Much of the upcoming week will feature quiet weather with a gradual warming trend.
Normal high temperatures are in the upper 30s to lower 40s across the region. Image provided by Weathermodels.com
High pressure builds in for today and Tuesday with sunshine and cool temperatures. As the high slides off to the east on Wednesday, temperatures will start to moderate as winds become southwest, but we’ll also see a few clouds start to filter in. More clouds and warmer temperatures are likely on Thursday as a cold front begins to approach from the west. A cold front moves in on Friday with a wave of low pressure developing along it and passing close to or south of the region. This will keep temperature cooler, but still warm enough so that precipitation should be mostly in the form of rain, but it could start as some wet snow north and west of Boston late Thursday night or early Friday. High pressure returns with much cooler conditions on Saturday. Another low pressure system may bring in some rain or snow showers later Sunday and Sunday night.
We could see a little snow or mix as precipitation moves in before daybreak on Friday. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.
Monday: Sun, sun, and more sun, breezy, and cool. High 32-39.
Monday night: Clear skies, chilly. Low 14-21.
Tuesday: Plenty of sunshine. High 29-36.
Tuesday night: Clear to partly cloudy. Low 17-24.
Wednesday: A mix of sun and clouds. High 34-41.
Thursday: Partly sunny, clouds thicken up late in the day. High 38-45.
Friday: Cloudy and breezy with some rain likely, possibly starting as snow or a wintry mix north and west of Boston. High 41-48.
Saturday: A mix of sun and clouds, breezy, cooler. High 31-38.
Sunday: Partly sunny, some rain or snow showers possible toward evening, breezy. High 34-41.
We’ve got a few chances for snow over the next several days, but most of them be minor.
A few systems will move across the Northeast this weekend, but most won’t have too much of an impact. Loop provided by Tropical Tidbits.
A fast-moving system will move out of the Great Lakes later today, passing north of the region tonight. It will produce some light snow this evening, so use some caution if you’re heading out. The snow should end shortly after midnight, with less than 1 inch of accumulation south of the Mass Pike, and 1-2 inches north of it, possibly near 3 inches in a few spots. We’ll quickly clear out on Friday with high pressure building in, but we’ll have gusty northwest winds once again, resulting in a rather cool day. Clouds quickly return late Friday and Friday night as a weak low pressure system moves toward the Mid-Atlantic states. It will pass well south of the region on Saturday, with just some snow showers, mainly south of the Mass Pike. There could be some steadier snow near the immediate South Coast and across the Islands, but even here, we’re only expecting an inch or so, maybe 2 inches in a few spots. Another weak disturbance moves through on Sunday with some clouds and possibly a snow flurry or two, then high pressure builds in with sunshine for Monday.
Tonight’s snowfall will be relatively light across most of the area. Image provided by WeatherBell.
Thursday night: Light snow likely, ending shortly after midnight, some clearing late at night. Accumulation 1-2 inches north of the Mass Pike, 1 inch or less south of the Pike, breezy. Low 24-31.
Friday: Partly to mostly sunny and windy, clouds start to move back in late in the day. High 33-40.
Friday night: Becoming mostly cloudy. Low 20-27.
Saturday: Mostly cloudy with some snow showers, mainly south of the Mass Pike. High 30-37.
Saturday night: Clearing. Low 14-21.
Sunday: Intervals of clouds and sun, breezy, chance for a snow flurry. High 31-38.
Sunday night: Clear skies, breezy. Low 21-28.
Monday: Plenty of sunshine, still breezy. High 33-40.
Tuesday is looking like a snowy day, but perhaps not as bad as we were thinking earlier, for at least part of the region.
Winter Storm Warnings remain in effect across much of the region. Image provided by Pivotal Weather.
The general ideas we talked about in our Weekly Outlook earlier today are still valid. Low pressure is moving across the Tennessee Valley this afternoon and will redevelop near the Mid-Atlantic coastline later today, passing south of New England on Tuesday as it intensifies. However, some of the finer details have changed a bit. For one, the timing of the snow has been altered slightly. The snow should develop across the region near or a little before daybreak, and it may fall heavy at times for a while during the late morning and early afternoon, but now it looks like it will be winding down by late-afternoon, ending completely around the evening rush hour. This is a little faster than we were thinking earlier.
The snow should be in an out of here in roughly 8-10 hours. Loop provided by Tropical Tidbits.
