Author: wxmanscottk

Weekly Outlook: December 1 – 7, 2025

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That time has arrived. You know what we’re talking about. That S-word is in the forecast for part of the region. You know the one. It’s 4 letters and rhymes with blow.

Winter Storm Watches are in effect from Boston’s northern and western suburbs into Northern New England. Image provided by the National Weather Service office in Norton, MA.

The week starts off with high pressure giving us a breezy and cool Monday, but clouds move in Monday night, setting up a messy Tuesday. Despite the hype online for the past week, this will NOT be a big deal for a good chunk of the region, though it is the first one this season, so be prepared for lots of people that forgot how to drive in wintry weather (or never knew how to in the first place). That high will be moving off to the east, so while it’ll be chilly to start the day, we won’t have a lot of cold air in place for much of the storm. An upper-level disturbance will be moving in from the Great Lakes while low pressure develops off the Carolinas heading northeastward. These two won’t join forces until they are well past us, so a blockbuster snowstorm is not expected. In fact, this one will be moving fairly quickly, likely in and out in about 12 hours. We’ll see precipitation developing near or just after the morning rush hour. Temperatures should be cold enough for it to start as snow for most of the region, except for Southeastern Massachusetts, the Cape, and Islands. However, with the ocean still relatively mild (water temperatures are in the 40s to lower 50s), a quick change to rain is expected south and east of Interstate 95. How far inland that rain/snow line gets will be determined by the exact track that the developing coastal storm takes, but that is still a bit of a question mark at this point. Right now, we’re expecting the changeover to likely get as far inland as Interstate 495, but that is highly uncertain. Precipitation will fall moderate to heavy at times on Tuesday, especially south of Boston, but as the system pulls away from the region later in the day, colder air may allow the rain/snow line to quickly move back toward the coast, with much of the region possibly ending as some snow before midnight, except possibly the Cape and Islands. So, how much are we expecting?

Cape Cod/Islands: Rain
Southeastern MA/RI (South and east of I-95): A coating.
Boston-Providence (I-95 corridor): Less than 1″
Northern RI/MetroWest/North Shore: 1-3″
Merrimack Valley: 2-4″
Southern NH/NH Seacoast: 3-6″
Worcester Hills/Monadnocks/Central NH: 4-8″ (possibly 10″ in spots, especially in the higher elevations)

The Blend of Models is probably closest to our forecast for snowfall. Image provided by WeatherBell.

Once the system pulls away we turn drier and chilly for Wednesday as high pressure builds in. Another cold front moves through on Thursday, with a few snow showers or squalls likely accompanying it. Friday looks to be another dry and cold day as high pressure builds back in. The weekend looks unsettled at this point, but nothing significant. Another system will pass by to the south Saturday morning and afternoon with some snow showers inland and rain showers along the coast. At this point, any accumulations look to be light, but that can obviously change, so we’ll keep an eye on it as the week goes on. Another Alberta Clipper quickly follows for later on Sunday. For now, this one looks to be just a few rain showers, possibly snow or a wintry mix well inland, but again, a lot can change between now and then.

It’s going to get quite chilly behind a cold front Thursday night. Image provided by Weathermodels.com

Monday: Mostly sunny, breezy. High 36-43.

Monday night: Becoming partly to mostly cloudy. Low 20-27, milder across Cape Cod, temperatures start rising after midnight.

Tuesday: Cloudy with snow developing (rain Cape Cod and SE Mass), quickly changing to rain south and east of I-95, eventually changing to rain as far inland as I-495. High 32-39 north and west of I-95, 40-47 south and east, possibly warmer across Cape Cod.

Tuesday night: Rain changes back to snow before ending across much of the region, rain ending across Cape Cod, becoming breezy, especially along the coast. Skies start to clear out late at night. Low 23-30.

Wednesday: Sunshine and some afternoon clouds. High 33-40.

Wednesday night: Partly to mostly cloudy. Low 20-27.

Thursday: Intervals of clouds and sun, breezy, chance for a few snow showers or squalls. High 34-41.

