Weekly Outlook: July 1-7, 2024

Cooler and drier weather moves in to start the week, but heat and humidity will make a return appearance for the Fourth of July.

Dewpoints will drop into the 50s on Tuesday. Image provided by WeatherBell.

High pressure builds in to start the week with lower humidity and cooler temperatures. An upper-level disturbance will also move in, generating some clouds, and possibly a few pop-up showers. With the high building in for Tuesday and Wednesday we’ll have more sunshine, seasonably warm temperatures and comfortable humidity levels. A weak front will approach Wednesday night, with a few showers possible, but the front likely stalls out and washes out without moving through the region. Very warm and increasingly humid conditions are expected from the Fourth of July into the weekend. A few showers and thunderstorms are possible each afternoon, especially Friday and Saturday.

Some models show the potential for hot and humid weather to return this coming weekend. Imageprovided by Weathermodels.com.

Monday: Partly sunny, chance for a pop-up shower or two, not as humid. High 72-79.

Monday night: Becoming clear. Low 57-64.

Tuesday: Lots of sunshine. High 78-85.

Tuesday night: Partly cloudy. Low 58-65.

Wednesday: A mix of sun and clouds, chance for a few showers at night. High 79-86.

Fourth of July: Chance for a morning shower, otherwise partly sunny and becoming humid. High 83-90, a little cooler near the South Coast and Cape Cod.

Friday: A mix of sun and clouds, chance for a late-day shower or thunderstorm. High 83-90, a little cooler along the coast.

Saturday: Intervals of clouds and sun, chance for some late-day showers or thunderstorms. High 84-91, a little cooler along the coast.

Sunday: A mix of sun and clouds, slight chance for a shower or thunderstorm. High 85-92, a little cooler along the coast.

Weekly Outlook: June 24-30, 2024

As we head into the last week of June, we’ll enjoy some warm weather with humidity levels rising and dropping at various points.

Dewpoints could drop into the lower 50s by Friday. Image provided by WeatherBell.

A cold front will move across the region during the day today, but moisture will be limited, so only a few stray showers will likely accompany the front. Drier air settles in behind it for tonight and Tuesday. High pressure builds in behind the front on Tuesday with plenty of sunshine and warm temperatures. Another cold front will begin to approach on Wednesday, with hot and humid weather returning. As the front moves in late in the day, another round of showers and thunderstorms is expected. The timing of the front will determine whether we’re looking at more severe weather or not, but the potential exists, as long as the front moves in during the afternoon. Showers and storms come to an end late Wednesday night or early Thursday, then high pressure builds back in with cooler and drier conditions for Thursday and Friday. As that high moves offshore, warmer and more humid weather returns on Saturday. Another frontal system may move in on Sunday, with another round of showers and thunderstorms possible.

Some models have showers and thunderstorms move in late Wednesday afternoon, others wait until evening. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.

Monday: A mix of sun and clouds, slight chance for an afternoon shower. High 79-86.

Monday night: Partly cloudy during the evening, clearing overnight. Low 58-65.

Tuesday: Sunny, not as humid. High 82-89.

Tuesday night: Partly cloudy. Low 64-71.

Wednesday: Early sun, then increasing clouds, showers and thunderstorms likely late in the day and at night, breezy, more humid. High 86-93, a little cooler near the South Coast.

Thursday: Becoming partly to mostly sunny, drier. High 77-84.

Friday: Plenty of sunshine. High 73-80.

Saturday: Partly sunny. High 77-84.

Sunday: Intervals of clouds and sun, chance for some showers and thunderstorms. High 81-88.

Weekly Outlook: June 17-23, 2024

Ready or not, the first heat wave of the summer is on the way later this week.

A warm front will cross the region today with just some clouds accompanying it, but little to no precipitation. Behind it, south to southwest winds will usher warmer and more humid air in, and it will remain in place for a good chunk of the week. High pressure building in both at the surface and aloft will result in partly to mostly sunny skies with hot and humid conditions from Tuesday into at least Thursday. The south winds will keep the South Coast and Cape Cod cooler, only in the 80s or even upper 70s, but inland temperatures will get well into the 90s, but when you factor in the humidity, it will feel like 95-105 degrees during the hottest part of the day each afternoon. Air temperatures could approach 100 both Wednesday and Thursday afternoon, especially from MetroWest into the Merrimack Valley, with some records possible. Excessive Heat Watches and Heat Advisories are already in effect for parts of the region from Tuesday afternoon into Friday evening. A few showers and thunderstorms may pop up each afternoon, especially Thursday, but they will be widely scattered, and only provide some relief in a few spots.

