Weekly Outlook: December 18-25, 2023

Wet n Wild was the name of a water park in Orlando that closed many years ago, but it also could describe our weather today.

Wet n Wild may be gone from Orlando, but it’ll be an apt description of our weather today. Image provided by Tripadvisor.

Low pressure will move up the Hudson Valley today, producing rain, some of it heavy during the morning, but it will taper off during the afternoon, ending during the evening. Many places could see 1-3 inches of rain, resulting in flooding in some areas. Luckily, it’s been dry for the past couple of months after a very wet summer, so river levels have dropped quite a bit, and many of them can handle this amount of rain. Rain isn’t the only threat with this storm though. Strong southeast to south winds are likely today, which could result in tree and power line damage. The strong winds may also result in some coastal flooding along south-facing coastlines. The gusty south winds will also bring unseasonably mild air in, with temperatures approaching or topping 60 by midday. Once the system passes our latitude, winds will shift into the west and southwest this afternoon. They won’t be as strong as in the morning, but will be quite gusty, and will bring a quick end to the mild air.

Wind gusts in excess of 50 mph are possible across much of the region today. Image provided by WeatherBell.

The system pulls away Monday night with the rain ending and winds rapidly diminishing, but an upper-level low moves into the Northeast on Tuesday. This will bring in more clouds, with a few showers popping up, possibly mixed with a little wet snow. High pressure then builds in for Wednesday through Friday with sunshine and seasonably cool temperatures. We do have to keep an eye on an ocean storm well to our east. Some of the models try to drift it close enough to bring in some clouds towards Thursday or Friday, or possibly even some showers, but right now, we’re thinking that we’ll stay dry. A weak system may bring in some clouds and possibly some rain or snow showers on Saturday, then we should be dry and a little milder for Christmas Eve and Christmas Day.

Looking like a Green Christmas with temperatures 5-10 degrees above normal. Image provided by weathermodels.com

Monday: Rain, heavy at times during the morning, tapering off to showers in the afternoon, very windy, with gusts to 50 mph or higher, especially along the coast. High 56-63.

Monday night: Showers end in the evening, some clearing overnight, winds rapidly diminishing. Low 33-40.

Tuesday: Intervals of clouds and sun, chance for a few rain or snow showers, much cooler. High 41-48.

Tuesday night: Clearing. Low 24-31.

Wednesday: Mostly sunny, breezy at times. High 37-44.

Thursday: Sunshine and a few clouds, breezy again. High 36-43.

Friday: Partly sunny, a bit breezy, especially early. High 33-40.

Saturday: A mix of sun and clouds, slight chance for a few rain or snow showers. High 35-42.

Christmas Eve: Partly to mostly sunny. High 39-46.

Christmas Day: Partly sunny. High 42-49.

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