Despite the wet start to the weekend, drier weather is expected for much of the time.
A healthy drink of water tonight will help put a dent on the drought. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.
Low pressure moving up the Appalachians will bring some rain into the region this evening, possibly heavy at times for a while. As the system lifts northward, the rain will taper off and end from south to north before daybreak as temperatures rise thanks to increasing southwest winds. Temperatures may top 60 Friday morning in many areas before the storm drags a cold front across the region. Gusty west winds will usher cooler air in, with temperatures dropping through the afternoon. High pressure builds in for the weekend, but with an upper-level low moving through we’ll still have some clouds at times, and winds will remain gusty on Saturday. By Monday, we’ll see clouds start to move back in ahead of a fast-moving storm system moving out of the Great Lakes, with some showers possible at night.
Wind gusts of 30-40 mph or higher are likely across the region Friday afternoon. Image provided by WeatherBell.
Thursday night: Rain likely, possibly heavy for a while through the evening, ending before daybreak, breezy. Low 48-55.
Friday: Intervals of clouds and sunshine, windy. High 54-61 in the morning, temperatures drop in the afternoon.
Friday night: Partly cloudy, breezy. Low 39-46.
Saturday: Partly to mostly sunny, breezy. High 50-57.
Saturday night: Clear to partly cloudy. Low 31-38, a little milder across Cape Cod.
Sunday: A mix of sun and clouds. High 48-55.
Sunday night: Partly cloudy. Low 30-37, a little milder across Cape Cod.
Some unsettled weather is on the way for the 2nd half of the week for our region. Meanwhile, Jamaica is going to get walloped by Hurricane Melissa.
Wednesday could be a chilly, damp day for a good portion of the region. Image provided by Weathermodels.com
We start the week off with dry and cool conditions thanks to a large area of high pressure of eastern Canada. However, with an upper-level low still overhead we’ll see clouds popping up today with just a slight chance for a shower, mainly across Cape Cod where northerly winds could generate a few ocean-effect showers. As we head into Tuesday, low pressure will move off the Carolina coast and head out to sea well south of New England. However, the gradient between the developing low and the high to our north will result in northeast winds, bringing some moisture in from the Atlantic. This will result in some clouds, and possibly a few showers or some drizzle across eastern Massachusetts from late Tuesday into Wednesday.
The potential exists for more heavy rain at the end of the week. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.
By late Wednesday, we’ll start to watch a low pressure area developing in the Tennessee Valley. It should head northeastward, but there is still quite a bit of uncertainty with this system. We’ll likely see some rain move in from this system on Thursday, ending Friday morning, which would result in dry weather for trick-or-treating Friday evening. But that’s not the entire story. It’ll likely be rather breezy with this storm, taking down a lot of the remaining leaves on the trees. As a result, if we get enough rain, it’ll result in some slick roads with the wet leaves covering them, as well as areas of poor drainage flooding. But wait, there’s more! We’ll also be keeping an eye on what remains of Hurricane Melissa (more on that in a moment). The system should be heading well out to sea, but it could be just close enough to the East Coast for our developing system to tap into it, and infuse some tropical moisture, which would result in much heavier rain from this system. This scenario is not looking that likely at this time, but it is a possibility, so we felt the need to mention it. An upper-level low pressure area will then move in for the weekend with breezy and cooler conditions.
Forecast track for Hurricane Melissa. Image provided by the National Hurricane Center.
In the Caribbean, Hurricane Melissa is assaulting Jamaica and nearby portions of Cuba and Haiti, and this will continue for another day or two. As of 2am, Melissa was centered about 130 miles south-southwest of Kingston, Jamaica, drifting toward the west at 5 mph. Maximum sustained winds were near 150 mph, making Melissa a Category 4 storm. Unfortunately, the forecast for Jamaica is rather grim. Melissa will drift westward for another day or so, with some additional strengthening expected. That means rain and strong winds will continue to increase across Jamaica. By Monday night, the storm will start to turn more toward the north as a trough of low pressure off the Southeast begins to pick the storm up. That means it will likely cut right across the island, possibly as a Category 5 storm. In addition to sustained winds possibly in excess of 150 mph, a storm surge of up to 15-20 feet east of the center will likely result in widespread damage, including the capital city of Kingston. On top of that, rainfall totals of 20-40 inches (or higher) will result in catastrophic flooding and mudslides. Torrential rain and strong winds are also likely across portions of Haiti and eastern Cuba, especially as Melissa turns northward towards these areas. It will then cross the Turks and Caicos and parts of the Bahamas as it continues to slowly weaken. By mid-week, it could be a threat to Bermuda as well, possibly still at hurricane strength.
