Weekly Outlook

Weekly Outlook: November 11-17, 2024

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Although today will be mild, much of this week will be cooler than we have been for a while.

Today will be the warmest day of the week by a large margin. Image provided by WeatherBell.

A warm front moved through overnight, setting us up for a mild day today, with some spots possibly making a run at 70 degrees. Any lingering showers will end this morning as a cold front moves through, with rapid clearing behind the front this afternoon. However, the airmass behind the front isn’t that cold, which is one reason why we’ll be some warm today. A second cold front moves through late tonight or early Tuesday with little moisture accompanying it. Behind it, gusty northwest winds will usher some cooler air in during the day. As high pressure moves right overhead on Wednesday we’ll have sunshine but temperatures will be quite cool, even below normal for mid-November. That high pressure area will settle into eastern Canada for the end of the week, keeping us dry and cool. A weak low pressure system moving out of the Great Lakes will spread some clouds in on Thursday, but it looks like that system will slide off to our south, so we’re not expecting any rainfall from it.

Temperatures will be a little below normal for much of this week. Image provided by Weathermodels.com.

The end of the week and the weekend becomes a little more complicated, but the end result is that we should remain dry and seasonably cool. We’ll have an ocean storm moving into Atlantic Canada that is going to try and back in from the east, and a big high pressure centered to our west. The high should win out, keeping us dry and seasonably cool, but there may be clouds and a few showers at times, and possibly some gusty winds, especially near the coast, thanks to the ocean storm. We’ll keep a close eye on how this actually evolves later this week, and will update things in our Weekend Outlook on Thursday.

The weekend forecast is a battle between low pressure to our east and high pressure to our west. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.

Monday: Showers ending early, then skies become mostly sunny in the afternoon, breezy. High 61-68.

Monday night: Clear to partly cloudy, becoming breezy again late at night. Low 40-47.

Tuesday: Sunshine and a few clouds, breezy, cooler. High 48-55.

Tuesday night: Partly cloudy across Cape Cod and the Islands, clear elsewhere. Low 25-32, a little milder across Cape Cod and the Islands.

Wednesday: Plenty of sunshine with a few clouds across Cape Cod and the Islands, chilly. High 41-48.

Thursday: Intervals of clouds and sun. High 41-48.

Friday: Partly sunny, clouds may become a little more prevalent late in the day with just a slight chance for a few showers, especially near the coast. High 46-53.

Saturday: A mix of sun and clouds, breezy. High 49-56.

Sunday: Partly sunny. High 52-59.

Weekly Outlook: November 4-10, 2024

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Little rainfall is expected this week, which means drought conditions will continue to worsen across the region.

Rainfall has been above normal across parts of Rhode Island over the past 6 months, but below to well below normal for the rest of the region. Image provided by WeatherBell.

High pressure slides offshore today and a warm front heads toward the region. Clouds will increase and thicken up during the day ahead of the front, but only a few widely scattered showers will accompany the front tonight. Temperatures will rise tonight behind the front, with a couple of unseasonably warm days likely once again for Tuesday and Wednesday, with temperatures topping 70 in many areas , especially on Wednesday. A cold front will cross the region Wednesday night, accompanied by little to no rainfall once again. High pressure builds in for Thursday and Friday with cooler conditions, though temperatures will remain above normal for early November. Another cold front moves through Friday night with little fanfare, but even cooler weather follows for the weekend as high pressure builds back in. Clouds will start to move back in by late Sunday ahead of yet another system that will move in for the start of next week.

Record highs are possible across the Northeast on Wednesday. Image provided by Weathermodels.com

Monday: Sunshine filtered through high clouds, but they’ll thicken up late in the day. High 49-56.

Monday night: Mostly cloudy, slight chance for a shower. Low 43-50 in the evening, temperatures start to rise overnight.

Tuesday: Morning clouds, becoming partly sunny, breezy, and warmer. High 64-71.

Tuesday night: Clear to partly cloudy, breezy. Low 55-62.

