Weekly Outlook: May 29 – June 4, 2023

As we reach the beginning of meteorological summer, warm and dry weather is expected once again.

Despite the heavy rain from a couple of weeks ago, rainfall is well below normal over the past couple of months across the region. Image provided by WeatherBell.

After a rather warm Sunday, a cold front moved through overnight, which will set up a much cooler day today. Temperatures will be as much as 15-25 degrees cooler today compared to Sunday, despite plenty of sunshine. Tuesday will also feature lots of sunshine, with temperatures beginning to rebound a little. High pressure then settles off to the south, with much warmer air return for Wednesday and especially Thursday and Friday, when temperatures could reach 90 in some areas once again. A cold front may produce a few showers or thunderstorms Friday night, then high pressure builds back in with much cooler air for Saturday. Temperatures will begin to moderate again by Sunday.

Temperatures could top 90 in many areas on Thursday and Friday, especially away from the coast. Image provided by Weathermodels.com.

Monday: Plenty of sunshine, breezy, and cooler. High 67-74, cooler near the coast.

Monday night: Clear skies. Low 42-49.

Tuesday: Sunny. High 69-76, cooler along the coast.

Tuesday night: Clear to partly cloudy, patchy fog possible near the South Coast. Low 43-50.

Wednesday: Sunny and milder. High 78-85, cooler along the South Coast.

Thursday: More sunshine, very warm. High 85-92, cooler along the coast.

Friday: A mix of sun and clouds, chance for a few showers and thunderstorms late in the day or at night. High 85-92, cooler along the coast.

Saturday: Partly sunny, breezy, cooler again. High 66-73, a little cooler near the coast.

Sunday: Mostly sunny. High 71-78, a little cooler near the coast.

Weekly Outlook: May 22-29, 2023

Dry weather is expected again for much of the upcoming week, but Memorial Day Weekend is uncertain right now.

High pressure builds in north of the region today, resulting in onshore flow and cool temperatures, especially near the shoreline. As the high moves off to the east on Tuesday, temperatures will begin to moderate a bit, with an even warmer day likely on Wednesday. A cold front moves in late Wednesday and Wednesday night with some showers, mainly north of the Mass Pike, followed by much cooler weather on Thursday. High pressure continues to build in on Friday, with temperatures moderating again, which brings us to Memorial Day Weekend.

The cold front won’t produce a lot of rain on Wednesday, and most of it should be focused north of the Mass Pike. Image provided by WeatherBell.

Low pressure is expected to develop off the Southeast coast late this week and it will start to head northward. Yesterday, some of the models were showing the possibility of a cool and damp to wet Memorial Day weekend. Now, the models all show high pressure building in, keeping the low safely to the south. So, while our forecast is optimistic right now, there is still plenty of time for things to change.

The models all keep low pressure well to the south of New England for Memorial Day Weekend. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.

Monday: Sunshine, dimmed by haze and smoke from Canadian wildfires at times. High 62-69, coolest along the coast.

Monday night: Clear skies. Low 42-49.

Tuesday: More sunshine, but also more smoke and haze. High 64-71, coolest along the coast.

Tuesday night: Clear skies. Low 43-50.

Wednesday: Morning sun, increasing afternoon clouds, showers possible late in the day and into the evening, especially north of the Mass Pike. High 72-79, perhaps a little cooler right at the coast.

Thursday: A mix of sun and clouds, breezy, and cooler. High 58-65.

Friday: Partly sunny. High 64-71.

Saturday: A mix of sun and clouds. High 68-75.

Sunday: Partly sunny. High 69-76.

Memorial Day: Partly sunny. High 74-81.

Weekly Outlook: May 15-21, 2023

Temperatures will ride a roller coaster this week, but for the most part it should remain dry.

It’s chilly out there this morning. Image provided by Weathermodels.com

We’re starting the week off on a rather chilly note, but temperatures will quickly moderate today with high pressure in control. Tuesday looks to be fairly mild as well with some gusty winds ahead of a strong cold front. This front will be starved for moisture, so other than a few stray showers, you’ll notice the front when the winds shift. Wednesday looks to be a rather chilly day by mid-May standards with some gusty winds. As high pressure builds in Wednesday night, clear skies and light winds result in radiational cooling, with some frost likely. Temperatures remain on the cool side for Thursday, but should be a few degrees warmer than Wednesday. Warmer weather is expected on Friday with high pressure moving off to the east.

Tuesday looks like the pick of the week with partly sunny skies and warm temperatures. Image provided by WeatherBell.