Thursday night: Becoming clear, breezy during the evening, much colder. Low 7-14, warmer in urban areas and along the coast.

Friday: Mostly sunny in the morning, clouds start to filter in during the afternoon. High 23-30, a little milder across Cape Cod.

Saturday: Cloudy with a chance for snow showers inland, rain showers along the coast, mostly during the morning and early afternoon. High 34-41.

Sunday: Mostly cloudy, chance for a few afternoon rain showers, possibly mixed with snow or sleet at the start well north and west of Boston. High 34-41.

Thanksgiving Weekend Outlook: November 27-December 1, 2025

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We’ve reached the busiest travel days of the year, and weather should not be an issue for the most part.

Wind chills will be in the upper teens and lower 20s Friday morning. Image provided by WeatherBell.

A cold front will cross the region tonight, produce a few showers this evening, then bringing an end to the mild weather we enjoyed today. Blustery and colder weather settles in for Thanksgiving Day, with skies becoming partly sunny. Friday looks to be similar, but a few degrees colder. A few stray snow showers are also possible on Friday, as a weak disturbance may help some of the streams of lake-effect snow survive this far east. High pressure brings sunshine and lighter winds on Saturday, but it will still be quite cool, even by late November standards. Temperatures start to moderate on Sunday as the high shifts off to the east, but the next system will be headed our way with plenty of clouds, and likely some rain by late afternoon. Rain is likely Friday night, ending Monday morning, with some sunshine developing Monday afternoon.

Don’t be surprised if there are some snow showers around Friday afternoon. Loop provided by WeatherBell.

Wednesday night: Plenty of clouds, chance for a few showers during the evening, becoming partly cloudy late at night. Low 35-42.

Thursday: Sunshine and some afternoon clouds, breezy. High 40-47.

Thursday night: Becoming clear. Low 28-35.

Friday: Partly sunny, chance for a few snow showers, windy. High 36-43.

Friday night: Clear skies. Low 25-32.

Saturday: Plenty of sunshine, breezy in the morning. High 35-42.

Saturday night: Increasing clouds. Low 22-29.

Sunday: Cloudy and breezy with showers developing late in the day. High 44-51.

Sunday night: Showers likely, ending before daybreak. Low 33-40 during the evening, temperatures rise overnight.

Monday: Intervals of clouds and sun. High 42-49.

Weekly Outlook: November 24 – December 1, 2025

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Thanksgiving week has arrived and weather shouldn’t cause many issues for travel around here.

Except for some rain Tuesday night and showers Wednesday, weather shouldn’t cause any pre-Thanksgiving travel issues around here. Loop provided by Weathermodels.com

We start to week off with a breezy and cool day as high pressure briefly builds into the region. Winds die down tonight, then we’ll turn milder on Tuesday as winds shift into the southwest ahead of low pressure heading into the Great Lakes. Some rain is likely ahead of that system late Tuesday and Tuesday night, setting up a milder day on Wednesday ahead of an approaching cold front with temperatures possibly approaching 60 in some spots. A few showers are possible during the day, but they’ll be more likely along the front during the evening.

Temperatures could reach 60 around here Wednesday afternoon. Image provided by Pivotal Weather.

Breezy and cooler weather settles in behind the front on Thanksgiving Day, then even colder weather moves in for Friday and Saturday as high pressure builds in. A weak upper-level disturbance may produce a few flurries on Friday, otherwise it’ll just be breezy and chilly with highs only in the 30s to lower 40s, with wind chills in the upper teens and 20s if you’re planning on heading out for any Black Friday sales. Saturday should be dry and chilly once again, but with less wind. Milder air starts to move back in on Sunday, but clouds will also be returning as another system heads our way. It looks like any precipitation accompanying the system should hold off until nighttime, which is good news for what is usually another busy travel day.

Bundle up if you’re heading out for the doorbuster sales Friday morning, as wind chills will be in the upper teens and lower 20s. Image provided by WeatherBell.

Monday: Partly to mostly sunny, breezy at times. High 42-49.