Wednesday: A mix of sun and clouds, breezy, slight chance for a shower at night. High 69-76, a little cooler across Cape Cod.

Thursday: Mostly sunny, not as warm. High 59-66.

Friday: Sunshine and a few clouds, breezy. High 56-63.

Saturday: Mostly sunny and cooler. High 50-57.

Sunday: Morning sunshine fades behind increasing afternoon clouds, showers possible at night. High 52-59.

Weekly Outlook: October 28 – November 3, 2024

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Temperatures will be riding a rollercoaster this week, but we’re still not expecting much rain.

It’s looking rather chilly across the region tonight. Image provided by WeatherBell.

The week starts off with a rather chilly day as high pressure settles in. Despite sunshine, temperatures will only get into the 50s for most spots, and some may not even get that warm. As the high moves overhead tonight, we’ll have clear skies and light winds – a perfect recipe for radiational cooling. Some high clouds may start to move in overnight, which would slow the temperature fall. Temperatures should drop below freezing for much of the region, except possibly the urban areas and some spots across Cape Cod. If you’ve still got a few plants outside, it’s time to bring them in. The high slides off to the east on Tuesday, allowing temperatures to start to moderate a bit. Clouds move in late in the day ahead of a warm front. That warm front may bring in a few showers Tuesday night, but they shouldn’t be that widespread or heavy. Behind it, much milder weather returns for Wednesday and Thursday. Despite some clouds, temperatures will likely top 70 again in many locations on Halloween, and possibly even 80, which will make for some rather nice trick-or-treating weather Thursday evening, and possibly set a few records as well. Another cold front will move in early Friday, again with only a few showers accompanying it. Temperatures look like they’ll be quite mild in the morning, but cooler air moves in behind it during the afternoon. If the front comes in even later than we’re currently thinking, then we could see many places get well into the 70s again on Friday. High pressure returns for next weekend with much cooler air once again.

The models don’t agree on the timing of Friday’s cold front, which has a significant impact on the temperature forecast. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.

Don’t forget – Daylight Saving Time ends Sunday at 2am, when the clocks go back one hour. So, the good news is that you get an extra hour of sleep Saturday night. The bad news? Sunset next Sunday is at 4:34pm.

Clocks go back one hour at 2am on Sunday. Image provided by the Associated Press.

Monday: Sunshine and a few clouds. High 48-55.

Monday night: Clear through the evening, some high clouds may start to drift in after midnight. Low 27-34, a little milder across the Outer Cape and in urban areas.

Tuesday: Increasing and thickening clouds. High 52-59.

Tuesday night: Mostly cloudy, chance for some widely scattered showers. Low 46-53 during the evening, temperatures may start to rise a bit after midnight.

Wednesday: Becoming partly sunny, breezy, and warmer. High 67-74, a little cooler across Cape Cod.

Thursday: Partly sunny, breezy, and very warm. High 72-79, a little cooler across Cape Cod.

Friday: Some morning showers, some clearing in the afternoon, breezy. High 63-70.

Saturday: Mostly sunny, cooler. High 49-56.

Sunday: Sunny in the morning, clouds start to move back in during the afternoon. High 53-60.

Weekly Outlook: October 21-27, 2024

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Our stretch of dry and warm weather will continue for a few more days, but changes are coming later this week.

Another fantastic mid-Autumn day is expected today. Image provided by WeatherBell.

We start the week off with high pressure still in control, giving us dry and unseasonably warm conditions through Wednesday. High temperatures will likely top 70 in many areas each of the next 3 days, and a few places could even reach 80 this afternoon, though a backdoor cold front may bring some cooler weather into coastal areas on Tuesday. However, all good things must come to an end, and a stronger cold front will bring an end to the warm weather on Thursday. Breezy and cooler weather is likely with the frontal passage early in the day, but as has been the case for a while now, little rainfall will accompany it. After a couple of cool and dry days, another cold front will approach on Saturday. Once again, we’re not expecting drought-busting rainfall with this front, just a few widely scattered showers. Behind that front even cooler weather settles in for the end of the weekend.