Rainfall totals of 20 to perhaps 40 or more inches are possible. Image provided by the Weather Prediction Center.
Monday: Morning sun with some afternoon clouds, slight chance for a shower or two, especially across Cape Cod. High 48-55.
Monday night: Clear skies north and west of Boston, partly to mostly cloudy south with a few showers or drizzle possible. Low 34-41, a little milder across Cape Cod.
Tuesday: Intervals of clouds and sun, breezy, chance for a few showers or some drizzle near the coast. High 49-56.
Tuesday night: Partly to mostly cloudy with some showers or drizzle around. Low 36-43, a little milder across southeastern Massachusetts and Cape Cod.
Wednesday: More clouds than sun, breezy, some additional showers or drizzle near the coast. High 49-56.
Wednesday night: Mostly cloudy, chance for a few showers. Low 38-45, a little milder across Cape Cod.
Thursday: Plenty of clouds, breezy, rain developing. High 54-61.
Thursday night: Periods of rain, breezy. Low 44-51.
Friday: Cloudy and breezy with rain ending. High 54-61.
Saturday: A mix of sun and clouds, breezy. High 51-58.
Much of the upcoming weekend will feature dry and cool conditions. That will not be the case in parts of the Caribbean as Tropical Storm Melissa meanders around.
High temperatures may only be in the lower 50s by Monday. Image provided by WeatherBell.
An upper-level low pressure system will settle into the Northeast for the next few days while high pressure starts to build in at the surface. The result will be cooler temperatures with some clouds each afternoon, but for the most part we’ll stay on the dry side. The exception will be Friday, with a weak disturbance will move through, possibly generating a couple of pop-up showers during the afternoon hours. As we get deeper into the weekend, the upper-level low will lift out and high pressure becomes more dominant, but we’ll stay on the cool side. As we get towards Monday, we may see more clouds starting to stream in as low pressure heads toward the Mid-Atlantic states. That system could have some impacts here later next week, but we’ll get into more detail about that in our Weely Outlook early Monday morning.
Forecast track for Tropical Storm Melissa. Image provided by the National Hurricane Center.
Meanwhile, in the Caribbean, Tropical Storm Melissa remains weak this afternoon, but that may change this weekend. As of 2pm, Melissa was centered about 200 miles south-southeast of Kingston, Jamaica, drifting toward the north-northwest at 2pm. Maximum sustained winds were near 45 mph. Tropical Storm Warnings and Hurricane Watches are in effect for parts of Haiti and all of Jamaica. Wind shear has been keeping Melissa weak since yesterday, but there are signs that the shear will relax over the next 24 hours, which would allow the storm to strengthen. With a large high pressure area building in to the north, the storm will drift westward for the next few days, right on top of some of the warmest water in the Caribbean. This could result in Melissa rapidly strengthening into a powerful hurricane near or just south of Jamaica. Strong winds and torrential rainfall could lash the island, as well as nearby portions of Haiti and eastern Cuba for days. Some models show the potential for 2-4 FEET of rain by early next week, which would result in widespread significant flooding, and mudslides.
Parts of Jamaica, Haiti, and eastern Cuba could see as much as 20-40 inches of rain between now and the middle of next week. Image provided by Weathermodels.com
Thursday night: Clear to partly cloudy. Low 38-45.
Friday: Sunshine and some afternoon clouds, chance for a shower or two. High 53-60.
Friday night: Clear skies. Low 36-43, a little milder across Cape Cod.
Saturday: A mix of sun and clouds. High 50-57.
Saturday night: Partly cloudy. Low 34-41, a little milder across Cape Cod.
Sunday: Partly sunny. High 48-55.
Sunday night: Partly cloudy. Low 32-39, a little milder across Cape Cod.
