Weekly Outlook: May 12-18, 2025

wxmanscottkLeave a comment

The forecast for this week is both simple and not-so-simple.

Parts of the region have received quite a bit of rain so far this month and more could be coming. Image provided by Weathermodels.com

The simple part of the forecast is that we can basically split it in half, because changes will be slow to occur. The not-so-simple part is when those changes happen. We start the week off with high pressure in control both at the surface and aloft. This will result in sunshine and seasonably warm temperatures today. The high will slide off to the east tonight and Tuesday and high clouds will start to stream in, gradually thickening up on Tuesday. This is where the not-so-simple part begins. An upper-level low pressure system over the Southeast will gradually start to lift northeastward over the next day or two, but will weaken as it does so. The rain shield around this system may get as far north as New York City and southwestern Connecticut by Tuesday, but the high pressure system off to our east will prevent it from getting much farther north and east. Eventually it will start to erode the dry air and make its way into the region from southwest to northeast, but this may not occur until later Wednesday or Thursday. After that, a series of weak upper-level disturbances will move in, bringing us some occasional showers from Thursday into Friday and likely Saturday as well. None of the days will be a washout, and it won’t be raining the entire time, but it will be more humid as winds shift more toward the south and southwest. This will keep south-coastal areas cooler, as water temperatures off the South Coast are still in the middle to upper 50s, but inland, temperatures could top 70 once again. By later Saturday and Sunday, another upper-level low will move into the Northeast, bringing some additional showers and cooler conditions.

Sunday’s temperatures are highly dependent on whether it’ll be clearing or still raining. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.

Monday: Plenty of sunshine, breezy. High 68-75, cooler across the South Coast and Cape Cod.

Monday night: High clouds start to drift in towards evening, clouds become more widespread late at night. Low 49-56.

Tuesday: Filtered sunshine in the morning, then becoming mostly cloudy in the afternoon. High 67-74, cooler across east-facing shorelines.

Tuesday night: Partly to mostly cloudy. Low 46-53.

Wednesday: More clouds than sun. High 67-74, a little cooler at the coast.

Wednesday night: Mostly cloudy with showers possible. Low 51-58.

Thursday: Plenty of clouds with a chance for a few showers. High 66-73, cooler across east-facing shorelines.

Thursday night: Mostly cloudy, chance for a shower or two. Low 53-60.

Friday: Partly to mostly cloudy, chance for a few showers. High 72-79, a little cooler at the coast.

Saturday: Intervals of clouds and sun with more showers possible. High 72-79, a little cooler at the coast.

Sunday: Partly sunny, chance for a few showers. High 66-73, a little cooler at the coast.

Weekend Outlook: May 9-12, 2025

wxmanscottkLeave a comment

The weather pattern will significantly improve for the second half of this weekend. Of course, that means that the first half of the weekend won’t be that great.

Friday’s temperatures will be 10-15 degrees below normal for much of the region. Image provided by weathermodels.com

An upper-level low pressure system will move towards the Northeast tonight, triggering a few showers across the region. At the same time, a surface low pressure area will start to move up the coast. Ahead of that low, easterly winds off the still cool-Atlantic, combined with the rain the storm system will generate, will result in a very cool day on Friday, with temperatures likely not budging much from what they drop to tonight. Temperatures will only be in the 50s, with areas north of the Mass Pike and also along the east coast likely staying in the upper 40s. If the low-pressure system tracks across southeastern Massachusetts, as some models show, then temperatures could briefly spike into the 60s across that region, but this is far from certain. As for the rain, it looks like the steadiest and heaviest rain holds off until afternoon, but occasional showers are likely during the day. Rain continues Friday night, ending from southwest to northeast Saturday morning and early afternoon as the storm system moves into the Gulf of Maine. Some showers may linger into the afternoon, especially across southern New Hampshire, but we should finally start to see some clearing by evening. High pressure then builds in with sunshine and milder weather for both Sunday and Monday.