Precipitation has been below normal over the past 6 months and this week won’t help that. Image provided by the Northeast Regional Climate Center.

Monday: Sunshine with just a few afternoon clouds. High 72-79, a little cooler across Cape Cod.

Monday night: Clear to partly cloudy. Low 49-56.

Tuesday: Plenty of sunshine. High 69-76, a littler cooler along the coast.

Tuesday night: Clear to partly cloudy. Low 49-56.

Wednesday: Mostly sunny. High 69-76, a little cooler across Cape Cod.

Thursday: Some morning clouds, then becoming mostly sunny, breezy, and much cooler. High 56-63.

Friday: Mostly sunny. High 52-59.

Saturday: Partly sunny, chance for a few widely-scattered showers. High 56-63.

Sunday: Partly to mostly sunny, breezy, and cool. High 50-57.

Weekly Outlook: October 14-20, 2024

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This week will be the coolest week we’ve had around here in the past six months.

Temperatures will be below normal for much of the upcoming week. Image provided by Weathermodels.com

We’re starting the week off on a damp note with a low pressure system crossing the region, generating a few more showers, mainly during the morning hours today. We’ll start to clear out behind a cold front this afternoon, with gusty northwest winds developing. We may turn mild this afternoon, with parts of the region topping 60, especially south of Boston, but much cooler air will settle in behind the front tonight. High pressure builds in with dry and cool conditions for Tuesday into Thursday, but with an upper-level low moving across the Northeast, it will remain breezy, with a few clouds around at times. In addition, the onshore flow around the high pressure area may bring a few clouds and even a shower or two into coastal areas. To our north, this upper-level low will generate some snow showers across parts of Northern New England, especially in the mountains, but that’s not a concern around here. As the high slides off to the east, temperatures should start to moderate at the end of the week. Another frontal system may move in for the end of the weekend, but for now, it doesn’t look like it will have much moisture to work with.

It’s getting toward that time of year. Some snow is likely in the mountains this week. Image provided by WeatherBell.

Monday: Cloudy and becoming breezy with showers ending by early afternoon, skies start to clear out late in the day. High 52-59 north of the Mass Pike, 60-67 south of the Pike.

Monday night: Clear to partly cloudy. Low 34-41.

Tuesday: Sunshine with some afternoon clouds, breezy, and cooler, slight chance for an afternoon shower near the coast. High 49-56.

Tuesday night: Clear to partly cloudy. Low 34-41.

Wednesday: A mix of sun and clouds, slight chance for a shower along the coast. High 48-55.

Thursday: Partly to mostly sunny, another shower possible near the coastline. High 52-59.

Friday: Plenty of sunshine, milder. High 59-66.

Saturday: More sunshine. High 62-69.

Sunday: Partly to mostly sunny. High 64-71.

Weekly/Tropical Outlook: October 7-14, 2024

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A good portion of the upcoming week will feature cool and dry weather. Meanwhile, all eyes are turning to Hurricane Milton in the Gulf of Mexico.

Temperatures will be below normal for the next several days across the region. Image provided by Weathermodels.com.

A cold front will cross the region today with some showers likely. While we need the rain, as we’re starting to slip into a drought, this will not be nearly enough rain to alleviate it. The front moves offshore late today, then we’ll clear out and turn cooler for Tuesday. With clear skies and light winds Tuesday night, some patchy frost is possible in the normally colder locations, especially well north and west of Boston. Another front moves through on Wednesday with little fanfare, but it will bring even cooler weather in for Thursday, when many locations likely won’t reach 60 for a high temperature. High pressure then slides offshore, allowing temperatures to moderate a little on Friday, and even more on Saturday, when many places may top 70 again. Another system may bring in some cooler and unsettled conditions for late Sunday and Columbus Day.

Rainfall has been well below normal for a few months now, and we’re not going to get much help this week. Image provided by WeatherBell.

