Weekend Outlook: November 18-21, 2022

Dry and cold weather continues across the region right through the weekend.

For the most part, we’ll have weather more typical of early December for the weekend with high pressure building in and remaining in control. A weak cold front moves through late Saturday or early Sunday with little fanfare, but it will bring slightly colder weather in for Sunday and Monday. A wave of low pressure riding along that front may produce a few rain or snow showers across Cape Cod, but otherwise, we’ll remain dry for the next several days.

Sunday’s temperatures will be roughly 10 degrees below normal. Image provided by Weathermodels.com

Thursday night: Clear to partly cloudy. Low 25-32.

Friday: Mostly sunny, a few clouds across Cape Cod. High 38-45.

Friday night: Clear skies. Low 22-29.

Saturday: Mostly sunny, partly sunny across the Cape. High 37-44.

Saturday night: Partly cloudy, chance for a rain or snow shower across Cape Cod. Low 22-29.

Sunday: Partly to mostly sunny, breezy. High 33-40.

Sunday night: Clear skies. Low 19-26.

Monday: A mix of sun and clouds, breezy. High 38-45.

Weekly Outlook: November 14-2,0 2022

Uh oh. It’s that time. You might want to sit down. Yup. We’ve got some bad news for you. That word is in the forecast. You know which one we’re talking about. The one that you really don’t like. At all. It’s 4 letters, begins with “s” and ends with “w” and it rhymes with “no”. Yeah, that word. You knew it was coming eventually, but you still didn’t want to hear (or read) it. Well, it’s too late. You’ve been warned.

We start the week off with high pressure in control for Monday. The result is plenty of sunshine, but rather chilly temperatures, a stark contrast to what we had over the weekend. But, it is November, and the nice weather can’t last forever, because this is New England, not Miami or San Diego or St. Croix. Tuesday looks dry and chilly too, but we’ll have clouds streaming in ahead of a low pressure system moving toward the region.

Normal high temperatures for mid-November are within a degree or two of 50. Iage provided by Weathermodels.com

Tuesday night, some moisture will start streaming in ahead of that storm, and with temperatures likely near or below freezing, we may see some (WARNING: BAD WORD INCOMING) “snow” developing across the area. For areas from Boston southward, it may be just a few flurries or sprinkles Tuesday evening. The more substantial moisture moves in overnight, with most rain in the I-95 corridor and points south and east. North and west of there, especially outside of I-495, some wet snow may develop, but even here, it should change to rain by daybreak. The pavement remains far too warm for any accumulations (except for bridges and overpasses), but grassy surfaces, and car windshields could see some slushy accumulation, perhaps up to an inch as you head into southern New Hampshire. Across the Worcester Hills and up into the Monadnocks, there could even be a little more than that. Everything changes over to rain during the morning, and rain continues into the afternoon before winding down. There could be some gusty winds along the coast as well, but all in all, this is not a big deal. Across parts of Cape Cod and potentially southeastern Massachusetts, temperatures could briefly spike into the 50s or even 60s if the low tracks across the area, but for the rest of, Wednesday will feature temperatures in the 40s or even 30s.

If you’re out and about before daybreak Wednesday, precipitation may not be all rain. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.

An upper-level trough of low pressure crosses the Northeast of Thursday with some clouds and possibly a few sprinkles or flurries. High pressure then builds in for the end of the week and the weekend with generally dry and chilly conditions.

Temperatures on Saturday could be 10-15 degrees below normal. Image provided by WeatherBell.

Monday: Plenty of sunshine, breezy at times. High 40-47.

Monday night: Mostly clear skies. Low 21-28.

Tuesday: Some morning sun, then clouds stream in. High 39-46.

Tuesday night: Cloudy with light rain developing at night, starting as light snow or a wintry mix north and west of Boston, gradually changing to all rain by daybreak. Up to an inch of slushy accumulation is possible on grassy surfaces north and west of I-495. Low 27-34, temperatures slowly rise after midnight.

Wednesday: Any lingering wintry mix changing to all rain, ending during the afternoon. High 40-47 north and west of Boston, 48-55 south, potentially warmer across Cape Cod.

Thursday: Partly sunny, breezy, chance for a rain or snow shower. High 40-47.

Friday: Partly to mostly sunny, breezy. High 39-46.

Saturday: Sunshine and a few clouds. High 37-44.

Sunday: Partly to mostly sunny. High 38-45.

Weekend Outlook: November 11-14, 2022

Tropical Storm Nicole is crossing Florida and the Dakotas are in the midst of a blizzard. Both of these systems will have an impact on our weather over the next few days.