Thursday is looking like the hottest day in quite some time across the region. Image provided by WeatherBell.

By the end of the week, a cold will start to drop down from the north, bringing more widespread showers and thunderstorms along with cooler weather, but when it moves through is still a question mark. Some models bring it down on Friday, have it lift back northward later Saturday, others have it move through on Friday, then not come back until early in the following week. This will obviously have a big impact on the temperature forecast, especially for the weekend. Some showers will likely accompany this front as waves of low pressure ride along it, but timing them is a fool’s errand at this point, because we’re not even sure yet when the front will move through.

Not all of the models have cooler air move in for Saturday. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.

Monday: A mix of sun and clouds, breezy during the afternoon. High 78-85, a little cooler near the South Coast.

Monday night: Clear to partly cloudy. Low 61-68.

Tuesday: Partly to mostly sunny. High 90-97, except 82-89 near the South Coast and 74-81 across the Cape and Islands.

Tuesday night: Clear to partly cloudy. Low 64-71.

Wednesday: Sunshine and a few clouds. High 93-100, except 85-92 near the South Coast and 77-84 across the Cape and Islands.

Thursday: Partly sunny. High 95-102, except 87-94 near the South Coast and 79-86 across the Cape and Islands.

Friday: Intervals of clouds and sun with some showers and thunderstorms possible. High 90-97, except 82-89 near the coast.

Saturday: Partly sunny, chance for an afternoon shower or thunderstorm. High 84-91, cooler near the coast.

Sunday: Intervals of clouds and sun, showers and thunderstorms possible. High 80-87, cooler near the coast.

Weekly Outlook: June 10-16, 2024

Much of the upcoming week will feature some rather nice weather for mid-June.

Average high temperatures for mid-June are in the middle 70s across the region. Image provided by Weathermodels.com

We start the week with an upper-level low pressure area still influencing our weather for Monday and Tuesday. We’ll start both days with sunshine, but clouds will develop with a few widely scattered showers popping up each afternoon, then dissipating after sunset. Temperatures will remain a little below normal for mid-June. High pressure builds in Wednesday with drier and seasonably warm conditions. As the high slides offshore on Thursday we’ll start to turn warmer. A cold front will approach the region on Friday. Ahead of it we’ll turn even warmer with a few places possibly approaching 90 degrees. Humidity levels will also be on the increase, though we’re not expecting mid-summer humidity – dewpoints will get into the lower to perhaps middle 60s. As that front moves in, we’ll have some showers and thunderstorms move in late Friday and Friday night. The timing of the front will determine whether or not we’re looking at some severe weather. We’ll have a better idea if that is the case when we get to our Weekend Outlook on Thursday. The front moves offshore by Saturday morning, then high pressure builds back in with cooler and drier weather for the weekend.

Friday is looking like the warmest day of the week. Image provided by WeatherBell.

Monday: Sunshine and some afternoon clouds, slight chance for a shower. High 70-77.

Monday night: Clear to partly cloudy. Low 51-58.

Tuesday: A mix of sun and clouds, a stray shower is possible. High 70-77.

Tuesday night: Clear to partly cloudy. Low 54-61.

Wednesday: Partly to mostly sunny. High 73-80, coolest at the coast.

Thursday: Sunshine and a few clouds. High 80-87, cooler across the South Coast.

Friday: Partly sunny, showers and thunderstorms likely late in the day and at night. High 84-91, cooler across the South Coast.

Saturday: Becoming mostly sunny. High 75-82.

Sunday: Partly to mostly sunny. High 75-82.

Weekly Outlook: June 3-9, 2024

Our stretch of nice weather will continue for a few more days, but changes are coming.