Meanwhile, the tropics remain active with three hurricanes, but one of them is a significant threat to land. As of 5am, Hurricane Milton was centered about 750 miles west-southwest of Tampa, Florida, moving toward the east-southeast at 5 mph. Maximum sustained winds were near 100 mph. Hurricane Warnings are in effect for parts of the Yucatan Peninsula, and Hurricane Watches are in effect for much of western Florida. Milton is expected to continue to strengthen for the next day or so, likely reaching Category 4 intensity as it turns more toward the northeast. However, by later Tuesday, upper-level conditions will become more hostile, and Milton should start to weaken, and in fact, could weaken rather quickly. However, it will still likely make landfall along the Florida Gulf Coast late Wednesday or early Thursday, but exactly where landfall will happen is still a question mark, and a fairly significant one. The strongest winds and highest storm surge will be to the right of the center. Some models bring the storm in near or north of Tampa, others to the south. A track south of Tampa means offshore winds for Tampa Bay, and not only would the storm surge be a lot less, it could actually send much of the water out of the Bay. However, a track just to the north of Tampa sends all the surge into the Bay, which would be very bad for the Tampa area. No matter where it makes landfall, it will bring additional heavy rain to much of Florida, with strong winds well inland. Once it makes landfall, it should continue to steadily weaken, and become extratropical as it moves off the east coast of Florida and into the Atlantic.

Hurricane Milton continues to strengthen in the Gulf of Mexico. Loop provided by NOAA.

Well out in the Atlantic, we have Hurricanes Kirk and Leslie. As of 5am, Kirk still had maximum sustained winds near 75 mph, and was centered about 765 miles west-northwest of the Azores, moving toward the northeast at 30 mph. Kirk is expected to become extratropical later today as it heads eastward, and will bring strong winds and heavy rain to parts of northwestern Europe later this week. Meanwhile, Hurricane Leslie is centered about 1065 miles west of the Cabo Verde Islands, heading northwestward at 13 mph. Maximum sustained winds were near 90 mph. Leslie is expected to continue northwestward over open water this week while slowly weakening.

The tropics remain active today. Image provided by the Canadian Hurricane Centre.

Monday: Cloudy with showers likely, ending late in the day. High 60-67.

Monday night: Clearing. Low 43-50.

Tuesday: Sunshine and a few clouds. High 59-66.

Tuesday night: Clear to partly cloudy. Low 38-45.

Wednesday: Sunshine and some afternoon clouds. High 58-65.

Thursday: Mostly sunny, breezy, and cool. High 54-61.

Friday: Lots of sunshine. High 58-65.

Saturday: Partly to mostly sunny, breezy, and milder. High 66-73.

Sunday: A mix of sun and clouds, showers possible at night. High 61-68.

Columbus Day: Partly to mostly cloudy and breezy with a chance for showers. High 53-60.

Weekly/Tropical Outlook: September 30 – October 6, 2024

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We’re flipping the calendar to October, but it will remain fairly mild around here this week and pretty active in the tropics.

Friday looks like the pick of the week with temperatures well into the 70s for much of the region. Image provided by WeatherBell.

The week starts off with high pressure in control, keeping us dry and seasonably cool, but sunshine will be limited. The combination of east to northeast winds off the Atlantic and high clouds streaming in from what’s left of Helene will result in gray skies for the most part, with a little fog developing each morning as well. A cold front moves in on Wednesday, but it will only be accompanied by a few showers, so much of the region may remain dry once again, but temperatures should turn milder with southwest winds ahead of the front. High pressure builds in behind the front with clearing and mild temperatures for Thursday and Friday. Another cold front will move early in the weekend with some more showers, then high pressure returns for the end of the weekend.

The tropics remain active to start the week. Images provided by the National Hurricane Center.