Next weekend is looking a little uncertain at this point. Another cold front will likely move through, with a wave of low pressure riding up the coast along the front. However, the timing and placement of both the front and the wave, as well as the amount of moisture accompanying vary depending on which model you prefer. Given how dry it has been recently, and the trends in the models to overestimate rainfall several days in advance, we’re going to lean toward the dry side for now, with only a chance for some showers.

The models all have differing ideas for next weekend’s forecast. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.

Monday: Morning sunshine, some afternoon clouds, breezy. High 70-77, cooler across Cape Cod.

Monday night: Partly cloudy. Low 50-57.

Tuesday: Partly sunny, windy. High 75-82, cooler across Cape Cod.

Tuesday night: Partly to mostly cloudy, just a slight chance for a shower. Low 43-50.

Wednesday: Becoming mostly sunny, breezy, and cooler. High 58-65.

Thursday: Wall-to-wall sunshine. High 60-67.

Friday: Mostly sunny, breezy. High 66-73.

Saturday: Partly sunny, breezy, chance for a few showers. High 67-74.

Sunday: Intervals of clouds and sun, breezy. chance for some showers. High 65-72.

Weekend Outlook: May 12-15, 2023

Enjoy the warm weather for a few more days, because it will go away this weekend, at least temporarily.

Drought isn’t a problem yet, but unless the pattern turns wetter soon, it could become an issue. Image provided by the National Drought Mitigation Center.

High pressure remains in control into Friday, however, a cold front will begin to approach the region. There will be just enough moisture in the air to make it feel a little humid, and this may help to trigger a few showers and thunderstorms during the afternoon and evening. The cold front moves through at night, possibly with another shower or two, and may slow down near the South Coast, keeping some clouds around into part of the day, otherwise, drier air will filter in, but it will remain warm. With high pressure building in, we’ll have clear skies and light winds for Saturday night, resulting in a cooler night due to radiational cooling. Sunday should feature plenty of sunshine, but it will be cooler than the past few days. After another chilly night Sunday night, temperatures will start to moderate on Monday.

Much of the region could top 80 Friday afternoon. Image provided by WeatherBell.

Thursday night: Partly cloudy. Low 50-57.

Friday: A mix of sun and clouds, chance for a few showers or thunderstorms during the afternoon and evening. High 77-84, cooler across the South Coast, Cape, and Islands.

Friday night: Partly cloudy, slight chance for a shower. Low 55-62.

Saturday: Partly to mostly sunny. High 73-80.

Saturday night: Clear skies. Low 44-51.

Sunday: Sunshine and some high clouds, breezy, and cooler. High 62-69.

Sunday night: Clear to partly cloudy. Low 43-50.

Monday: A mix of sun and clouds, breezy. High 68-75.

Weekly Outlook: May 8-14, 2023

After a couple of cool and damp weeks, we’ve got most dry weather on the way for this week.

Average high temperatures in mid-May are in the middle 60s around here. Image provided by Weathermodels.com

We start the week off with a mostly sunny day today after clouds move offshore this morning, with mild temperatures once again. However, a backdoor cold front will move in for Tuesday with cooler temperatures, though we should remain dry. Temperatures will start to moderate on Wednesday, but even warmer weather is expected for Thursday and Friday. A weak frontal system may bring in a few showers late Friday and Friday night, with drier weather returning for next weekend.

Right now, Friday looks like the warmest day or the week, with some 80-degree readings possible. Image provided by WeatherBell.

Monday: A few clouds early, otherwise mostly sunny, breezy, and mild. High 67-74.

Monday night: Clear to partly cloudy. Low 40-47.

Tuesday: A mix of sun and clouds. High 59-66, coolest along the coast.

Tuesday night: Clear and cool. Low 37-44.

Wednesday: Plenty of sunshine. High 63-70.

Thursday: Partly to mostly sunny. High 72-79.

Friday: Partly sunny, breezy, chance for a few showers late in the day and at night. High 73-80.

Saturday: A mix of sun and clouds, breezy. High 72-79.

Sunday: Partly sunny. High 66-73.

Weekly Outlook: May 1-7, 2023

Looks like another “blah” week coming up across the region.

Low pressure continues to pull away today with sunshine, breezy conditions, and mild temperatures. Another upper-level low then settles in, and controls our weather through Friday. As a result, we’ll have plenty of clouds, cool temperatures, and showers pretty much each day. Some of those showers may contain graupel or small hail, especially Tuesday and Wednesday. The upper low finally moves out at the end of the week, with drier and milder weather expected for the weekend.

Another week, another upper-level low to keep us cool and damp. Loop provided by Tropical Tidbits.

Monday: Becoming mostly sunny, breezy. High 59-66.

Monday night: Clear during the evening, then clouds increase. Low 41-48.

Tuesday: Mostly cloudy with some showers developing. High 52-59.

Tuesday night: Mostly cloudy with a few showers. Low 39-46.

