Weekend Outlook: March 1-4, 2024

March won’t be coming in like a lion, but it will be coming in milder.

A weak storm system (definitely not a lion) will bring some rain to the area this weekend. Loop provided by Tropical Tidbits.

We’re starting the weekend with high pressure in control, which will help to produce a chilly night tonight under clear skies and lighter winds. As the high moves off to the east, winds will become southwesterly on Friday, allowing milder air to move in under sunny skies. Make sure you enjoy it, because Friday is the pick of the weekend. A weak low pressure system will move off the Mid-Atlantic coast Friday night, slowly passing south of New England on Saturday. This will result in plenty of clouds and some showers, especially during the afternoon and at night, but temperatures should remain above normal for early March. The system pulls away on Sunday, but clouds will linger, and a few showers are still possible, mainly across eastern portions of the region and during the morning. High pressure starts to build in for Monday, but we’ll still have plenty of clouds around with another weak low pressure area meandering around to the south. It should stay far enough south to not send any precipitation our way, but we’ll keep an eye on that. Temperatures will remain mild. In fact, even milder weather appears likely for the first half of next week.

Much of next week should feature well above normal temperatures. Image provided by WeatherBell.

Thursday night: Skies become partly cloudy to clear with diminishing winds. Low 19-26.

Friday: Plenty of sunshine, a little breezy during the afternoon. High 38-45.

Friday night: Clear during the evening, then clouds increase. Low 28-35 during the temperatures, temperatures hold steady or rise a little overnight.

Saturday: Cloudy and milder with some showers likely during the afternoon. High 44-51.

Saturday night: Cloudy, showers taper off late at night. Low 38-45.

Sunday: Plenty of clouds, a few morning showers in eastern areas, maybe a few breaks of sunshine in the afternoon. High 48-55.

Sunday night: Partly to mostly cloudy. Low 38-45.

Monday: More clouds than sun. High 47-54.

Weekly Outlook: February 26 – March 3, 2024

Some interesting weather is on the way for the upcoming week.

Temperatures could approach 60 in parts of the region on Wednesday. Image provided by Weathermodels.com

A warm front will move across the region this morning with a few rain or snow showers accompanying it. We’ll clear out this afternoon with milder weather settling in. High pressure builds in for Tuesday with partial sunshine and even milder weather but clouds will thicken up by evening as a strong cold front begins to approach from the west. Gusty south to southwest winds ahead of the front will send temperatures well into the 50s on Wednesday, despite plenty of clouds and some occasional rain showers. The front moves through late in the day, then colder air surges in quickly behind the front. Rain may change to snow before coming to an end Wednesday night as temperatures quickly drop on gusty northwest winds.

Southwest winds could gust as high as 40-50 mph or higher on Wednesday. Image provided by WeatherBell.

High pressure returns with chilly weather on Thursday, but the cold air won’t hang around too long. Temperatures start to moderate on Friday as the high moves off to the east, then unseasonably warm weather returns for the first weekend of March. However, we’ll also have to keep an eye on a low pressure area off to the south, as it may spread more clouds and possibly some rainfall in, especially near the South Coast on Saturday.

Saturday could end up being wet, or maybe it won’t. We’ll have a better idea later this week. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.

Monday: A rain or snow shower early, becoming partly to mostly sunny and breezy during the afternoon. High 46-53, coolest across the South Coast.

Monday night: Partly cloudy. Low 27-34.

Tuesday: Some morning sun, clouds thicken up in the afternoon, winds start to pick up late in the day. High 50-57, coolest near the coast.

Tuesday night: Cloudy and windy with showers developing. Low 42-49 during the evening, temperatures rise a little overnight.

Wednesday: Cloudy and windy with periods of rain and showers, possibly even a rumble of thunder. Rain may change to snow before ending at night. High 51-58, coolest across the South Coast.

Thursday: Becoming mostly sunny, windy, and much colder. High 32-39.

Friday: Sunshine and some afternoon clouds, still breezy. High 39-46.

Saturday: More clouds than sun, chance for some showers, breezy. High 46-53.

Sunday: Partly sunny. High 51-58.

Weekend Outlook: February 23-26, 2024

The final weekend of February and Meteorological Winter will feature a little bit of everything.

One system brings in some rain today, another has some light snow or rain Sunday night. Loop provided by Tropical Tidbits.

