Weekend Outlook

Weekend Outlook: January 19-22, 2024

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Snow and cold temperatures are on the way, but neither will be around for too long.

Bundle up if you’re headed out the day early Saturday or Sunday morning. Image provided by WeatherBell.

Low pressure will develop off the Carolina coast tonight and head northeastward, passing well south and east of New England on Friday. It will spread some light snow into the region Friday afternoon and evening, mainly south of the Mass Pike, but possibly as far north as the MA/NH border. For much of the region, this will be “nuisance snow”, with a coating to an inch of accumulation. However, along the coast from Plymouth County to Cape Cod, things will be a bit different. Northeast to northerly winds off of the relatively mild Atlantic, will produce some ocean-effect snow. This is similar to the lake-effect snow you hear about near Buffalo, but not nearly as heavy. It will enhance to snow near the coast, with the potential for 2-4 inches in spots, maybe even a few heavier amounts. The storm pulls away Friday night, and some very chilly air settles in behind it. Temperatures may struggle to reach 20 in parts of the region on Saturday, with sub-zero wind chills, especially in the morning both Saturday and Sunday. High pressure moves off to the east for Sunday and Monday, allowing temperatures to begin to moderate. We will some clouds starting to move in again on Monday ahead of another storm system headed our way.

We’re not expecting much snow with this system, but along the coast you may need a shovel. Image provided by Weathermodels.com

Thursday night: Mostly cloudy. Low 15-22.

Friday: Cloudy with light snow developing. High 25-32.

Friday night: Mostly cloudy, snow ending before midnight. Low 7-14.

Saturday: Plenty of clouds with a few sunny breaks developing, breezy. High 17-24.

Saturday night: Clearing, breezy. Low 9-16.

Sunday: Lots of sunshine, breezy. High 23-30.

Sunday night: Clear skies. Low 10-17.

Monday: Morning sunshine, increasing afternoon clouds, breezy. High 33-40.

Weekend Outlook: January 12-15, 2024

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Another potent storm system is on the way, with quite a bit of rain and wind expected.

Most of the region can expect another inch or more of rain on Saturday. Image provided by Weathermodels.com

Before we get to the stormy weather, high pressure remains in control tonight and a good chunk of Friday with dry weather. Clouds will stream in on Friday as low pressure heads toward the Great Lakes once again. This storm will be fairly similar to the one we had a couple of days ago. However, the airmass in place ahead of it is not as cold, and the snowcover is mostly gone, so this one will be mainly rain for most of the region. There could be some light snow right at the start from central Massachusetts into southern New Hampshire, but it won’t last long. We’re also not expecting as much rain from this storm, though there will still be quite a bit, with widespread totals of 1-2 inches likely. This will worsen flooding issues across the region. Flood Watches have been issued for much of the area once again. Winds will also be gusty, but again, not quite to the magnitude of the last storm. Sustained winds of 20-30 mph are expected, with gusts upwards of 40 mph inland, and 50-60 mph along the coast. In addition, some coastal flooding is also possible at the time of high tide Saturday morning/early afternoon.

Wind gusts could exceed 50 mph along the coast again Saturday morning. Image provided by WeatherBell.

The rain should come to an end by midday Saturday, then we’ll start to clear out, with high pressure building in for Saturday night into Monday with windy and colder conditions. Even though it’s beyond the range of this outlook, we feel it’s worth mentioning that the models are showing the potential for another storm to impact the region on Tuesday, and this one could be more white than wet for much of the region. We’ll get into that in more detail in our Weekly Outlook early Monday morning.

Will another storm impact us on Tuesday? It’s a possibility. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.

Thursday night: Partly cloudy through the evening, clearing overnight. Low 27-34.

Friday: Sunny in the morning, clouds move back in during the afternoon. High 39-46.

Friday night: Cloudy and becoming windy with rain developing, possibly starting as some snow from central Massachusetts into southern New Hampshire. Rain could be heavy at times. Low 30-37 during the evening, temperatures rise overnight.

Saturday: Steady rain ending in the morning, a few showers possible through the afternoon with some late-day clearing, windy. High 51-58 in the morning, temperatures drop in the afternoon.