Wednesday: Mostly cloudy with more showers developing. High 51-58.

Thursday: Mostly cloudy and cool, chance for a few showers. High 45-52.

Friday: Mostly cloudy, more showers possible. High 49-56.

Saturday: A mix of sun and clouds, slight chance for another shower. High 58-65.

Sunday: Partly to mostly sunny. High 63-70.

Weekly Outlook: April 24-30, 2023

This week can basically be described with one word: “BLAH”.

Below normal temperatures are expected for the next several days. Image provided by WeatherBell.

A weak low pressure system slowly moves offshore today, keeping plenty of clouds around with some more showers possible. After that, an upper-level low pressure settles into the Northeast, then remains there through the end of the week. Disturbances will rotate around the system at various times. What this means in terms of sensible weather is that each day through at least Thursday and probably Friday will features intervals of clouds and sun, with the most sun in the mornings, and later in the week, but also a daily chance for some showers. With colder air aloft, some of these showers may produce some graupel at times. These showers will likely be a bit more numerous early in the week, before the upper-level low starts to pull away. As the upper-level low finally moves out next weekend, high pressure should build in with drier conditions, though temperatures will remain on the cool side. Sunday is the wild-card though. Some models show another system moving in with more rain and cool temperatures, while other models keep the storm off to the south. We’ll lean toward the drier forecast for now, but will watch it as the week goes on.

A storm system likely impact the Mid-Atlantic states next weekend, but whether it has any impact up here remains to be seen. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.

Monday: Plenty of clouds, some sunny breaks possible, a few showers may develop. High 55-62.

Monday night: Partly to mostly cloudy. Low 36-43.

Tuesday: Intervals of clouds and sun with more showers possible. High 54-61.

Tuesday night: Partly cloudy. Low 35-42.

Wednesday: Partly sunny, chance for an afternoon shower. High 55-62.

Thursday: Intervals of clouds and sun with a chance for a few showers. High 52-59.

Friday: Partly sunny. High 53-60.

Saturday: Partly to mostly cloudy. High 53-60.

Sunday: More clouds than sun. High 51-58.

Weekly Outlook: April 17-23, 2023

No record heat is expected this week, but it won’t be that chilly for the most part either.

As far as we’re concerned, Patriots Day is the best day of the year. Image provided by the New York Times.

We start the week off with a cold front crossing the region on this Patriots Day. It will produce some showers, mainly during the afternoon, so they shouldn’t have too much of an impact, if any, on the morning reenactments in Lexington/Concord, the Marathon from Hopkinton to Boston, or the traditional 11am Red Sox game. The front pushes offshore later today, then skies clear out tonight. However, we’ll have an upper-level trough of low pressure cross the Northeast on Tuesday, so we may see some sunshine in the morning, clouds will regenerate, and we could even have a few pop-up showers during the afternoon.

The showers both today and tomorrow should be scattered and light in nature. Loop provided by WeatherBell.

High pressure builds in for Wednesday with sunshine and seasonably mild temperatures. A warm front moves across the region early Thursday, possibly producing a few showers, then Thursday looks to feature dry and warmer conditions, but not nearly to the extent we had last week. Friday looks warm as well, but with more clouds as another slow-moving cold front begins to approach. At this time, at looks like some showers are likely at times from late Friday into Sunday before the cold front finally moves through. None of the days should be a washout, and there will be long dry periods, but the showers are possible at almost any time ahead of the front. Temperatures should remain on the mild side ahead of the front, especially on Friday and Saturday, though the clouds and rainfall will keep them in check somewhat.

Friday has the potential to be a very warm day. Images provided by Weathermodels.com

Monday: Morning fog, otherwise mostly cloudy with showers likely, mainly during the afternoon. High 56-63.

Monday night: Becoming clear to partly cloudy. Low 42-49.

Tuesday: Intervals of clouds and sun, breezy, chance for a few pop-up showers during the afternoon. High 54-61.

Tuesday night: Clear to partly cloudy. Low 36-43.

Wednesday: Mostly sunny, breezy. High 53-60.

Thursday: A mix of sun and clouds, chance for a few showers early. High 60-67.

Friday: Partly sunny, showers may develop towards evening. High 64-71, cooler along the coast.

Saturday: Mostly cloudy and breezy with occasional showers. High 61-68, cooler along the coast.

Sunday: Plenty of clouds, more showers, breezy again. High 58-65.

Weekly Outlook: April 10-17, 2023

Much of the upcoming week will be not only dry, but some much warmer weather is on the way.

