Weekend Outlook: December 29, 2023 – January 1, 2024

It seems only fitting that 2023 ends on a wet note since it’s been an extraordinarily wet year across the region.

2023 will go down as one of the Top 10 wettest years on record across most of the region. Image provided by the Southeast Regional Climate Center.

Low pressure pulls away from the region this evening, with rain tapering off to showers. However, with an upper-level low slowly moving in, we’ll have plenty of clouds with occasional showers for much of Friday and at least the first half of Saturday. Neither day will be a washout, but they won’t exactly be nice days either. Temperatures will remain above normal for these days. By late Saturday, we’ll start to clear out as high pressure builds in, with drier but also cooler weather returning. For First Night celebrations, it should be dry with temperatures near or a little above normal, unlike some of the rather chilly New Year’s Eves we’ve had in the past. A weak disturbance will move through on New Year’s Day with some clouds and possibly a stray rain or snow shower, but for the most part, it will remain dry.

Wet weather hangs around across the Northeast for the next couple of days. Loop provided by Tropical Tidbits.

Thursday night: Cloudy with rain tapering off to showers. Low 37-44.

Friday: Plenty of clouds with occasional showers. High 41-48.

Friday night: Cloudy with a few showers. Low 35-42.

Saturday: Showers around during the morning, some clearing late in the day. High 42-49.

Saturday night: Gradual clearing. Low 26-33.

Near Year’s Eve: Sunshine and some late-day clouds, cooler. High 35-42.

Sunday night: Partly cloudy. Low 25-32.

New Year’s Day: Partly sunny, slight chance for a rain or snow shower. High 36-43.

Weekly Outlook: December 25, 2023 – January 1, 2024

Did you get a new knit hat and mittens for Christmas or Hanukkah? Perhaps a new winter coat? Well, you won’t need them much, if at all, during most of the final week of 2023.

Areas of dense fog reduced visibility to under half a mile in spots to start Christmas Day. Image provided by WeatherBell.

We’ve got some dense fog to start Christmas Day, but once it burns off this morning, skies will remain mostly cloudy for the balance of the day, but it will be on the mild side. The fog returns tonight, but Tuesday may see some sunny breaks develop once the fog burns off. Wednesday is where things start to get interesting. The low pressure system producing all sorts of nasty weather in the Plains and Upper Midwest will head into the Great Lakes, sending some showers in on Wednesday. At the same time, a second low pressure system will develop near the Carolina coast and head north-northeastward. This will bring some steadier rain in by late Wednesday, more likely Wednesday night into Thursday morning, before the system pulls away. An upper-level low pressure will then move into the East Coast, and it may spawn a weak low at the surface on Friday, which could triggering a few rain or snow showers across the region. The upper-level low moves directly overhead on Saturday, resulting in some cooler conditions, plenty of clouds, and possible another snow shower or two. High pressure builds in with dry and cool conditions for New Year’s Eve. Another weak system may move in on New Year’s Day with some snow showers possible.

Some models show the potential for some heavy rainfall with the storm later Wednesday into Thursday. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.

Christmas Day: Dense fog early, then becoming partly to mostly sunny. High 46-53.

Monday night: Mostly cloudy, fog redevelops. Low 33-40.

Tuesday: More clouds than sunshine. High 46-53.

Tuesday night: Cloudy, chance for a shower or two late at night. Low 36-43.

Wednesday: Cloudy with a few showers, becoming a steady rain at night. High 47-54.

Thursday: Mostly cloudy and breezy, rain ending in the morning. High 47-54.

Friday: Mostly cloudy, breezy, chance for a few rain or snow showers. High 41-48.

Saturday: Partly sunny, breezy, chance for a few flurries. High 35-42.

New Year’s Eve: A mix of sun and clouds. High 34-41.

New Year’s Day: Partly sunny, breezy, chance for a snow shower. High 36-43.

Weekend Outlook: December 22-25, 2023

Quiet weather is expected for the vast majority of Christmas weekend.

The winter solstice occurs at 10:27pm tonight. Days start getting longer tomorrow until June. Images provided by the Farmer’s Almanac.