High pressure continues to push offshore tonight resulting in mild weather continuing into Saturday. The system producing the blizzard in the Dakotas will head into southern Canada, but a strong cold front trails that storm and it will march eastward over the next couple of days. At the same time, what’s left of Nicole will head up the Appalachians, eventually becoming absorbed by the front. We’ll see clouds start to stream in ahead of these systems tonight, but any rainfall likely holds off until late Friday afternoon, resulting in a cloudy but mild Veteran’s Day, with temperatures approaching 70 in many locations. A period of steady and potentially heavy rain is likely Friday night into Saturday morning, but the heaviest of the rain should stay to our north and west. Given that this air is of tropical origins, some rumbles of thunder are possible. The rain will also be accompanied by some gusty winds. The front moves through around midday and the rain ends, with skies starting to clear out in the afternoon. It will be another warm day, with temperatures near or above 70 once again. Clouds hang around for Saturday night and a good portion of Sunday as an upper-level trough crosses the region. Could there be a stray shower or two early Sunday? It’s possible, but they’ll be few and far between. We’ll clear out later Sunday and into Monday as high pressure builds in with much cooler air. In fact, temperatures look to be below normal for a good chunk of next week. There’s even, dare we say it, the potential for a few flakes around here with a system toward mid-week. We’ll touch on that more in our Weekly Outlook early Monday.

Temperatures Sunday morning will be 20-25 degrees cooler than they were at the same time Saturday morning. Image provided by WeatherBell.

Thursday night: Increasing clouds. Low 47-54.

Friday: Becoming cloudy, showers developing late in the day. High 64-71.

Friday night: Windy with periods of rain, possibly heavy at times, some thunder is also possible. Low 57-64 during the evening, temperatures may rise a few degrees overnight.

Saturday: Rain tapers off and ends during the morning, some sunshine develops in the afternoon, breezy. High 66-73.

Saturday night: Partly to mostly cloudy, slight chance for a late-night shower. Low 41-48.

Sunday: Plenty of clouds with a shower possible in the morning, skies start to clear out during the afternoon, much cooler. High 49-56.

Sunday night: Clear and chilly. Low 29-36.

Monday: Plenty of sunshine, but quite cool. High 41-48.

Weekly Outlook: November 7-13, 2022

Fall is a time for change, and we’ll have some changes coming this week.

Our unseasonably warm air remains in place for one more day today. A few showers are possible this morning as a cold front crosses the region, then we’ll have a sunny a warm afternoon. The colder air lags a bit behind the front, but it will start to move in late in the day. High pressure then builds inf for Tuesday and Wednesday with sunshine and much cooler temperatures, though they’ll actually be fairly close to normal for early November. As the high slides off to the east, well warm back up for Thursday and Friday. While it won’t be as warm as it was over the weekend, it’ll still be rather mild for the first half of November. After that, the changes really start.

More record highs are possible across the Northeast today. Image provided by Weathermodels.com.

An area of low pressure is slowly organizing east of the Bahamas. It will likely become a tropical depression soon (possibly even before you read this). It will likely become a tropical storm or the next day or so, and could even become a hurricane. While it may seem unusual for a hurricane this late in the year, Hurricane Season doesn’t end until November 30 for a reason. This system will likely head westward, passing close to or over the northern Bahamas before heading for the east coast of central Florida. Eventually, the storm will turn northward as a deepening trough of low pressure moves toward the East Coast. When this turn occurs is still a bit of a question, and while it will have a significant impact for Florida and the Southeast, for us up here, it doesn’t make too much of a difference (more on that in a bit). A turn before reaching Florida would obviously spare the state from the worst of the impact, delaying the turn until it crosses the state and moves into the Gulf increases the threat to western Florida and possibly the Panhandle. The most likely scenario though is a northward turn shortly after landfall, bringing it up Florida and into the Southeast. This brings heavy rain and strong winds to much of the state, while storm surge also an issue for the east coast of Florida.

Ensemble forecasts for the track of a disturbance north of Puerto Rico. Image provided by Tomer Burg.

Once it makes that turn, it will turn more toward the northeast, likely moving back offshore off the coast of Georgia, and passing close to or just off the Carolina coastline. After that it will head up the coast, passing south and east of New England on Saturday. It won’t be tropical any more at this point, but it will still be a potent nor’easter. As a result, we’ll have some rain, likely heavy, from Friday night into late Saturday. Gusty winds are also likely near the coast. Some of the models are trying to bring a tremendous amount of rain into eastern New England, and given the system’s tropical roots, this is certainly a possibility. However, we’ve seen time and time again the models forecast some very heavy rain several days in advance, and slowly back off those totals as the system gets closer.

Most of the models show some heavy rain for the end of the week, but differ on how heavy. Images provided by Pivoral Weather.