Much of the region could pick up 1-2 inches of rain between now and Saturday evening. Image provided by WeatherBell.

Thursday night: Mostly cloudy with some showers likely. Low 45-52.

Friday: Cloudy with more showers, becoming a steadier rain during the afternoon. High 48-55, possibly milder across parts of Rhode Island and southeastern Massachusetts.

Friday night: Rain likely. Low 44-51, possibly milder across parts of Rhode Island and southeastern Massachusetts.

Saturday: Showers ending by early afternoon, some clearing may start to develop late in the day, especially across Rhode Island and southern Massachusetts, becoming breezy. High 58-65.

Saturday night: Becoming clear. Low 45-52.

Sunday: Plenty of sunshine. High 64-71.

Sunday night: A few clouds around. Low 40-47.

Monday: More sunshine. High 69-76, cooler along the South Coast and Cape Cod.

Weekly Outlook: May 5-11, 2025

wxmanscottkLeave a comment

Sunshine may be a little hard to come by this week for an extended period, but rainfall won’t be, which will help with the ongoing drought. At least it’s not snow, right?

An Omega Block will control the nation’s weather to start the week. Image provided by The Weather Channel.

The weather pattern to start the week across the nation is dominated by a pattern known as an “omega block”. With upper-level troughs of low pressure in both the East and the West, and a ridge of high pressure in the middle, the pattern resembles the Greek letter Omega. With an upper-level low in the East and drifting eastward slowly, that means we’ll be on the cool side to start the week, with some rainfall likely. The heaviest rain will likely fall across western New England today, but occasional showers in our area will persist today. As that upper-level low moves eastward, so will the surface low, so that rain in western New England today will shift into our area later tonight and Tuesday. Wednesday shouldn’t be as wet, but with the upper-level low moving across the region, we’ll still have some showers around. By Thursday, we may dry out a bit, but with another upper-level disturbance moving in, some more showers are possible.

Much of the region could receive a decent amount of rain this week. Image provided by Weathermodels.com

As we get to the end of the week and into the weekend, the upper-level low hangs around, and a surface low pressure system will be moving up the coast, bringing more rain and cool temperatures into the region. For Sunday, many of the models try to have high pressure building in with drier and milder weather. However, we know that the models struggle in this type of pattern, and historically are too quick to improve conditions around here. So, even though the models are forecasting Sunday to be rather nice, we’re going to hedge our bets a little. We should have a better idea how the weekend will play out for our Weekend Outlook Thursday afternoon.

The models all show a dry day on Sunday, but we’re not 100% sure yet. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.

Monday: Cloudy with occasional showers, mainly north and west of Interstate 95, breezy, especially along the coast. High 51-58, a little warmer south of Route 44.

Monday night: Cloudy with more showers, possibly becoming a steadier rain after midnight. Low 46-53, temperatures may start to rise after midnight.

Tuesday: Periods of rain and showers. High 59-66, a little cooler from the North Shore to the New Hampshire Seacoast.

Tuesday night: Cloudy with more showers likely. Low 49-56.

Wednesday: More clouds than sunshine with a chance for a few more showers. High 63-70, cooler across the Outer Cape and Islands.

Wednesday night: Partly cloudy. Low 48-55.

Thursday: Partly to mostly cloudy, chance for a few showers. High 65-72, cooler across the Outer Cape and Islands.

Thursday night: Mostly cloudy with some showers possible. Low 42-49.

Friday: Plenty of clouds with additional showers, some steadier rain is likely at night. High 50-57.

Saturday: Mostly cloudy with more showers expected. High 55-62.

Sunday: Intervals of clouds and sunshine. High 66-73, cooler across the Outer Cape and Islands.

Weekend Outlook: April 25-28, 2025

wxmanscottkLeave a comment

It’s a weekend, so that must mean it’s going to rain.

We’re still experiencing drought conditions, so we need the rain. Image provided by the National Drought Mitigation Center.

