Month: July 2024

Weekly Outlook: July 29 – August 4, 2024

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Unsettled weather returns this week, but that doesn’t mean any of the days will be a washout.

Showers should taper off this morning, but a few are still possible through the evening. Loop provided by WeatherBell.

A weak low pressure system will pull away from the region today, with any lingering showers coming to an end, and some sunny breaks developing. We could see a few more showers and thunderstorms pop up during the afternoon, but they’ll likely be few and far between. After that, the Bermuda High sets up shop offshore once again, with humidity levels increasing, and temperatures following suit later in the week. We’ll have a series of weak upper-level disturbances also scooting across the Northeast, and these will help to trigger some pop-up showers and thunderstorms each afternoon right through the week. Once of these disturbances may be a little stronger than the others when it moves through on Wednesday, which could lead to some stronger storms, with heavy downpours and strong winds possible in some of them. By the end of the week, temperatures may top 90 again in some areas, accompanied by high humidity, resulting in heat indices well into the 90s or even higher.

Temperatures could top 90 later this week. Image provided by Weathermodels.com

Just a quick note about the tropics as well. After Beryl made landfall in Texas, it’s been rather quiet for a few weeks, but that may be changing. A tropical wave crossing the Atlantic may interact with another disturbance as it approaches the Lesser Antilles. There is some potential for this system to develop into a tropical depression later this week. One of the forecast models has been rather insistent on the development of this system, and not only that, it tries to make it a threat to the East Coast. This is just one model, and most of the others do not show this scenario. Of course, this hasn’t stopped the Facebook Forecasters from cranking up the hype machine already. The odds that this system will be a threat up here are extremely tiny at this point in time. We won’t say they are zero, but for now, it’s roughly the same odds that the USA Basketball team doesn’t win a medal at the Olympics. Still, it’s looking like the next couple of months will be rather active, and we are extremely overdue for a hurricane to come calling, so we’ll be keeping a close eye on things for you and will let you know if there is a storm we actually need to be concerned about.

After a 3-week slumber, the Atlantic could be waking up again. Image provided by the National Hurricane Center.

Monday: Plenty of clouds with showers early, some afternoon sunny breaks with another shower or thunderstorm possible, humid. High 71-78.

Monday night: Any lingering showers end in the evening, otherwise partly cloudy, areas of patchy fog may develop. Low 62-69.

Tuesday: Partly sunny, slight chance for an afternoon shower or thunderstorm. High 81-88.

Tuesday night: Partly to mostly cloudy. Low 66-73.

Wednesday: Intervals of clouds and sunshine with scattered showers and thunderstorms, a few could produce heavy downpours and gusty winds. High 76-83.

Thursday: A mix of sun and clouds, chance for a pop-up shower or thunderstorm. High 82-89.

Friday: Partly sunny, some late-day showers or thunderstorms are possible. High 84-91.

Saturday: Partly sunny, chance for a shower or thunderstorm. High 84-91.

Sunday: A mix of sun and clouds, slight chance for a shower or thunderstorm. High 83-90.

Weekend Outlook: July 26-29, 2024

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In terms of the weather, this will be one of the best weekends all summer.

Climatologically, these are the warmest days of the year. Image provided by Weathermodels.com

A cold front will push offshore this evening, then high pressure builds in, with sunshine, lower humidity, and seasonably warm temperatures for Friday and the weekend. By Monday, things may change. Earlier, it was looking like it would be dry and more humid, but the latest models are all showing the potential for a weak storm system off the coast, which would bring in some clouds and showers. We’re a little skeptical about such a change from one run to the next, but nearly all of the models are showing it, so Monday may not be as great as we originally were thinking.

Monday may not turn out to be such a great day after all. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.

Thursday night: Any lingering showers end this evening, then skies clear out overnight. Low 59-66.

Friday: Plenty of sunshine, not as humid. High 78-85.

Friday night: Clear skies. Low 58-65.

Saturday: More sunshine. High 81-88, a little cooler near the coast.

Saturday night: Clear skies. Low 59-66.

Sunday: Sunny. High 83-90, a little cooler along the coast.