Saturday night: Clear to partly cloudy, windy. Low 25-32.

Sunday: A mix of sun and clouds, breezy, colder. High 32-39.

Sunday night: Partly cloudy, breezy. Low 17-24.

Monday: Partly sunny. High 29-36.

Weekend Outlook: January 5-8, 2024

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Your luck has run out. Our first snowstorm of the winter is on the way this weekend.

A Winter Storm Watch is in effect north and west of I-95. Image provided by the National Weather Service office in Norton, MA

High pressure builds in for tonight and Friday, with clearing skies, breezy, and colder conditions. Clouds star to move back in Friday night and Saturday as low pressure moves across the Deep South and into the Southeast. It’ll move up the coast on Saturday, likely passing south of the region on Sunday, while high pressure in southern Quebec slides off to the east. There is still some uncertainty as what exactly will transpire, so some of the next paragraph is subject to change.

There is still plnety of disagreement among the models as to the evolution of the low pressure system. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.

While the high over southern Quebec will provide us with plenty of cold air to start, it’s not in the perfect position to provide the region with enough cold air to keep everything all snow, especially near the coastline. Winds will be out of the east, allowing milder air to move in off of the relatively mild Atlantic. (To get mostly snow, you want to high to be a little farther west, so you get northeast winds across our area). There is also still some uncertainty as to exact track the low pressure area takes and how close it gets to the coastline, which will also lead to some rain in spots, especially near the coast. We should see the snow developing Saturday evening, likely starting as a mix or even just plain rain along the coast from Boston southward since winds will be out of the east. Snow will continue through the night, but it may stay rain or a mix right along the immediate coastline for a while. By mid-morning Sunday, as the low passes by, winds will shift from the east into the north, allowing the cold air to push back in, changing everything to all snow, even across Cape Cod and the Islands before everything winds down by evening. The rain and milder temperatures keep accumulations lower near the coast, but inland, this will not be a blockbuster storm, as the snow , while falling for a while, will only be light to occasionally moderate for most of the time. So, how much are we looking at?

Cape Cod: Coating – 2″
I-95 corridor (Boston-Providence and points South+East): 2-5″, lowest along the coast
Areas North+ West of I-95: 4-8″ with isolated totals to 10″ possible.

The National Blend of Models is closest to our thinking for snow amounts. Image provided by WeatherBell.

Everything winds down Sunday night, and high pressure builds back in for Monday with sunshine and seasonably chilly conditions.

With fresh snowcover, Monday morning could be quite chilly across the region. Image provided by weathermodels.com

Thursday night: Clear skies, breezy. Low 17-24.

Friday: Plenty of sunshine, breezy during the morning. High 29-36.

Friday night: Partly cloudy. Low 20-27.

Saturday: Becoming mostly cloudy. High 32-39.

Saturday night: Snow developing, mixed with or changing to rain along the coast, becoming windy. Low 25-32 during the evening, temperatures hold steady or rise a bit overnight.

Sunday: Windy with snow likely, except rain or mix changing to snow along the coast by midday. High 32-39, temperatures rapidly drop along the coast in the afternoon.

Sunday night: Any lingering snow ends in the evening, some clearing late at night, winds rapidly diminish during the evening. Low 13-20.

Monday: Becoming mostly sunny. High 31-38.

Weekend Outlook: December 29, 2023 – January 1, 2024

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It seems only fitting that 2023 ends on a wet note since it’s been an extraordinarily wet year across the region.

2023 will go down as one of the Top 10 wettest years on record across most of the region. Image provided by the Southeast Regional Climate Center.

Low pressure pulls away from the region this evening, with rain tapering off to showers. However, with an upper-level low slowly moving in, we’ll have plenty of clouds with occasional showers for much of Friday and at least the first half of Saturday. Neither day will be a washout, but they won’t exactly be nice days either. Temperatures will remain above normal for these days. By late Saturday, we’ll start to clear out as high pressure builds in, with drier but also cooler weather returning. For First Night celebrations, it should be dry with temperatures near or a little above normal, unlike some of the rather chilly New Year’s Eves we’ve had in the past. A weak disturbance will move through on New Year’s Day with some clouds and possibly a stray rain or snow shower, but for the most part, it will remain dry.