We’ve got a low pressure area heading toward the Great Lakes, sending a warm front our way. A few showers may accompany that front across southern New Hampshire this evening, otherwise we’ll remain dry, setting up a rather mild Friday. While there will be some sunshine, it could be dimmed by smoke and haze drifting up from the large wildfires in New Jersey. That warm front may stall out and/or drift southward a bit on Friday, bringing cooler air back to the New Hampshire Seacoast and the North Shore, but otherwise, most places away from the South Coast should reach 70 once again. Clouds thicken up Friday night ahead of the low pressure area, with some rain moving in by daybreak. Saturday shouldn’t be a complete washout, but it will be fairly damp. Rain is likely through the morning, then there may be a bit of a lull by early afternoon, before another batch of showers accompanies a cold front late in the day. Some clearing is expected Saturday night, but an upper-level low moving across the Northeast on Sunday will generate more clouds, possibly a shower or two, and bring in cooler temperatures. High pressure returns on Monday with drier and milder conditions.

Smoke and haze from the fires in New Jersey may drift across our area tonight and Friday morning. Loop provided by WeatherBell.

Thursday night: Chance for an evening shower across southern New Hampshire, otherwise partly cloudy. Low 48-55.

Friday: Partly sunny with some haze or smoke around in the morning, clouds thicken up during the afternoon. High 72-79 inland, 64-71 along the coast, a little cooler across the Outer Cape and Islands. Temperatures may turn cooler for a while in the afternoon from Boston northward, especially along the coast.

Friday night: Mostly cloudy, rain developing towards daybreak. Low 48-55.

Saturday: Cloudy and breezy with showers likely, tapering off late in the day. High 61-68, cooler across the South Coast, Cape, and Islands.

Saturday night: Becoming partly cloudy. Low 41-48.

Sunday: Partly sunny, breezy, slight chance for an afternoon shower. High 52-59.

Sunday night: Becoming clear. Low 41-48.

Monday: Plenty of sunshine. High 65-72, cooler across the Cape and Islands.

Weekly Outlook: April 21-27, 2025

wxmanscottkLeave a comment

We’ve got a fairly nice week coming up across the region without any extremes of temperature or precipitation.

Weather should be great for the runners of today’s Boston Marathon with a seabreeze near the finish line. Image provided by the Boston Athletic Association.

We start the week off with high pressure in control, giving us lighter winds than Sunday. This will result in a seabreeze keeping coastal areas much cooler than areas farther inland. We’ll also have increasing and thickening clouds as another storm system heads into the Great Lakes. A warm front ahead of the storm will move through tonight, producing a few showers. This sets up a mild Tuesday, before a cold front moves through at night with another shower or two possible. High pressure then builds back in with dry and seasonably mild conditions for Wednesday and Thursday. We’ll turn warmer again on Friday ahead of the next storm system. That system brings in some rain for Friday night and Saturday, then high pressure returns with dry and cooler weather on Sunday.

Tuesday looks like the pick of the week with temperatures above 70 away from the coastline. Image provided by WeatherBell,

Monday: Morning sunshine fades behind increasing and thickening afternoon clouds. High 51-58 along the coast, 59-66 inland.

Monday night: Mostly cloudy with a few showers, mainly after midnight. Low 42-49, temperatures may start to rise a little after midnight.

Tuesday: Becoming partly sunny. High 68-75, cooler across the South Coast and Cape Cod.

Tuesday night: Partly cloudy. Low 41-48.

Wednesday: Partly to mostly sunny. High 62-69, cooler across Cape Cod.

Wednesday night: Clear to partly cloudy. Low 39-46.

Thursday: A mix of sun and clouds. High 57-64 along the coast, 65-72 inland.

Thursday night: Partly cloudy. Low 42-49.

Friday: Partly sunny, showers develop late at night. High 66-73, cooler along the coast.