Sunday night: Clear during the evening, increasing clouds late at night. Low 60-67.

Monday. More clouds than sun with a chance of showers. High 77-84.

Weekly Outlook: July 22-28, 2024

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The humidity is back, but the heat will hold off for at least a few days.

Wednesday could end up as a rather cool day across the region. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.

A warm front lifts northward across the region today, allowing warm and humid weather to return, with some showers and thunderstorms possible in the afternoon. Another front will remain stalled out near the South Coast, and as waves of low pressure ride along the front, they’ll bring in a daily chance for showers and thunderstorms between Monday night and Thursday. Any storms that do form could produce some heavy downpours, which could lead to some flash flooding in spots, as well as some gusty winds. It’s actually been a little dry for the past month or so, so your lawn might welcome the rain, even if you don’t. With the cloudcover and rainfall, temperatures will be cooler, likely in the 70s and lower 80s for Tuesday and Wednesday. By Thursday night, a stronger cold front will move through with another round of showers and thunderstorms likely ahead of it. High pressure builds in behind the front for Friday and next weekend with some drier air, but it will turn even warmer, with 90-degree readings possible once again.

A little dryness is showing up across parts of northern Massachusetts and southern New Hampshire recently. Image provided by the National Drought Mitigation Center

Monday: Partly sunny, a late-day shower or thunderstorm is possible. High 81-88.

Monday night: Mostly cloudy with scattered showers and thunderstorms. Low 63-70.

Tuesday: Intervals of clouds and sunshine, chance for a few showers and thunderstorms, mainly early and again late in the day. High 75-82.

Tuesday night: Plenty of clouds with a few showers and thunderstorms possible. Low 63-70.

Wednesday: More clouds than sun with scattered showers and thunderstorms expected. High 72-79.

Thursday: Partly sunny with another round of showers and thunderstorms, mainly late in the day and into the evening. High 79-86.

Friday: A mix of sun and clouds, not as humid, just a slight chance for another shower or thunderstorm. High 78-85.

Saturday: Mostly sunny. High 80-87.

Sunday: Mostly sunny. High 83-90.

Weekend Outlook: July 19-22, 2024

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A drier and quieter weather pattern will be in place through the weekend.

Dewpoints will drop into the 50s and lower 60s across the region on Friday. Image provided by WeatherBell.

High pressure builds in for Friday and only slowly moves eastward, pushing offshore by the end of the weekend. That means we’ll stay dry into at least Sunday and likely Monday. A weak disturbance will bring in some clouds on Saturday, but any shower activity should remain well north and west of our area. While temperatures will remain seasonably warm, humidity levels will drop for Friday and Saturday, but then start to slowly creep up again for Sunday and Monday. A weak frontal boundary will try to drop down from the north later Sunday and Monday with a few more clouds, but it doesn’t look like it will make it through, and there probably won’t be any shower activity associated with it aside from possibly a stray shower or two Monday afternoon.

Temperatures this weekend will be near to a little above normal. Image provided by Weathermodels.com

Thursday night: Skies become clear, less humid. Low 59-66, maybe a little warmer across Cape Cod.

Friday: Sunshine and just a few stray clouds. High 79-86.

Friday night: Clear skies, some clouds start to filter in late at night. Low 60-67, a little warmer across Cape Cod.

Saturday: Partly sunny. High 81-88.

Saturday night: Partly cloudy. Low 63-70.

Sunday: A mix of sun and clouds. High 83-90.

Sunday night: Partly cloudy. Low 61-68.

Monday: Partly sunny, a little more humid, slight chance for a pop-up shower. High 83-90.

Weekly Outlook: July 15-21, 2024

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Hot and humid weather continues for the first half of the week, but some relief is on the way.

Heat Advisories are in effect for a large portion of the region into Wednesday. Images provided by the National Weather Service in Norton.