Wet weather hangs around across the Northeast for the next couple of days. Loop provided by Tropical Tidbits.

Thursday night: Cloudy with rain tapering off to showers. Low 37-44.

Friday: Plenty of clouds with occasional showers. High 41-48.

Friday night: Cloudy with a few showers. Low 35-42.

Saturday: Showers around during the morning, some clearing late in the day. High 42-49.

Saturday night: Gradual clearing. Low 26-33.

Near Year’s Eve: Sunshine and some late-day clouds, cooler. High 35-42.

Sunday night: Partly cloudy. Low 25-32.

New Year’s Day: Partly sunny, slight chance for a rain or snow shower. High 36-43.

Weekend Outlook: December 22-25, 2023

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Quiet weather is expected for the vast majority of Christmas weekend.

The winter solstice occurs at 10:27pm tonight. Days start getting longer tomorrow until June. Images provided by the Farmer’s Almanac.

Summer officially begins at 10:27pm this evening in the southern hemisphere, which means that is when winter begins here. While it’ll be seasonably chilly to start, much of the holiday weekend won’t feel a lot like winter. We’ll have high pressure in control to start, a chilly night tonight, and a cool by sunny day on Friday. Clouds start to move in Friday night and Saturday ahead of a weak disturbance heading this way from the Midwest. It may produce a few rain or snow showers late Saturday night or early Sunday morning as it moves through, but most of us will remain dry. After that, high pressure builds back in for Christmas Eve and Christmas Day with dry and mild conditions.

Temperatures could approach 50 Christmas afternoon. Image provided by WeatherBell.

Thursday night: Clear and chilly. Low 16-23.

Friday: Plenty of sunshine. High 31-38.

Friday night: Clear to partly cloudy. Low 18-25.

Saturday: Increasing clouds. High 37-44.

Saturday night: Mostly cloudy, a rain or snow shower possible after midnight. Low 28-35.

Christmas Eve: More clouds than sunshine, milder. High 42-49.

Sunday night: Partly to mostly cloudy. Low 31-38.

Christmas Day: Partly sunny. High 45-52.

Weekend Outlook: December 15-18, 2023

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This weekend is going to end up very similar to last weekend, dry to start, then very wet to end.

Temperatures will be as much as 10-15 degrees above normal across much of the region on Friday. Image provided by weathermodels.com.

High pressure keeps us dry into Saturday. We’ll start off chilly this evening under clear skies, but as winds shift into the southwest, temperatures will level off toward midnight, and could rise a bit overnight. Friday is about as good a day as we can expect for mid-December with sunshine and above normal temperatures. Clouds start to filter in Friday night and during the day on Saturday as low pressure begins to develop across the Southeast. As that low moves northward, we’ll have plenty of clouds on Sunday, with rain moving in by late afternoon or evening. The rain will likely be heavy Sunday night into Monday morning, with some gusty south winds bringing unseasonably mild air back in, with temperatures making a run at 60 in some spots. Monday is where the models start to diverge. Some of them bring the storm well to our west (central or western NY), some a little closer (western MA). Overall, this doesn’t make too much of a difference at this point, but the eastern track would likely mean the rain ends earlier, and the cold front swings through earlier, bringing an end to the mild air. Beyond that, the models rapidly diverge, which has significant impacts on the forecast around here for Tuesday and into midweek, but this forecast only goes through Monday, so we’ll worry about next week in our Weekly Outlook Sunday night.

Where will the storm be centered Monday afternoon? It makes a difference for the forecast. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.

Thursday night: Clear skies. Low 26-33 during the evening, temperatures may rise a little after midnight.

Friday: Plenty of sunshine, breezy at times, especially through early afternoon. High 45-52.

Friday night: Clear skies during the evening, some clouds start to move in overnight. Low 32-39.

Saturday: Intervals of sunshine and clouds. High 43-50.

Saturday night: Becoming mostly cloudy. Low 29-36.

Sunday: Cloudy and becoming breezy with rain developing late in the day. High 47-54.