Saturday: Mostly cloudy and breezy with some rain likely. High 60-67, cooler across Cape Cod.

Sunday: A mix of sun and clouds, breezy. High 54-61, cooler across Cape Cod.

Weekend Outlook: April 18-21, 2025

wxmanscottkLeave a comment

Some warmer weather is on the way, but it won’t last too long.

We’ve got some great weather for baseball on tap for Monday morning.

High pressure remains in control into Friday with clear skies and seasonably cool temperatures tonight. We’ll start to warm up a bit on Friday, but also see clouds move in ahead of a weak upper-level disturbance and a warm front. The upper-level disturbance may produce a late-day shower across parts of southern New Hampshire and northern Massachusetts, but most of us will still dry. Low pressure heading into the Great Lakes will send a warm front our way Friday night, with a better chance for showers across the region. Behind the front, we’ll have a significant warmup on Saturday, with many locations away from the South Coast topping 70, but southwest to south winds will keep the South Coast and Cape Cod in the 60s or even 50s, as water temperatures remain rather chilly. Across inland locations, if we get enough sunny breaks, some places may even break 80. A cold front moves through late in the day, possibly producing a few more showers. High pressure builds in behind the front for Easter Sunday with breezy and cooler weather, but many locations will still top 60. For Patriots Day on Monday, we’ll see clouds moving back in with some showers by evening as another system approaches, but again we should top 60, cooler along the coast thanks to seabreezes.

Saturday is shaping up to be a very warm day. Image provided by WeatherBell.

Thursday night: Clear skies. Low 33-40.

Friday: Morning sunshine, then increasing and thickening clouds in the afternoon, slight chance for a late-day shower from the Merrimack Valley northward, becoming breezy. High 60-67, except 52-59 along the South Coast and Cape Cod.

Friday night: Mostly cloudy and breezy with scattered showers. Low 47-54, temperatures may start to rise after midnight.

Saturday: Clouds and some sunny breaks, slight chance for a late-day shower, breezy. High 74-81 inland, 66-73 near the South Coast, 58-65 across Cape Cod.

Saturday night: Mostly cloudy with a few showers during the evening, skies start to clear out late night. Low 48-55.

Sunday: Sunshine and a few clouds, breezy. High 58-65.

Sunday night: Partly cloudy. Low 35-42.

Monday: Morning sun, then increasing clouds, showers possibly towards evening. High 55-62 except 47-54 along the immediate coast and across Cape Cod.

Weekly Outlook: April 14-21, 2025

wxmanscottkLeave a comment

There’s no snow in the forecast this week, but there is some milder temperatures.

As far as we’re concerned, Patriots Day is the best day of the year and it’s only 1 week away. Image provided by the New York Times.

We start the week off with a sunny and mild day as high pressure builds in, but it won’t last long. Low pressure moving into the Great Lakes will send a warm front our way, sending clouds in this evening, with a few showers likely overnight. Tuesday will feature plenty of clouds and a few breaks of sun, but also some mild temperatures ahead of a cold front. That front may produce a shower or two during the afternoon, but otherwise we should remain dry, however, temperatures may quickly drop late in the day behind the front. High pressure then builds in with drier and cooler conditions for Wednesday and Thursday. As that high moves off to the east on Friday temperatures will start to moderate, but we’ll also see more clouds moving in. Saturday could be a very warm day, with temperatures potentially topping 70 in many areas, but we’ll also have lots of clouds and likely some showers as a cold front moves in. We’ll clear out behind the front and turn cooler again on Sunday, with some moderation expected for Patriots Day on Monday.

Saturday has the potential to be a very mild day. Image provided by WeatherBell.

Monday: Plenty of sunshine, clouds start to filter in late in the day. High 59-66, cooler across Cape Cod.

Monday night: Becoming mostly cloudy, a few showers likely after midnight. Low 40-47.

Tuesday: Morning clouds, then becoming partly sunny, slight chance for an afternoon shower. High 59-66, cooler across Cape Cod.