A Bermuda High remains anchored offshore, with southwest winds around the high continuing to pump hot and humid weather into the region into Wednesday. Daytime highs will likely top 90 away from the South Coast, and when the humidity is factored in, it will feel like it is near or over 100 degrees during the hottest part of the afternoon. Heat Advisories have been posted for the region as a result. Try to stay indoors if you can, and take precautions if you will be outside, including wearing sunscreen, seeking shade as much as possible, and drinking plenty of liquids. A few showers and thunderstorms are possible this afternoon and again Tuesday afternoon as a pair of weak disturbances cross the region, but these will likely not be that widespread. If you do get caught under one, heavy downpours and gusty winds are the biggest threats.

The heat index will be near or over 100 across much of the region Tuesday afternoon. Image provided by WeatherBell.

A cold front will move in on Wednesday, with more widespread showers and thunderstorms along and ahead of it Wednesday afternoon and night. Some of the storms could be quite strong, with strong winds and heavy downpours the main threats once again. Once the front moves through at night, much drier air settles in for the end of the week and the weekend. Instead of dewpoints in the upper 60s and 70s, we’ll see dewpoints in the 50s, maybe even upper 40s, and air temperatures will be in the 80s during the day, and 60s possibly upper 50s at night, so you’ll be able to give the air conditioner a break and open the windows. We may start to warm up again by the end of the weekend as high pressure slides offshore.

Dewpoints will drop into the upper 40s and 50s as much drier air settles in on Thursday. Image provided by Weathermodels.com

Monday: Some patchy fog early, otherwise sunshine and some afternoon clouds, chance for an afternoon shower or thunderstorm. High 89-96, cooler along the South Coast and Cape Cod.

Monday night: Any showers or storms end in the evening, otherwise partly cloudy. Low 68-75.

Tuesday: Partly to mostly sunny, a late-day shower or thunderstorm possible. High 90-97, cooler along the South Coast and Cape Cod.

Tuesday night: Partly cloudy, any showers or storms end in the evening. Low 69-76.

Wednesday: Partly sunny, showers and thunderstorms likely late in the day and into the night. High 89-96, cooler along the South Coast and Cape Cod.

Thursday: A mix of sun and clouds, not as humid. High 80-87.

Friday: Mostly sunny. High 79-86, cooler along the coast.

Saturday: Partly sunny. High 81-88.

Sunday: A mix of sun and clouds. High 82-89.

Weekend Outlook: July 12-15, 2024

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Hot and humid weather continues into a good chunk of next week across the region.

Dewpoints will peak in the mid 70s on Saturday. Image provided by WeatherBell.

A Bermuda High will remain anchored offshore for the next several days, with southwest winds continuing to pump very warm to hot and humid conditions into the region. A stray shower or thunderstorm is possible on Friday, but a weak boundary will move in Friday night, bringing a better chance for some widespread showers and thunderstorms late Friday night into Saturday morning. Some of these storms could produce heavy rainfall, with some localized flooding possible. We’ll start to clear out late Saturday, with a drier day likely on Sunday. It’ll still be hot, and on the humid side, but not quite as humid as recent days. By Monday, humidity levels will creep back up, with a few showers and thunderstorms possible in the afternoon.

Many of the models are showing the potential for some heavy rainfall amounts for at least parts of the region on Saturday. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.

Thursday night: Clear to partly cloudy. Low 66-73.

Friday: A mix of sun and clouds, slight chance for a shower or thunderstorm, a little breezy in the afternoon. High 85-92, a little cooler near the South Coast and Cape Cod.

Friday night: Becoming mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms developing after midnight. Low 68-75.

Saturday: Showers and thunderstorms likely, some of them heavy in the morning, then skies start to clear out late in the day. High 80-87, a little cooler across Cape Cod.

Saturday night: Becoming clear. Low 65-72.

Sunday: Sunshine and a few clouds. High 86-93, a little cooler across Cape Cod.

Sunday night: Clear skies. Low 66-73.

Monday: A mix of sun and clouds, a shower or thunderstorm is possible. High 87-94, a little cooler across the South Coast and Cape Cod.

Weekly Outlook: July 8-14, 2024

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The humidity is going to stick around for most of the week, with heat to start the week as well.

Thursday looks like the day the humidity peaks with dewpoints well into the 70s. Image provided by WeatherBell.

