Weekly Outlook: December 4-10, 2023

Some cooler weather is on the way over the next few days.

Tuesday will be 10-15 degrees cooler than today across the region. Image provided by WeatherBell.

We’ll start to dry out today, but plenty of clouds will remain in place, and there could be a stray shower as an upper-level disturbance crosses the Northeast. Tuesday will be a dry day but a little cooler as high pressure tries to build in. Things could get a little interesting Tuesday night and Wednesday. Low pressure will pass well offshore, but an extension of it, called an inverted trough, may set up. Normally, trough of low pressure are oriented in a general north-south direction from low pressure to the north. In this case, it’ll be the opposite, south-north from low pressure well to the south, hence the “inverted” part. What this will serve to do is enhance some onshore winds, which will in turn generate some precipitation. With colder air settling in, that precipitation will likely fall as snow. Now, this isn’t a big snowstorm we’re talking about, but across eastern Massachusetts, Rhode Island, and southern New Hampshire, we could see an inch or two in spots, especially across southeastern Massachusetts.

A little bit of snow seems likely for Tuesday night and Wednesday for parts of the region. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.

High pressure builds back in for Thursday, which will likely be a rather chilly day. High pressure slides off to the east, allowing temperatures to moderate for Friday and Saturday. The next system approaches on Sunday, but there are timing issues to be worked out with this storm. Some rain is possible during the day, but for now, it looks like most of the rain will hold off until Sunday night and Monday. This is subject to change however as the models start to hone in on the eventual solution. It does look like Sunday could be quite a mild day ahead of the storm, but again, let’s not etch that in stone just yet, since it is 6 days away.

Temperatures could get well into the 50s on Sunday. Image provided by Weathermodels.com

Monday: Intervals of clouds and sun, slight chance for a shower. High 45-52.

Monday night: Partly to mostly cloudy. Low 29-36.

Tuesday: More clouds than sun, cooler. High 36-43.

Tuesday night: Mostly cloudy with some light snow or snow showers around. Low 24-31.

Wednesday: Mostly cloudy, light snow or snow showers ending. High 32-39.

Thursday: A mix of sun and clouds. High 31-38.

Friday: Partly sunny. High 39-46.

Saturday: Intervals of clouds and sun. High 47-54.

Sunday: Mostly cloudy, breezy, and mild with scattered showers. High 51-58.

Weekly Outlook: November 27 – December 3, 2023

The week starts off rather mild, but cooler and drier weather is on the way.

Wind chills will be in the teens Wednesday morning when you head out the door Image provided by WeatherBell.

Low pressure heads into the Gulf of Maine this morning, allowing skies to quickly clear out, but winds will become gusty out of the northwest, ushering some cooler air into the region. High pressure builds in for the next several days, with Tuesday and Wednesday featuring cool and breezy conditions. With an upper-level trough of low pressure overhead, we’ll start these days with sunshine, but clouds will develop by midday, with a few pop-up snow or rain showers possible, but they’ll be few and far between. There could be some ocean-effect rain or snow showers across Cape Cod on Tuesday as well. By Thursday, temperatures will start to moderate as high pressure slides off to the east. Another weak storm system will move out of the Great Lakes on Friday, likely spreading some rain showers in late Friday into early Saturday. High pressure then builds in with cooler and drier conditions for the weekend. Clouds start to move back in late Sunday ahead of yet another storm system, but we’ll get into more detail on that one in our Weekend Outlook on Thursday.

The models all show some rain Friday night, but disagree on the track of the storm, which will impact temperatures. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.

Monday: Becoming partly to mostly sunny, breezy. High 48-55 this morning, temperatures may start to drop in the afternoon.

Monday night: Clear through the evening, a few clouds overnight. Low 25-32.

Tuesday: A mix of sun and clouds, chance for a few widely scattered sprinkles or flurries, breezy. High 34-41.

Tuesday night: Clear skies. Low 21-28.

Wednesday: Partly sunny. High 32-39.

Thursday: Sunshine and some afternoon clouds, breezy, not as cool. High 41-48.

Friday: Partly to mostly cloudy, showers likely late in the day and at night, breezy. High 48-55.

Saturday: Early showers, then becoming partly sunny, breezy. High 43-50.

Sunday: Partly to mostly cloudy. High 40-47.