Despite last week’s heavy rain, we’re still in a drought for much of the region and really need more rain. Well, we are going to get some today.
A cold front will produce showers and thunderstorms this morning as it moves through. Loop provided by Weathermodels.com
A strong cold front will cross the region this morning. Ahead of this front we can expect some heavy rain, maybe a rumble of thunder, and some gusty winds. While this could have some impacts on the morning commute, it will be short-lived, as the rain should end with the front moving offshore by early afternoon. Gusty west winds behind the front will send temperatures downward through the afternoon. We’ll clear out at night as high pressure builds in, giving us some sunshine on Tuesday, but clouds will quickly return Tuesday night ahead of another cold front. This one will produce more showers Wednesday morning, but it will also move through fairly quickly, with skies starting to clear out in the afternoon. High pressure then builds in with cooler weather for the end of the week, but with an upper-level low moving in, we’ll see some clouds each day, and possibly a few showers at times. The upper-level low lifts out over the weekend as high pressure moves overhead with dry and cool conditions.
Temperatures will be below normal for the end of the week and the weekend. Image provided by WeatherBell.
Monday: Rain likely during the morning, possibly heavy at times, ending from west to east by early afternoon, skies start to clear out late in the day, breezy, especially during the morning and early afternoon. High 60-67 in the morning, temperatures start falling in the afternoon.
Monday night: Becoming partly cloudy to clear with diminishing winds. Low 44-51.
Tuesday: Mostly sunny, some clouds start to move back in late in the day. High 58-65.
Tuesday night: Becoming mostly cloudy with showers developing before daybreak. Low 47-54, temperatures may rise a little overnight.
Wednesday: Showers likely during the morning, ending by early afternoon, followed by clearing late in the day, breezy. High 60-67.
Wednesday night: Clear to partly cloudy. Low 40-47.
Thursday: Sunshine and some afternoon clouds, a sprinkle is possible, breezy, cooler. High 54-61.
Thursday night: Clear to partly cloudy. Low 37-44.
Friday: A mix of sun and clouds, slight chance for a shower. High 52-59.
Some nice weather is on the way for most of the weekend, but more rain is in our future.
Low pressure south of Nova Scotia continues to send clouds into eastern New England. loop provided by College of DuPage.
Our stubborn ocean storm will finally lose its influence on the region tonight with winds diminishing as high pressure builds in from the west. There might still be a few showers across parts of Cape Cod, but otherwise it will remain dry with skies becoming clear across the area. As the high slowly crosses the region we’ll have sunshine and seasonably cool temperatures on Friday. By Saturday, we’ll see temperatures start to moderate, but also some clouds starting to move in ahead of a low pressure area moving into the Great Lakes. Sunday looks like the pick of the weekend with some sunshine in the morning, but clouds start to increase and thicken up during the afternoon. Increasing southwest winds will send temperatures well into the 60s with some spots possibly topping 70. As the front continues to advance eastward, we’ll see some showers developing late Sunday night, likely continuing for a good chunk of Monday until the front pushes offshore.
Monday’s rainfall will be helpful, but we need a lot more to break the drought. Image provided by weathermodels.com
Thursday night: Plenty of clouds with a few showers across Cape Cod, becoming clear elsewhere, breezy along the coast. Low 37-44, milder across Cape Cod.
Friday: Clearing across Cape Cod, plenty of sunshine elsewhere. High 55-62.
Friday night: Clear skies. Low 36-43, milder across Cape Cod.
Saturday: Mostly sunny with some afternoon high clouds. High 57-64.
Saturday night: Partly cloudy. Low 41-48.
Sunday: Some morning sun, then increasing and thickening clouds, breezy and milder. High 62-69.
Sunday night: Cloudy with showers developing. Low 50-57.
Monday: Periods of rain and showers, breezy. High 58-65.
Some slow improvement is expected as the week goes on, but the start of the week will be rather nasty.
Low pressure will remain off the East Coast for much of the week. Loop provided by Tropical Tidbits.