Summer officially begins at 10:27pm this evening in the southern hemisphere, which means that is when winter begins here. While it’ll be seasonably chilly to start, much of the holiday weekend won’t feel a lot like winter. We’ll have high pressure in control to start, a chilly night tonight, and a cool by sunny day on Friday. Clouds start to move in Friday night and Saturday ahead of a weak disturbance heading this way from the Midwest. It may produce a few rain or snow showers late Saturday night or early Sunday morning as it moves through, but most of us will remain dry. After that, high pressure builds back in for Christmas Eve and Christmas Day with dry and mild conditions.

Temperatures could approach 50 Christmas afternoon. Image provided by WeatherBell.

Thursday night: Clear and chilly. Low 16-23.

Friday: Plenty of sunshine. High 31-38.

Friday night: Clear to partly cloudy. Low 18-25.

Saturday: Increasing clouds. High 37-44.

Saturday night: Mostly cloudy, a rain or snow shower possible after midnight. Low 28-35.

Christmas Eve: More clouds than sunshine, milder. High 42-49.

Sunday night: Partly to mostly cloudy. Low 31-38.

Christmas Day: Partly sunny. High 45-52.

Weekly Outlook: December 18-25, 2023

Wet n Wild was the name of a water park in Orlando that closed many years ago, but it also could describe our weather today.

Wet n Wild may be gone from Orlando, but it’ll be an apt description of our weather today. Image provided by Tripadvisor.

Low pressure will move up the Hudson Valley today, producing rain, some of it heavy during the morning, but it will taper off during the afternoon, ending during the evening. Many places could see 1-3 inches of rain, resulting in flooding in some areas. Luckily, it’s been dry for the past couple of months after a very wet summer, so river levels have dropped quite a bit, and many of them can handle this amount of rain. Rain isn’t the only threat with this storm though. Strong southeast to south winds are likely today, which could result in tree and power line damage. The strong winds may also result in some coastal flooding along south-facing coastlines. The gusty south winds will also bring unseasonably mild air in, with temperatures approaching or topping 60 by midday. Once the system passes our latitude, winds will shift into the west and southwest this afternoon. They won’t be as strong as in the morning, but will be quite gusty, and will bring a quick end to the mild air.

Wind gusts in excess of 50 mph are possible across much of the region today. Image provided by WeatherBell.

The system pulls away Monday night with the rain ending and winds rapidly diminishing, but an upper-level low moves into the Northeast on Tuesday. This will bring in more clouds, with a few showers popping up, possibly mixed with a little wet snow. High pressure then builds in for Wednesday through Friday with sunshine and seasonably cool temperatures. We do have to keep an eye on an ocean storm well to our east. Some of the models try to drift it close enough to bring in some clouds towards Thursday or Friday, or possibly even some showers, but right now, we’re thinking that we’ll stay dry. A weak system may bring in some clouds and possibly some rain or snow showers on Saturday, then we should be dry and a little milder for Christmas Eve and Christmas Day.

Looking like a Green Christmas with temperatures 5-10 degrees above normal. Image provided by weathermodels.com

Monday: Rain, heavy at times during the morning, tapering off to showers in the afternoon, very windy, with gusts to 50 mph or higher, especially along the coast. High 56-63.

Monday night: Showers end in the evening, some clearing overnight, winds rapidly diminishing. Low 33-40.

Tuesday: Intervals of clouds and sun, chance for a few rain or snow showers, much cooler. High 41-48.

Tuesday night: Clearing. Low 24-31.

Wednesday: Mostly sunny, breezy at times. High 37-44.

Thursday: Sunshine and a few clouds, breezy again. High 36-43.

Friday: Partly sunny, a bit breezy, especially early. High 33-40.

Saturday: A mix of sun and clouds, slight chance for a few rain or snow showers. High 35-42.

Christmas Eve: Partly to mostly sunny. High 39-46.

Christmas Day: Partly sunny. High 42-49.

Weekend Outlook: December 15-18, 2023

This weekend is going to end up very similar to last weekend, dry to start, then very wet to end.

Temperatures will be as much as 10-15 degrees above normal across much of the region on Friday. Image provided by weathermodels.com.