Tuesday night: Clear to partly cloudy. Low 35-42.

Wednesday: Partly sunny, breezy, and cooler. High 46-53.

Wednesday night: Becoming clear. Low 33-40.

Thursday: Sunshine and a few clouds, breezy. High 51-58.

Thursday night: Clear skies, a few late-night clouds. Low 32-39.

Friday: Morning sunshine gives way to increasing afternoon clouds, some showers possible at night. High 55-62, cooler across Cape Cod.

Saturday: Mostly cloudy, breezy, and mild, with scattered showers likely, favoring the morning and again late in the day. High 63-70, cooler across the South Coast and Cape Cod.

Sunday: Partly to mostly sunny, breezy, and cooler. High 53-60.

Patriots Day: A mix of sun and clouds. High 56-63, cooler across Cape Cod.

Weekend Outlook: April 11-14, 2025

wxmanscottkLeave a comment

Another dreary weekend is on the way for the region, and there may even be some snow for parts of the region.

Some much-needed rain is on the way for the weekend. Image provided by Weathermodels.com

Low pressure will head toward the Mid-Atlantic states tonight, sending some showers our way. Across the interior, well north and west of Boston, temperatures will be marginally cold enough for the rain to change to snow, especially in the hills of Worcester County and the Monadnocks, but also some of the lower elevations outside of I-495. We’re not expecting any accumulation, though it wouldn’t be a shock if there was a coating on some grassy surfaces. The showers should taper off towards daybreak. and Friday will just be a cloudy day with a few stray showers possible. The low over the Mid-Atlantic states starts moving our way Friday night, with some steadier and heavier rain moving in, and continuing for much of Saturday. Again, we’ll have some marginally cold air in place Friday night, so we could see more snow mixing in, with a coating possible on grassy surfaces outside of 495, and possibly a little more than that in the hills of Worcester County and the Monadnocks once again. Saturday will be a rather chilly day with northeast winds keeping temperatures in the upper 30s and lower 40s for much of the region. Combine that with the rain, and it won’t be a great day to be outside. The rain tapers off Saturday night, but as that system starts moving toward the northeast and passes offshore, it could possibly bring in some more rain on Sunday, especially for eastern Massachusetts and Rhode Island. That system pulls away Sunday night and high pressure briefly builds in for Monday with some sunshine and milder conditions.

Accumulating snow should be confined to the hills, but there could be a coating on grassy surfaces across the interior. Image provided by WeatherBell.

Thursday night: Cloudy with some showers developing, possibly mixed with snow across the interior. Low 32-39.

Friday: Cloudy and becoming breezy with a few showers possibly, mainly in the morning. High 43-50, coolest along the coast.

Friday night: Cloudy and breezy with rain developing, mixed with snow across the interior. Low 31-38.

Saturday: Breezy with periods of rain. High 37-44.

Saturday night: Rain tapers off the showers. Low 33-40.

Sunday: Cloudy and breezy with more showers possible, favoring eastern Massachusetts and Rhode Island. High 44-51, coolest across southeastern Massachusetts and Cape Cod.

Sunday night: Any showers end in the evening, becoming partly cloudy overnight. Low 34-41.

Monday: Partly sunny. High 56-63, cooler across Cape Cod.

Weekly Outlook: April 7-13, 2025

wxmanscottkLeave a comment

Remember how great Friday was with sunshine and temperatures near or above 70? Yeah, there aren’t any days like that in this week’s forecast.

