Weekly Outlook: November 18-24, 2024

It looks like we may finally get some rain this week.

Rainfall totals over the past 6 months are only 1/2 to 3/4 of normal across the region. Image provided by WeatherBell.

We start the week off with some clouds this morning as a weak system moves through, but as has been the case for a while now, it will be accompanied by little, if any, rainfall. We’ll clear out this afternoon with breezy conditions, increasing the fire danger once again. Tuesday and Wednesday look dry and mild with high pressure in control once again, so we’ll remain in a high fire danger situation. Things begin to change for the second half of the week though.

Another very mild day is expected across the region today. Image provided by Weathermodels.com

A low pressure system that will bring a significant storm system to the nation’s mid-section to start the week will head into central Canada while an upper-level low pressure system moves from the Plains into the Great Lakes, and by the end of the week into the Northeast. A disturbance rotating around that upper-low will trigger a new low pressure system at the surface by mid-week in the Ohio Valley, which should bring in some much-needed rain around here for Thursday. There is still a lot of uncertainty with this storm, as it may draw in some of the remnants of Sara, adding some additional juice to the system. However, the track the storm takes will determine if we just get some occasional showers and a brief period of steady rain, or some prolonged heavier rain. Recent history would suggest the former, but the latter can’t be ruled out yet. We’ll update you on this during the week if needed. By the end of the week, that upper-level low moves in, with some occasional showers and much cooler weather for Friday and likely Saturday as well. In fact, those showers may fall as snow showers across the higher terrain from Worcester County into the Monadnocks of southern New Hampshire, and we could see some snowflakes mixed in at the lower elevations as well. High pressure then builds back in for Sunday with drier and cool conditions.

The models all have different ideas on where the storm system will be on Thursday and how much rain it will bring in. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.

Monday: Morning clouds and a slight chance for a sprinkle, then becoming partly to mostly sunny, a little breezy in the afternoon, quite mild. High 55-62.

Monday night: Clear to partly cloudy. Low 36-43.

Tuesday: Sunshine and a few clouds, breezy. High 51-58.

Tuesday night: Clear to partly cloudy. Low 32-39.

Wednesday: Mostly sunny, clouds start to filter in during the afternoon. High 50-57.

Thursday: Cloudy and breezy with showers developing, possibly some steadier rain. High 47-54.

Friday: Mostly cloudy with more showers around, possibly mixed with some wet snow, especially across the higher terrain. High 44-51.

Saturday: More clouds than sunshine, breezy, chance for a few more showers. High 44-51.

Sunday: Partly sunny, breezy. High 45-52.

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