Sunday night: Periods of rain, possibly heavy at times, becoming windy. Low 44-51 during the evening, temperatures rise overnight.

Monday: Windy and mild with more rain, tapering off during the afternoon. High 54-61.

Weekend Outlook: December 8-11, 2023

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Some rain is on the way along with milder temperatures as we head towards the weekend.

Some very heavy rain is possible Sunday night, especially well inland. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.

We start off with high pressure in control, keeping us dry through Saturday. Temperatures will be chilly tonight, but as the high moves off to the east, we’ll start to moderate for Friday and Saturday. Friday should feature a decent amount of sunshine, but clouds will increase and thicken up during the day on Saturday as low pressure heads toward the Great Lakes. As that low heads into southeastern Canada, southerly winds will start to pick up on Sunday, resulting in quite a mild day, with temperatures likely getting close to 60 degrees in many locations. It looks like most of the rain should hold off until late in the day, but once it moves in, some heavy rain is possible Sunday night into Monday morning. South to southwest winds will be quite gusty at night as well. The low will drag a cold front across the region Monday morning, with the rain ending by early afternoon. Once the front moves through, west to northwest winds will usher much cooler air in. So, even though we’ll likely start the day well into the 50s, we’ll drop in the 40s by afternoon. Skies should start to clear out by late in the day.

Temperatures could still be in the 60s Monday morning ahead of a strong cold front. Image provided by WeatherBell.

Thursday night: Becoming mostly clear. Low 17-24.

Friday: Sunshine and some afternoon clouds. High 38-45.

Friday night: Clear during the evening, some clouds move in overnight. Low 26-33.

Saturday: Increasing and thickening clouds, milder. High 46-53.

Saturday night: Partly to mostly cloudy. Low 35-42.

Sunday: Mostly cloudy, becoming breezy and mild, rain developing late in the day. High 55-62.

Sunday night: Windy with periods of rain, possibly heavy at times. Low 52-59.

Monday: Rain ending around midday, some late-day clearing, still breezy. High 52-59 in the morning, temperatures drop through the afternoon.

Weekend Outlook: December 1-4, 2023

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Some unsettled weather is on the way for the weekend, so get those umbrellas out.

Temperatures will be close to the normal highs in the middle to upper 40s over the next few days. Image provided by Weathermodels.com

High pressure remains in control into Friday morning with dry and seasonably cool conditions. Clouds will thicken up on Friday as a weak storm system moves toward the region. A period of showers is likely late Friday afternoon and evening, but we’re not expecting any heavy rain at this point. After that, a series of weak systems will move through over the weekend, keeping the clouds in place with slightly cooler temperatures, and some episodes of rain showers. We’re not expecting them to be widespread or heavy, but they’ll be enough of a nuisance that you’ll notice them. A more potent system looks to move in for late Sunday into Monday. There is still quite a bit of uncertainty among the models as the how this storm will evolve and track, but right now, it looks like it will move across southeastern New England early Monday. This will likely result in rain, possibly heavy, for much of the region, with some gusty winds near the coast. Temperatures will be on the cool side, except near the South Coast and Cape Cod, which could be on the warm side of the storm. The area with the most uncertainty is across southern New Hampshire and the hills of central Massachusetts. At least one model is showing the potential for enough cold air for some snow or a wintry mix both at the start and at the end of the storm, but this is far from a certainty. In fact, the majority of the models do not show this scenario, but that doesn’t mean we should just discount it.

The models all have different ideas for what will happen on Sunday. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.

Thursday night: Partly cloudy. Low 33-40.

Friday: Some morning sun, then clouds return, showers develop by late afternoon. High 48-55.

Friday night: Mostly cloudy, showers ending toward midnight. Low 35-42.

Saturday: Plenty of clouds with a few showers possible. High 48-55.

Saturday night: Mostly cloudy, chance for a shower or two. Low 37-44.

Sunday: Cloudy with light rain and showers redeveloping, possibly some wintry mix from the hills of central Massachusetts into southwestern New Hampshire. High 44-51.

Sunday night: Periods of rain and showers. Low 34-41.