Temperatures will be 10-15 degrees below normal for much of the upcoming week. Image provided by Weathermodels.com

A frontal system is stalled out south of New England this morning and a wave of low pressure will ride along it, bringing us some precipitation. With enough cold air in place, we’ll see the precipitation start as snow this morning, mainly from the Mass Pike northward, eventually changing over to rain. With the high sun angle, and warmer ground, we’re not expecting any accumulation, except maybe in the hills of Worcester County and into the Monadnocks. Otherwise, it’s just a chilly rain today, gradually ending tonight as a cold front moves through, possibly allowing the rain to change to snow before ending. A few rain or snow showers are possible Tuesday, otherwise, drier and chillier conditions are expected for Tuesday into Wednesday with high pressure building in. Temperatures start to moderate on Thursday as the high moves offshore, but clouds will move in ahead of another system moving out of the nation’s mid-section. This will bring us some more rain Thursday night into Friday. Another slow-moving system follows for the weekend with more rain.

For now, Saturday is looking wet. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.

Monday: Cloudy with snow developing north of the Mass Pike, changing to rain during the afternoon, rain likely south of the Pike, possibly mixed with snow at the start. High 38-45.

Monday night: Cloudy with a few rain or snow showers. Low 30-37.

Tuesday: Any lingering rain or snow showers end in the morning, becoming partly sunny and breezy in the afternoon. High 39-46 early, temperatures may drop in the afternoon.

Tuesday night: Clear skies. Low 23-30.

Wednesday: Sunshine and a few clouds. High 40-47.

Wednesday night: Clear during the evening, becoming partly cloudy overnight. Low 25-32.

Thursday: Becoming mostly cloudy with showers possible late in the day. High 47-54.

Thursday night: Cloudy with a chance of showers, possibly mixed with wet snow in southern New Hampshire. Low 35-42.

Friday: Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers early, then becoming more likely by evening. High 50-57.

Saturday: Mostly cloudy with rain likely. High 48-55.

Sunday: More clouds than sun with additional rain possible. High 49-56

Weekend Outlook: April 4-7, 2025

wxmanscottkLeave a comment

The weather looks fantastic for the Red Sox home opener at Fenway tomorrow, but the rest of the weekend doesn’t look that great.

The home opener at Fenway means summer isn’t far away.

A cold front will cross the region this evening, possibly accompanied by a few showers tonight. The front settles south of New England on Friday, with some clearing taking place from north to south. Temperatures will remain mild, which is good news if you’re heading to Opening Day at Fenway. For first pitch at 2:10pm, skies will be partly sunny, winds out of the northwest at 10-15 mph (blowing from left field to right field), and the temperature will likely be in the lower 60s. Clouds will start to stream back in late Friday night as that frontal system starts lifting northward once again. Saturday is looking like a rather cool day with northeast to east winds off the ocean, and rain developing toward midday. Occasional periods of rain and showers are likely into the nighttime hours before tapering off. The front will lift through as a warm front on Sunday, but how far north it gets is still a question mark. Areas south of Boston should have a very mild afternoon, but how warm it gets north of Boston, especially into southern New Hampshire, is uncertain. If the warm front does get that far north, temperatures could get well into the 60s. If not, it could stay in the 50s or even upper 40s all afternoon. We’ll have some spotty showers at times, but the day shouldn’t be a washout. Another low pressure area moves through later in the day and at night with more rain likely. That system drags a cold front through at night, with cooler air moving in behind the system on Monday. Showers should gradually end during the day as the system moves offshore.

Sunday’s temperatures are dependent on the northward progress of a warm front. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.

Thursday night: Mostly cloudy with a few showers possible, mainly south of the Mass Pike. Low 46-53.

Friday: Any lingering showers near the South Coast end early, followed by gradual clearing from north to south. High 58-65.

Friday night: Partly cloudy through the evening, clouds increase and thicken up after midnight. Low 35-42.

Saturday: Mostly cloudy and cooler with rain developing. High 41-48, temperatures may drop a little in the afternoon.

Saturday night: Rain tapers off to showers. Low 35-42, temperatures may start to rise after midnight.

Sunday: Plenty of clouds with a few showers possible. High 55-62, possibly warmer south of Boston.

Sunday night: Cloudy with more rain and showers. Low 36-43.

Monday: Mostly cloudy, showers ending. High 44-51.