Some showers are likely through the morning ahead of a cold front, with some wet snow at least to start as you get up into the hills of south-central New Hampshire. The cold front moves through by midday, but a wave of low pressure will ride up along it as it moves offshore. This may keep the rain going for several more hours across Cape Cod, while the rest of us start to dry out. Gusty northwest winds behind the system usher much cooler air in for tonight and Saturday as high pressure builds in with sunshine. Winds die down Saturday night and skies remain clear, setting the stage for a rather chilly night. The cold air doesn’t last long though as temperatures start to moderate a bit on Sunday, getting back closer to normal for late-February. Another weak system moves through Sunday night with some snow or rain showers, then milder air moves in for Monday.

Bundle up if you’re heading outside early Sunday morning – wind chills will be in the single numbers. Image provided by WeatherBell.

Friday: Cloudy with showers likely through early afternoon north and west of Boston, ending in the evening south of Boston. High 41-48.

Friday night: Mostly cloudy, a few lingering showers across Cape Cod through midnight, some clearing possible toward daybreak. Low 25-32.

Saturday: Becoming mostly sunny, breezy, and colder. High 31-38 in the morning, temperatures may start to drop after midday.

Saturday night: Clear and chilly. Low 11-18.

Sunday: Sunshine and some afternoon clouds, becoming breezy late in the day. High 33-40.

Sunday night: Mostly cloudy and breezy with some snow or rain showers likely. Low 23-30 during the evening, temperatures start rising after midnight.

Monday: Morning clouds, then becoming partly sunny, breezy, milder. High 44-51.

Weekly Outlook: February 19-25, 2024

Much of the upcoming week will feature quiet weather with a gradual warming trend.

Normal high temperatures are in the upper 30s to lower 40s across the region. Image provided by Weathermodels.com

High pressure builds in for today and Tuesday with sunshine and cool temperatures. As the high slides off to the east on Wednesday, temperatures will start to moderate as winds become southwest, but we’ll also see a few clouds start to filter in. More clouds and warmer temperatures are likely on Thursday as a cold front begins to approach from the west. A cold front moves in on Friday with a wave of low pressure developing along it and passing close to or south of the region. This will keep temperature cooler, but still warm enough so that precipitation should be mostly in the form of rain, but it could start as some wet snow north and west of Boston late Thursday night or early Friday. High pressure returns with much cooler conditions on Saturday. Another low pressure system may bring in some rain or snow showers later Sunday and Sunday night.

We could see a little snow or mix as precipitation moves in before daybreak on Friday. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.

Monday: Sun, sun, and more sun, breezy, and cool. High 32-39.

Monday night: Clear skies, chilly. Low 14-21.

Tuesday: Plenty of sunshine. High 29-36.

Tuesday night: Clear to partly cloudy. Low 17-24.

Wednesday: A mix of sun and clouds. High 34-41.

Thursday: Partly sunny, clouds thicken up late in the day. High 38-45.

Friday: Cloudy and breezy with some rain likely, possibly starting as snow or a wintry mix north and west of Boston. High 41-48.

Saturday: A mix of sun and clouds, breezy, cooler. High 31-38.

Sunday: Partly sunny, some rain or snow showers possible toward evening, breezy. High 34-41.

Weekend Outlook: February 16-19, 2024

We’ve got a few chances for snow over the next several days, but most of them be minor.

A few systems will move across the Northeast this weekend, but most won’t have too much of an impact. Loop provided by Tropical Tidbits.

A fast-moving system will move out of the Great Lakes later today, passing north of the region tonight. It will produce some light snow this evening, so use some caution if you’re heading out. The snow should end shortly after midnight, with less than 1 inch of accumulation south of the Mass Pike, and 1-2 inches north of it, possibly near 3 inches in a few spots. We’ll quickly clear out on Friday with high pressure building in, but we’ll have gusty northwest winds once again, resulting in a rather cool day. Clouds quickly return late Friday and Friday night as a weak low pressure system moves toward the Mid-Atlantic states. It will pass well south of the region on Saturday, with just some snow showers, mainly south of the Mass Pike. There could be some steadier snow near the immediate South Coast and across the Islands, but even here, we’re only expecting an inch or so, maybe 2 inches in a few spots. Another weak disturbance moves through on Sunday with some clouds and possibly a snow flurry or two, then high pressure builds in with sunshine for Monday.

Tonight’s snowfall will be relatively light across most of the area. Image provided by WeatherBell.

Thursday night: Light snow likely, ending shortly after midnight, some clearing late at night. Accumulation 1-2 inches north of the Mass Pike, 1 inch or less south of the Pike, breezy. Low 24-31.

Friday: Partly to mostly sunny and windy, clouds start to move back in late in the day. High 33-40.

Friday night: Becoming mostly cloudy. Low 20-27.