Weekly Outlook: November 20-26, 2023

Thanksgiving week has arrived, but before we get to the holiday we’ve got a complicated forecast.

Better find the winter gear, temperatures will drop into the teens in some places Tuesday morning. Image provided by WeatherBell.

The week starts off simple enough with high pressure bringing us sunshine and cool conditions. It’ll be breezy at times, making it feel even cooler, with wind chills in the 20s and lower 30s. Tuesday starts off chilly, but we’ll see clouds start to move in as low pressure heads towards the Great Lakes. A secondary area of low pressure will develop off of the Mid-Atlantic coast Tuesday evening, passing near or just south of the South Coast on Wednesday while the main low passes by to the north. They’ll combine to bring us a windy and wet day on Wednesday, also known as the busiest travel day of the year. However, the rain and wind isn’t the entire story. We’ve left out a big detail, one that many of you probably won’t like. The precipitation will move in towards midnight Tuesday night, and temperatures at that time will probably be close to freezing. That means that it will likely start as snow (or sleet), especially north and west of Boston. Once you get outside of I-495, there could even be some accumulation before the change to rain washes everything away. Once you get into the hills of Worcester County and the Monadnocks of southwestern New Hampshire, there could be a few inches before the changeover. Yes folks, it’s that time of year, whether you like it or not, to use an overused phrase – “Winter is Coming.”

Most of the accumulating snow will be well north and west of Boston Tuesday night. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.

The rain tapers off Wednesday afternoon, but likely doesn’t completely end until evening, but then high pressure builds in with sunshine and cool temperatures again for Thanksgiving. So, if you’re traveling locally, you shouldn’t have any issues, but if you’re heading out to one of the high school football games make sure you dress appropriately, because it will be on the chilly side. Friday looks similar to Thanksgiving with dry and cool conditions once again, but the weekend isn’t looking as nice. Another system will likely move up the coast, and this one *should* be mostly rain, but the various forecast models don’t agree on much with this storm, including how strong it will be, the track it will take, or even whether it will impact us on Saturday or Sunday or not at all. We’ll take a deeper dive on that system when we publish our Weekend Outlook, which will be out on Wednesday this week instead of the usual Thursday.

The last 3 days worth of GFS forecast runs show how inconsistent the model has been with the forecast for next weekend. Images provided by Tropical Tidbits.

Monday: Plenty of sunshine, a little breezy at times. High 34-41.

Monday night: Clear skies through the evening, some clouds start to move in after midnight. Low 18-25.

Tuesday: Becoming mostly cloudy. High 36-43.

Tuesday night: Cloudy and becoming windy snow developing around midnight north and west of Boston, changing to sleet and rain before daybreak, rain developing elsewhere. Low 30-37 during the evening, temperatures rise after midnight.

Wednesday: Cloudy and windy with rain likely, possibly heavy at times in the morning, tapering off to showers by early afternoon, ending in the evening. High 46-53, possibly a little warmer across southeastern Massachusetts and Cape Cod.

Thanksgiving: Mostly sunny, breezy. High 43-50.

Friday: Partly sunny. High 42-49.

Saturday: Mostly cloudy, breezy, chance of rain. High 39-46.

Sunday: Partly to mostly cloudy, breezy, chance of rain. High 39-46.

Weekly Outlook: November 13-19, 2023

We’ve got an extended stretch of dry weather coming up and as a bonus, it’s going to turn milder too.

A few rain or snow showers are possible later today. Loop provided by Weathermodels.com

We’ll start the week with some sunshine, but clouds move in this afternoon ahead of a weak disturbance. That system may produce a few rain or snow showers late this afternoon and evening, but they’ll be widely scattered and very light. Skies clear out behind that system as high pressure builds in, setting up a sunny but chilly day on Tuesday. There may be a few ocean-effect rain or snow showers across the Outer Cape, but the rest of us will stay dry. Wednesday and Thursday look dry as well with high pressure in control, but temperatures should start to moderate by Thursday as the high slides off to the east. Clouds return on Friday ahead of the next storm system. We’ll be fairly mild ahead of that storm, with some rain likely late Friday into early Saturday. Once that system moves offshore, high pressure returns with drier and cooler conditions again on Sunday.

Temperatures could top 60 in many areas on Friday. Image provided by WeatherBell.

Monday: Morning sunshine gives way to increasing afternoon clouds, a late-day rain or snow shower is possible. High 39-46.