As for the tropics, we have three active systems right now, and another could be on the way. Tropical Storm Isaac was centered about 515 miles north-northwest of the Azores as of 5am Monday, moving toward the east-northeast at 15 mph. Maximum sustained winds were down to 65mph. Isaac should become extratropical later today while heading northeastward over the open waters of the North Atlantic. Tropical Depression Joyce is centered about 910 miles east-northeast of the Northern Leeward Islands, moving toward the west at 2mph. Maximum sustained winds were down to 35 mph, and the storm is expected to turn northward and dissipate over open water in the next day or two. Tropical Depression 12 is centered about 690 miles west of the Cabo Verde Islands, moving toward the west at 8 mph. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph. The system should quickly strengthen, becoming a tropical storm later today, and a hurricane in the next couple of days. It could become a rather potent storm later this week, but it should turn more toward the northwest, not impacting any land areas at all.

Tropical Depression 12 is getting better organized this morning. Loop provided by NOAA.

There are two other areas we’re keeping an eye on this week. The first is the western Caribbean, where there is a mass of disorganized showers and thunderstorms this morning, but forecast models show the potential for them to organize into a system over the next few days. Assuming it develops, it could move into the Gulf of Mexico later this week, but it’s far too early to speculate on where it may go beyond that, or how strong it might be, as there isn’t a system yet to track. The other area is a tropical wave that just moved off the west coast of Africa. There’s not much too it right now, but forecast models show the potential for it to develop as it moves westward across the Atlantic later this week.

The various members of the ECMWF Ensemble show the Atlantic remaining active over the next two weeks. Loop provided by Weathermodels.com.

Monday: Areas of morning fog, then intervals of clouds and sunshine. High 67-74.

Monday night: Mostly cloudy with some patchy fog. Low 51-58.

Tuesday: Partly to mostly cloudy. High 62-69.

Tuesday night: Mostly cloudy. Low 49-56.

Wednesday: Partly sunny, slight chance for a shower. High 62-69.

Thursday: A mix of sun and clouds. High 68-75.

Friday: Partly sunny, showers possible at night. High 71-78.

Saturday: Chance for morning showers, then becoming partly to mostly sunny. High 66-73.

Sunday: Mostly sunny. High 60-67.

Weekly Outlook: September 23-29, 2024

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Sunday was the first day of fall, and we’ll have some fall weather for most of the upcoming week.

Temperatures will be a little cooler than normal over the next several days. Image provided by Weathermodels.com

The low pressure system that brought all the rain and cool weather to the region over the weekend has drifted off to the south, and high pressure has built in from the north, which will bring us some drier weather for the next few days. However, the flow in between the two systems will result in northeast winds, keeping us cool, while also keeping some clouds around. By Wednesday, we’ll see a frontal system start to approach from the west, bringing more clouds in. It looks like most of the rain should hold off until night time, so Wednesday should be another dry day. That system will be a slow mover though, so another wet day is likely on Thursday. High pressure builds in for Friday and the weekend with drier air, but it’s not as simple as that may sound.

The models are in good agreement that we should get some beneficial rainfall Wednesday night and Thursday. Image provided by Pivotal Weather.

A tropical system is likely to develop in the Gulf of Mexico over the next day or two, and forecast models show it becoming a formidable system before landfall somewhere between New Orleans and Tampa later this week. Once inland, it will rapidly weaken, but the moisture from it will stream northward. Some models have the high pressure area block that moisture from getting up here, while other models have it get close, possibly to the South Coast, before the high blocks any farther progress northward. So, for now, our forecast is for dry weather next weekend, but that could change by the time we get to our Weekend Outlook on Thursday.

Most of the Ensemble members are in good agreement on a track toward the Florida Panhandle later this week with a developing tropical system. Loop provided by Tomer Burg.

Monday: More clouds than sunshine, breezy near the coast. High 60-67.

Monday night: Partly to mostly cloudy. Low 48-55.

Tuesday: Intervals of clouds and sun, breezy near the coast. High 61-68.

Tuesday night: Mostly cloudy. Low 50-57.

Wednesday: Plenty of clouds, slight chance for a shower during the day, more likely at night. High 62-69.