We start the week off with very warm to hot and humid conditions across the region for Monday and Tuesday thanks to a Bermuda high. Southwest winds will pump the heat and humidity in, though it will act as a seabreeze along the South Coast. Away from the South Coast we’re looking at temperatures well into the 80s and lower 90s, with dewpoints likely in the lower to middle 70s. As a result, the heat index will be near or over 100 during the next few afternoons. A Heat Advisory is in effect for Monday and Tuesday for parts of the region, and it will likely get expanded to not only include more of the region, but extended into Wednesday as well. A few widely scattered showers and thunderstorms may pop up Tuesday afternoon, but most of the region should remain dry. A weak frontal boundary drops in on Wednesday, but we’ll likely stay quite warm and humid with the boundary north of us, but it will help to trigger more showers and thunderstorms, especially north of the Mass Pike. That front will hang around for much of the remainder of the week, giving us more cloudcover, which will keep temperatures a little lower, but also better chances for showers and thunderstorms each day, especially Thursday and Friday, when what’s left of Beryl passes by, likely to our north and west. With a humid airmass in place, any of the thunderstorms may produce some heavy downpours each afternoon, especially when Beryl’s remains pass by. While not everyone will get hit each day, by the end of the week, it wouldn’t be a surprise if some spots had picked up anywhere from 3 to 5 inches of rain. At some point during the weekend, that boundary may sag southward, bringing in some slightly drier air, and limiting the shower and thunderstorm activity, though when, or if, that occurs, is still a question mark.

Some models show the potential for quite a bit of rain in parts of the region this week. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.

Monday: Sunshine and some afternoon clouds. High 87-94, cooler along the coast.

Monday night: Partly to mostly cloudy, areas of fog near the South Coast. Low 67-74.

Tuesday: Partly sunny, slight chance for an afternoon shower. High 86-93, cooler along the South Coast.

Tuesday night: Partly to mostly cloudy, again, some fog possible near the South Coast. Low 68-75.

Wednesday: Intervals of clouds and sun, some afternoon showers or thunderstorms likely, especially north of the Mass Pike. High 83-90, cooler right along the South Coast.

Thursday: Partly sunny, a few showers and thunderstorms possible, again mostly north of the Mass Pike. High 80-87.

Friday: A mix of sun and clouds with more showers and thunderstorms around. High 83-90.

Saturday: Partly sunny, chance for a few additional showers and thunderstorms, mostly south of the Mass Pike. High 81-88.

Sunday: A mix of sun and clouds, chance for a shower or thunderstorm. High 84-91.

Holiday Weekend Outlook: July 4-8, 2024 + Tropical Outlook

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The long weekend will feature typical summertime weather – warm temperatures, moderate to high humidity, and a daily chance for pop-up showers and thunderstorms.

Dewpoints will get well into the 70s around here on Saturday. Image provided by WeatherBell.

After a couple of warm but dry days, we’ll see humidity levels increasing over the next few days thanks to southwest winds. A weak front will move in for the Fourth of July, but it won’t ruin any plans you may have. It will bring in some clouds, but only a few widely scattered showers and/or thunderstorms. So, keep an eye to the sky if you’ve got outdoor plans, but don’t go cancelling them, as most places will remain dry. Some patchy dense fog is likely Thursday night, especially near the South Coast, but it shouldn’t impact any fireworks displays. Friday looks like a typical summertime day with partly sunny skies, warm and humid conditions, and a few pop-up showers or thunderstorms. Another weak system moves in for Saturday, resulting in a very humid day, with a better chance for showers and thunderstorms, especially late in the day and at night. Sunday and Monday will be similar to Friday, with intervals of sun and clouds, fairly humid conditions (but not as humid as Saturday), and a few widely scattered showers and thunderstorms each afternoon.

Hurricane Beryl is approaching the south coast of Jamaica this afternoon. Loop provided by NOAA.