Monday night: Clear during the evening, increasing clouds overnight. Low 28-35, temperatures may rise a little after midnight.

Tuesday: Mostly cloudy, showers possible towards evening. High 47-54.

Tuesday night: Cloudy with showers likely, mainly before midnight. Low 40-47.

Wednesday: Cloudy and mild with a few showers during the day, becoming more likely towards evening. High 53-60.

Wednesday night: Showers ending in the evening, becoming partly cloudy late at night. Low 35-42.

Thursday: A mix of sun and clouds, breezy, turning cooler. High 41-48.

Thursday night: Partly cloudy. Low 28-35.

Friday: Partly sunny, windy, chance for a few flurries. High 36-43.

Saturday: Morning sun gives way to some afternoon clouds. High 34-41.

Sunday: Mostly cloudy. High 39-46.

Weekly Outlook: November 17-23, 2025

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Most of the unsettled weather this outlook will happen during the latter half of the week.

Wind chills will be in the 20s when you head out the door Tuesday morning. Image provided by WeatherBell.

The week starts off with low pressure continuing to slowly move away from the region and into Atlantic Canada. The result will be breezy and cool but dry conditions for Monday and Tuesday. A weak system passes south of the region later Wednesday, but high pressure will build in, so we’ll stay dry with lighter winds. Thursday should be another dry and cool day with high pressure in control. A low pressure system will bring some rain and slightly milder air in on Friday, with some gusty winds possible once again as the system pulls away Friday night. High pressure should build in for the weekend with drier and cooler conditions. We will be keeping an eye on a wave of low pressure riding along the cold front as it pushes offshore, but for now, it looks like it will pass too far south to have any impact here.

Temperatures will be below normal for much of the upcoming week. Image provided by Weathermodels.com

Monday: A mix of sun and clouds, windy. High 37-44.

Monday night: Clear skies, breezy. Low 28-35.

Tuesday: Sunshine and a few afternoon clouds, breezy. High 39-46.

Tuesday night: Clear to partly cloudy. Low 25-32.

Wednesday: Mostly sunny. High 40-47.

Wednesday night: Becoming partly to mostly cloudy. Low 25-32.

Thursday: More clouds than sun. High 42-49.

Thursday night: Mostly cloudy. Low 30-37.

Friday: Cloudy with showers likely. High 48-55.

Saturday: Intervals of clouds and sun. High 45-52.

Sunday: Partly sunny. High 42-49.

Weekend Outlook: November 14-17, 2025

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Some milder weather is on the way for part of the weekend, but so is some precipitation.

On average, temperatures will remain quite cool through the start of next week. Image provided by WeatherBell.

High pressure builds in with some drier and cooler weather tonight into the first part of Saturday, though we’ll still see some clouds and possibly a rain or snow shower Friday afternoon with an upper-level low nearby. Clouds start to increase later on Saturday as low pressure moves out of the Great Lakes and towards New England. Some rain will move in Saturday evening, but temperatures may be marginally cool enough north and west of Boston for the precipitation to start as a little snow or sleet, before quickly changing to rain as temperatures rise overnight. The rain ends by midday Sunday, then we’ll start to clear out in the afternoon as the system pulls away. As it intensifies in Gulf of Maine, gusty winds will usher cooler air back in later Sunday and Monday.

Rain may start as a little snow or sleet across the interior Saturday night. Image provided by Weathermodels.com

Thursday night: Gradual clearing. Low 28-35.

Friday: Sunshine and some afternoon clouds, slight chance for a sprinkle or snow flurry. High 40-47.

Friday night: Clear skies. Low 25-32.

Saturday: Sunny in the morning, clouds start to move in during the afternoon. High 40-47.

Saturday night: Rain developing, possibly mixed with some snow or sleet at the start from the Merrimack Valley into Southern New Hampshire. Low 31-38 during the evening, temperatures rise overnight,

Sunday: Rain ends in the morning, becoming partly sunny in the afternoon, breezy. High 48-55.