Saturday: Mostly cloudy with some snow showers, mainly south of the Mass Pike. High 30-37.

Saturday night: Clearing. Low 14-21.

Sunday: Intervals of clouds and sun, breezy, chance for a snow flurry. High 31-38.

Sunday night: Clear skies, breezy. Low 21-28.

Monday: Plenty of sunshine, still breezy. High 33-40.

Snowy Tuesday on the Way for Most

Tuesday is looking like a snowy day, but perhaps not as bad as we were thinking earlier, for at least part of the region.

Winter Storm Warnings remain in effect across much of the region. Image provided by Pivotal Weather.

The general ideas we talked about in our Weekly Outlook earlier today are still valid. Low pressure is moving across the Tennessee Valley this afternoon and will redevelop near the Mid-Atlantic coastline later today, passing south of New England on Tuesday as it intensifies. However, some of the finer details have changed a bit. For one, the timing of the snow has been altered slightly. The snow should develop across the region near or a little before daybreak, and it may fall heavy at times for a while during the late morning and early afternoon, but now it looks like it will be winding down by late-afternoon, ending completely around the evening rush hour. This is a little faster than we were thinking earlier.

The snow should be in an out of here in roughly 8-10 hours. Loop provided by Tropical Tidbits.

It also looks like the storm will be a little farther south than we were thinking. This has significant implications for the snowfall forecast. This shifts the area of heaviest snow a little farther south. The bigger change is on the northern fringe of the snowfall. We had talked about the fact that the models were showing a sharp cutoff to the snow, and you could go from little to nothing to well over 6 inches in the span of 20 miles. That is still the case, but instead of that being over central or southern New Hampshire as we thought overnight, it’s now looking like that could be across southern New Hampshire or the Merrimack Valley. So, how much are we expecting now?

Central/Southern NH: 1″ or less
Merrimack Valley: 1-4″
MetroWest/Metro Boston/North Shore: 3-6″
Southeastern Massachusetts/Rhode Island: 4-8″
Cape Cod and the Islands: 6-10″ (possibly less Outer Cape/Islands with some rain to start)

The latest run of the HRRR model is closest to our thinking now. Image provided by WeatherBell.

The other aspects of the storm that we mentioned – strong winds and coastal flooding, have not changed. A High Wind Warning is in effect across Cape Cod, where sustained winds of 20-30 mph are expected, with gusts to 50 mph possible. The rest of the region is looking at gusts of 25-35 mph, with some stronger gusts, especially near the coast. Along the coast, flooding is possible around high tide, especially in the areas that are normally prone to flooding.

Gusty winds are still likely on Tuesday, especially at the coastline. Image provided by Weathermodels.com

We’re also still keeping an eye on the potential for more light snow Thursday night and again on Saturday with two additional storm systems. More on that later in the week.

Weekly Outlook: February 12-18, 2024

Some snow is on the way, quite a bit for some areas, and probably more than once this week.

Tuesday’s storm will be very impactful across the region. Image provided by the Weather Prediction Center.

We’ll start the week off with sunshine thanks to high pressure in control of the region, but it won’t last too long. Clouds will start to steam in this afternoon and thicken up tonight as the low pressure area that brought severe weather to parts of Texas and the Deep South yesterday moves into the Tennessee Valley. By Monday night, a secondary area of low pressure will develop near the Mid-Atlantic coast, passing south of New England on Tuesday. There’s not a lot of cold air in place, but with the storm passing far enough to the south, we should be cold enough for snow across most of the region, except for parts of Cape Cod and possibly southeastern Massachusetts, but even there, a change to snow is expected. The snow will be accompanied by gusty northeast winds, especially across the Cape and Islands where a High Wind Watch has been posted. With tides already at astronomically high levels, some coastal flooding is also expected, so a Coastal Flood Watch has been issued for much of eastern Massachusetts. The storm will be moving rather quickly, so snowfall totals won’t be outrageous. Snow should start around sunrise Tuesday, and end around sunset, but in between, it could snow rather heavily for a while late Tuesday morning and early afternoon. If you don’t have to be on the roads, we’d recommend you stay home. Complicating the snow forecast is that many of the models show a sharp cutoff to the northern edge of the snow, but don’t agree where that northern edge will be. Some have it in central New Hampshire, some in southern New Hampshire, some across northern Massachusetts. Wherever it does setup, you are going to see snowfall totals go from quite a bit to virtually nothing over a small area, perhaps even as little as 20 miles. Having said that, our snowfall forecast is, for lack of a better term, our “best guess” across central and southern New Hampshire right now.