It also looks like the storm will be a little farther south than we were thinking. This has significant implications for the snowfall forecast. This shifts the area of heaviest snow a little farther south. The bigger change is on the northern fringe of the snowfall. We had talked about the fact that the models were showing a sharp cutoff to the snow, and you could go from little to nothing to well over 6 inches in the span of 20 miles. That is still the case, but instead of that being over central or southern New Hampshire as we thought overnight, it’s now looking like that could be across southern New Hampshire or the Merrimack Valley. So, how much are we expecting now?
Central/Southern NH: 1″ or less Merrimack Valley: 1-4″ MetroWest/Metro Boston/North Shore: 3-6″ Southeastern Massachusetts/Rhode Island: 4-8″ Cape Cod and the Islands: 6-10″ (possibly less Outer Cape/Islands with some rain to start)
The latest run of the HRRR model is closest to our thinking now. Image provided by WeatherBell.
The other aspects of the storm that we mentioned – strong winds and coastal flooding, have not changed. A High Wind Warning is in effect across Cape Cod, where sustained winds of 20-30 mph are expected, with gusts to 50 mph possible. The rest of the region is looking at gusts of 25-35 mph, with some stronger gusts, especially near the coast. Along the coast, flooding is possible around high tide, especially in the areas that are normally prone to flooding.
Gusty winds are still likely on Tuesday, especially at the coastline. Image provided by Weathermodels.com
We’re also still keeping an eye on the potential for more light snow Thursday night and again on Saturday with two additional storm systems. More on that later in the week.
Some snow is on the way, quite a bit for some areas, and probably more than once this week.
Tuesday’s storm will be very impactful across the region. Image provided by the Weather Prediction Center.
We’ll start the week off with sunshine thanks to high pressure in control of the region, but it won’t last too long. Clouds will start to steam in this afternoon and thicken up tonight as the low pressure area that brought severe weather to parts of Texas and the Deep South yesterday moves into the Tennessee Valley. By Monday night, a secondary area of low pressure will develop near the Mid-Atlantic coast, passing south of New England on Tuesday. There’s not a lot of cold air in place, but with the storm passing far enough to the south, we should be cold enough for snow across most of the region, except for parts of Cape Cod and possibly southeastern Massachusetts, but even there, a change to snow is expected. The snow will be accompanied by gusty northeast winds, especially across the Cape and Islands where a High Wind Watch has been posted. With tides already at astronomically high levels, some coastal flooding is also expected, so a Coastal Flood Watch has been issued for much of eastern Massachusetts. The storm will be moving rather quickly, so snowfall totals won’t be outrageous. Snow should start around sunrise Tuesday, and end around sunset, but in between, it could snow rather heavily for a while late Tuesday morning and early afternoon. If you don’t have to be on the roads, we’d recommend you stay home. Complicating the snow forecast is that many of the models show a sharp cutoff to the northern edge of the snow, but don’t agree where that northern edge will be. Some have it in central New Hampshire, some in southern New Hampshire, some across northern Massachusetts. Wherever it does setup, you are going to see snowfall totals go from quite a bit to virtually nothing over a small area, perhaps even as little as 20 miles. Having said that, our snowfall forecast is, for lack of a better term, our “best guess” across central and southern New Hampshire right now.
Wind gusts of 30-40 mph are possible across much of the region, especially at the coast, perhaps stronger across Cape Cod. Image provided by Weathermodels.com
So, how much snow can we expect?
Outer Cape/Islands: 1-3″ Upper Cape/South Coast: 3-5″ Central New Hampshire: (Concord): 3-6″ Southeastern Massachusetts: 4-8″ Southern New Hampshire (Nashua/Manchester to Portsmouth): 4-8″ Remainder of Eastern Massachusetts: 6-10″ with a few spots picking up 12″ or more
The National Blend of Models is the closest to our snow forecast at this time. Images provided by WeatherBell.
We’ll quickly clear out Tuesday night, then a cold front moves through with a few flurries Wednesday morning, followed by high pressure building in for Wednesday afternoon and Thursday with sunshine and colder weather. Clouds will start to move back in later Thursday ahead of a weak storm system moving out of the Great Lakes. That system will bring in some light snow or rain for Thursday night into early Friday. Skies will start to clear out Friday afternoon, but clouds quickly return ahead of yet another storm moving out of the Ohio Valley. This one will likely bring in some more light snow on Saturday. Another cold front follows on Sunday with some more clouds and possibly a few snow showers.
Another weak system may bring in some snow or rain for Thursday night. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.
Monday: Morning sunshine, clouds filter in and thicken up during the afternoon. High 42-49.
Monday night: Becoming mostly cloudy, snow developing by daybreak, possibly mixed with some rain across Cape Cod and southeastern Massachusetts. Low 26-33.