Sunday night: Partly cloudy, breezy. Low 27-34.

Monday: A mix of sun and clouds, windy. High 38-45.

Weekly Outlook: November 10-16, 2025

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Much cooler air is on the way for a good chunk of the upcoming week.

When you wake up Tuesday morning, wind chills will be in the 20s. Image provided by WeatherBell.

A strong cold front will move across the region today, while a developing wave of low pressure rides up along that front, bringing some more rain in, especially during the morning and early afternoon hours. It’ll be mild ahead of the front in the morning, but much cooler air will quickly move in behind the front during the afternoon and evening. How cool are we talking? High temperatures on Tuesday will only be in the upper 30s and lower 40s, but it will be breezy, so wind chills will only be in the 20s and 30s. Yes, we’re talking about wind chills. It’s that time of year. A large upper-level low pressure area will then make its way into the region. While this will bring much cooler air into our area, some records may be set in parts of the Southeast, as temperatures may drop to freezing or below all the way to the Gulf Coast. With the upper low nearby we’ll still have some clouds around with a few showers or flurries possible. Yes, snow flurries. Really. The upper low will drift into Atlantic Canada for the middle to latter portion of the week and into the weekend and high pressure will try to build in, but we’ll still have a few disturbances moving through at times, generating some additional clouds along with a few rain or snow showers, while keeping temperatures below normal for mid-November.

Temperatures will be 5-10 degrees below normal for much of the week. Image provided by Weathermodels.com

Monday: Occasional showers, some periods of steadier rain at times. High 54-61.

Monday night: Showers end in the evening, becoming partly cloudy to clear. Low 28-35.

Tuesday: Some morning sun, then clouds return, a few rain or snow showers are possible, breezy. High 36-43.

Tuesday night: Partly to mostly cloudy. Low 28-35.

Wednesday: More clouds than sun, breezy, chance for a few rain or snow showers. High 41-48.

Wednesday night: Partly cloudy. Low 32-39.

Thursday: Partly sunny, breezy, a few showers possible. High 44-51.

Thursday night: Clear to partly cloudy. Low 29-36.

Friday: A mix of sun and clouds, breezy. High 42-49.

Saturday: Partly to mostly sunny. High 39-46.

Sunday: Partly sunny. High 42-49.

Weekend Outlook: November 7-10, 2025

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An active weather pattern will remain in place, but big changes are on the way in the temperature department.

Systems keep moving through every couple of days. Loop provided by Tropical Tidbits.

High pressure builds in tonight with skies clearing out and winds diminishing, resulting in a rather chilly night, with much of the region likely dropping below freezing. Clouds quickly return on Friday as a frontal system heads our way. Winds shift into the southwest ahead of the system, so it’ll be a milder day. The front brings in some showers Friday night, ending early Saturday morning, with some clearing in the afternoon. Once again, temperatures could top 60 in many places if we can get enough sun during the afternoon.

Saturday is looking like a rather mild day. Image provided by WeatherBell.

Clouds quickly return on Sunday as another system heads into the Great Lakes. We’ll see rain developing Sunday afternoon, continuing into Sunday night as a secondary area of low pressure develops and passes close to or across Cape Cod. As that system moves into the Gulf of Maine on Monday it will intensify, bringing an end to rain. Gusty northwest winds behind the system will usher much cooler air into the region for the first part of next week.

Much cooler weather is on the way for next week. Image provided by Weathermodels.com

Thursday night: Becoming clear with diminishing winds this evening, a few clouds move back in late at night. Low 26-33.

Friday: Becoming partly to mostly cloudy, breezy in the afternoon. High 51-58.

Friday night: Cloudy, breezy during the evening, showers developing. Low 45-52 during the evening, temperatures rise a little overnight.

Saturday: Morning showers, then becoming partly to perhaps mostly sunny in the afternoon. High 56-63.

Saturday night: Partly cloudy. Low 36-43.

Sunday: Becoming mostly cloudy, rain develops in the afternoon. High 52-59.

Sunday night: Cloudy with showers likely. Low 41-48.