High pressure keeps us dry into Saturday. We’ll start off chilly this evening under clear skies, but as winds shift into the southwest, temperatures will level off toward midnight, and could rise a bit overnight. Friday is about as good a day as we can expect for mid-December with sunshine and above normal temperatures. Clouds start to filter in Friday night and during the day on Saturday as low pressure begins to develop across the Southeast. As that low moves northward, we’ll have plenty of clouds on Sunday, with rain moving in by late afternoon or evening. The rain will likely be heavy Sunday night into Monday morning, with some gusty south winds bringing unseasonably mild air back in, with temperatures making a run at 60 in some spots. Monday is where the models start to diverge. Some of them bring the storm well to our west (central or western NY), some a little closer (western MA). Overall, this doesn’t make too much of a difference at this point, but the eastern track would likely mean the rain ends earlier, and the cold front swings through earlier, bringing an end to the mild air. Beyond that, the models rapidly diverge, which has significant impacts on the forecast around here for Tuesday and into midweek, but this forecast only goes through Monday, so we’ll worry about next week in our Weekly Outlook Sunday night.

Where will the storm be centered Monday afternoon? It makes a difference for the forecast. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.

Thursday night: Clear skies. Low 26-33 during the evening, temperatures may rise a little after midnight.

Friday: Plenty of sunshine, breezy at times, especially through early afternoon. High 45-52.

Friday night: Clear skies during the evening, some clouds start to move in overnight. Low 32-39.

Saturday: Intervals of sunshine and clouds. High 43-50.

Saturday night: Becoming mostly cloudy. Low 29-36.

Sunday: Cloudy and becoming breezy with rain developing late in the day. High 47-54.

Sunday night: Periods of rain, possibly heavy at times, becoming windy. Low 44-51 during the evening, temperatures rise overnight.

Monday: Windy and mild with more rain, tapering off during the afternoon. High 54-61.

Weekly Outlook: December 11-17, 2023

Once we get past today, much of the week will be fairly quiet weatherwise. Today will not be quiet at all though.

Wind gusts of 40-50 mph will be common this morning and early afternoon, with some stronger gusts across southeastern Massachusetts. Image provided by WeatherBell.

A strong cold front moves through early this morning, with rain ending by midday as the front pushes offshore. Gusty winds west behind the front usher much cooler air into the region. After a mild start, temperatures will drop through the morning. They may level off a little towards midday, especially as the rain ends, then we’ll drop again by late afternoon and evening as skies clear out. High pressure builds in for Tuesday with plenty of sunshine and seasonably cool temperatures. Another cold front moves through on Wednesday, but it will be starved for moisture, so it will only generate a few clouds, and possibly a stray snowflake or two. High pressure returns for Thursday through the weekend. We’ll be rather chilly on Thursday as the high builds in, then temperatures slowly moderate. There is one potential fly in the ointment. Many of the models generate a pretty potent storm in the Gulf of Mexico toward the end of the week or the weekend, and try to have it start moving up the coast. However, the big high sitting in place will slow down that storm’s progress by acting as a roadblock. Some models don’t have the rain with the system ever get up here, so wait until Monday or Tuesday, and some have it move in as early as late Sunday. We’re leaning toward the drier scenario for now, but obviously should have a better idea when we publish our Weekend Outlook on Thursday.

The next storm likely doesn’t impact us through at least the end of the weekend, if at all, but that’s not set in stone just yet. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.

Monday: Rain ending by midday, some late-day clearing is possible, windy. High 40-47 early, except warmer across southeastern Massachusetts and Cape Cod, where temperatures drop during the morning, then hold steady in the lower to middle 40s for early afternoon.

Monday night: Becoming mostly clear with diminishing winds. Low 25-32.

Tuesday: Plenty of sunshine. High 37-44.

Tuesday night: Clear skies. Low 28-35.

Wednesday: Sunshine and a few clouds, breezy. High 37-44.

Thursday: Sunny, breezy, and chilly. High 31-38.

Friday: Mostly sunny, breezy again, milder. High 43-50.

Saturday: Partly sunny. High 41-48.

Sunday: Intervals of clouds and sun. High 43-50.