Low pressure continues to meander around off the Mid-Atlantic coast today, with more rain, some of it heavy, strong winds, especially near the coast, and coastal flooding around the time of high tide, especially along east and northeast-facing coastlines. The low will start to drift eastward on Tuesday, with rain tapering off to showers and eventually ending, and winds slowly dying down, but it still won’t be a great day. By Wednesday the system will be south of Nova Scotia, but an upper-level low will move into the Northeast, keeping the clouds and cool temperatures around, with a few showers or some drizzle possible, especially near the coast, as north to northeast winds will remain gusty off the Atlantic. Thursday won’t be that much different than Wednesday as the upper low only slowly moves eastward.
Much of the region will pick up another 1-2″ (or more) of much needed rain before it ends. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.
We finally start to see some improvement by Friday as high pressure continues to build in at the surface, but also aloft. Saturday looks to be the pick of the week with sunshine and milder temperatures with high pressure in control. Sunday will be a warmer day, but we won’t see as much sunshine. Low pressure moving into the Great Lakes will send some clouds into the region. Whether we see any showers before the end of the day is still a question mark, but for now, it looks like most of the day should remain dry.
Temperatures could approach or exceed 70 on Sunday. Image provided by WeatherBell.
Monday: Windy with rain, heavy at times. High 51-58, a little milder across southeastern Massachusetts and Cape Cod.
Monday night: Breezy, rain tapers off to showers. Low 46-53, a little milder across southeastern Massachusetts and Cape Cod.
Tuesday: Cloudy and breezy with more showers, tapering off during the afternoon from west to east. High 55-62.
Tuesday night: Partly to mostly cloudy, showers ending in the evening in eastern areas, winds diminish. Low 45-52.
Wednesday: More clouds than sun, breezy, chance for a few showers or drizzle near the coast. High 58-65.
Wednesday night: Partly cloudy, breezy, a few showers are drizzle along the coast. Low 37-44.
Thursday: Intervals of clouds and sun, breezy, another shower or some drizzle possible near the coast. High 51-58.
Thursday night: Partly cloudy, breezy. Low 36-43.
Friday: Mostly sunny, breezy in the morning. High 55-62.
Saturday: Sunshine and some afternoon clouds. High 58-65.
Sunday: Partly sunny, showers possible late in the day. High 64-71.
We’ve had warm and dry weather for much of the past few months, but that is going to change this weekend.
Freeze Warnings (dark blue) and Frost Advisories (light blue) are in effect for much of the Northeast. Image provided by the National Weather Service.
A large area of high pressure will settle across the region tonight, bringing us clear skies and light winds – the ideal setup for radiational cooling. As a result, we’re looking at the coolest night so far this fall, with widespread frost away from the coast and urban areas, with a freeze expected in the normally colder locations. Friday will feature plenty of sunshine, but we’ll remain on the cool side. As the high starts to slide off to the south and east, winds will shift into the southwest Friday night, so we won’t be as chilly as tonight. Saturday should be a milder day, but we’ll see clouds starting to move in as moisture streams northward from a low pressure area developing off the Carolina coast. That system will drift northward Sunday and Monday, but won’t get this far north, though it will still have a significant impact on the region.
A developing low pressure will impact much of the East Coast this weekend. Loop provided by WeatherBell.
We’ll see rain spreading northward from the system, likely moving in from south to north Sunday afternoon and evening. How far north the rain gets is still a bit of a question mark, but it looks like most of the region should receive some much-needed rainfall. How much rainfall is also a question, but at this point it looks like the heaviest rain will be near the South Coast and also east-facing coastal areas, which some spots could see 1-2 inches of rain, possibly more, before everything starts to wind down on Tuesday.
Some models show the potential for very heavy rainfall with this system. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.
Rain isn’t the only impact from this system though. The pressure gradient between the developing low to the south and high pressure to the north will result in gusty east to northeast winds, especially near the coast, where some gusts in excess of 40 mph are possible, especially later Sunday into Monday. In addition, with tides still near the astronomical high for the month, persistent onshore gusty winds will result in some areas of coastal flooding, especially along east and northeast facing locations. Oh, and the combination of cloudcover, rainfall, and winds, will keep temperatures on the cool side again, especially on Monday.
Wind gusts in excess of 40 mph are possible, especially near the coast, Sunday night and Monday. Image provided by WeatherBell.
Thursday night: Clear and chilly. Low 29-36, milder along the coast and in urban areas.