Monday: Mostly cloudy with showers gradually ending. High 52-59.

Weekly Outlook: November 3-9, 2025

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The weather pattern will turn a bit more active this week.

Average high temperatures in early November are in the mid-50s. Image provided by Weathermodels.com

We’re starting off dry today as high pressure slides offshore, but there are two systems heading our way. Low pressure heading up the East Coast will pass by the region later today, producing some light rain across parts of eastern Massachusetts and Rhode Island. At the same time, another system crossing southeastern Canada will send a cold front our way, with some additional rain showers across much of the region tonight. Behind the front, breezy and cooler conditions are likely as high pressure builds in for Tuesday. Another system quickly follows for late Wednesday and Wednesday night, with another round of rain showers, with gusty winds likely behind the system on Thursday. High pressure builds back in, and as it moves eastward, winds will shift into the southwest on Friday, allowing milder air to move back in. It will be short-lived though, as another cold front brings in some showers for Friday night. Saturday should be another dry and cooler day, but yet another system follows on Sunday with another round of showers expected.

Storms will move through the region every other day this week. Loop provided by Pivotal Weather.

Monday: Becoming mostly cloudy with showers developing in the afternoon, mainly across eastern Massachusetts and Rhode Island. High 53-60.

Monday night: Showers end in the evening, skies clear out after midnight, breezy. Low 39-46.

Tuesday: Plenty of sunshine, breezy. High 50-57.

Tuesday night: Clear to partly cloudy. Low 36-43.

Wednesday: Increasing clouds. High 53-60.

Wednesday night: Cloudy and becoming breezy with scattered showers. Low 38-45.

Thursday: Becoming partly to mostly sunny, breezy. High 47-54.

Thursday night: Partly cloudy. Low 28-35.

Friday: Partly sunny in the morning, then clouds thicken up, showers possible at night. High 51-58.

Saturday: Morning showers, then clouds give way to some afternoon sun. High 54-61.

Sunday: Partly to mostly cloudy with a chance for more showers. High 52-59.

Weekend Outlook: October 31 – November 3, 2025

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Despite the wet start to the weekend, drier weather is expected for much of the time.

A healthy drink of water tonight will help put a dent on the drought. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.

Low pressure moving up the Appalachians will bring some rain into the region this evening, possibly heavy at times for a while. As the system lifts northward, the rain will taper off and end from south to north before daybreak as temperatures rise thanks to increasing southwest winds. Temperatures may top 60 Friday morning in many areas before the storm drags a cold front across the region. Gusty west winds will usher cooler air in, with temperatures dropping through the afternoon. High pressure builds in for the weekend, but with an upper-level low moving through we’ll still have some clouds at times, and winds will remain gusty on Saturday. By Monday, we’ll see clouds start to move back in ahead of a fast-moving storm system moving out of the Great Lakes, with some showers possible at night.

Wind gusts of 30-40 mph or higher are likely across the region Friday afternoon. Image provided by WeatherBell.

Thursday night: Rain likely, possibly heavy for a while through the evening, ending before daybreak, breezy. Low 48-55.

Friday: Intervals of clouds and sunshine, windy. High 54-61 in the morning, temperatures drop in the afternoon.

Friday night: Partly cloudy, breezy. Low 39-46.

Saturday: Partly to mostly sunny, breezy. High 50-57.

Saturday night: Clear to partly cloudy. Low 31-38, a little milder across Cape Cod.

Sunday: A mix of sun and clouds. High 48-55.

Sunday night: Partly cloudy. Low 30-37, a little milder across Cape Cod.

Monday: Partly sunny. High 53-60.

Weekly/Tropical Outlook: October 27 – November 2, 2025

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Some unsettled weather is on the way for the 2nd half of the week for our region. Meanwhile, Jamaica is going to get walloped by Hurricane Melissa.