A backdoor cold front brings much cooler air in this afternoon and evening. Loop provided by Weathermodels.com

A weak disturbance passes by early in the day with some clouds and possibly a stray shower or two, otherwise, high pressure remains in control today with mainly dry conditions, but a backdoor cold front will bring some cooler weather into eastern parts of the region during the afternoon. High pressure remains in control for Tuesday with more sunshine and seasonably warm temperatures, though a seabreeze will keep coastal areas cooler. Wednesday is when the transition starts. An upper-level low starts to move out of the Midwest, sending clouds in, but we’ll remain warm, though a seabreeze is likely at the coast once again. A warm front approaches Wednesday night with showers developing, possibly a period of steady rain early Thursday. A second disturbance follows for Thursday night into Friday with another round of showers possible. With the cloud cover and rainfall, temperatures will be cooler, but probably still close to normal for early June. As the upper-level low moves through on Saturday, some additional showers are likely, possibly lingering into Sunday as well, depending on how quickly the upper-level low pressure area moves away from the region.

All of the models have a decent amount of rain in here for the end of the week, but some have quite a bit more than others. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.

Monday: Slight chance for a morning shower, then becoming mostly sunny. High 79-86 inland, 71-78 along the coast but dropping in the afternoon.

Monday night: Partly cloudy. Low 50-57.

Tuesday: Sunshine and some afternoon clouds. High 65-72 along the coast, 73-80 inland.

Tuesday night: Partly cloudy. Low 52-59.

Wednesday: Partly sunny, rain may develop late in the day, more likely at night. High 77-84, cooler along the coast.

Thursday: Mostly cloudy with some showers possible, especially in the morning. High 69-76, coolest near the coast.

Friday: Intervals of clouds and sun, chance for a few showers. High 70-77.

Saturday: Partly sunny, chance for a few more showers. High 69-76.

Sunday: A mix of sun and clouds, slight chance for another shower. High 70-77.

Weekly Outlook: May 27-June 2, 2024

Unsettled weather is expected to start the week, but the end should be drier.

We could see a few showers this morning, but the heavier ones are likely this evening. Loop provided by Weatherbell.

Low pressure heading into southeastern Canada will send a warm front toward the region today, but it likely stays to our south, meaning we’ll be cooler than the last several days. A few showers are possible ahead of the front during the morning and early afternoon, but the bulk of the rain should accompany the cold front later Monday and Monday night. Some of that rain could be heavy, but flooding isn’t too much of a concern, as it the rain should end fairly quickly. In fact, as the cold front moves offshore, we’ll quickly clear out on Tuesday with warmer temperatures return. After that, an upper-level low pressure area will settle into the Northeast, with cooler weather return for the middle to latter half of the week. Clouds will return on Wednesday as another system approaches the region. This system may bring in some more rain for Wednesday night into Thursday, but there is quite a bit of spread in the model solutions for this next system, so how much rain, if any, and when to expect it, is still highly uncertain. High pressure then builds in for the end of the week and the weekend, with a warming trend expected.

Will we have some rain Wednesday night and Thursday? That remains to be seen. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.

Editorial Note: Our annual start of hurricane season blog, including stats about how overdue we are heading into which is expected to be a very active season, will be published on Friday, in advance of the official start of hurricane season on Saturday.

Monday: Plenty of clouds, some areas of fog to start the day, especially south of Boston, some showers possible during the morning and early afternoon, becoming more widespread late in the day, breezy in the afternoon. High 67-74.

Monday night: Cloudy with rain and some thunderstorms likely, possibly heavy, ending shortly after midnight. Low 57-64.

Tuesday: Early clouds, then becoming partly to mostly sunny. High 76-83, cooler along the South Coast.

Tuesday night: Clear skies. Low 55-62.

Wednesday: Sunny in the morning, then increasing clouds, showers possible at night. High 71-78.

Thursday: More clouds than sun with a chance of showers. High 64-71.

Friday: Partly sunny. High 65-72.

Saturday: A mix of sun and clouds. High 67-74, a little cooler near the coast.

Sunday: Partly sunny. High 71-78, cooler along the coast.

Weekly Outlook: May 20-27, 2024

Memorial Day Weekend is the unofficial start of summer around here, but Mother Nature is going to start a few days early.