Wind gusts of 30-40 mph are possible across much of the region, especially at the coast, perhaps stronger across Cape Cod. Image provided by Weathermodels.com

So, how much snow can we expect?

Outer Cape/Islands: 1-3″
Upper Cape/South Coast: 3-5″
Central New Hampshire: (Concord): 3-6″
Southeastern Massachusetts: 4-8″
Southern New Hampshire (Nashua/Manchester to Portsmouth): 4-8″
Remainder of Eastern Massachusetts: 6-10″ with a few spots picking up 12″ or more

The National Blend of Models is the closest to our snow forecast at this time. Images provided by WeatherBell.

We’ll quickly clear out Tuesday night, then a cold front moves through with a few flurries Wednesday morning, followed by high pressure building in for Wednesday afternoon and Thursday with sunshine and colder weather. Clouds will start to move back in later Thursday ahead of a weak storm system moving out of the Great Lakes. That system will bring in some light snow or rain for Thursday night into early Friday. Skies will start to clear out Friday afternoon, but clouds quickly return ahead of yet another storm moving out of the Ohio Valley. This one will likely bring in some more light snow on Saturday. Another cold front follows on Sunday with some more clouds and possibly a few snow showers.

Another weak system may bring in some snow or rain for Thursday night. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.

Monday: Morning sunshine, clouds filter in and thicken up during the afternoon. High 42-49.

Monday night: Becoming mostly cloudy, snow developing by daybreak, possibly mixed with some rain across Cape Cod and southeastern Massachusetts. Low 26-33.

Tuesday: Windy with snow, possibly heavy at times, tapering off late in the day. High 30-37 early, temperatures start falling in the afternoon.

Tuesday night: Any lingering snow ends in the evening, then skies clear out, breezy. Low 17-24.

Wednesday: Sunshine and a few clouds, windy, colder, slight chance for a snow flurry early. High 28-35.

Thursday: Sunny in the morning, clouds move in during the afternoon, some light snow or rain possible overnight, breezy. High 31-38.

Friday: Any snow or rain ends early, becoming partly sunny and windy in the afternoon. High 33-40.

Saturday: Mostly cloudy and breezy with some light snow possible. High 28-35.

Sunday: Partly sunny, breezy, chance for a few snow showers. High 31-38.

Weekend Outlook: February 9-12, 2024

Milder weather is on the way for the upcoming weekend.

Temperatures could be very mild around here on Saturday. Image provided by WeatherBell,

We finally got some sunshine over the past several days, but unfortunately, there are more clouds on the way. They’ll spread across the region tonight as low pressure moving into the Great Lakes sends a warm front our way. There could be a stray rain or snow shower accompanying the warm front, but they’ll be few and far between. We’ll see some sunshine return on Friday along with milder temperatures, with highs getting well into the 40s. Clouds come back Friday night and much of Saturday, but south to southwest winds will result in a very mild day for Saturday. High temperatures should get well into the 50s away from the coastline, with some places possibly topping 60. Along the coast, especially south-facing shorelines, we’ll have a seabreeze (yes, in February), keeping temperatures in the 40s, which is still well above normal. A cold front moves through late in the day, bringing some showers with it. High pressure builds in behind the front for Sunday, but the air isn’t that much colder. Most of us will still be in the 40s, with a few spots possibly reaching 50 again. Clouds stream back in Sunday night and Monday as low pressure heads toward the Mid-Atlantic states. The hype train left the station yesterday for this storm, as several computer models showed the potential for a sizeable snowstorm Monday night and Tuesday. Well, the models all continue to shift, and range from a moderate snowstorm, to a snow to rain situation, to a complete miss to the south. It’s still several days away, so things will continue to change, and if it does become a threat, we’ll go into more detail on our Weekly Outlook early Monday morning. For now, don’t believe the hype and don’t get too worked up about it.

Snow? Rain? Both? None? The models don’t agree on the storm threat for Tuesday right now. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.

Thursday night: Clear skies through the evening, clouds move in overnight, slight chance for a sprinkle or flurry. Low 25-32.

Friday: Morning clouds, becoming partly sunny in the afternoon, a little breezy at times. High 42-49.

Friday night: Becoming partly to mostly cloudy. Low 32-39.

Saturday: Partly to mostly cloudy with some showers likely during the afternoon and evening. High 52-59, cooler along south-facing shorelines.

Saturday night: Any lingering showers end during the evening, some clearing possible late at night. Low 35-42.

Sunday: A mix of sun and clouds, breezy. High 44-51.

Sunday night: Partly cloudy. Low 27-34.

