Weekly Outlook: September 23-29, 2024

wxmanscottk

Sunday was the first day of fall, and we’ll have some fall weather for most of the upcoming week.

Temperatures will be a little cooler than normal over the next several days. Image provided by Weathermodels.com

The low pressure system that brought all the rain and cool weather to the region over the weekend has drifted off to the south, and high pressure has built in from the north, which will bring us some drier weather for the next few days. However, the flow in between the two systems will result in northeast winds, keeping us cool, while also keeping some clouds around. By Wednesday, we’ll see a frontal system start to approach from the west, bringing more clouds in. It looks like most of the rain should hold off until night time, so Wednesday should be another dry day. That system will be a slow mover though, so another wet day is likely on Thursday. High pressure builds in for Friday and the weekend with drier air, but it’s not as simple as that may sound.

The models are in good agreement that we should get some beneficial rainfall Wednesday night and Thursday. Image provided by Pivotal Weather.

A tropical system is likely to develop in the Gulf of Mexico over the next day or two, and forecast models show it becoming a formidable system before landfall somewhere between New Orleans and Tampa later this week. Once inland, it will rapidly weaken, but the moisture from it will stream northward. Some models have the high pressure area block that moisture from getting up here, while other models have it get close, possibly to the South Coast, before the high blocks any farther progress northward. So, for now, our forecast is for dry weather next weekend, but that could change by the time we get to our Weekend Outlook on Thursday.

Most of the Ensemble members are in good agreement on a track toward the Florida Panhandle later this week with a developing tropical system. Loop provided by Tomer Burg.

Monday: More clouds than sunshine, breezy near the coast. High 60-67.

Monday night: Partly to mostly cloudy. Low 48-55.

Tuesday: Intervals of clouds and sun, breezy near the coast. High 61-68.

Tuesday night: Mostly cloudy. Low 50-57.

Wednesday: Plenty of clouds, slight chance for a shower during the day, more likely at night. High 62-69.

Thursday: Cloudy with showers likely, ending late in the day. High 64-71.

Friday: A mix of sun and clouds. High 67-74.

Saturday: Partly to mostly sunny. High 65-72.

Sunday: A mix of sun and clouds. High 67-74.

Leave a comment