Monday night: A rain or snow shower during the evening, some clearing after midnight. Low 26-33.

Tuesday: Becoming partly to mostly sunny, a rain or snow shower is possible across the Outer Cape. High 43-50.

Tuesday night: Clear skies. Low 27-34.

Wednesday: Sunshine and some afternoon clouds. High 44-51.

Thursday: Mostly sunny. High 53-60.

Friday: Becoming mostly cloudy, rain possible late in the day, more likely at night, windy. High 56-63.

Saturday: Rain ending early, some clearing in the afternoon, breezy. High 52-59.

Sunday: Partly to mostly sunny and breezy. High 44-51.

Weekly Outlook: November 6-12, 2023

The weather pattern will be fairly active for the first half of the week across the region.

Temperatures should get well into the 60s on Tuesday. Image provided by WeatherBell.

We’re starting the week off with a rather cool day today with high pressure in control, but we’ll have plenty of clouds ahead of an approaching low pressure system. A warm front moves through tonight, bringing some showers with it. Those showers end Tuesday morning, setting up a rather mild day, with temperatures likely topping 60 in many locations. As the low pressure system passes by to t north, it will drag a cold front through late in the day, possibly producing another shower or two. High pressure builds in behind that front with much cooler weather on Wednesday. However, we’ll have another low pressure system quickly approaching by late Wednesday. This system will bring in some light rain on Thursday, but if the rain moves in fast enough, some cold air will still be in place, so the rain may start as some freezing rain or sleet well north and west of Boston. Another system may quickly follow for Friday, but this one looks to be a bit farther to the south, so any rain would likely be confined to areas south of the Mass Pike. High pressure builds back in for the weekend.

If precipitation arrives early enough on Thursday, it may not start as rain across the interior. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.

Monday: Becoming mostly cloudy. High 46-53.

Monday night: Cloudy and becoming breezy with showers developing. Low 41-48 during the evening, temperatures may rise a bit overnight.

Tuesday: Showers end early, then becoming partly to mostly sunny, breezy, and mild with another late-day shower possible. High 60-67.

Tuesday night: Clear to partly cloudy, breezy, turning cooler. Low 32-39.

Wednesday: Sunshine and a few clouds, breezy. High 42-49.

Thursday: Mostly cloudy with showers likely, possibly starting as some freezing rain or sleet from the hills of Worcester County into southern New Hampshire. High 43-50.

Friday: Mostly cloudy, more showers possible during the afternoon and evening, mainly south of the Mass Pike. High 46-53.

Saturday: Any lingering showers end early, then a mix of sun and clouds, breezy. High 47-54.

Sunday: Partly sunny. High 41-48.

Weekend Outlook: November 3-6, 2023

While this weekend won’t be as warm as last Saturday, it’ll be a lot warmer than the past few days.

We had our first widespread frost and freeze of the season for much of the region this morning. Image provided by WeatherBell.

We’ve got another chilly night coming up with high pressure settling in. Clear skies and light winds this evening will allow temperatures to drop fairly efficiently. However, as the high moves offshore, winds will shift into the southwest tonight, which will allow milder air to start to move in. You’ll notice it on Friday as the southwest winds start to pick up, allowing temperatures to get well into the 50s in most places, which is right around where we should be in early November. The warming trend will continue over the weekend and into Monday, with many places approaching 60, but a couple of disturbances will pass north of the region. While we’re not expecting any rain, except possibly a few sprinkles, we will have a decent amount of cloudcover at times. The clouds become more numerous later Monday as the next storm system begins to approach the region.

High temperatures in early November are normally in the mid-50s. Image provided by Weathermodels.com

Don’t forget, Daylight Saving Time ends at 2am Sunday, when we turn the clocks back an hour. Your cell phone will do it automatically, but good luck getting it changed in your car. At least you’ll get an extra hour of sleep. Oh, and in case you forgot, sunset on Sunday will be a few minutes after 4:30pm.

It’ll start getting dark rather early as of Sunday. Image provided by Accuweather.

Thursday night: Clear to partly cloudy. Low 28-35.

Friday: Sunshine and a few clouds for much of the day, clouds become more widespread toward evening, breezy during the afternoon. High 50-57.

Friday night: Partly to mostly cloudy with diminishing winds. Low 40-47.