Tuesday: Windy with snow, possibly heavy at times, tapering off late in the day. High 30-37 early, temperatures start falling in the afternoon.
Tuesday night: Any lingering snow ends in the evening, then skies clear out, breezy. Low 17-24.
Wednesday: Sunshine and a few clouds, windy, colder, slight chance for a snow flurry early. High 28-35.
Thursday: Sunny in the morning, clouds move in during the afternoon, some light snow or rain possible overnight, breezy. High 31-38.
Friday: Any snow or rain ends early, becoming partly sunny and windy in the afternoon. High 33-40.
Saturday: Mostly cloudy and breezy with some light snow possible. High 28-35.
Sunday: Partly sunny, breezy, chance for a few snow showers. High 31-38.
Milder weather is on the way for the upcoming weekend.
Temperatures could be very mild around here on Saturday. Image provided by WeatherBell,
We finally got some sunshine over the past several days, but unfortunately, there are more clouds on the way. They’ll spread across the region tonight as low pressure moving into the Great Lakes sends a warm front our way. There could be a stray rain or snow shower accompanying the warm front, but they’ll be few and far between. We’ll see some sunshine return on Friday along with milder temperatures, with highs getting well into the 40s. Clouds come back Friday night and much of Saturday, but south to southwest winds will result in a very mild day for Saturday. High temperatures should get well into the 50s away from the coastline, with some places possibly topping 60. Along the coast, especially south-facing shorelines, we’ll have a seabreeze (yes, in February), keeping temperatures in the 40s, which is still well above normal. A cold front moves through late in the day, bringing some showers with it. High pressure builds in behind the front for Sunday, but the air isn’t that much colder. Most of us will still be in the 40s, with a few spots possibly reaching 50 again. Clouds stream back in Sunday night and Monday as low pressure heads toward the Mid-Atlantic states. The hype train left the station yesterday for this storm, as several computer models showed the potential for a sizeable snowstorm Monday night and Tuesday. Well, the models all continue to shift, and range from a moderate snowstorm, to a snow to rain situation, to a complete miss to the south. It’s still several days away, so things will continue to change, and if it does become a threat, we’ll go into more detail on our Weekly Outlook early Monday morning. For now, don’t believe the hype and don’t get too worked up about it.
Snow? Rain? Both? None? The models don’t agree on the storm threat for Tuesday right now. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.
Thursday night: Clear skies through the evening, clouds move in overnight, slight chance for a sprinkle or flurry. Low 25-32.
Friday: Morning clouds, becoming partly sunny in the afternoon, a little breezy at times. High 42-49.
Friday night: Becoming partly to mostly cloudy. Low 32-39.
Saturday: Partly to mostly cloudy with some showers likely during the afternoon and evening. High 52-59, cooler along south-facing shorelines.
Saturday night: Any lingering showers end during the evening, some clearing possible late at night. Low 35-42.
Sunday: A mix of sun and clouds, breezy. High 44-51.
Sunday night: Partly cloudy. Low 27-34.
Monday: Becoming mostly cloudy, chance for some snow or rain towards evening. High 40-47.
Our first sign that winter is on its way out arrives today. No, we’re not talking about the groundhog. It’s Truck Day, the day that the equipment truck leaves Fenway to head to Fort Myers for the beginning of Spring Training next week.
The first sign of spring is upon us – today is Red Sox Truck Day, when all of the equipment gets loaded up and shipped down to Fort Myers for Spring Training. Image provided by Boston.com
In terms of weather, we start the week with more sunshine as high pressure remains in control. Tuesday and Wednesday should end up decent for a good portion of the region, but it could be a little complicated. High pressure will remain in place across southeastern Canada. The low pressure system that produced severe weather across Florida on Sunday will slowly move into the Atlantic, passing well south and east of New England. We’ve also got an upper-level low spinning south of Atlantic Canada. The pressure gradient between the high to the north and low to the south will result in some gusty northeast winds, especially near the coast Monday night into Wednesday. They’ll also bring in some cloud cover, especially across southeastern Massachusetts. Meanwhile, disturbances rotating around that upper-level low well to the east will bring in a little more cloud cover on Tuesday, and possibly a few snow showers, especially along the coast, and south of Boston. It wouldn’t be a shock if the ground got covered across parts of southeastern Massachusetts and Rhode Island, and a few of these ocean-effect snow bands could even produce an inch or two across coastal Plymouth County and Cape Cod.
A little bit of snow is possible south of Boston from tonight into Wednesday morning. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.