Wednesday could be a chilly, damp day for a good portion of the region. Image provided by Weathermodels.com

We start the week off with dry and cool conditions thanks to a large area of high pressure of eastern Canada. However, with an upper-level low still overhead we’ll see clouds popping up today with just a slight chance for a shower, mainly across Cape Cod where northerly winds could generate a few ocean-effect showers. As we head into Tuesday, low pressure will move off the Carolina coast and head out to sea well south of New England. However, the gradient between the developing low and the high to our north will result in northeast winds, bringing some moisture in from the Atlantic. This will result in some clouds, and possibly a few showers or some drizzle across eastern Massachusetts from late Tuesday into Wednesday.

The potential exists for more heavy rain at the end of the week. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.

By late Wednesday, we’ll start to watch a low pressure area developing in the Tennessee Valley. It should head northeastward, but there is still quite a bit of uncertainty with this system. We’ll likely see some rain move in from this system on Thursday, ending Friday morning, which would result in dry weather for trick-or-treating Friday evening. But that’s not the entire story. It’ll likely be rather breezy with this storm, taking down a lot of the remaining leaves on the trees. As a result, if we get enough rain, it’ll result in some slick roads with the wet leaves covering them, as well as areas of poor drainage flooding. But wait, there’s more! We’ll also be keeping an eye on what remains of Hurricane Melissa (more on that in a moment). The system should be heading well out to sea, but it could be just close enough to the East Coast for our developing system to tap into it, and infuse some tropical moisture, which would result in much heavier rain from this system. This scenario is not looking that likely at this time, but it is a possibility, so we felt the need to mention it. An upper-level low pressure area will then move in for the weekend with breezy and cooler conditions.

Forecast track for Hurricane Melissa. Image provided by the National Hurricane Center.

In the Caribbean, Hurricane Melissa is assaulting Jamaica and nearby portions of Cuba and Haiti, and this will continue for another day or two. As of 2am, Melissa was centered about 130 miles south-southwest of Kingston, Jamaica, drifting toward the west at 5 mph. Maximum sustained winds were near 150 mph, making Melissa a Category 4 storm. Unfortunately, the forecast for Jamaica is rather grim. Melissa will drift westward for another day or so, with some additional strengthening expected. That means rain and strong winds will continue to increase across Jamaica. By Monday night, the storm will start to turn more toward the north as a trough of low pressure off the Southeast begins to pick the storm up. That means it will likely cut right across the island, possibly as a Category 5 storm. In addition to sustained winds possibly in excess of 150 mph, a storm surge of up to 15-20 feet east of the center will likely result in widespread damage, including the capital city of Kingston. On top of that, rainfall totals of 20-40 inches (or higher) will result in catastrophic flooding and mudslides. Torrential rain and strong winds are also likely across portions of Haiti and eastern Cuba, especially as Melissa turns northward towards these areas. It will then cross the Turks and Caicos and parts of the Bahamas as it continues to slowly weaken. By mid-week, it could be a threat to Bermuda as well, possibly still at hurricane strength.

Rainfall totals of 20 to perhaps 40 or more inches are possible. Image provided by the Weather Prediction Center.

Monday: Morning sun with some afternoon clouds, slight chance for a shower or two, especially across Cape Cod. High 48-55.

Monday night: Clear skies north and west of Boston, partly to mostly cloudy south with a few showers or drizzle possible. Low 34-41, a little milder across Cape Cod.

Tuesday: Intervals of clouds and sun, breezy, chance for a few showers or some drizzle near the coast. High 49-56.

Tuesday night: Partly to mostly cloudy with some showers or drizzle around. Low 36-43, a little milder across southeastern Massachusetts and Cape Cod.

Wednesday: More clouds than sun, breezy, some additional showers or drizzle near the coast. High 49-56.

Wednesday night: Mostly cloudy, chance for a few showers. Low 38-45, a little milder across Cape Cod.

Thursday: Plenty of clouds, breezy, rain developing. High 54-61.

Thursday night: Periods of rain, breezy. Low 44-51.

Friday: Cloudy and breezy with rain ending. High 54-61.

Saturday: A mix of sun and clouds, breezy. High 51-58.

Sunday: Partly sunny. High 52-59.