Saturday: Intervals of clouds and sunshine. High 55-62.

Saturday night: Partly to mostly cloudy. Low 38-45.

Sunday: Partly sunny. High 55-62.

Sunday night: Partly cloudy. Low 37-44.

Monday: Becoming partly to mostly cloudy. High 52-59.

Weekly Outlook: October 30 – November 5, 2023

The warm weather is gone and won’t be back anytime soon.

Temperatures will be several degrees below normal for much of the upcoming week. Image provided by WeatherBell.

Low pressure rides along a frontal system stalled out across the region today, bringing us a chilly rain. Temperatures will end up a bit milder south of the front today, especially along the South Coast, possibly as far north as the Mass Pike. Rain ends this evening as the wave moves offshore, then high pressure builds in with clearing Monday night. Halloween starts off with sunshine and cool temperatures, but clouds start to move back in during the afternoon. A developing coastal system will pass south and east of the region late Tuesday night and Wednesday. Some rain is expected across parts of southeastern New England, but how far north and west the precipitation gets is still a question mark. Once you get north and west of I-495, the chances drop quickly. However, with some colder air in place, the rain may start as some wet snow. We’re not expecting any accumulation, but if you’re out an about early Wednesday morning, don’t be surprised if you see some wet snowflakes. That system quickly pulls away with skies clearing out in the afternoon. High pressure then builds back in with sunshine and chilly conditions for Thursday. Temperatures will slowly moderate for Friday into Sunday as the high moves offshore, with temperatures getting back above normal next weekend, but we’re talking into the 60s, not the 70s and 80s we just had. An approaching cold front spreads clouds in on Sunday, but it looks like any rain should hold off until Sunday night or Monday.

A couple of models show the potential for some wet snow to mix with the rain Wednesday morning. Image provided by Pivotal Weather.

Monday: Periods of rain and showers, ending late in the day. High 48-55 north of the Mass Pike, 56-63 south of the Pike.

Monday night: Becoming partly cloudy to clear. Low 32-39.

Tuesday: Mostly sunny during the morning, clouds start to move back in during the afternoon. High 44-51.

Tuesday night: Becoming partly to mostly cloudy with showers developing across southeastern Massachusetts late at night. Low 30-37.

Wednesday: Some showers around in the morning, maybe a few wet snowflakes mixed in, mainly across eastern Massachusetts, skies start to clear out late in the day. High 42-49.

Thursday: Plenty of sunshine. High 45-52.

Friday: A mix of sun and clouds, breezy, not as cool. High 52-59.

Saturday: Partly sunny. High 55-62.

Sunday: Intervals of clouds and sun, breezy, and mild. High 57-64.

Weekly Outlook: October 23-29, 2023

The week starts off cool, but you’re really going to enjoy the second half of the week.

Frost is possible across portions of the interior Tuesday morning. Image provided by WeatherBell.

An upper-level low pressure area lifts out today, then high pressure starts to build in. This will result in clearing with breezy conditions today. The winds die down tonight, and with clear skies, we’ll be rather chilly. Some frost is likely away from the coast and urban areas. However, some high clouds will start to filter in overnight, which will act to level temperatures off. If the clouds move in a little quicker, that may prevent frost in some areas. Tuesday should feature sunshine after the clouds move out in the morning, with temperatures starting to moderate. High pressure moves offshore on Wednesday, and temperatures really start to warm up, possibly topping 70 in some locations. Another upper-level disturbance will bring in some clouds for late Wednesday and Thursday, but we’ll remain dry. Even warmer weather is expected for Thursday and Friday with temperatures likely getting well into 70s, possibly even approaching 80 in some spots on Friday. Saturday also looks warm, but some clouds will start to move in as a cold front approaches the region. Sunday’s forecast depends on the timing of the cold front. A disturbance riding along it will bring in some showers, but will the front move through Saturday night, or will it wait until later Sunday? If it’s earlier, Sunday will be much cooler than Saturday. If it’s later, then it’ll be another very warm day despite the cloudcover and showers. Once the front does move through, even cooler weather settles in for the start of the following week.

Sunday could be very warm, or quite a bit cooler. The models don’t agree right now. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.

Monday: Becoming partly to mostly sunny. High 55-62.

Monday night: Clear and chilly, some clouds start to filter in after midnight. Low 34-41, except 41-48 in urban areas and near the coast.