We should clear out later Wednesday, but clouds will start to move back in on Thursday as a frontal system starts to approach the region from the west. Temperatures will warm to above normal levels for the end of the week, with temperatures possibly topping 50 across parts of the region on Friday. Some showers are likely Friday night into Saturday ahead of the front. Temperatures will drop a few degrees on Sunday but it will remain mild with more clouds expected.
For now, Saturday looks like it could be a mild day. Image provided by Weathermodels.com
Monday: Plenty of sunshine, clouds start to move in late in the day, breezy. High 35-42.
Monday night: Partly to mostly cloudy, some snow showers possible south of Boston, breezy along the coast. Low 20-27.
Tuesday: Plenty of clouds, some sunny breaks well inland, more snow showers south of Boston, breezy near the coast. High 32-39.
Tuesday night: Partly to mostly cloudy more snow showers possible, mostly across eastern Massachusetts, breezy along the coast. Low 22-29.
Wednesday: Morning clouds and a few more snow showers across eastern Massachusetts, skies start to clear out in the afternoon, still breezy near the coast, especially in the morning. High 35-42.
Thursday: Sunshine and some afternoon clouds. High 38-45.
Friday: Becoming mostly cloudy, breezy. High 41-48.
Saturday: More clouds than sun, breezy. High 49-56.
The sun will finally return this weekend (but not tomorrow, sorry Annie).
January was among the Top 5 wettest of all-time across the region. Image provided by the Southeast Regional Climate Center.
We have had little to no sunshine around here for over 10 days now, but that will finally change. A cold front will drop down from the north tonight and Friday, with a few showers ahead of it tonight. A wave of low pressure will develop along the front, bringing some additional showers in on Friday, mainly south of the Mass Pike, as the front moves by. One more weak disturbance moves through Friday evening and night with a few more rain or snow showers, then high pressure finally starts to build in. Skies may be slow to clear out on Saturday, but the sun should finally return. Sunday and Monday should both feature sunshine, though we may have some more clouds around at times on Monday.
Break out the sunglasses on Sunday, models are forecasting very little in the way of clouds. Images provided by WeatherBell.
Thursday night: Cloudy, chance for a few showers. Low 25-32.
Friday: Plenty of clouds, a few more showers likely, especially south of the Mass Pike. High 38-45.
Friday night: Some rain or snow showers during the evening, some clearing late at night, especially north and west of Boston, becoming breezy near the coast. Low 21-28.
Saturday: A few snow showers across Cape Cod early, gradual clearing from northwest to southeast during the day, a little breezy at times. High 32-39.
Saturday night: Partly cloudy across Cape Cod, clear skies elsewhere, breezy along the coast. Low 18-25.
Sunday: Plenty of sunshine. High 34-41.
Sunday night: Partly cloudy across southeastern Massachusetts and Cape Cod, clear elsewhere. Low 19-26.
Monday: Partly to mostly sunny, breezy. High 32-39.
January is going to end on a chilly note, but February isn’t going to be much warmer to start.
Tuesday night is looking quite chilly across the area. Image provided by WeatherBell.
Low pressure pulls away from the region today with any lingering snow ending during the morning or early afternoon showers. It’ll become breezy with steady or falling temperatures during the afternoon, so it’ll definitely feel like late January. High pressure builds in for tonight through Wednesday with some rather chilly air, but it probably won’t completely clear out. If it did, with some fresh snowcover, it could get very cold Tuesday night. By Thursday, high pressure slides off to the east and temperatures start to moderate, but this won’t last too long. A strong cold front will drop southward from Canada on Friday. An upper-level disturbance will move through at the same time, with low pressure likely developing along the front offshore. These will combine to bring in some light snow Friday afternoon and night, but the system will likely deepen too far offshore to have a significant impact on the region. High pressure then builds in for a rather cold first weekend of February.
Another system may bring in some light snow later Friday, or it could be too far offshore. Time will tell. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.
Monday: Cloudy and breezy with light snow and snow showers ending by early afternoon. High 32-39 early, temperatures hold steady or drop during the afternoon.
Monday night: Partly to mostly cloudy, breezy along the coast. Low 16-23.
Tuesday: Plenty of clouds with some sunny breaks developing. High 26-33.
Tuesday night: Partly to mostly cloudy. Low 11-18.
Wednesday: A mix of sun and clouds. High 32-39.
Thursday: Some morning sun, then clouds return, breezy. High 38-45.
Friday: Mostly cloudy and breezy with some light snow or snow showers possible during the afternoon and at night. High 37-44.
Saturday: Becoming partly sunny, breezy, and colder. High 29-36.