Monday: Cloudy with occasional showers, possibly mixed with some snow from central Massachusetts into southern New Hampshire. High 43-50.

Thanksgiving Weekend Outlook: November 23-27, 2023

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The weather will be more tranquil but also cooler for a good chunk of the extended holiday weekend.

Wind chills will be in the teens Saturday morning, so bundle up if you’ll be ehading out. Image provided by WeatherBell.

Low pressure pulls away this evening with rain ending, and skies slowly clearing out overnight. High pressure builds in for Thanksgiving with sunshine and seasonably cool temperatures, but it will remain breezy as our low pressure system continues to intensify in Atlantic Canada. Another cold front moves through on Friday, but with only a few clouds accompanying it. Behind it, even colder air will settle in for Friday night and Saturday on gusty northwest winds. Temperatures on Saturday likely stay in the 30s for highs, with lows Saturday night dropping into the 20s, with some teens in the normally colder locations. Keep this in mind if you’ll be out during the day Saturday or at night. Temperatures will start to moderate on Sunday, but clouds will also stream in ahead of both a low pressure system moving off the Mid-Atlantic coast and another cold front moving in from the west. A period of rain showers seems likely Sunday night into Monday morning as the low passes by offshore and the cold front moves in. Temperatures may be marginally cold enough for some snow to mix in at the start well north and west of Boston. We’ll start to clear out behind both systems Monday afternoon.

There are still some differences to be worked out among the models for our Sunday night storm system. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.

Wednesday night: Any lingering showers end this evening, skies start to clear out after midnight, breezy. Low 34-41.

Thanksgiving: Plenty of sunshine, breezy. High 44-51.

Thursday night: Clear skies. Low 30-37.

Friday: A mix of sun and clouds, breezy. High 42-49.

Friday night: Clear skies. Low 17-24.

Saturday: Sunshine and some afternoon clouds. High 31-38.

Saturday night: Partly cloudy. Low 22-29.

Sunday: Becoming partly to mostly cloudy. High 41-48.

Sunday night: Cloudy with showers likely, possibly starting as a little wet snow well north and west of Boston. Low 31-38.

Monday: Morning showers, some afternoon clearing, breezy. High 44-51.

Weekend Outlook: November 17-20, 2023

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Lots of change is in the air for the weekend, from warm to cool, from wet to dry, from windy to calm.

Temperatures should get well into the 60s for most of us on Friday. Image provided by WeatherBell.

High pressure is in control to start the weekend with dry weather for tonight and Friday. Temperatures will turn milder as winds shift into the southwest with the high pressure area moving off to our east. However, clouds will be streaming in ahead of both an approaching cold front and a low pressure area moving up the East Coast. The low pressure area is the one that has been drenching Florida for the past couple of days, but right now, it looks like it will stay far enough offshore to only bring in some rain to parts of Cape Cod and the Islands and possibly southeastern Massachusetts. However, the cold front will also bring in some showers for Friday night into Saturday morning. Saturday will start off quite mild, likely in the 50s for most spots, but with the front moving through, not only will it bring an end to the rain, it will usher much cooler weather in on gusty northwest winds. Temperatures will likely drop trough the afternoon, with skies clearing out late in the day. High pressure builds in for Sunday and Monday with sunshine and cool conditions, but it will likely remain breezy, especially on Sunday, as low pressure strengthens in Atlantic Canada.

This system shouldn’t be a big rain-maker for most of the region. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.

Thursday night: Clear skies through the evening, clouds start to move in after midnight. Low 34-41.

Friday: Increasing and thickening clouds, breezy, and mild. High 58-65.

Friday night: Cloudy with showers developing, mainly after midnight. Low 47-54.

Saturday: Rain and showers end by early afternoon, skies start to clear out late in the day, becoming breezy and turning cooler in the afternoon. High 52-59 in the morning, temperatures drop in the afternoon.

Saturday night: Clear skies, breezy during the evening. Low 28-35.

Sunday: Plenty of sunshine, breezy. High 44-51.

Sunday night: Clear skies, breezy. Low 25-32.

Monday: Sunshine and a few clouds, still a bit breezy. High 38-45.