front hanging out nearby, we’ll still have plenty of clouds, some drizzle and fog, and maybe another shower or two. Depending on where the front stalls out, some milder air may move into the South Coast, but for most of us, it won’t be that mild. Of course, today’s shower activity is the opening act for what follows.
Mild air may try to move into the South Coast today depending on how far north and warm front gets. Image provided by Weathermodels.com
Our first coastal storm of the fall is on tap for Monday night into Wednesday, and possibly even early Thursday. A strong upper-level disturbance will move toward the East Coast from the Midwest while a second one moves out of the Gulf of Mexico. These two will meet up off the East Coast, resulting in an area of low pressure developing and rapidly strengthening south of New England. As an upper-level low pressure area also develops, it will capture the developing storm at the surface, which will prevent it from moving too much for about 24 hours. If it were late December or January, instead of late-October, this would likely be an impressive blizzard across the interior.
The GFS model shows the evolution of both the surface low pressure area and the upper-level low. Loop provided by Tropical Tidbits.
So what does all this mean for us? A lot. As in, a lot of rain and a lot of wind. Rain will redevelop Monday night, and continue into Wednesday, possibly heavy at times. Much of the region will likely receive 2-4 inches of rain, but many models are showing the potential for totals of 5-6 inches or more. As of the time of this writing, there were Flash Flood Watches in effect for southern Connecticut, but we expect them to be expanded into parts of Rhode Island and Massachusetts at least by Monday morning.
Rainfall totals on the models through Wednesday evening range from impressive to excessive. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.
As for the wind, as the storm rapidly develops, the pressure gradient between it and the high pressure area to the north will result in increasing winds. As is usually the case, the strongest winds will be found along the coast, but even inland locations, especially across eastern Massachusetts and Rhode Island, will feel the winds. Northeast winds will be sustained at 25-35 mph, with gusts to 60 mph or higher expected. The strongest winds are likely from Tuesday morning into Wednesday afternoon, when a High Wind Watch is in effect. The combination of strong winds, heavy rain, and trees that still have most of their leaves will increase the threat for power outages, so charge up your electronics today just to be safe. As the leaves all come down, there are two other issues to worry about. First, they will clog up some of the storm drains, resulting in additional flooding, but they’ll also result in slippery roads, so keep this in mind if you’re out driving.
Wind gusts could top 60 mph Tuesday into early Wednesday, especially south of Boston. Image provided by WeatherBell.
The storm system finally pulls away on Thursday, but winds may remain gusty, and a few lingering showers are also possible, especially across Cape Cod in the morning. High pressure builds in with some clearing and drier air later Thursday and Thursday night. Then things are nice for Friday and the weekend, right? Yeah, not so much. Another low pressure system will move out of the Midwest while an upper-level low pressure area also moves eastward. That means more rain developing at some point later Friday, and continuing off and on through the weekend. This storm shouldn’t be as potent as the one on Tuesday, so we probably won’t have as much wind or rain, but the weekend isn’t looking that great right now, and this includes trick-or-treating weather Sunday evening. Right now, the models have this storm a lot further north than the first storm, which would result in milder temperatures. There’s still a lot of uncertainty with this part of the forecast, so maybe it won’t be that bad (yeah, right). We should have a better idea what to expect when we get to our Weekend Outlook on Thursday.
Halloween weekend could be quite wet, but not as wet as the next few days. Image provided by WeatherBell.
Monday: Cloudy and breezy with showers tapering off in the morning, with periods of drizzle and possibly another shower or two in the afternoon. High 48-55 north and west of I-95, 55-62 south and east of I-95, except 62-79 south of Route 44.
Monday night: Breezy with Rain likely. Low 43-50 north and west of Boston, 50-57 south and east.
Tuesday: Very windy with rain, heavy at times. High 50-57 north and west of Boston, 57-64 south and east.
Tuesday night: Periods of rain and showers, very windy. Low 44-51.
Wednesday: Mostly cloudy and breezy with more showers likely. High 50-57.
Thursday: A lingering shower or two across Cape Cod early, some sunshine develops in the afternoon, especially north and west of Boston, still breezy near the coast. High 51-58.
Friday: Some early sun, then clouds return, rain develops at night, breezy. High 52-59.
Saturday: Periods of rain and showers. High 57-64.
Sunday: Cloudy with more rain and showers possible. High 57-64.
It may be sunny and warm this afternoon, changes are coming, so enjoy it while you can.
Low pressure moving into southeastern Canada will send a cold front our way tonight. Ahead of it, a few showers are possible late tonight and early Friday, but the bulk of the rain with the system should stay well to our north and west. The cold front moves through on Friday, and although it will still be on the mild side, colder air will start to move in behind the front. High pressure settles in for the weekend with dry and much cooler conditions. Meanwhile, that cold front will be stalled out just south of New England, so even though most of us will be dry, we’ll still have some clouds around, especially the farther south you go. Could there be a shower or two across the Islands? Maybe, but it’s not a sure thing. We’ll also have an upper-level low pressure area passing north of the region. This will also generate some clouds as well, and possibly a pop-up shower or two each afternoon. Again, nothing to cancel plans over, but don’t be shocked if you see a few raindrops.
Temperatures at midday Saturday will be 10-18 degrees cooler compared to midday Friday. Image provided by WeatherBell.
Monday is where things become less certain. An area of low pressure moving out of the Ohio Valley will ride eastward along our stalled out front. Will it pass close enough to spread some rain into the region or will the high pressure area push it far enough to the south that it doesn’t have any impact? The forecast models have been all over the place with this idea, but for now, we’re leaning toward the drier scenario, but will put the chance of showers in the forecast just to cover ourselves. The second half of next week is looking quite wet at this point, but we’ll worry about that Monday morning with our Weekly Outlook.
The models don’t agree on whether Monday will be wet or dry. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.
Thursday night: Partly to mostly cloudy, chance for a few showers after midnight. Low 54-61.
Friday: More clouds than sunshine, any showers end early. High 66-73.
Friday night: Partly to mostly cloudy. Low 45-52.
Saturday: Partly sunny and cooler, slight chance for a shower. High 56-63.
Saturday night: Becoming mostly clear. Low 37-44.
Sunday: Morning sunshine, clouds return in the afternoon. High 54-61.
Sunday night: Mostly cloudy with a chance for showers, especially south of Boston. Low 39-46.
Monday: Plenty of clouds with showers possible, mainly south of Boston. High 52-59.
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