Thursday: Cloudy with showers likely, ending late in the day. High 64-71.

Friday: A mix of sun and clouds. High 67-74.

Saturday: Partly to mostly sunny. High 65-72.

Sunday: A mix of sun and clouds. High 67-74.

Weekly Outlook: September 16-22, 2024

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A couple more dry and warm days are coming up, but changes are coming later this week.

Much cooler weather is expected to move in by next weekend. Image provided by Weathermodels.com

High pressure remains in control to start the week with more sunshine and warm temperatures, though a seabreeze will keep coastal areas a little cooler. We’ll also see some high clouds start to filter the sunshine today as they stream northward from a low pressure system near the Carolinas. Clouds will continue to increase and thicken on Tuesday as that system pushes farther inland across the Carolinas, but we’ll remain dry and warm. On Wednesday, the high moves out, but it should keep enough dry air in place to prevent the rain from moving in as the low pressure system continues moving into the Mid-Atlantic states. That low will start to head eastward, spreading some rain in for Wednesday night and Thursday, but how far north the rain gets is still a big question mark. There’s a decent chance that areas north of the Mass Pike could remain dry the entire time, while there is the potential for some heavy rain as you get close to the South Coast. Exactly where this battlezone sets up will be the key to the forecast, as we’ll go from dry to very wet in just a short distance. How quickly the low pulls away is also a question mark, with the potential for rain to linger into early Friday near the South Coast. High pressure should build back in for the weekend with dry and much cooler conditions, but we could have another low pressure area lurking to the south, so we’ll need to keep an eye on that as well.

We’ll go from little to no rain to a lot over a short distance later this week. Exactly where remains to be seen. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.

Monday: Sunshine starts to get dimmed by some afternoon high clouds. High 77-84, cooler near the South Coast and Cape Cod.

Monday night: Partly cloudy. Low 50-57.

Tuesday: Increasing and thickening clouds. High 79-86, cooler near the South Coast and Cape Cod.

Tuesday night: Partly to mostly cloudy. Low 54-61.

Wednesday: More clouds than sun, showers possible at night, mainly near the South Coast. High 74-81.

Thursday: Mostly cloudy, showers likely, mainly south of the Mass Pike. High 70-77.

Friday: Partly to mostly cloudy, chance for more showers, mainly during the morning near the South Coast, breezy, cooler. High 66-73.

Saturday: Partly sunny, breezy. High 62-69.

Sunday: A mix of sun and clouds. High 62-69.

Weekly Outlook: September 9-15, 2024

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Quiet weather is expected for most of the upcoming week.

Much of the region could receive no rain at all this week. Image provided by Pivotal Weather.

We start the week off with a weak system moving through. We’ll start the day with some sunshine, but clouds will move in this afternoon, with a few showers late in the day and tonight. After that, high pressure builds in with dry weather for most of the week. Temperatures will turn warm, especially for the second half of the week when the high is offshore. We’re not expecting any records, but much of the region may see highs in the 80s toward the end of the week. A weak front may bring in some cooler weather in during the second half of the weekend, but we’ll have a better idea on that when we get to our Weekend Outlook on Thursday.

Mid to upper 80s Friday? Don’t take the AC out of the window just yet. Image provided by WeatherBell.

Monday: Morning sunshine, then increasing afternoon clouds, chance for a few late-day showers. High 68-75.

Monday night: Mostly cloudy with a few showers around, some clearing late at night. Low 52-59.

Tuesday: Becoming mostly sunny. High 71-78.

Tuesday night: Clear skies, cool. Low 47-54, milder across Cape Cod.

Wednesday: Plenty of sunshine. High 72-79.

Thursday: Sunshine and a few afternoon clouds. High 76-83, a little cooler across Cape Cod.

Friday: Mostly sunny. High 80-87, a little cooler across Cape Cod.

Saturday: A mix of sun and clouds. High 78-85, a little cooler across Cape Cod.

Sunday: Partly sunny. High 74-81.