As the system moves away, a strong cold front will move through. Behind it, we’ll clear out on Sunday, but much cooler air will settle into the region with high pressure building in. In fact, a much cooler pattern is shaping up for next week, with temperatures likely below normal for a good chunk of the week.

Most of next week looks to feature below normal temperatures across the Northeast. Image provided by WeatherBell.

Monday: Cloudy, breezy, and mild with a shower possibly early, then skies clear out in the afternoon. High 71-78.

Monday night: Clear skies (Perfect for viewing the total lunar eclipse late at night). Low 37-44.

Tuesday: Plenty of sunshine, breezy, much cooler. High 48-55.

Tuesday night: Clear skies. Low 28-35.

Wednesday: More sunshine. High 47-54.

Thursday: Sunshine and a few afternoon clouds, milder. High 59-66.

Friday: Increasing and thickening clouds, showers possible late in the day, steady rain develops at night. High 63-70.

Saturday: Cloudy and breezy with periods of rain, possibly heavy at times, ending at night. High 61-68.

Sunday: A mix of sun and clouds, breezy, and much cooler. High 46-53.

Weekend Outlook: November 4-7, 2022

The calendar says November, but it sure won’t feel like it this weekend.

High pressure controls our weather right into Monday. Temperatures will be well above normal, with highs topping 70 in many locations for each of the next few afternoon. Friday will feature sunshine, but some clouds will start to move in on Saturday, and be more prevalent on Sunday as a weak front tries to approach from the west. That front likely never gets here, so we’ll clear out again on Monday. However, a backdoor cold front will drop southward later Monday. There won’t be much in the way of cloudcover with the front, but it will mark the end of our warm spell, with cooler weather slowly returning next week.

A few record highs are possible across the region on Sunday. Image provided by WeatherBell.

Thursday night: Clear to partly cloudy, a little patchy fog may develop in a few spots. Low 41-48.

Friday: Sunshine and a few clouds. High 65-72.

Friday night: Partly cloudy. Low 51-58.

Saturday: A mix of sun and clouds. High 68-75.

Saturday night: Partly to mostly cloudy. Low 59-66.

Sunday: Intervals of clouds and sunshine. High 69-76.

Sunday night: Partly cloudy. Low 57-64.

Monday: Becoming mostly sunny. High 70-77.

Weekly Outlook: October 31 – November 6, 2022

As we flip the calendar to November, it certainly won’t feel like the final month of fall for a good portion of the week.

Normal high temperatures are in the middle 50s as we begin November. Image provided by Weathermodels.com

We start the week off with low pressure moving from the Tennessee Valley into the eastern Great Lakes. It will spread clouds into the region today, with a few showers likely tonight into early Tuesday. Once that system moves by, high pressure builds in with drier conditions for Wednesday right through to Saturday. Temperatures will be mild for the most part, and next weekend could see temperatures get into the 70s away from the coastline. By Sunday, a cold front will drop down from the north with some showers, but temperatures will be dependent on the timing of the front. The later it moves through, the more likely it is that we have another warm day.

Next Sunday could be very warm across the region. Image provided by WeatherBell.

Monday: Plenty of clouds with some sunny breaks at times. High 60-67.

Monday night: Mostly cloudy, chance for a few showers. Low 50-57.

Tuesday: Chance for a few showers early, some clearing may take place late in the day. High 62-69.

Tuesday night: Becoming clear. Low 48-55.

Wednesday: Plenty of sunshine. High 61-68.

Thursday: Sun, sun, sun! High 56-63.

Friday: Partly sunny. High 62-69.

Saturday: Intervals of clouds and sun. High 65-72.

Sunday: Partly to mostly cloudy with showers possible. High 65-72.

Weekend Outlook: October 28-31, 2022

An extended stretch of dry weather is coming up, but it probably won’t last through Halloween.

High pressure provides the region with dry weather into early Sunday. Some clouds will be around on Friday as an upper-level disturbance moves through, otherwise, we’ll generally have clear skies. Temperatures will be on the cool side through Friday night, but will start to moderate on Saturday as high pressure moves off to the east. Clouds start to stream in on Sunday ahead of a low pressure system moving up from the southwest. That system will bring in some showers for Monday afternoon and into Tuesday. For any local towns that still do trick-or-treating on Halloween itself, it’s look rather damp right now.

Saturday morning could be rather chilly in some locations. Image provided by WeatherBell.

Thursday night: Clear and cool, breezy through the evening. Low 34-41.

Friday: A mix of sun and clouds. High 51-58.

Friday night: Becoming mostly clear. Low 29-36.

Saturday: Plenty of sunshine. High 55-62.