Meanwhile, in the tropics, Hurricane Beryl is barreling towards Jamaica this afternoon. As of 2pm, Beryl was centered about 45 miles south of Kingston, Jamaica, moving toward the west-northwest at 18 mph. Maximum sustained winds were near 140 mph, making Beryl a Category 4 hurricane. It is the strongest storm to impact Jamaica since Hurricane Dean in 2007. Damaging winds, torrential rain, and flooding are likely across Jamaica for the rest of the afternoon and evening, especially southern portions of the island, then Beryl will head toward the Cayman Islands tonight. Beyond that, it will continue across the Caribbean while gradually weakening before another likely landfall in the Yucatan Peninsula early Friday. It should weaken over the Yucatan, but it will move back into the Gulf of Mexico late Friday, then could strengthen once again. The models are split on whether it continues westward into Mainland Mexico or makes it a right turn and heads for southern Texas, but we’ll worry about that later this week.

After Jamaica, Beryl will head towards the Cayman Islands and the Yucatan Peninsula. After that, things ger murky. Loop provided by Tomer Burg.

Beryl has been shattering records over the past several days even before crossing the Windward Islands. It is the strongest storm ever in the Atlantic during the months of June and July. It is the earliest Category 5 hurricane ever in the Atlantic (by more than 2 weeks). It was the strongest storm to ever cross the Southern Windward Islands when it moved across Carriacou Island on Monday with top winds near 140 mph. Sea surface temperatures are well above normal across the Atlantic and Caribbean, which aided in Beryl getting so strong, but it also featured upper-level conditions that were nearly ideal for development and strengthening, which is not that common during June and July.

Radar loop from Barbados showing Beryl’s approach and passage. Loop provided by Brian McNoldy/University of Miami.

Wednesday night: Partly cloudy. Low 59-66.

Thursday: Partly sunny, more humid, slight chance for a shower. High 80-87, a little cooler near the coast.

Thursday night: Partly to mostly cloudy with a few showers possible and some patchy fog developing. Low 63-70.

Friday: Partly sunny, slight chance for a shower or thunderstorm. High 83-90, a little cooler across Cape Cod.

Friday night: Mostly cloudy, chance for a few showers. Low 64-71.

Saturday: More clouds than sun, very humid, chance for a few showers or thunderstorms. High 77-84.

Saturday night: Partly to mostly cloudy with a few showers or thunderstorms. Low 66-73.

Sunday: A mix of sun and clouds. High 85-92, a little cooler across Cape Cod.

Sunday night: Partly cloudy. Low 63-70.

Monday: Intervals of sun and clouds. High 84-91, a little cooler across Cape Cod.

Weekly Outlook: July 1-7, 2024

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Cooler and drier weather moves in to start the week, but heat and humidity will make a return appearance for the Fourth of July.

Dewpoints will drop into the 50s on Tuesday. Image provided by WeatherBell.

High pressure builds in to start the week with lower humidity and cooler temperatures. An upper-level disturbance will also move in, generating some clouds, and possibly a few pop-up showers. With the high building in for Tuesday and Wednesday we’ll have more sunshine, seasonably warm temperatures and comfortable humidity levels. A weak front will approach Wednesday night, with a few showers possible, but the front likely stalls out and washes out without moving through the region. Very warm and increasingly humid conditions are expected from the Fourth of July into the weekend. A few showers and thunderstorms are possible each afternoon, especially Friday and Saturday.

Some models show the potential for hot and humid weather to return this coming weekend. Imageprovided by Weathermodels.com.

Monday: Partly sunny, chance for a pop-up shower or two, not as humid. High 72-79.

Monday night: Becoming clear. Low 57-64.

Tuesday: Lots of sunshine. High 78-85.

Tuesday night: Partly cloudy. Low 58-65.

Wednesday: A mix of sun and clouds, chance for a few showers at night. High 79-86.

Fourth of July: Chance for a morning shower, otherwise partly sunny and becoming humid. High 83-90, a little cooler near the South Coast and Cape Cod.

Friday: A mix of sun and clouds, chance for a late-day shower or thunderstorm. High 83-90, a little cooler along the coast.

Saturday: Intervals of clouds and sun, chance for some late-day showers or thunderstorms. High 84-91, a little cooler along the coast.

Sunday: A mix of sun and clouds, slight chance for a shower or thunderstorm. High 85-92, a little cooler along the coast.