Tuesday: Early clouds, then becoming mostly sunny. High 56-63.

Tuesday night: Clear to partly cloudy. Low 44-51.

Wednesday: Morning sun, increasing afternoon clouds, milder. High 64-71.

Thursday: Sunshine and some afternoon clouds. High 70-77.

Friday: Partly sunny. High 70-77.

Saturday: A mix of sun and clouds, breezy. High 71-78.

Sunday: Partly to mostly cloudy and cooler with a chance of showers. High 61-68.

Weekly Outlook: October 16-22, 2023

There is some more rain in our future, probably on the weekend again, but at least we’re not talking about snow yet.

Another upper-level low will keep us cool and unsettled today. Image provided by Tropical Tidbits.

The week starts off with an upper-level low sitting over New England, keeping us cool and unsettled to start the week. A disturbance rotating around the low may trigger some showers today, but the day won’t be a washout. The upper low starts to lift out on Tuesday, but there will remain enough instability to produce plenty of clouds and possibly a few more showers. High pressure builds in for Wednesday and Thursday with drier and milder weather, but we’ll see more clouds streaming in Thursday night and Friday ahead of another low pressure system. The main storm system will head into the Great Lakes while a secondary low pressure area develops across the Mid-Atlantic states and lifts northward into the region on Saturday, bringing us another round of rain. Right now, the consensus among the models is to develop a rather potent low pressure system and move it up the Hudson Valley during the day Saturday. This would result in a breezy, mild, and showery day, rather than a complete washout. Obviously, there’s plenty of time for things to change, so we’ll be keeping a close eye on it. Another upper-level low moves in for Sunday with more clouds, some showers, and cooler temperatures.

Some mild weather by mid-October standards is expected later this week. Image provided by WeatherBell.

Monday: More clouds than sun, chance for a few popup showers. High 53-60.

Monday night: Partly to mostly cloudy, showers taper off in the evening. Low 42-49.

Tuesday: Partly sunny, chance for another shower or two. High 55-62.

Tuesday night: Partly cloudy. Low 42-49.

Wednesday: A mix of sun and clouds. High 57-64.

Thursday: Partly to mostly sunny, breezy. High 60-67.

Friday: Mostly cloudy, breezy, showers develop at night. High 61-68.

Saturday: Mostly cloudy, breezy, scattered showers likely. High 59-66.

Sunday: Partly sunny, windy, cooler, chance for a few showers. High 54-61.

Weekly Outlook: October 9-15, 2023

Yup, that same weather pattern is still in place that has been for a while now, and another rainy weekend could be coming.

An upper-level low pressure area will remain in place across southeastern Canada through a good chunk of the week, which means temperatures will be below normal, but it shouldn’t be as wet. Monday should be fairly dry, though northeast winds may result in a few ocean-effect rain showers, mainly across Cape Cod and the Islands. A weak frontal system may bring in a few more showers on Tuesday, then high pressure builds in for Wednesday. Another weather system brings in more clouds on Thursday, and possibly a few showers. High pressure noses back in from the north on Friday with some drier weather once again, which brings us to the weekend.

Temperatures will be below normal for the next few days. Image provided by WeatherBell.

Low pressure will move out of the Great Lakes and towards the region later Friday before a secondary low pressure area develops off the Mid-Atlantic coastline, passing south of the region over the weekend. There is some discrepancy among the models in regards to the timing of the system. Some modes have another rainy Saturday into parts of Sunday, some have the rain hold off until Saturday evening, but possibly continue into Monday. Hopefully, we’ll have a better idea of the timing as we get to our Weekend Outlook on Thursday.

The models don’t agree on the timing or placement of low pressure to our south next weekend. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.

Monday: Intervals of clouds and sun, slight chance for a shower across Cape Cod and the Islands. High 57-64.

Monday night: Partly cloudy. Low 40-47.

Tuesday: A mix of sun and clouds, a shower or two possible. High 59-66.

Tuesday night: Partly to mostly cloudy. Low 41-48.

Wednesday: Partly to mostly sunny. High 61-68.

Thursday: Partly to mostly cloudy, breezy with a chance of showers. High 60-67.

Friday: A mix of sun and clouds. High 58-65

Saturday: Cloudy and breezy with a chance of rain. High 55-62.

Sunday: Rain likely, breezy. High 52-59.