Temperatures will be well above normal for much of the upcoming week. Image provided by Weathermodels.com

High pressure starts to build in today, with skies clearing out as we go through the morning and afternoon with warmer weather beginning to move in. We get an early taste of summer for Tuesday and Wednesday with temperatures likely topping 80 away from the South Coast, where southwest winds will act as a seabreeze. Don’t be surprised if we see some 90-degree readings across the interior on Wednesday. A cold front moves in on Thursday with some showers and thunderstorms expected. Depending on the timing of the front and the associated shower activity, we could see another warm, and likely more humid day. High pressure builds back in for Friday and into the first part of Memorial Day weekend with dry and more seasonable conditions. Another system may move in for Memorial Day itself, but this is a bit uncertain at this point, so don’t go cancelling any plans yet.

Wednesday is looking like a very warm day across the region. Image provided by WeatherBell.

Monday: Becoming partly to mostly sunny. High 62-69 along the coast, 70-77 inland.

Monday night: Clear to partly cloudy, some patchy fog may develop. Low 48-55.

Tuesday: Sunshine and some afternoon clouds, just a slight chance for a late-day shower or thunderstorm, mainly well north and west of Boston. High 80-87 inland, 72-79 along the coast, except 64-71 South Coast and Cape Cod.

Tuesday night: Clear to partly cloudy. Low 57-64, cooler near the South Coast.

Wednesday: Mostly sunny and quite warm, again just a slight chance for a late-day shower or thunderstorm, mostly well inland. High 84-91 inland, 76-83 along the coast, except 68-75 South Coast and Cape Cod.

Thursday: Partly to mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms becoming more likely, especially in the afternoon. High 82-89 inland, 74-81 along the coast, a little cooler across Cape Cod.

Friday: Becoming mostly sunny. High 74-81, cooler across Cape Cod.

Saturday: A mix of sun and clouds. High 71-78, a little cooler at the coast.

Sunday: Partly sunny with a chance for showers, especially late in the day. High 64-71, coolest near the coast.

Memorial Day: Intervals of clouds and sun with a chance for showers. High 64-71.

Weekly Outlook: May 13-19, 2024

We’ll manage a couple of nice days this week, but some more not-so-nice days as well.

Tuesday is shaping up to the pick of the week. Image provided by WeatherBell.

An upper-level low departs today and high pressure starts to build in with milder weather, but a few more showers are possible this afternoon, mainly north of the Mass Pike. Tuesday looks even warmer, but low pressure will start to move toward the region, with showers likely at night and into Wednesday. Showers may linger into early Thursday, but as low pressure pulls away we’ll start to clear out and turn milder once again. Friday looks to be dry and mild, then another system may move in with rain and cooler weather again on Saturday. Conditions should start to improve on Sunday.

Will Saturday be wet or dry? Cool or Warm? Time will tell. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.

Editorial note: There will likely not be a Weekly Outlook published this week on Thursday.

Monday: Morning sunshine, then some afternoon clouds with a few showers possible, mainly north of the Mass Pike. High 64-71, a little cooler along the coast.

Monday night: Plenty of clouds with showers ending in the evening, becoming partly cloudy after midnight. Low 47-54.

Tuesday: Partly sunny early, then becoming cloudy in the afternoon with showers possible late in the day, breezy. High 73-80, cooler along south-facing shorelines.

Tuesday night: Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Low 52-59.

Wednesday: Cloudy with more showers. High 61-68.

Thursday: Becoming partly sunny. High 61-68, a little cooler along the coast.

Friday: Partly sunny. High 63-70, a little cooler along the coast.

Saturday: Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain. High 59-66, a little cooler along the coast.

Sunday: Becoming partly sunny. High 65-72, a little cooler along the coast.

Weekly Outlook: May 6-12, 2024

Better enjoy these next two days, because much of this week won’t be that great.

We’re still in the Top 10 for wettest years on record to date, and more rain is expected later this week. Image provided by the Southeast Regional Climate Center.

An upper-level disturbance pulls away from the region this morning, bringing an end to any lingering showers, then skies will start to clear out, with much milder air moving in. A weak front dropping down from the north may trigger a few showers or even a thunderstorm this afternoon, but they’ll be brief and not that widespread. Tuesday is most certainly the pick of the week. High pressure builds in with lots of sunshine, allowing temperatures to get well into the 70s, though coastal locations will be much cooler as a seabreeze kicks in. With water temperatures still only in the 40s to lower 50s, places right at the shoreline will drop back to the 50s during the afternoon.