Sunday: A mix of sun and clouds, still breezy. High 28-35.
Our active weather pattern continues through the weekend and that dreaded “S” word features prominently.
A frontal system bisects the region this afternoon. Image provided by NOAA.
A wavy frontal system sits across the region this afternoon, separating the mild air across much of southern New England from the seasonable chill to the north. That front will sag southward as a cold front later today, bringing the cool air back. A wave of low pressure will ride along the front, bringing another round of rain in for late tonight and Friday morning. There could be some sleet or freezing rain across parts of central New Hampshire where temperatures will be close to freezing, so if you’ll be in that area tonight or Friday morning, use some caution. The rain should end during the afternoon, but clouds will hang tough Friday night into Saturday. A weak upper-level disturbance swings through on Saturday, possibly generating a few additional rain or snow showers.
Around half an inch of rain is expected for most of the region on Friday. Image provided by WeatherBell.
As we get into Sunday, we turn our attention to a low pressure area moving across the Tennessee Valley. The system will head towards the eastern Great Lakes while a secondary area of low pressure develops off the Mid-Atlantic coastline. We’ll see rain developing across the region Sunday morning, likely changing to snow from north to south at some point Sunday afternoon or night. Everything winds down Monday morning as the storm pulls away. There are plenty of variables that still need to be worked out with this storm, including how close the system passes to New England, and when the change from rain to snow occurs, which will have a big impact on the snow forecast. At this point, it’s safe to say that plowable snow is likely for a good chunk of the region. We’ll try to post an update on Saturday, when things should be much clearer.
There are still a few details for the models to clarify with Sunday’s storm. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.
Thursday night: Cloudy with rain redeveloping, possibly some sleet or freezing rain across central New Hampshire. Low 32-39.
Friday: Rain tapers off to showers, ending in the afternoon. High 37-44.
Friday night: Partly to mostly cloudy. Low 30-37.
Saturday: Plenty of clouds with a few rain or snow showers possible. High 36-43.
Saturday night: Cloudy, rain may develop late at night. Low 28-35.
Sunday: Cloudy with rain changing to snow from north to south, becoming breezy. High 34-41.
Sunday night: Cloudy and windy with snow likely, tapering off late at night. Low 21-28.
Monday: Mostly cloudy and windy, any lingering snow ends early. High 27-34.
Cold weather is on the way out, but wet weather may be on the way back in.
Normal high temperatures are in the lower to middle 30s at this time of year. Image provided by Weathermodels.com
We start the week off with high pressure sliding offshore to our south, which means moderating temperatures today with sunshine for part of the day, but we’ll see some clouds start to move in by evening. A cold front will drop down from the north on Tuesday with more clouds, but as a wave of low pressure rides along with, we may see a period of light snow Tuesday night into early Wednesday. Accumulations will be on the light side, generally a few inches at most. By later Wednesday, that front will lift northward as a warm front, changing the snow to rain across the region as the precipitation tapers off.
While the snow may impact the Wednesday morning commute, it won’t be a big deal overall. Image provided by WeatherBell.
Another wave of low pressure brings in a second bout of rain for Wednesday night into Thursday, with temperatures warming to above normal across the region. Yet another wave of low pressure could bring in more rain for Friday, before high pressure builds in with drier weather on Saturday. Sunday is highly uncertain at this point. Another cold front will be dropping down from the north while a developing low pressure area moves off the Mid-Atlantic coast. Does the low stay too far south to have any impact on us, does it come farther north and bring in some snow or rain? We can’t answer this question yet, but hope to have more clarity when it is time for our Weekend Outlook Thursday afternoon.
The models all have different ideas for the end of the weekend. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.
Monday: Sunny in the morning, some clouds start to move in during the afternoon. High 33-40.
Monday night: Partly to mostly cloudy, breezy, slight chance for a snow flurry. Low 26-33.
Tuesday: Some sunny breaks in the morning, otherwise mostly cloudy, some light snow possible toward evening. High 35-42.
Tuesday night: Cloudy with some light snow developing. Low 26-33.
Wednesday: Cloudy with light snow tapering off early, eventually changing to sleet and then rain showers. Some steadier rain expected at night, possibly still as freezing rain across central New Hampshire. High 34-41.
Thursday: Cloudy with occasional light rain and showers. High 42-49.
Friday: Mostly cloudy, breezy, more rain, especially in the morning. High 47-54.
Saturday: Partly to mostly cloudy. High 43-50.
Sunday: Partly sunny, breezy, chance for some snow or rain showers, mainly near the South Coast. High 37-44.
Storm HQ 