High pressure remains in control today, with sunshine and milder temperatures, though a seabreeze will keep coastal areas a little cooler. We’ll have another cool night tonight, but the real warmup begins tomorrow. Morning sunshine will start to fade behind increasing afternoon clouds as a weak frontal system heads our way. Gusty west winds will result in a warmer day, even at the coast. Most locations should get close to or over 70 degrees tomorrow. With the gusty winds and dry weather, brush fire danger will be quite high, and will remain that way for much of the week. Wednesday will feature some clouds in the morning, but sunshine returns during the afternoon, temperatures will be a few degrees cooler than Tuesday, but still well above normal for mid-April. Thursday and Friday look like absolutely fantastic days for mid-April. Thursday should feature lots of sunshine, and temperatures well into the 70s, except right along the coast thanks to a seabreeze. While Friday will have some more clouds we’ll likely see temperatures get well into the 80s in many areas, again the coast will be cooler thanks to a seabreeze.

Record highs are in jeopardy in many locations on Friday. Image provided by WeatherBell.

A backdoor cold front moves through Friday night, but it may not make it too far inland. Saturday could end up very mild again in some areas, with cooler weather along the coast and into parts of northeastern Massachusetts and southern New Hampshire. Sunday could end up another warm day, again except near the coast, but a cold front will be approaching from the west. This will likely bring in some showers late Sunday and Sunday night, possibly lingering into Monday. Since Monday features the Boston Marathon and the 11am Red Sox game, the timing of the rain will be important. We should have a better idea on that when we get to our Weekend Outlook on Thursday.

The GFS and ECMWF have different ideas for the timing of the rain on Patriots Day. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.

Monday: Plenty of sunshine. High 58-65, coolest along the coast.

Monday night: Clear to partly cloudy. Low 38-45.

Tuesday: Morning sun, then clouds increase and thicken, breezy. High 66-73.

Tuesday night: Mostly cloudy and breezy. Low 49-56.

Wednesday: Morning clouds give way to some afternoon sunshine, breezy again. High 64-71, coolest along the coast.

Thursday: Lots of sunshine. High 74-81 inland, 66-73 along the coast.

Friday: Sunshine and some afternoon clouds. High 80-86, 72-79 along the coast.

Saturday: More clouds than sun. High 71-78 inland, 63-70 along the coast.

Sunday: Intervals of clouds and sun with a few showers possible. High 65-72 inland, 57-64 along the coast.

Patriots Day: Mostly cloudy and breezy with more showers possible. High 64-71.

Weekly Outlook: April 3-9, 2023

As is typical of April, this week will be cool, warm, wet, and dry. Let’s get into the details.

High pressure slides offshore today, allowing milder weather to move back in on gusty south to southwest winds. A frontal system will drop southward later in the day, bringing some clouds in, along with a few showers at night, mainly north of the Mass Pike. That front will continue to slowly drift southward during the day on Tuesday, with some additional showers possible. South of the front, temperatures will be in the mild side, possibly well into the 60s, on Tuesday, but to the north of it, it will be much cooler, with temperatures only in the 50s, perhaps upper 40s. With the front expected to stall out south of the region, Wednesday looks chilly and somewhat damp thanks to east winds off the still-cool Atlantic.

The models don’t agree on how quickly the front drops southward on Tuesday, which has a significant impact on temperatures from north to south across the region. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.

That front will lift northward again as a warm front Wednesday night, setting up a rather warm day on Thursday. Despite plenty of clouds, temperatures will get well into the 60s, likely topping 70 in some spots. If we can get any sunshine, temperatures could get well into the 70s across the region. The warm air won’t hang around long though, as a cold front moves through late in the day with some showers and possibly thunderstorms. High pressure builds in for Friday and the weekend with dry weather. Temperatures will be cooler on Friday and Saturday, but should moderate on Sunday.

If we can get some sunshine, Thursday could be a very warm afternoon. Image provided by WeatherBell.

Monday: Morning sunshine, clouds start to filter in during the afternoon, breezy. High 49-56.

Monday night: Mostly cloudy, winds diminish during the evening, a few showers likely after midnight, mainly north of the Mass Pike. Low 39-46.

Tuesday: Plenty of clouds, with some additional showers possible, again favoring areas north of the Mass Pike. High 50-57 north of the Mass Pike, 58-65 south of the Pike, except cooler along the coast.

Tuesday night: Cloudy with areas of fog and drizzle. Low 38-45.

Wednesday: Cloudy with a few showers and some drizzle likely. High 44-51.

Thursday: More clouds than sun, breezy, and warm with some late-day showers, possibly a thunderstorm. High 65-72, cooler along the South Coast.

Friday: A mix of sun and clouds, windy, and cooler. High 51-58.

Saturday: Plenty of sunshine, breezy. High 48-55.

Sunday: Mostly sunny, breezy again. High 55-62.