Weekend Outlook: December 8-11, 2023

Some rain is on the way along with milder temperatures as we head towards the weekend.

Some very heavy rain is possible Sunday night, especially well inland. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.

We start off with high pressure in control, keeping us dry through Saturday. Temperatures will be chilly tonight, but as the high moves off to the east, we’ll start to moderate for Friday and Saturday. Friday should feature a decent amount of sunshine, but clouds will increase and thicken up during the day on Saturday as low pressure heads toward the Great Lakes. As that low heads into southeastern Canada, southerly winds will start to pick up on Sunday, resulting in quite a mild day, with temperatures likely getting close to 60 degrees in many locations. It looks like most of the rain should hold off until late in the day, but once it moves in, some heavy rain is possible Sunday night into Monday morning. South to southwest winds will be quite gusty at night as well. The low will drag a cold front across the region Monday morning, with the rain ending by early afternoon. Once the front moves through, west to northwest winds will usher much cooler air in. So, even though we’ll likely start the day well into the 50s, we’ll drop in the 40s by afternoon. Skies should start to clear out by late in the day.

Temperatures could still be in the 60s Monday morning ahead of a strong cold front. Image provided by WeatherBell.

Thursday night: Becoming mostly clear. Low 17-24.

Friday: Sunshine and some afternoon clouds. High 38-45.

Friday night: Clear during the evening, some clouds move in overnight. Low 26-33.

Saturday: Increasing and thickening clouds, milder. High 46-53.

Saturday night: Partly to mostly cloudy. Low 35-42.

Sunday: Mostly cloudy, becoming breezy and mild, rain developing late in the day. High 55-62.

Sunday night: Windy with periods of rain, possibly heavy at times. Low 52-59.

Monday: Rain ending around midday, some late-day clearing, still breezy. High 52-59 in the morning, temperatures drop through the afternoon.

Weekly Outlook: December 4-10, 2023

Some cooler weather is on the way over the next few days.

Tuesday will be 10-15 degrees cooler than today across the region. Image provided by WeatherBell.

We’ll start to dry out today, but plenty of clouds will remain in place, and there could be a stray shower as an upper-level disturbance crosses the Northeast. Tuesday will be a dry day but a little cooler as high pressure tries to build in. Things could get a little interesting Tuesday night and Wednesday. Low pressure will pass well offshore, but an extension of it, called an inverted trough, may set up. Normally, trough of low pressure are oriented in a general north-south direction from low pressure to the north. In this case, it’ll be the opposite, south-north from low pressure well to the south, hence the “inverted” part. What this will serve to do is enhance some onshore winds, which will in turn generate some precipitation. With colder air settling in, that precipitation will likely fall as snow. Now, this isn’t a big snowstorm we’re talking about, but across eastern Massachusetts, Rhode Island, and southern New Hampshire, we could see an inch or two in spots, especially across southeastern Massachusetts.

A little bit of snow seems likely for Tuesday night and Wednesday for parts of the region. Images provided by Pivotal Weather.

High pressure builds back in for Thursday, which will likely be a rather chilly day. High pressure slides off to the east, allowing temperatures to moderate for Friday and Saturday. The next system approaches on Sunday, but there are timing issues to be worked out with this storm. Some rain is possible during the day, but for now, it looks like most of the rain will hold off until Sunday night and Monday. This is subject to change however as the models start to hone in on the eventual solution. It does look like Sunday could be quite a mild day ahead of the storm, but again, let’s not etch that in stone just yet, since it is 6 days away.

Temperatures could get well into the 50s on Sunday. Image provided by Weathermodels.com

Monday: Intervals of clouds and sun, slight chance for a shower. High 45-52.

Monday night: Partly to mostly cloudy. Low 29-36.

Tuesday: More clouds than sun, cooler. High 36-43.

Tuesday night: Mostly cloudy with some light snow or snow showers around. Low 24-31.

Wednesday: Mostly cloudy, light snow or snow showers ending. High 32-39.

Thursday: A mix of sun and clouds. High 31-38.

Friday: Partly sunny. High 39-46.

Saturday: Intervals of clouds and sun. High 47-54.

Sunday: Mostly cloudy, breezy, and mild with scattered showers. High 51-58.