Monday: Becoming mostly cloudy, chance for some snow or rain towards evening. High 40-47.

Weekly Outlook: February 5-11, 2024

Our first sign that winter is on its way out arrives today. No, we’re not talking about the groundhog. It’s Truck Day, the day that the equipment truck leaves Fenway to head to Fort Myers for the beginning of Spring Training next week.

The first sign of spring is upon us – today is Red Sox Truck Day, when all of the equipment gets loaded up and shipped down to Fort Myers for Spring Training. Image provided by Boston.com

In terms of weather, we start the week with more sunshine as high pressure remains in control. Tuesday and Wednesday should end up decent for a good portion of the region, but it could be a little complicated. High pressure will remain in place across southeastern Canada. The low pressure system that produced severe weather across Florida on Sunday will slowly move into the Atlantic, passing well south and east of New England. We’ve also got an upper-level low spinning south of Atlantic Canada. The pressure gradient between the high to the north and low to the south will result in some gusty northeast winds, especially near the coast Monday night into Wednesday. They’ll also bring in some cloud cover, especially across southeastern Massachusetts. Meanwhile, disturbances rotating around that upper-level low well to the east will bring in a little more cloud cover on Tuesday, and possibly a few snow showers, especially along the coast, and south of Boston. It wouldn’t be a shock if the ground got covered across parts of southeastern Massachusetts and Rhode Island, and a few of these ocean-effect snow bands could even produce an inch or two across coastal Plymouth County and Cape Cod.

A little bit of snow is possible south of Boston from tonight into Wednesday morning. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.

We should clear out later Wednesday, but clouds will start to move back in on Thursday as a frontal system starts to approach the region from the west. Temperatures will warm to above normal levels for the end of the week, with temperatures possibly topping 50 across parts of the region on Friday. Some showers are likely Friday night into Saturday ahead of the front. Temperatures will drop a few degrees on Sunday but it will remain mild with more clouds expected.

For now, Saturday looks like it could be a mild day. Image provided by Weathermodels.com

Monday: Plenty of sunshine, clouds start to move in late in the day, breezy. High 35-42.

Monday night: Partly to mostly cloudy, some snow showers possible south of Boston, breezy along the coast. Low 20-27.

Tuesday: Plenty of clouds, some sunny breaks well inland, more snow showers south of Boston, breezy near the coast. High 32-39.

Tuesday night: Partly to mostly cloudy more snow showers possible, mostly across eastern Massachusetts, breezy along the coast. Low 22-29.

Wednesday: Morning clouds and a few more snow showers across eastern Massachusetts, skies start to clear out in the afternoon, still breezy near the coast, especially in the morning. High 35-42.

Thursday: Sunshine and some afternoon clouds. High 38-45.

Friday: Becoming mostly cloudy, breezy. High 41-48.

Saturday: More clouds than sun, breezy. High 49-56.

Sunday: Partly sunny, breezy. High 46-53.

Weekend Outlook: February 2-5, 2024

The sun will finally return this weekend (but not tomorrow, sorry Annie).

January was among the Top 5 wettest of all-time across the region. Image provided by the Southeast Regional Climate Center.

We have had little to no sunshine around here for over 10 days now, but that will finally change. A cold front will drop down from the north tonight and Friday, with a few showers ahead of it tonight. A wave of low pressure will develop along the front, bringing some additional showers in on Friday, mainly south of the Mass Pike, as the front moves by. One more weak disturbance moves through Friday evening and night with a few more rain or snow showers, then high pressure finally starts to build in. Skies may be slow to clear out on Saturday, but the sun should finally return. Sunday and Monday should both feature sunshine, though we may have some more clouds around at times on Monday.

Break out the sunglasses on Sunday, models are forecasting very little in the way of clouds. Images provided by WeatherBell.

Thursday night: Cloudy, chance for a few showers. Low 25-32.

Friday: Plenty of clouds, a few more showers likely, especially south of the Mass Pike. High 38-45.

Friday night: Some rain or snow showers during the evening, some clearing late at night, especially north and west of Boston, becoming breezy near the coast. Low 21-28.

Saturday: A few snow showers across Cape Cod early, gradual clearing from northwest to southeast during the day, a little breezy at times. High 32-39.

Saturday night: Partly cloudy across Cape Cod, clear skies elsewhere, breezy along the coast. Low 18-25.

Sunday: Plenty of sunshine. High 34-41.

Sunday night: Partly cloudy across southeastern Massachusetts and Cape Cod, clear elsewhere. Low 19-26.

Monday: Partly to mostly sunny, breezy. High 32-39.