Friday: Plenty of sunshine. High 56-63.
Friday night: Clear during the evening, some clouds start to filter in from south to north after midnight. Low 38-45, a little milder along the coast and in urban areas.
Saturday: Partly sunny, clouds start to thicken up late in the day. High 60-67.
Saturday night: Mostly cloudy. Low 44-51.
Sunday: Cloudy and becoming windy with rain developing from south to north. High 57-64.
Sunday night: Cloudy and windy with rain likely, possibly heavy at times. Low 48-55.
Monday: Cloudy and windy with more rain, possibly heavy at times. High 54-61, a little milder near the South Coast and Cape Cod.
It’s going to feel like summer for a few more days, but you’ll be trading the flip-flops for sweatshirts later this week.
Temperatures should reach the lower to middle 80s this afternoon well away from the South Coast. Image provided by Weathermodels.com
High pressure remains on control to start the week with more sunshine and unseasonably warm temperatures. Many locations away from the South Coast will top 80 again today, with a seabreeze keeping the South Coast and Cape Cod in the 70s. Tuesday looks like another warm day with gusty southwest winds, but clouds will be on the increase ahead of an approaching cold front. That front will bring in some much-needed rain late Tuesday night into Wednesday, with temperatures getting back closer to normal for early October thanks to the cloudcover and rain. The front settles offshore later Wednesday and high pressure starts to build back in. Much cooler air moves in for Thursday, with many spots likely staying in the 50s all day.
Temperatures Thursday morning will be 15-20 degrees cooler than Wednesday morning. Image provided by WeatherBell.
We’ll stay on the cooler side for Friday and Saturday, but temperatures will be a little closer to normal, as winds shift back into the southwest with the high sliding offshore. Sunday is a bit of a question mark at this point. A low pressure area will be developing off the Mid-Atlantic coastline. Some models try and bring it northward, bringing in some additional much-needed rain, while other models have it stay off to the south with the high to the north blocking it. We’re going to lean toward the latter scenario for now (“When in drought, leave it out”), but this is something we’ll be keeping an eye on as the week progresses.
Will Sunday be wet or dry? It’s too early to tell. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.
Monday: Patchy morning fog, otherwise plenty of sunshine with a few afternoon clouds. High 79-86, except 71-78 across the South Coast and Cape Cod.
Monday night: Clear to partly cloudy with a little patchy fog again. Low 53-60.
Tuesday: Mostly sunny in the morning, increasing and thickening clouds in the afternoon, breezy. High 74-81, a little cooler near the South Coast and Cape Cod.
Tuesday night: Mostly cloudy, showers developing after midnight. Low 57-64.
Wednesday: Rain likely during the morning, tapering off from northwest to southeast during the afternoon, some clearing late in the day, especially north and west of Boston, breezy. High 63-70 in the morning, temperatures start dropping in the afternoon.
Wednesday night: Becoming clear. Low 38-45, a little milder across Cape Cod.
Thursday: Lots of sunshine. High 54-61.
Thursday night: Clear skies. Low 33-40, a little milder in urban areas and across Cape Cod.
Friday: Mostly sunny. High 57-64.
Saturday: A mix of sun and clouds. High 60-67.
Sunday: More clouds than sun with a chance for showers, especially late in the day, becoming breezy. High 58-65.
We’ve got some absolutely glorious weather coming up for the weekend.
It’s been very dry across the region over the past 3 months, and that won’t change this weekend. Image provided by the Northeast Regional Climate Center.
A large area of high pressure will sink southward over the next few days. With it right overhead tonight, we’ll have clear skies and light winds – the recipe for radiational cooling. It will be quite chilly tonight, with lows mainly in the 40s with upper 30s in the cold spots. A few patches of frost are possible in spots as well. After that, as the high continues to move southward we’ll see winds shift into the west and southwest, bringing warmer air in for the entire weekend with plenty of sunshine each day. Coastal areas may still a little cooler with afternoon seabreezes, but inland temperatures could top 80 during Saturday, Sunday and Monday.
Temperatures will be well above normal this weekend. Image provided by Weathermodels.com
Thursday night: Clear to partly cloudy and chilly. Low 39-46.
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