Saturday night: Clear skies. Low 30-37.

Sunday: Sunshine during the morning, clouds start to increase during the afternoon. High 58-65.

Sunday night: Mostly cloudy. Low 41-48.

Monday: Cloudy with showers likely, mainly during the afternoon and evening. High 61-68.

Weekly Outlook: October 24-30, 2022

Over the past few months, we’ve had numerous weeks during which we have enjoyed extended stretches of dry weather. The first half of this week won’t be one of them.

A weak low pressure system moving up from the south will bring in more showers today, tapering off to drizzle this evening. Occasional showers may linger into Tuesday and Wednesday as an upper-level system moves in from the west, before a cold front finally moves across the region. Drier air moves in for Thursday, but temperatures will remain warm. High pressure then builds in for the end of the week with drier and more seasonable conditions.

Parts of the region could receive a decent amount of rainfall today. Image provided by WeatherBell.

Monday: Cloudy with occasional showers and fog. High 59-66.

Monday night: A few more showers along with some drizzle and fog. Low 51-58.

Tuesday: Plenty of clouds with a shower or two possible. High 64-71.

Tuesday night: Cloudy with a few showers, more fog may develop. Low 55-62.

Wednesday: Scattered showers. High 61-68.

Thursday: A mix of sun and clouds. High 64-71.

Friday: Partly sunny and cooler. High 52-59.

Saturday: Intervals of clouds and sun. High 53-60.

Sunday: Partly sunny. High 56-63.

Weekend Outlook: October 21-24, 2022

We’ve got a couple of nice days coming up, and a couple of not-so-nice days coming up.

After dealing with a drought for most of the summer, rainfall is above to well above normal over the past 60 days for most of the region. Image provided by WeatherBell.

High pressure remains in control through Saturday with sunshine both Friday and Saturday afternoon along with moderating temperatures. So, if you’ve got outdoor plans, you’re in good shape. Clouds will start to move in from the south late Saturday and Saturday night as low pressure starts moving up the coastline. This will be a fairly weak storm, but it will have plenty of moisture. Rain will develop during the day on Sunday, likely reaching the South Coast during the morning, the Mass Pike corridor by early afternoon, and the Merrimack Valley and Southern New Hampshire by late afternoon. Sunday night will be fairly wet, as the rain may be heavy at times. On Monday, the rain will taper off to showers during the morning, with the steadiest rain ending by early afternoon. However, occasional showers and drizzle may linger well into the evening, which could make for a damp night in Foxborough for the Patriots Monday Night Football game with the Bears.

Some heavy rain is possible across parts of the region Sunday into Monday. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.

Thursday night: Clear and chilly again. Low 36-43.

Friday: Plenty of sunshine. High 57-64.

Friday night: Clear skies. Low 37-44.

Saturday: Sunshine through early afternoon, then high clouds start to stream in. High 61-68.

Saturday night: Increasing and thickening clouds. Low 41-48.

Sunday: Rain developing from south to north. High 57-64.

Sunday night: Periods of rain, possibly heavy. Low 47-54.

Monday: Rain tapers off to showers early, showers drizzle through the afternoon. High 59-66.

Weekly Outlook: October 17-23, 2022

The week starts off unsettled, but a warmup is in the way.

Normal high temperatures for mid-October are in the lower 60s across the region. Image provided by Weathermodels.com

A strong cold front will approach the region today, with some showers developing ahead of it. Those showers will continue off -and-on into Tuesday morning before the front finally pushes offshore. It does not look like we’ll have the heavy rain that the models were advertising a few days ago, but any rain will help to continue to put a dent into the drought. Skies start to clear out late in the day as high pressure starts to build in. While temperatures will turn cooler for Tuesday and Wednesday, the core of the cold air will stay off to our west. In fact, some lake-effect snow is possible downwind of the Great Lakes over the next few days. We’ll have temperatures that are below normal, but highs should still be in the 50s. By the end of the week and the weekend, the high slides off to the east, allowing temperatures to moderate to above normal levels for Friday into Sunday.

Temperatures could reach 70 degrees next weekend. Image provided by WeatherBell.

Monday: Mostly cloudy, showers develop in the afternoon. High 57-64.

Monday night: Cloudy with occasional showers. Low 46-53.

Tuesday: Showers ending by early afternoon, gradual clearing late in the day. High 56-63.

Tuesday night: Becoming clear. Low 34-41.

Wednesday: Sunshine and a few clouds. High 51-58.

Thursday: Plenty of sunshine, breezy. High 50-57.

Friday: Mostly sunny. High 56-63.

Saturday: Sunshine and some afternoon clouds. High 62-69.

Sunday: A mix of sun and clouds. High 63-70.