Tuesday will be a warm day across most of the region. Image provided by Weathermodels.com

Low pressure moves into the Great Lakes on Wednesday, sending a frontal boundary towards the region. We’ll see some showers developing, with cooler air starting to move back in. That front will stall out and we’ll see waves of low pressure riding along it for Thursday and Friday, producing more showers while likely keeping temperatures quite chilly for early May. South of that front, temperatures will be quite a bit milder. It could lift northward at times, bringing that milder air back into parts of Rhode Island and southeastern Massachusetts, while the rest of the region stays rather cool, but picking out when (or if) that will happen several days in advance is not that simple. It won’t be raining the entire time, and neither day will likely be a washout, but it won’t exactly be beach weather either. There are some indications that high pressure may try to build in for later Saturday and Sunday with drier air and improving weather, but other models want to keep low pressure nearby with more rain and cool conditions. We’re going to be cautiously optimistic for now, but should have a better idea when we publish our Weekend Outlook Thursday afternoon.

The models are trending toward drier weather for Saturday, but not all of them. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.

Monday: Any lingering showers end early, then becoming partly sunny, another shower or thunderstorm possible late in the day. High 69-76, cooler across Cape Cod.

Monday night: Gradual clearing. Low 48-55.

Tuesday: Sunshine and a few clouds. High 70-77, cooler at the coast.

Tuesday night: Clear during the evening, clouds start to move in overnight. Low 45-52.

Wednesday: Mostly cloudy with some showers likely. High 59-66, coolest at the coast.

Thursday: Mostly cloudy and breezy with more showers. High 58-65, a little cooler at the coast.

Friday: Breezy and cool with a chance for some additional showers. High 52-59.

Saturday: Intervals of clouds and sunshine, breezy, chance for a few more showers. High 53-60.

Sunday: Partly sunny, breezy, slight chance for a shower. High 58-65, coolest at the coast.

Weekly Outlook: April 29 – May 5, 2024

Temperatures will ride a bit of a rollercoaster this week, rather typical for Spring in New England.

Away from the coastline temperatures should get into the 70s this afternoon. Image provided by Weathermodels.com

We’ll start the week off on a warm note with high pressure in control, providing us with partly cloudy skies and warm temperatures, though a seabreeze will keep coastal areas significantly cooler in the afternoon. A backdoor cold front moves in Monday night, resulting in much cooler temperatures across the region for Tuesday and Wednesday. Another system moves in from the west bringing in some showers Tuesday night into Wednesday morning. We may see some clearing during the afternoon, but it will remain cool.

Tuesday afternoon will be as much as 15-25 degrees colder than this afternoon across the region. Images provided by WeatherBell.

Thursday has the biggest question marks at this point. Some models indicate high pressure building in with some sunshine and warmer weather return. Other models have the backdoor cold front stay to our south with much cooler weather and possibly another round of showers as another weak disturbance moves through. Friday looks to be a dry day, but once again temperatures will be dependent on the position of that backdoor cold front. If the front stays to our north, we could end up much milder than what our forecast shows. Another system will move in from the west next weekend with a period of showers likely, mainly late Saturday into early Sunday. Temperatures both days will be dependent on when the rain both moves in and moves out, but will likely end up close to or a little below where we should be in early May.

There’s a wide range in temperature forecasts among the models for Thursday afternoon. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.

Monday: Sunshine and some afternoon clouds. High 60-67 along the coast, 68-75 inland.

Monday night: Becoming partly to mostly cloudy, slight chance for a shower. Low 44-51.

Tuesday: Mostly cloudy. High 53-60 coolest along the coast, possibly even cooler from the North Shore to the New Hampshire Seacoast.

Tuesday night: Cloudy with some showers likely. Low 41-48.

Wednesday: Mostly cloudy, showers ending in the morning. High 50-57, coolest along the coast.

Thursday: Partly sunny, slight chance for a shower. High 63-70, cooler along the coast.

Friday: Partly sunny. High 62-69, cooler along the coast.

Saturday: More clouds than sun with some showers possible, especially late in the day. High 60-67.

Sunday: Partly to mostly cloudy with a chance for some showers. High 58-65.